Topic: UFC 130

UFC 130 Event Page

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thiagosilva9794
thiagosilva9794
  • Location: Ireland.
  • Member Since: 2010.11.25
  • Predictions:  5,113  |  60.4%
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05.28.2011 | 8:30 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 375 Points   |   Tied for 248th

Sorry Gregory I was bored so I started one hope I done it right :/

"I really feel like I'm the most dangerous guy out there" BJ Penn........... UFC on Fox 2 event winner :)

UFC 130
  • Saturday 05.28.2011 at 09:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: Spike TV
  • Name: UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
  • Also Known As: UFC 130: Three for All
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Zuffa, LLC
  • Venue: MGM Grand Garden Arena
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Mike Goldberg, Joe Rogan
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $2,577,250
  • Attendance: 12,753 (Paid: 7,470)
  • PPV Buys / Buyrate: 325,000 | TV Ratings: 1.3M (Spike Prelims)
  • MMA Bouts: 10
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Quinton Jackson   defeats   Matt Hamill   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Frank Mir   defeats   Roy Nelson   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Travis Browne   defeats   Stefan Struve   via KO/TKO, Punches   4:11 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Rick Story   defeats   Thiago Alves   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Brian Stann   defeats   Jorge Santiago   via KO/TKO, Punches   4:29 Round 2 of 3, 9:29 Total Bout Page
Demetrious Johnson   defeats   Miguel Torres   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Tim Boetsch   defeats   Kendall Grove   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Gleison Tibau   defeats   Rafaello Oliveira   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   3:28 Round 2 of 3, 8:28 Total Bout Page
Michael McDonald   defeats   Chris Cariaso   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Renan Barão   defeats   Cole Escovedo   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses

thiagosilva9794
thiagosilva9794
  • Location: Ireland.
  • Member Since: 2010.11.25
  • Predictions:  5,113  |  60.4%
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05.28.2011 | 8:38 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 375 Points   |   Tied for 248th

Cool I think I did it right.... So what you guys think of the weigh ins..? Rampage and Hamill and Alves and Story stare downs were intense... Was pretty good weigh in.. I am pumped!!

"I really feel like I'm the most dangerous guy out there" BJ Penn........... UFC on Fox 2 event winner :)

UFCMASTERCECIL
UFCMASTERCECIL
  • Member Since: 2011.05.16
  • Predictions:  52  |  40.4%
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05.28.2011 | 8:52 AM ET

Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 250 Points   |   Tied for 600th

shhtory thiago here are my picks ha the **** like 
thiagosilva9794
thiagosilva9794
  • Location: Ireland.
  • Member Since: 2010.11.25
  • Predictions:  5,113  |  60.4%
  • Forum Posts:  11,315
  • Post Score: 142

05.28.2011 | 8:54 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 375 Points   |   Tied for 248th

Haha good man I just wanted to see your picks!

"I really feel like I'm the most dangerous guy out there" BJ Penn........... UFC on Fox 2 event winner :)

SoccerKick
SoccerKick
  • Location: Colorado
  • Member Since: 2011.02.09
  • Predictions:  32,055  |  61.8%
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05.28.2011 | 9:11 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 2 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 63rd

@Thiago...our picks are pretty close only fight we have a different winner is Struve/Browne...a few of the methods are different though

"I'm too old to be run by the fears of dumb people "

giosanti
giosanti
  • Location: Derbyshire, England
  • Member Since: 2011.03.17
  • Predictions:  1,464  |  66.1%
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  • Post Score: 131

05.28.2011 | 9:12 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 5 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 13th with 9 others

I haven't seen the weigh-ins yet.

I am liking this card. Some good style matchups. Rampage/Hamill and Alves/Story are similar, as are Struve/Browne and Grove/Boetsch.

I like the forum feature that shows where u place and also how many people have participated. I wonder how many more than 818 there will be when it gets closer to the event. I recall Gregory saying there were 1400 people that took part in UFC 129. Or it may have been the event before that... I don't remember. You wouldn't expect 130 to get as much activity as 129. Gregory is it possible to display that number on each event page? I want to see how many people made picks for other events, like UFC 128.

