It's weird that Blaydes doesn't wrestle anymore when that was his best pedigree, I guess when he was booed after the Volkov win really played on his mental
Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 5 Perfect, 565 Points
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Tied for 4018th
O'Malley vs. Vera II Sean O'Malley, DEC OMalley will use his drastically superior footwork and pick Chito apart. I don't really have concerns about OMalley in the championship rounds because Chito is such a slow starter. Chito needs a finish if he wants the belt. The judges aren't taking the belt off the golden goose.
Poirier vs. Saint-Denis Benoit Saint-Denis, SUB, R3 Making this pick feels almost sacrilegious but I can't back Poirier with some of the stuff that's been coming out of his mouth leading up to this fight. He seems ready to call it and I think BSD is just way too dangerous and durable. I hope Dustin doesn't retire if he loses here but I do think he's done contending at 155. This is another changing of the guard fight for me. I think BSD is probably going to have to walk through some fire but if he can get this fight to the ground at some point I think he's going to find a finish somehow. Poirier is definitely the better striker but I'm genuinely questioning whether he can put BSD early enough to pull this off. BSD durability and resolve is just next level but if there's one contender in the rankings that can truly test his toughness, it's the Diamond. For my money, this is the real main event.
Holland vs. Page Kevin Holland, DEC Kevin Holland is just a good as striker and better anywhere else this fight goes. MVP can win a boring point fight here but that's it. I think both guys have proven they're super durable throughout their careers so while a finish is possible, I think this one has a good chance of hitting the scorecards. I think this fight and the main event could be very similar. Not a ton of action and everyone will be holding their breath a lot waiting for something explosive to happen.
Burns vs. Maddalena Jack Della Maddalena, TKO, R2 Change of the guard fight for me. I think Gilberts path to victory is pretty much keeping JDM off his feet for the majority of this fight, which is certainly possible. On the feet, I think Gilbert is in massive trouble and is probably going to get knocked out.
Then what scares me about Almeida is we've yet to see him really strike in the UFC, I wonder what things will look like if/when Blaydes stuffs his takedowns
Predictions: 7 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 490 Points
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Tied for 5401st
O'Malley vs. Vera II Marlon Vera, DEC Vera survives early onslaught and takes O’Malley to the deep end
Poirier vs. Saint-Denis Benoit Saint-Denis, SUB, R3 Dustin will find the target but the marauding BSD eventually gets to his neck
Holland vs. Page Michael Page, DEC Holland catches a knee trying to force the takedown
Burns vs. Maddalena Jack Della Maddalena, TKO, R1 JDM sleeps Burns with an uppercut
Yan vs. Song Petr Yan, DEC Yan gets back in the conversation with a narrow decision, possibly split
Blaydes vs. Almeida Jailton Almeida, SUB, R2 Levels
Cerminara vs. Barber Maycee Barber, DEC Not a fan of “The Future” but Kaitlyn may be done
Gamrot vs. dos Anjos Rafael dos Anjos, DEC Value pick here. Gamrot’s margins are too thin for a line this wide
Munhoz vs. Phillips Pedro Munhoz, DEC Kyler will gas late
Lins vs. Cutelaba Ion Cutelaba, TKO, R1 If it goes to the judges: Lins
Pereira vs. Oleksiejczuk Michel Pereira, DEC Coin flip. Betting on Pereira’s newfound fight IQ
Despaigne vs. Parisian Robelis Despaigne, TKO, R1 Feeding Parisian to the sugar water gods
Vergara vs. Almabaev Asu Almabaev, SUB, R1 Fading CJ Verga
Wood vs. Moroz II Joanne Wood, DEC Retirement fight fade. Woods Muay Thai may bring some success against the striking deficiencies of Moroz. But, JoJo’s willingness to clinch will lead to a takedown and sub in the 1st
Predictions: 10 of 14 Winners, 1 Perfect, 540 Points
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Tied for 4457th
O'Malley vs. Vera II Marlon Vera, TKO, R4 A man can dream. But unironically I think Vera will be able to shut him down if he has a good gameplan. He's way too static with his head so he might just lose a decision since he's too durable to get KOed
Poirier vs. Saint-Denis Dustin Poirier, DEC I was picking BSD up until today but something tells me Dustin
Holland vs. Page Michael Page, TKO, R1 Emoting over his grave. If MVP wins then welterweight gets to move along
Burns vs. Maddalena Gilbert Burns, DEC Never seen JDM fight so I'm probably overlooking him. I'll just pick the vet since it seems to be the year of the vet.
