Topic: UFC Fight Night
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
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02.07.2022 | 10:57 PM ET
Responses Page 37
06.03.2022 | 10:17 AM ET
Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 575 Points | Tied for 2414th
"WMMA = 50/50 no matter the odds"
06.03.2022 | 10:33 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 505 Points | Tied for 2829th
Alexander Volkov, DEC
feel like volk is gonna establish range early. then control the fight all the way to a decision. Rozenstruik does have a punchers chance, but he is never aggressive enough or first to strike.
Ige vs. Evloev
Movsar Evloev, SUB, R2
Evloev is better in every way imo. feel like hes gonna maul ige with takedowns and control then submit him in the middle of round 2.
Trizano vs. Almeida
Mike Trizano, TKO, R2
Feel like trizano is gonna piece him up the entire fight, lucas's head movement is BAD despite how many wins he got in other promotions
Menifield vs. Mozharov
Alonzo Menifield, TKO, R3
should be a good active fight with alonzo winning via TKO if he can survive the early onslaught from askar in the first round.
Michailidis vs. Fakhretdinov
Rinat Fakhretdinov, TKO, R2
Michailidis seems to lose to anyone decent in the UFC and his head is a bit suspect, if Rinat can catch him good i think it should be a quick night for him.
06.03.2022 | 10:37 AM ET
I figured y'all have been watching film and doing y'alls studying
Definitely gonna bet conservative and light . Preciate the tips brotha !
06.03.2022 | 11:15 AM ET
Predictions: 7 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 450 Points | Tied for 3077th
"Jarno Errens, Damir Hadzovic"
06.03.2022 | 11:26 AM ET
Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points | Tied for 2932nd
"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"
06.03.2022 | 12:32 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 10 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 655 Points | Tied for 1776th
Alexander Volkov, SUB, R1
Ground game is the biggest difference in this matchup, Volkov has submitted much better grapplers.
Trizano vs. Almeida
Mike Trizano, DEC
Trizano has never faced anyone with more than two losses, what a badass
Gravely vs. Munoz Jr.
Johnny Munoz Jr., SUB, R3
You're nuts if you bet on this fight
Blanchfield vs. Aldrich
Erin Blanchfield, DEC
Aldrich ML is worth a small bet at these odds
"Throughout my career I've learned that "If you win you're the ****, if you lose it's bad." - Bruno "Blindadao" Silva"
06.03.2022 | 1:15 PM ET
Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 575 Points | Tied for 2414th
"WMMA = 50/50 no matter the odds"
weigh-in result
Erin Blanchfield: 124.5 lbs (56.5 kgs)
weigh-in result
JJ Aldrich: 125.0 lbs (56.7 kgs)
weigh-in result
Andreas Michailidis: 170.5 lbs (77.3 kgs)
weigh-in result
Rinat Fakhretdinov: 170.5 lbs (77.3 kgs)
weigh-in result
Jeff Molina: 125.5 lbs (56.9 kgs)
weigh-in result
Zhalgas Zhumagulov: 126.0 lbs (57.2 kgs)
weigh-in result
Tony Gravely: 135.5 lbs (61.5 kgs)
weigh-in result
Johnny Munoz Jr.: 135.0 lbs (61.2 kgs)
weigh-in result
Benoit Saint-Denis: 155.5 lbs (70.5 kgs)
weigh-in result
Niklas Stolze: 156.0 lbs (70.8 kgs)
weigh-in result
Damon Jackson: 145.5 lbs (66.0 kgs)
weigh-in result
Dan Argueta: 145.5 lbs (66.0 kgs)
weigh-in result
Joe Solecki: 155.5 lbs (70.5 kgs)
weigh-in result
Alex da Silva: 155.5 lbs (70.5 kgs)
weigh-in result
Felice Herrig: 115.0 lbs (52.2 kgs)
weigh-in result
Karolina Kowalkiewicz: 115.5 lbs (52.4 kgs)
weigh-in result
Alonzo Menifield: 205.0 lbs (93.0 kgs)
weigh-in result
Askar Mozharov: 204.5 lbs (92.8 kgs)
weigh-in result
Ode Osbourne: 126.0 lbs (57.2 kgs)
weigh-in result
Zarrukh Adashev: 125.5 lbs (56.9 kgs)
weigh-in result
Poliana Botelho: 125.5 lbs (56.9 kgs)
weigh-in result
