Topic: UFC 269

UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier

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Tapology

Location: www.tapology.com
Member Since: 2012.01.20
Predictions: 0 | 0.0%
Forum Posts: 33,026
Post Score: 47

08.02.2021 | 10:40 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Saturday 12.11.2021 at 06:00 PM ET
U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
Ownership: Endeavor
Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Enclosure: Octagon
TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Joe Rogan, Daniel Cormier
Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
Attendance: 18,471
PPV Buys / Buyrate: 500,000 | TV Ratings: 729,000 avg. viewers (ESPN2 prelims)
MMA Bouts: 14
Promotion Links:
Event Links:

Bout		Info
Charles Oliveira defeats Dustin Poirier via Submission, Rear Naked Choke		1:02 Round 3 of 5, 11:02 Total Bout Page
Julianna Peña defeats Amanda Nunes via Submission, Rear Naked Choke		3:26 Round 2 of 5, 8:26 Total Bout Page
Geoff Neal defeats Santiago Ponzinibbio via Decision, Split		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Kai Kara-France defeats Cody Garbrandt via KO/TKO, Punches		3:21 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Sean O'Malley defeats Raulian Paiva via KO/TKO, Punches		4:42 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Josh Emmett defeats Dan Ige via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Dominick Cruz defeats Pedro Munhoz via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Tai Tuivasa defeats Augusto Sakai via KO/TKO, Punches		0:26 Round 2 of 3, 5:26 Total Bout Page
Bruno Silva defeats Jordan Wright via KO/TKO, Punches		1:28 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
André Muniz defeats Eryk Anders via Submission, Armbar		3:13 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Erin Blanchfield defeats Miranda Maverick via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Ryan Hall defeats Darrick Minner via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Tony Kelley defeats Randy Costa via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound		4:15 Round 2 of 3, 9:15 Total Bout Page
Gillian Robertson defeats Priscila Cachoeira via Submission, Rear Naked Choke		4:59 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 47
« First ‹ Prev … 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 … Next › Last »

AyyLmaonnaise

Location: Nunya
Member Since: 2021.06.22
Predictions: 15,961 | 67.4%
Forum Posts: 32,076
Post Score: 88

12.11.2021 | 3:07 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 635 Points | Tied for 757th

Ponzi ko tho

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

timfro

Member Since: 2021.03.22
Predictions: 94 | 68.1%
Forum Posts: 1
Post Score: 200

12.11.2021 | 3:07 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 620 Points | Tied for 897th

Emmett vs. Ige
Josh Emmett, DEC
https://www.tapology.com/assets/fightcenter/choose_overlay-5eecf7d05590e9db99d6e9ad71b4e4edb3ee165bb868f2b8061557ac50f30558.png

LA Mmattttt

Member Since: 2021.06.12
Predictions: 1,855 | 62.9%
Forum Posts: 98
Post Score: 22

12.11.2021 | 3:17 PM ET

@Tieoken No

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 610 Points | Tied for 1027th

Correcting you: Smolka is a very skilled fighter, with bad striking and no distance management, but with some of the best scrambles in the whole sport, his grappling is legit. The worst male fighter on the ufc roster, is a guy named Guido Cannetti. You can argue all you want with that other guy and try to be condescending towards him or his statements, but you're just reaching by saying Louis Smolka when he's a legit fighter and very dangerous in the ufc (even if he's inconsistent)

+, Vince Morales is in a great time of his career and his skillset is certainly underrated. He lost to his worst matchup ever against a bigger guy in Chris Gutierrez at 145, and he lost to a monster like Song Yadong in China in a fight he took on short notice

Your prediction was great, but the whole reasoning behind it is plain wrong and made you come off ignorant. Hope you don't take it personal, bro :)

"Rankings and records ain't nothing but numbers used as a marketing tool, they don't reflect the true level of abilities "

Fremen

Member Since: 2020.10.06
Predictions: 1,368 | 64.5%
Forum Posts: 3,579
Post Score: 218

12.11.2021 | 3:18 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 2 Perfect, 550 Points | Tied for 1777th

Tapology lives in a simple religion. We believe mentioning downvotes in a post deserves to be downvoted. 100 hundred perchent approve

* Edited at 12.11.2021, 3:18 PM ET *

"****."

flying_frontkick

Location: Canada
Member Since: 2011.08.14
Predictions: 9,727 | 62.4%
Forum Posts: 5,779
Post Score: 273

12.11.2021 | 3:25 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 540 Points | Tied for 1936th

Let's ******* go look at this main event I hope it an all at war an assault on our senses the blood the vision of beauty in violence

"For no particular reason beat up everyone"

Joshjeffords

Location: Alaska, USA
Member Since: 2020.02.08
Predictions: 4,263 | 64.3%
Forum Posts: 6,265
Post Score: 136

12.11.2021 | 3:25 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 2 Perfect, 505 Points | Tied for 2332nd

This card is a bettors wet dream I wish all you with money on the line good luck!