Yan vs. Song Petr Yan, TKO, R2 Song Yadong sounds like a lesbian
Blaydes vs. Almeida Curtis Blaydes, DEC Whoever is picking Almedia by KO is literally ********
Cerminara vs. Barber Katlyn Cerminara, DEC I literally don't care about this fight. I'm not picking anyone with the nickname "The Future"
Gamrot vs. dos Anjos Mateusz Gamrot, DEC Polish power
Munhoz vs. Phillips Kyler Phillips, SUB, R3 Matrix Armbar
Lins vs. Cutelaba Philipe Lins, TKO, R1 Hulk getting KOed
Pereira vs. Oleksiejczuk Michel Pereira, DEC Demolidor actually made weight this time
Despaigne vs. Parisian Robelis Despaigne, TKO, R2 I don't think many people wind up getting RD1 KOs on their debut, so I'm gonna say 2nd round KO. Also that photo goes hard as hell
Vergara vs. Almabaev Asu Almabaev, TKO, R1 We're going with the wild KO
Wood vs. Moroz II Maryna Moroz, DEC Hmmmmm Aged 38 vs Aged 32... I wonder who wins...
Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 555 Points
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Tied for 4163rd
@OddSmokerSteveI follow ur picks and week after week u pick the three biggest favorites and one close pick. This week u have Assu, Gamrot, O’Malley and Kevin holland. It’s to the point where I can pick ur fights without even reading ur page.
Predictions: 10 of 14 Winners, 8 Perfect, 765 Points
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Tied for 478th
Ok look, I never ask you people for anything, I try to be nice and entertaining while I'm here. But why the fug am I picking Jack Della Maddalena over the savage animal of a fighter that is Gilbert Burns. Is age all we got here? I'm gonna switch my pick to Gilly B by Sub Round 2.
Please tell me why that isn't the most likely outcome.
I also have Gilbert but if JDM can keep this fight standing for the majority of the rounds he will pick Burns apart. His boxing is elite and although Burns has power and has had success striking in past fights this is a different caliber of sniper. Burns is also 37 and his durability will only get worse. I ended up taking Burns because I do believe he is more complete and will find enough takedowns but if JDM’s work with Craig Jones pays off and he can either stuff takedowns or survive on the ground he has a good chance of taking this one. Gilbert also tends to just control from top a lot instead of attacking submissions and that will give JDM the opportunity to work to his feet or survive until the next round where they’ll start standing at his advantage.
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GreenTeaEnthusiast
03.09.2024 | 12:24 PM ET
Predictions: 12 of 14 Winners, 5 Perfect, 780 Points
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Tied for 326th
@DaWarBossBurns is allergic to straight punches and tends to crumble very quickly against boxers with solid combinations. JDM is supreme at mixing up body-head combos and pressuring. He won't jump a guillotine on Burns regardless of what the Hafez fight would tell you. He's going to pressure Burns and break him with 1-2s. I'm about 85% sure.
Predictions: 7 of 14 Winners, 6 Perfect, 540 Points
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Tied for 4618th
Despaigne vs. Parisian Robelis Despaigne, TKO, R1 I mean, there is a chance Robelis has no
Vergara vs. Almabaev Asu Almabaev, DEC Line is crazy wide but think Asu should get it done, could see a repeat of the Johnson fight a couple weeks ago though.
Wood vs. Moroz II Maryna Moroz, SUB, R1 Jojo's last fight, don't think shes going to be all there, think the trend for this card is going to be the young guns killing the old guard, and Moroz already ran through Jojo who struggles when you don't respect her
Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 5 Perfect, 615 Points
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Tied for 2870th
O'Malley vs. Vera II Marlon Vera, TKO, R4 D'Shawn early or Vera late. Don't count out the dog in Vera.
Poirier vs. Saint-Denis Benoit Saint-Denis, TKO, R2 Benoit by bear mauling maybe club and sub. Poirer coming off KO loss.
Holland vs. Page Michael Page, DEC Page probably out points Holland. Holland has huge grappling advantage but won't use it. Travis Leuter black belt
Burns vs. Maddalena Jack Della Maddalena, TKO, R2 Doesn't go the distance. Burns by sub or JDM KO when Burns closes distance.*Age formula Applies* Live Bet opportunity if burns wrestles well.
Yan vs. Song Yadong Song, TKO, R2 Yan has a Significant size advantage from faceoffs.
Blaydes vs. Almeida Jailton Almeida, SUB, R2 Almeida by RNC
Cerminara vs. Barber Maycee Barber, DEC Cerminara been out for 18 months got married. Barber has to close the lengthy distance. Age gap formula applies.
Gamrot vs. dos Anjos Mateusz Gamrot, DEC Gamrot wins by grapple-****.
Munhoz vs. Phillips Pedro Munhoz, DEC 7+ years younger ='s 74%win rate Munhoz high level BJJ wins late. Phillips wins early. Live bet opportunity.
Lins vs. Cutelaba Philipe Lins, TKO, R2 High volatility fight. Dog or pass.