Karine Silva: 125.0 lbs (56.7 kgs)
weigh-in result
Michael Trizano: 145.5 lbs (66.0 kgs)
weigh-in result
Lucas Almeida: 145.5 lbs (66.0 kgs)
weigh-in result
Dan Ige: 145.5 lbs (66.0 kgs)
weigh-in result
Movsar Evloev: 146.0 lbs (66.2 kgs)
weigh-in result
Alexander Volkov: 256.5 lbs (116.3 kgs)
weigh-in result
Jairzinho Rozenstruik: 259.0 lbs (117.5 kgs)
06.03.2022 | 2:14 PM ET
Predictions: 12 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 740 Points | Tied for 892nd
06.03.2022 | 2:22 PM ET
Predictions: 11 of 14 Winners, 5 Perfect, 715 Points | Tied for 1159th
06.03.2022 | 3:01 PM ET
Predictions: 11 of 14 Winners, 5 Perfect, 740 Points | Tied for 938th
* Edited at 06.03.2022, 3:03 PM ET *
"Sir, ARE you ready? Sir, ARE you ready? FIGHT!!!"
06.03.2022 | 3:03 PM ET
Fisty
Predictions: 11 of 14 Winners, 5 Perfect, 740 Points | Tied for 938th
"Sir, ARE you ready? Sir, ARE you ready? FIGHT!!!"
06.03.2022 | 3:09 PM ET
fight breakdowns part 1: prelims
Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points | Tied for 2932nd
Damon Jackson vs Dan Argueta
Jackson SUB RD 1
This one makes me sad because I really like dan as a prospect but this is quite the fight to take on short notice. I think he could get an upset as long as this remains on the feet but jackson may be too much, especially on 1.5 weeks notice. The weight discrepancy wont actually be that bad because argueta is a massive 135er, just fights there because his frame is small for 145. Jackson is gonna tower over him but the weight will be similar. Jackson has improved every aspect of his game tremendously since his first ufc tenure. His striking still isnt great, but its a lot better than it was before. Hes implemented more kicks now and has gotten better defensively to protect his not-so-great chin. The kicks are a little slow but they are effective (probably not against a higher quality fighter). In his most recent fight, he even had kirk hurt on the feet multiple times which i found impressive because i thought he was at a disadvantage on the feet in that fight. Where he excels is his ground game; he is like glue and will chain wrestle you and chain subs on the ground. Hes a serious finishing threat and watching the bektic fight was just crazy; bektic kept trying to get out of positions and jackson just kept switching his attack. With argueta’s main style being pressure wrestling, I dont see this ending well for him. Being the smaller guy, its going to be easy for him to get takedowns, but unfortunately, thats exactly where jackson wants to be and i have no doubts, being the taller guy, he will be able to reverse positions or get some sort of choke. In all honesty, I would probably be picking dan to get the upset if his last performance wasnt so lackluster. Leading up to his LFA title shot, dan ran through everybody in LFA. There was not a second where he wasnt dominating in fights and when he wasnt getting a first round finish, he was getting 10-8 rounds. His unlimited cardio and unrelenting pressure wrestling is what made me such a fan, but then came his title shot. Diego silva is actually pretty decent (for the regional scene) but dan fought like an idiot. He was the one getting taken down and controlled and wasnt shooting for takedowns, instead trying to strike on the feet and seemed to forget what head movement was. This made the fight way closer than it needed to be and he almost lost because the first three rounds were so close and he didnt implement his wrestling until the third round. I like a lot of what I see from dan, and i do think that title shot was a learning experience, but this is a very tough debut going from regional guys to a fringe top 15 145er on short notice. I think dan will have a good ufc tenure but unfortunately its not going to start off the way he would like (unless….).