"I'm what counts out here. You only exist out here because of me."

giosanti
giosanti
  • Location: Derbyshire, England
  • Member Since: 2011.03.17
  • Predictions:  1,464  |  66.1%
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05.28.2011 | 9:22 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 5 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 13th with 9 others



I have to use the html editor so hopefully the above image works. Not picked any submissions. I'd expect one of Struve, Grove, or Barao to win via sub, but individually I think each fight is more likely to finish the way I've predicted. Alves/Story is hardest fight to call. I can see Story grinding out a tough decision. That said, I don't expect I'll make any changes to my picks.

"I'm what counts out here. You only exist out here because of me."

thiagosilva9794
thiagosilva9794
  • Location: Ireland.
  • Member Since: 2010.11.25
  • Predictions:  5,113  |  60.4%
  • Forum Posts:  11,315
  • Post Score: 142

05.28.2011 | 9:32 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 375 Points   |   Tied for 248th

@Soccerkick.. Well then lets hope we own this event together!... And Giosanti .. You dont have to show us that image we can just press view its as easy ... And it says 821 people have made picks for this event?

"I really feel like I'm the most dangerous guy out there" BJ Penn........... UFC on Fox 2 event winner :)

thiagosilva9794
thiagosilva9794
  • Location: Ireland.
  • Member Since: 2010.11.25
  • Predictions:  5,113  |  60.4%
  • Forum Posts:  11,315
  • Post Score: 142

05.28.2011 | 9:33 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 375 Points   |   Tied for 248th

@Soccerkick.. 5 of our picks are identical :O ... Nice lets hope we both do well I wana keep that % above 60%.

"I really feel like I'm the most dangerous guy out there" BJ Penn........... UFC on Fox 2 event winner :)

Kalibo
Kalibo
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05.28.2011 | 9:35 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 10 Winners, 2 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 200th

I picked some weird ones on this... went w/ my gut/heart instead of brain.  I picked Mir, Struve, Santiago... Idk.. I'm either going to look like a genius or an idiot.

"All men can see these tactics whereby I conquer, but what none can see is the strategy out of which victory is evolved" – Sun Tzu, "The Art of War"

giosanti
giosanti
  • Location: Derbyshire, England
  • Member Since: 2011.03.17
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05.28.2011 | 9:39 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 5 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 13th with 9 others

@thiago, I never even noticed that. The pic still has some use though. It's small and you don't have to click a link to see it.

"I'm what counts out here. You only exist out here because of me."

thiagosilva9794
thiagosilva9794
  • Location: Ireland.
  • Member Since: 2010.11.25
  • Predictions:  5,113  |  60.4%
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  • Post Score: 142

05.28.2011 | 9:42 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 375 Points   |   Tied for 248th

Yeh true just to glance I suppose... @Kalibo .. Its not like Mir or Struve are real underdogs or anything so you wont look like an idiot I picked them too.

"I really feel like I'm the most dangerous guy out there" BJ Penn........... UFC on Fox 2 event winner :)

giosanti
giosanti
  • Location: Derbyshire, England
  • Member Since: 2011.03.17
  • Predictions:  1,464  |  66.1%
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  • Post Score: 131

05.28.2011 | 9:49 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 5 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 13th with 9 others

It's weird that the most likely winners are in the lowest fights on the card... Tibau, McDonald and Barao. You don't see that very often. Almost all other fights are pretty split. Rampage and Alves are strong favorites, but there's plenty who think Hamill or Story could win via wrestling.

"I'm what counts out here. You only exist out here because of me."

thiagosilva9794
thiagosilva9794
  • Location: Ireland.
  • Member Since: 2010.11.25
  • Predictions:  5,113  |  60.4%
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  • Post Score: 142

05.28.2011 | 9:55 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 375 Points   |   Tied for 248th

I dont know if id call Alves a strong Favourite... Although I think hel win.. I had decision but I changed it to a late tko because he was on countdown show saying NO WAY this is going to decision and i tended to believe him for some reason....