Despaigne vs. Parisian Robelis Despaigne, TKO, R1 Despaigne Rd 1 or Fight doesn't go distance
Wood vs. Moroz II Maryna Moroz, DEC Woods retirement fight. Previously best wood by submission.
Predictions: 6 of 14 Winners, 2 Perfect, 375 Points
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Tied for 6468th
Despaigne vs. Parisian Robelis Despaigne, TKO, R1 How did the matchmakers even allow this to happen You’re telling me you got a massive – and I mean MASSIVE – 6’7” BLACK (yeah, I said it) man that goes by ‘Big Boy’ & is built like an absolute TANK that his nickname is too small for him; is Cuban but has a name that originates from French; is fighting a white man who probably gave his Cuban ancestors their French names Despaigne uses now 😂😂 This a reformation fight for the ages, Despaigne about to throw punches with Cuba & all his ancestors in each & every punch against Parisians
Predictions: 10 of 14 Winners, 8 Perfect, 765 Points
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Tied for 478th
@UncleSocrates@GreenTeaEnthusiastOk good information, thank you both. I also forgot about how slippy JDM is. I just need to reassess. This card is so challenging.
Predictions: 5 of 10 Winners, 3 Perfect, 325 Points
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Tied for 6690th
O'Malley vs. Vera II Sean O'Malley, DEC. Honestly take a coin and flip it, im leaning at Sean but not confidently, i think vera will make it look tougher than we want to realise. Very close fight, personally i would fade this fight but if i had to pick the winner, sean by decision by a hair strand.
Poirier vs. Saint-Denis BSD, Sub or KO. Listen, i love DP hes one of my favourite fighters and i think hes a BMF, Gaeche catching him with a kick should not take any credit from DP and what he has achieved. Stylisticly BSD just looks way better, DP has no answer for his td/ground game threat, i'm hoping this is a war, but i just can't see it. I think BSD plays this on the ground.
Holland vs. Page Kevin Holland, DEC. Not sure the hype behind MVP he is mediocre at best, holland should outclass him this fight.
Burns vs. Maddalena Burns, submission. This has left a sour taste in my mouth, burns is a heavy underdog, excuse me? this guy has faced THE best of the BEST and made it a war every single time, obviously Belal being the only exception but everyone has their off days, he didn't look like himself there and fought with injury, and he's a hard fade because of that?, he is super well rounded and good exactly everywhere, he had a superb fight against khamzat that most in this division would get toyed around with - GB is not done and is not leaving anytime soon, he will make a statement this fight. We have one trick pony, some might even say dark hose JDM as a heavy favourite here? No thanks, hard fade. Whilst i understand JDM can catch Burnes, i still believe in his ability to weathering what JDM throws on the feet.
Yan vs. Song Petr Yan, ko/points - Really mindblown with the odds leaning towards a 50/50 here, unbelieveable almost. Song is good, but yan is just way better everywhere. He looked fantastic aganst sean and in my books got robbed. Hes on 4 losses his past 5 fights, yes sure but that's vs prime ALJO and prime Mehrab, reality is no one is beating either at their prime, not really counting omaley because that's not a convincing win for him against yan. Either way Levels and yan should take htis one home relatively easy.
Blaydes vs. Almeida Almeida, decision. 70/30 fight imo, hypetrain looked terrible against Lewis but that doesn't change the fact that his weight management and control time is ELITE, way better than Blaydes, whenever hes on top he makes fighters look like fishes outside of water. If Almeida can force takedowns and play this on the ground he should take this one with ease, but we've yet to see his striking, eitherway him coming heavier could potentially favour him here, its a 3 round fight and i see blaydes struggling unless he finds a miracle KO
Cerminara vs. Barber Katlyn Cerminara, DEC. Once again, very wierd lines on this shouldn't be that wide, favouring Katlyn in this matchup and should take a fairly easy decision win, obviously WMMA so take it with a grain of salt but odds here doesnt make sense to me.
Gamrot vs. dos Anjos Gamrot, submission or points - Not sure the reason behind setting this fight up, prime rda might have a slight chance but gamrot will take this one with ease no doubt in my mind.
Munhoz vs. Phillips Munhoz, decision. Unbelieve the lines on this. Munhoz has faced much tougher opponents - Kyle is good but this is a 50 50 fight at best.
Pereira vs. Oleksiejczuk Pereira, Decision - more decorated and well rounded fighter. Oleks went without a proper camp heading into this fight, whilst he did a superb job against his last fight against Chidi, this one is a hard fade, styles make fights and Pereira is a nightmare for Oleks stylisticly
Vergara vs. Almabaev Almabaev, Sub or points - Vergara is not a serious fighter and Uncle dana wants him out, giving Almabaev what we call a "freebie" this is the last we'll see from vergara
Wood vs. Moroz II Joanne Wood, DEC Wood - Levels, she will make it look easy too.