Benoit-Saint Denis vs Niklas Stolze
Saint Denis SUB RD 1
This is a bit of an odd one. Two guys who are both in the ufc because of short notice opportunities and both are now going down a weight class. Watching tape of stolze made me realize hes actually a lot better than i thought, but I still think saint denis is a solid fighter (despite what that one sided beatdown would tell you otherwise). Stolze has a pretty well rounded skillset. I believe he had kickboxing experience prior to mma and his hands are actually pretty solid. Hes not very high volume but hes got solid, technical striking. He actually had emeev in some trouble when he hit him with a flying knee and landed some good shots throughout the fight. He also has a solid guard and is active off of his back, but its not his strong suit. For saint denis, you couldnt really have a worse debut lol. Saint denis really sufferred one of the worst beatings of all time back at ufc 267, but man did he show toughness. He was practically out on his feet but showed insane cardio and toughness as he somehow didnt suffer a single knockdown. I really do want to cut him some slack because his tenacity even managed to win him a round in the end (even if it was mostly due to zaleski punching himself out lol). I also want to cut him some slack because zaleski was a gigantic step up in competition and he fought him without a full camp as well. At his best, benoit isnt the best striker but he excels in grappling. Hes able to chain subs together and is pretty suppressive on the ground. Theres also the factor that 155 is Benoit’s natural weight class where Stolze has fought at both 170 & 155 (although 170 suits him better). Im not very confident in this pick but I think the tougher strength of schedule and grappling of saint denis will over power stolze.
Tony Gravely vs Johnny Munoz Jr.
Munoz SUB RD 2
My first underdog pick of the card. I am a huge fan of tony and i think overall hes the better fighter here, but I see he carelessness costing him on the ground at some point during this fight. Munoz is an interesting prospect because he hasnt caused all that much noise in the ufc, and his two performances havent been the most exciting, but hes very talented. His only loss came in his debut to nate maness (who also beat tony) in a very weird fight that many people thought he won. It was boring and mostly took place in the clinch but when there was action, johnny looked great. He isnt very high volume on the feet, but hes calculated with his strikes. He uses a lot of kicks and has some solid boxing (which hes definitely working on because hes been training at entram). Where he excels is on the mat. Hes not an incredible wrestler and the advantage definitely goes to tony for the wrestling, but in the bjj is where he excels. Munoz has a very high level bjj game and he transitions from submissions very nicely while still maintaining control, even if the opponent escapes the submission. What I also really like from him on the mat is hes always advancing position; he never just sits in the opponents guard (or on his back) for too long at a time and is always looking to work his craft on you. Tony has shown very good submission defense, but he is quite reckless on the ground. Hes been finished 5 times by sub and in pretty much every fight of his that i can find (even on the regional scene) he is constantly fighting off submission attempts one way or another. He can survive against low level guys or one trick ponies like saimon oliviera, but facing someone with the caliber of munoz is concerning for me. Now, all this talk makes it seem like tony is bad, but thats quite the opposite. Hes supremely skilled but just careless defensively. I suppose the same goes for on the feet too. He has a 47% striking defense and even though he has a great chin, it did cost him against maness. What Tony does great however, is pretty much everything else. Despite the majority of his fights going to decision, tony has started to find his power and has become a serious finisher. He hits pretty hard on the feet and when he takes you down, hes got great gnp. His best weapon is his wrestling. He was a former D1 wrestler and used to train with the VT team on a regular basis. He is a cardio machine and is akin to the likes of ronnie lawrence, ricky simon, or montel jackson in that he is able to spam takedowns over and over again without slowing down. Overall, I think pretty much every advantage goes to tony except the bjj but i really do think it will cost him here. Munoz is just too slick on the ground and tony is too careless to not get a sub at some point. It wouldnt shock me if tony wins the fight until he doesnt and gets caught in something.