"I really feel like I'm the most dangerous guy out there" BJ Penn........... UFC on Fox 2 event winner :)

giosanti
giosanti
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05.28.2011 | 10:03 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 5 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 13th with 9 others

Alves has 84% on Tapology. Bloody Elbow staff picks surprisingly 8-0 in favor of Alves. But yeah, the odds are only about 65% in favor of Alves. He's comfortably favorite, but not massively.

"I'm what counts out here. You only exist out here because of me."

thiagosilva9794
thiagosilva9794
  • Location: Ireland.
  • Member Since: 2010.11.25
  • Predictions:  5,113  |  60.4%
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05.28.2011 | 10:06 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 375 Points   |   Tied for 248th

Oh sorry man you are right I thought it was closer than that my bad...!

"I really feel like I'm the most dangerous guy out there" BJ Penn........... UFC on Fox 2 event winner :)

skeet2b
skeet2b
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05.28.2011 | 10:24 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 1 Perfect, 325 Points   |   Tied for 355th

i dont know i have Mir winning the fight by KO i really dont see him losing to nelson at all

"A true champion, face to face with his darkest hour, will do whatever it takes to rise above. A man fights, and fights, and then fights some more. Because surrender is death, and death is for *******"

Kalibo
Kalibo
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05.28.2011 | 10:35 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 10 Winners, 2 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 200th

I picked Mir, but I can see Nelson KO'ing him before Mir KO's Nelson. Who knows. I think its a toss up.

"All men can see these tactics whereby I conquer, but what none can see is the strategy out of which victory is evolved" – Sun Tzu, "The Art of War"

giosanti
giosanti
  • Location: Derbyshire, England
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05.28.2011 | 10:56 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 10 Winners, 5 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 13th with 9 others

Here's some numbers for the card. Numbers in brackets are, in order, Odds%, Tapology%, and Bloody Elbow picks. They refer to the fighter to the left. I used BE picks because that's the site I visit. I dunno if there are other good sites that have picks up.

Quinton Jackson (71%, 82%, 7-1) Matt Hamill
Frank Mir (55%, 48%, 6-2) Roy Nelson
Travis Browne (56%, 30%, 3-5) Stefan Struve
Thiago Alves (65%, 83%, 8-0) Rick Story
Brian Stann (55%, 72%, 5-3) Jorge Santiago
Miguel Torres (50%, 71%, 6-2) Demetrious Johnson
Kendall Grove (58%, 60%, 4-4) Tim Boetsch
Gleison Tibau (73%, 93%, 8-0) Rafaello Oliveira
Michael McDonald (74%, 88%, 8-0) Chris Cariaso
Renan Barao (75%, 74%, 4-4) Cole Escovedo

The most surprising this is that Travis Browne is slight favorite with bookmakers, but Stefan Struve is heavily favored on Tapology, and slightly favored at BE. I wonder why this is. Is it because Struve is a bigger name, or maybe because he's a fan favorite?

Like I said I'm very surprised all 8 staff members at BE picked Alves over Story. Also, Renan Barao is more favored by bookmakers than he is by Tapology and BE. BE's 4-4 is surprising here.

"I'm what counts out here. You only exist out here because of me."

thiagosilva9794
thiagosilva9794
  • Location: Ireland.
  • Member Since: 2010.11.25
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05.28.2011 | 11:18 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 375 Points   |   Tied for 248th

Wow theres a big contrast between sites... Cool.

"I really feel like I'm the most dangerous guy out there" BJ Penn........... UFC on Fox 2 event winner :)

Gregory
Gregory
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05.28.2011 | 11:55 AM ET

Predictions: 5 of 10 Winners, 2 Perfect, 325 Points   |   Tied for 355th

Nice job pulling together the stats, giosanti!

"I live, I die, I live again."


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