"“I took no damage,” Hill said. “Most of the fall was me falling down"

foppa420

Member Since: 2021.05.08
Predictions: 2,045 | 64.9%
Forum Posts: 2,968
Post Score: 137

12.11.2021 | 3:27 PM ET

Cachoeira KO/TKO on DK +650

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 560 Points | Tied for 1650th

Tieoken

Member Since: 2015.07.05
Predictions: 1,977 | 59.0%
Forum Posts: 3,620
Post Score: 313

12.11.2021 | 3:34 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 415 Points | Tied for 3335th

@LA, you know what denial is? I called it, provided solid logic throughout and was right. And Smolka pickers were wrong. The only impressive thing about Smolka is the people who have beat him. You can ignore my analysis, but fighting isn’t about records it’s about skills. The “styles make fights” trope is more beaten into the ground than a carney’s tent pole but it’s true. Most fans don’t have the eye to recognize what goes into fights, hence why Dom Cruz, Hardy, and Luke have so few subs and tailers. Trust me, there’s a world to fighting that you don’t know about and I knew without a doubt that Morales was favored to win that fight 85% of the time.

"I’m here to snatch necks and cash checks" - Darrick Minner

Tieoken

Member Since: 2015.07.05
Predictions: 1,977 | 59.0%
Forum Posts: 3,620
Post Score: 313

12.11.2021 | 3:37 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 415 Points | Tied for 3335th

I don’t know, reading that it makes me sound like I think I’m a great picker. I’m not trying to say I’m awesome at picking fights, I’m trying to say that sometimes there are things that are obvious in the extrinsic data that people with sufficient first-hand experience can see. I’m ass at stats, and metrics, and don’t do a lot of tape study most of the time. I wouldn’t recommend tailing me.

But calling the fat L Smolka was going to take had nothing to do with luck.

* Edited at 12.11.2021, 3:37 PM ET *

"I’m here to snatch necks and cash checks" - Darrick Minner

vemblazed

Location: On the ocean
Member Since: 2020.12.12
Predictions: 694 | 60.8%
Forum Posts: 10
Post Score: 190

12.11.2021 | 3:42 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 5 Perfect, 680 Points | Tied for 417th

* Edited at 12.11.2021, 3:42 PM ET *

"I grab necks...of wine bottles"

AyyLmaonnaise

Location: Nunya
Member Since: 2021.06.22
Predictions: 15,961 | 67.4%
Forum Posts: 32,076
Post Score: 88

12.11.2021 | 3:46 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 635 Points | Tied for 757th

Yeah that was a really good call by you. I was honestly pretty confident in smolka getting it done

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

DamienHandel420

Location: Yah mom house
Member Since: 2018.09.01
Predictions: 5,766 | 66.8%
Forum Posts: 7,546
Post Score: 262

12.11.2021 | 3:49 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 5 Perfect, 680 Points | Tied for 417th

Honestly no one good at picking fight, it’s pretty much a coin flip, when the best people picking fights at a 60% clip, I think that why reasoning is what important, MMA anything can happen and it’s random, half the time you have the right pick and is wrong anyway

* Edited at 12.11.2021, 3:52 PM ET *

"Quack quack quack"

Tieoken

Member Since: 2015.07.05
Predictions: 1,977 | 59.0%
Forum Posts: 3,620
Post Score: 313

12.11.2021 | 3:53 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 415 Points | Tied for 3335th

^^ 10/10 Duck. Pretty much exactly correct.

I’ll be honest the Curtis and Hill call was a lot more impressive because I considered those close fights.

"I’m here to snatch necks and cash checks" - Darrick Minner

: Baldric Eggling

12.11.2021 | 3:55 PM ET

Predictions: 12 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 785 Points | Tied for 55th

I mean, not really. If you pick the favourite every card you average out to about 68% in MMA. I'm pretty sure the reason oddsbot is past 70% is because it picks Boxing which is mostly just gimme picks.

AyyLmaonnaise

Location: Nunya
Member Since: 2021.06.22
Predictions: 15,961 | 67.4%
Forum Posts: 32,076
Post Score: 88

12.11.2021 | 3:55 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 635 Points | Tied for 757th

I was very happy to see those picks pay off lol

* Edited at 12.11.2021, 3:56 PM ET *

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

Tieoken

Member Since: 2015.07.05
Predictions: 1,977 | 59.0%
Forum Posts: 3,620
Post Score: 313

12.11.2021 | 3:57 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 415 Points | Tied for 3335th

In the UFC it’s at 68%? That’s pretty impressive. But still if you normalize that to bedding odds I bet Oddsbot would be negative if they bet 1 dollar on each fight.