Jeff Molina vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov
Molina KO RD 2
Heres another fight im very confused is so low on the card but whatever. I think this will be a very fun fight and im very curious to see how the first round is going to go because both guys are slow starters. Molina is a very interesting fighter because the potential is crazy, and he has been winning, but he is quite the slow starter. In his dwcs appearance, he was getting pretty sloppy against the quite poor jacob silva, but eventually found his way to victory. In the aoriqileng fight, he clearly lost the first round and honestly would have lost the second if he hadnt score the knockdowns. Finally, in his most recent fight, he got caught in a scramble against da silva (on the plus side, he showed great submission defense) and got the ko in the next round after da silva gassed himself out. On the positive side of things, when molina gets going, he realllllly heats up. He has great cardio and just insane volume to put it lightly; i mean this kid landed over 100 strikes in a round against aoriqileng! His power isnt anything crazy (imo) but his sheer volume and timing on punches is enough to hurt people. I find it crazy he has 5 subs on his record because he isnt a grappler at all (at least now). My one concern about him is the takedown defense, but he has grest awareness on the ground and a pretty solid get up game. I dont think this will be a problem because zhalgas doesnt really wrestle that much, but its there if he wants to use it. For Zhlagas, im very confused by him. You look at his record on paper and he looks insanely good; on the regional scene he picked up crazy wins against bagautinov (both brothers), tyson nam, and tagir ulanbekov. But, if you watch the fights, they were very suspect decisons that he really should have lost (FNG has a history of corrupt judging, see fedor vs maldonaldo for a perfect example). In the ufc, these suspect decisions have pretty much revealed themselves through his fights; he hasnt been able to prove that hes an upper caliber guy. Sure, he gives tough fights to tough guys like albazi and kape, but in the end hes usually falling short. Much like michalidis, zhalgas has a well rounded game but hes not dominant anywhere. He hits decently hard on the feet, and i especially like his body work, but he is very hittable. In his fights outside the ufc, the Artur bagutinov fight specifically, he was getting the **** beaten out of him until he managed to get the ko with a slick spinning backfist. He showed he was hittable against kape too (no real shame in that loss tho). Overall, im not sure hes going to be able to withstand the constant volume of molina, especially if these two make it a brawl, then I definitely cant see zhalgas surviving to a decision. He could pull off the upset, especially if he wrestles, but i think more likely than not, Molina will win this fight.
Rinat Fakhretdinov vs Andreas Michalidis
Fakhretdinov KO RD 3
Im not totally sure where Rinat’s ceiling is but I expect him to win this fight with relative ease. Andreas is the definition of a mixed martial artist. Hes got a well rounded game but doesn't excel anywhere. Hes got okay kickboxing skills on the feet, with some nice spinning kicks that he implements occasionally. He also has some wrestling (which we saw against pereira) and I believe hes a black belt in his own right. However, hes held back by his dog**** chin. Andreas has been ko'd in all 5 of his losses and hes facing a power puncher here in rinat. To top things off, Andreas is moving down to his second weight class in the ufc (205 —> 170) and i dont like that someone who already has a bad chin, is now cutting 15 more pounds. I also dont like Michalidis’s gas tank either. Ive seen him slow down before and again, the 15 extra pounds are not gonna help that. Plus, hes never once been to 170 before. For Rinat, I guess like what I see but the competition just isnt that great. Sure, he flatlined a former ufc vet in his last fight, but as fun as spicely is to watch, hes a very poor fighter in terms of skill. That being said, from the tape ive watched rinat hasnt really impressed me all that much. His striking isnt that great; as he spams a lot of basic combos, but hes aggressive and hits pretty hard which should be more than enough to get the job done here. He can be hittable at times so i do worry if andreas throws one of his spinning moves but overall rinat hasnt shown any issues with the chin. To the surprise of nobody, Rinat can wrestle too. Its not anything special, as he just holds the opponent down and does nothing with it (every fight ive seen he get stood up for inactivity) but at least its there and hes able to score points with it. His gas tank seems fine as well. He is very aggressive but he doesnt seem to slow down all that much. Ive noticed that andreas gets koed late in all of his losses because he slows down tremendously so i think thats whats gonna happen here.
Erin Blanchfield vs JJ Aldrich
Blanchfield DEC
It really pisses me off that this is the first fight of the card. I think its a boneheaded move by the ufc and also annoying because this fight is far better than the two womens fights on the main card by a mile, but they somehow think its better suited for the opener. I think blanchfield is a phenomenal talent and I get the line movement but its a little wide in my opinion. JJ is a very underrated 125er; besides the mazo loss (which was a robbery) she should technically be on a 5 fight winstreak and 8-2 overall in the ufc, which is pretty damn good for a +450 underdog. This success has came because she has finally grown into her frame for 125. Shes pretty big for the division and has been able to rely on her great tdd and striking to get her by. She has historically very good tdd and was able to fend off the dangerous ground game of gillian robertson in her last fight with relative ease, picking her apart on the feet. I think she will enact that same strategy, but thats a lot easier said than done. Blanchfield can probably bring the fight to her on the feet. Shes primarily a grappler but has some solid striking of her own. Shes very high volume and has good kicks and punches while also having great striking defense. However, where she excels is on the ground. She has a very high level bjj game and is a phenomenal wrestler. I think JJ will give resistance to her takedowns but its pretty much inevitable that blanchfield will get her down at some point and control the fight from there; I just dont see this fight playing out solely on the feet. Overall, I think this fight will be closer than the odds are indicating but I expect blanchfield to win.
"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"
06.03.2022 | 3:09 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 575 Points | Tied for 2414th
Alexander Volkov, DEC
Bigi won’t let his hands go. The heavyweight Tyron Woodley
"WMMA = 50/50 no matter the odds"
06.03.2022 | 3:10 PM ET
fight breakdowns part 2
Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points | Tied for 2932nd
Felice Herrig vs Karolina Kowalkewicz II
Herrig DEC
Just shoot me now. My god this fight is bad. I will say, their first meeting was surprisingly entertaining, but both girls are so far past their primes that i think its safe to say this rematch will not be meeting expectations. At her best, karolina was a very high volume muay thai striker who was comfortable in the clinch and at distance. She also had some slick grappling. However, after the first meeting with herrig, she ran into jessica andrade who effectively changed her career for the worst. Andrade violently ko’ed her and KK hasnt been the same since. I wanted to cut her some slack because her 4 fight L streak was against all very good competition, maybe she just wasnt the same fighter anymore. My perception completely changed when she fought penne. Even when her name was being announced she just looked uncomfortable in there. She didnt react to punches well, got outstruck, and then showed brain dead fight iq by taking the fight to the ground where she subsequently got finished, giving penne her first legit win since 2014; yikes. I also think penne is one of the worst females on the roster so seeing that happen was just so bad in my eyes. Now, herrig isnt much better, but at least her career falloff has been 2 losses since the KK fight for a total of 3 in a row. Thats pretty ugly but not nearly as bad as KKs. Herrig also has **** fight iq but also carries a very poor gas tank. I dont even know how her body is going to react to the weight cut with 2 years off and being 37 years old. What herrig does have is lots of strength and she is still very tough. Even in their first meeting, herrig would eat 5 shots just to get one back, and while thats a pretty ******* stupid strategy, it may pay off here as KK does not like getting punched in the head anymore. Even in the first fight she came very close to a 3rd round ko but her **** fight iq led her to clinch instead of going for it. Another interesting aspect is the wrestling. Herrig is a very inaccurate wrestler and struggled to get kk down in the first fight. KK also has historically bad tdd, BUT, on her current winstreak her tdd is 14% on 7 attempts. She got taken down at will by yan xiaonan (striker btw) and then penne also took her down with little effort. Herrigs tdd consists of bodylock trips that are quite ineffective but its possible she could get KK down as shes had a lot of trouble defending tds recently. I dont know who wins at all but i really cant side with the 5 fight L streak, no matter the level of competition.