"I’m here to snatch necks and cash checks" - Darrick Minner

: Baldric Eggling

12.11.2021 | 4:00 PM ET

Predictions: 12 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 785 Points | Tied for 55th

Yeah. I remember before Boxing was added to the site it hovered around from between 67. something percent to 69%. Don't remember it cracking 70%. That was across all MMA for which it could scour lines, not just UFC.

It shouldn't be surprising really. It picks the odds on favourites 100% of the time. The Bookies know what they're doing. If they didn't, there wouldn't be Bookies. As I've said before, if it was easy to beat the market there would be no market.

* Edited at 12.11.2021, 4:01 PM ET *

Erison

Member Since: 2020.05.24
Predictions: 1,678 | 65.4%
Forum Posts: 4,896
Post Score: 227

12.11.2021 | 4:00 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 495 Points | Tied for 2509th

There's definitely weirdos downvoting comments like "Excited for the fight!" because they're mad they got into an argument or something. But it's also a built-in agree/disagree metric. If you post a dog**** prediction breakdown, I'm not mad if I vote it down. It's just bad and you need to know it so you can appropriately feel bad.

FireFist45

Member Since: 2016.04.09
Predictions: 5,870 | 58.9%
Forum Posts: 1,137
Post Score: 163

12.11.2021 | 4:03 PM ET

Tell us how you really feel...

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 580 Points | Tied for 1374th

LOL !! @Erison - I want to your favorite picks for this card.

Mr Jinx

twodragunns

Location: B.C. Canada
Member Since: 2012.08.19
Predictions: 31,444 | 64.3%
Forum Posts: 335
Post Score: 219

12.11.2021 | 4:04 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 14 Winners, 2 Perfect, 380 Points | Tied for 3604th

I'm surprised so many are picking Chucky Olives to sub Dustin tonight. I see this fight being primarily a stand up affair with Dustin sealing the deal by rd 3 and winning the undisputed belt by TKO. Really looking forward to this card tonight ..... enjoy the fights all.

* Edited at 12.11.2021, 4:06 PM ET *

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PFL MENA 1		05.10.2024, 11:00 AM ET

#	Member	Picks	Points
1	k_flip	12 of 14	955
2	LeBron_James23	12 of 14	940
3	MMAPredG	13 of 14	920
4	TheDragon4201	13 of 14	895
5	theHITMAN	11 of 14	890
6	putaforkinya	12 of 14	880
7	Tobias funke	13 of 14	875
8	jessie	11 of 14	870
8	Taybazza04	11 of 14	870
10	Sigu	12 of 14	860
11	tmmaik	11 of 14	855
11	RobertK08	11 of 14	855
11	foley4ever87	11 of 14	855
14	BBigelow	12 of 14	850
15	galen019	11 of 14	845
15	daxa	11 of 14	845
17	Jackonfire	12 of 14	840
18	420ocklan	11 of 14	840
19	Unspher3d	12 of 14	835
19	congo_foxtrot	12 of 14	835
21	AliceInDagestan	11 of 14	835
21	Giblert	11 of 14	835
23	Leevan3	12 of 14	830
23	waynedale44	12 of 14	830
25	Ty Hall	11 of 14	830
25	maninthebox	11 of 14	830
27	_miles_christopher	12 of 14	825
27	AJBO	12 of 14	825
29	NINERS76	12 of 14	820
29	Louee	12 of 14	820
31	ketna	11 of 14	820
31	lordbrutus	11 of 14	820
31	Miguel Ramirez	11 of 14	820
31	Sporty assassin	11 of 14	820
31	Johnrob79	11 of 14	820
31	Zigis007	11 of 14	820
31	CallMeSavageCMS	11 of 14	820
38	leedosis	10 of 14	820
39	SlipperyWhenDry	10 of 14	815
39	DarceDarceRevolution	10 of 14	815
39	donthurteachother	10 of 14	815
39	rfrederick	10 of 14	815
39	ShankMasterFlex	10 of 14	815
44	jonnyboy6969	11 of 14	805
44	dy1789	11 of 14	805
44	TeamKilla76	11 of 14	805
44	nic_the_greek	11 of 14	805
48	Sparky401	10 of 14	805
49	Lofford_UFC	11 of 14	800
49	shedsomeblood	11 of 14	800

Top Featherweights - 145 lbs. \| edit
Ilia "El Matador" Topuria
Movsar Evloev
Yair "El Pantera" Rodriguez
Arnold "Almighty" Allen
Brian "T-City" Ortega
Josh "CC0" Emmett
Alexander "The Great" Volkanovski
Giga "Ninja" Chikadze

Topic: UFC 269

UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier

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Prediction Comments

@Tieoken No

Cachoeira KO/TKO on DK +650

Tell us how you really feel...

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