Joe Solecki vs Alex Da Silva
Solecki SUB RD 1
I guess I can see how da silva wins this but im too hesitant to pull the trigger. He looked fantastic against brad riddell but faded heavily after the first round. Hes definitely the better striker of the two. Hes got a muay thai background and throws with some solid power. He is also a pretty solid grappler in his own right and had riddell in a lot of trouble with a guillotine and controlled him with his wrestling for most of the first, and was outstriking him on the feet. But then, he faded badly and almost got finished in the third round (technically should have been, as he called for a timeout for an “eyepoke” that was really a knuckle in the eye). Now, I wanna cut him some slack because riddell is a tough fight and the fight was also at a pretty ridiculous pace, but i can honestly see this fight going at a fast pace too. Maybe not on the feet, but joe solecki has a fantastic ground game. His bjj is really slick; I especially like his guillotine series where he wraps the arm around the neck from behind, and then drops down for the submission. Its very quick and super effective. Im also really impressed with his scrambles too. He can fight at a very fast pace on the ground and when da silva faces resistance to his grappling/striking, thats when his gas tank starts to get taxed. When he is controlling the pace, like in the vargas fight, he doesnt have problems but if someone is offering resistance to what hes doing (like riddell) then he begins to fade. On the feet, solecki has been improving his stirking but its still not great. He fights with a boxing style and actually throws with above average power, but you can tell hes not super comfortable when the fight is standing. I would probably pick da silva as a dog, but i cant see his gas tank holding up against someone who is going to be scrambling and has the better ground game. PLus, that yakovlev loss doesnt sit well with me. Yakovlev was never that great and he tapped da silva with a weird choke that was barely in. Da silva is definitely live early but after the first I think he will fade.
"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"
06.03.2022 | 3:10 PM ET
fight breakdowns part 3: Main Card
Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points | Tied for 2932nd
xander Volkov vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Rozenstruik KO RD 3
Not confident in this one at all but i have a weird feeling about it. I feel like this main event could actually be really fun because jairzinho is finally getting a striker with no worry of facing takedowns. I hate how low volume he is but maybe we get a technical striking match between the two. Volkov is a Kyokushin Karate fighter and Bigi Boi a credentialed kickboxer. For someone with such a high stirking pedigree, he sure has a lot of holes in his mma game. Besides the struggle with wrestlers, his volume is very, very low; this mostly speaks to his style as he is a counter puncher with insane power; kind of like a more technical, less sloppy derrick lewis. Theres also the overeem win which was a very questionable stoppage where he was going to lose a lopsided decision before getting a buzzer beater. However, I think he will let his hands go, or at least more than usual because volkov wont be a takedown threat and volkov is also not nearly as athelic as gane was (the person who essentially created frozenstruik) so i dont think he will have as hard a time finding the target. However, I am interested to see how he deals with the height of volkov; i wonder if hes going to exploit the tall man defense or if the height is gonna throw off his whole game. For volkov, the strategy is to avoid the kill shot and pick him apart the whole fight. Volkov is pretty high volume and thats also where most of his kos come from. He doesnt did crazy hard for a HW (probably average power id say) but has a ton of kos because his volume can overwhelm people. If frozenstruik comes out, volkov will win a lopsided decision and maybe get a tko late, but if jairzinho fights a technical fight, we could see this be a repeat of volkov vs lewis.
Dan Ige vs Movsar Evloev
Evloev DEC
I think evloev will win this, but hes not very good for a 16-0 fighter imo. I know that sounds crazy because hes got a good skillset but hear me out. Movsar mixes in his striking and wrestling well, but he has holes on the feet. I actually think his striking is better than people give him credit for; the technique is solid and hes been able to land some good shots, while also landing at a high clip, BUT, he just doesnt look fully comfortable on the feet at times. He has good striking defense but sometimes takes a lot of big shots and makes the fight way more competitive than it should be. Hes also a very high level wrestler, and i think he will dominate ige here, as we've seen ige controlled with relative ease against good grapplers, but, I will be looking to fade movsar as he moves up the ladder. Watching his ufc fights, I think his biggest weakness is when he is matched up against a better wrestler than he is and one with above average striking. Why, you may ask? Just look at his fights against barzola, grundy, and lentz. Now, he did win these fights (some more obviously than others) but he struggled to keep them down for long periods of time and was very inconsistent with his takedowns. I dont think ige will offer much resistance but this is something to note for future fights. Movsar’s gas tank hasnt shown any holes but he does tend to cruise in the third round of fights that he knows hes up in, and that could be concerning against ige, because he does have one punch ko power. IN a lot of his third rounds, ive noticed he struggles a lot to notch takedowns (compared to the first two) and spends way too much time on the feet in the closing stanzas. It almost cost him the fight against dawodu and it made the barzola fight way closer than it should have been. He got lucky grundy cant strike for **** because he couldnt even notch a takedown against him but was able to win on the feet; he even got taken down a ton himself. I could see dan getting an upset but the poor tdd is going to make the difference here. Then again, movsar is so wildly inconsistent with his takedowns that maybe he struggles to find any. Idk, he probably shouldnt be -500 but hes definitely gonna win this fight. As much as he makes fights competitive, hes still a good striker, just carries a lot of holes there.
Mike Trizano vs Lucas Almeida
Trizano DEC
I really really want to fade trizano but I cant back almeida here. Hes all action and very exciting but in all honesty, I was quite surprised to see him directly signed to the ufc, following a bounce back win after dwcs loss. His most recent fight was not very impressive; he instantly got clinched up against the cage and wasnt doing anything the entire round until he locked in a choke and got the sub. Almeida is a brawler; nothing more, nothing less. His striking looks sloppy, but hes surprisingly accurate at finding his mark and carries ridiculous power. However, hes also very hittable and while hes shown a great chin, hes very “take 5 punches to land 1 big punch” if you will. Theres 0 chance trizano is a finishing threat here but the sloppiness on the feet may end up costing him the fight here. I was kind of shocked Almeida slowed down so badly on contender series because his cardio seems fine on the regional scene (juicing perhaps???) and he has multiple 3rd and 1 5th round finish. He has some good wins on the regional scene but for the most part hes not fighting the greatest level of competition. One thing I just cant look past is his takedown defense; it is so garbage. He can get taken down or clinched up against the fence almost at will and offers pretty much no resistance to wrestling. In his fight against nicco (i forget his last name lol) he had damn near a 10-7 round where he notched 3 knockdowns and basically had nicco ready to quit (he could barely stand back up) but then in the second round he started to fade as nicco was taking him down at will. Now, he was getting back up somewhat easily because nicco was basically a dead man walking, but it was still really bad to see. Trizano may be boring af, but he knows how to win fights and its how he “won” (i dont think he won) against klein and I see him utilizing his wrestling to secure a dull win. Trizano really does have a knack to make exciting fighters boring. Hopefully with almeida’s brawling we see an entertaining fight, or maybe trizano gets finished which i wouldnt mind honestly. But, I see trizano picking him apart with better shots on the feet and wrestling to a decision.
Karine Silva vs polyana botelho
Botelho DEC
Not sure why Karine is the big favorite on tapology; shes not very impressive. I mean neither is botelho but at least she has ufc experience. Karine has fought pretty **** competition and was losing her dwcs fight (pretty handedly i might add) until her opponent gassed and shot a lazy takedown, leading to a submission win. Oddly enough, shes finished everybody shes fought and she looks physically very strong for the division, but im just not that impressed. Even watching tape she just doesnt really impress me. Her striking is pretty slow and shes definitely going to be at a disadvantage on the feet agaoinst the better muay thai striker in botelho. The only way i see silva winning is through her grappling. On the regional scene, she goes to her wrestling a lot, and i found it odd she didnt attempt any takedowns on dwcs. Shes pretty creative on the ground so if it does go there i could see her getting a sub. But, shes going to have to do slam takedowns as botelho actually has quite good tdd, but gets clinched up against the fence way too much for my liking. Not confident but sticking with the dwcs fade here.
Ode Osbourne vs Zarrukh Adashev
Adashev DEC
Another dog pick for me. I really think zarrukh is better than he looks on paper, but obviously people fade him because of the hideous 4-3 record. Hes much better than that record would indicate, but he has way too few fights to be in the ufc. I also think this is a winnable fight for him because, despite the huge size advantage, I really dont think ode is that good. Ode is gigantic for the division but i dont think fighting at 125 is the best idea for him. The only reason he fights in the weight class is because he walks around at like 140 and weighs too little to be successful at BW/FW. The problem with going to 125 is its taxing on his gas tank. Ode finishes most of his fights in the first round and we saw against vergara that if the fight gets extended, he gets pretty tired. At 125, ode is bigger than pretty much everyone he faces but hes not great at distance management (as shown by his -0.18 striking differential and 42% striking defense) and gets sloppy at times on the feet. This is why I see adashev having success; hes a former glory kickboxer (16-3 record) and on paper is the better, more technical striker. In his last outing against ryan benoit, he fought a great fight, circling away from the power right hand and chopping up his legs. I see him enacting a similar strategy to beat ode as zarrukh is quite small for 125 so hes going to need to beat up the leg and fight a technical fight. Ode would have success if he decides to use his wrestling (he wrestled for a year at a D3 school) but he really doesnt use it that much at all; instead, only using it to grab kicks and get on top of his opponents (he doesnt hold them down for very long when he does this). I also was impressed with zarrukh’s scrambles against benoit. When he got knocked down, he was ablr to get back up pretty easily and look fast to get back up. Its a close fight, but im leaning zarrukh to get it done. I just dont rate ode that highly and hes not great at capitalizing on his reach.
Alonzo Menifeld vs Askar Mozharov
Menifeld KO RD 1
I absolutely cannot wait for this fight. This is by far my favorite fight on the card and oh boy, is it going to be a violent, low iq brawl. I had a very hard time picking who wins this fight but after watching the majority of Askar’s fights (at least whats available on the internet) I cannot side with him; I just cant. His level of competition is just so suspect and anytime hes fought halfway decent fighters (eder de souza and la masacre torres) he just doesnt win. If you were to look up in a dictionary, the definition of a failed prospect, Alonzo Menifeld would be the first picture you see, but hes by far the best person askar has fought, which is insane because hes a bottom tier 205er. Askar is juiced as **** and watching his fights, his technique isnt horrible, but how he puts everything together is not so impressive. He puts all his power into his shots and specifically loves to throw spinning kicks, but outside the 2 minute flurry, he doesnt have much to offer. In fact, in one of his fights (vs eder de souza) he spammed the same spinning kick ad nauseam and gassed himself out in the second round and lost. Theres also the fact that he is can crushing in every sense of the word; just look at who hes fighting. In his 4 most recent bouts, he has finished all his opponents in under 30 seconds (the konstantin linik fight is incorrectly cataloged) and it just looks like they dont now how to fight; hes koing them with the first few shots he throws. Sure, hes got power but like these guys will just get hit with a kick or punch and just give up, its pretty pathetic. Then, his most recent fight was a bare knuckle fight against some fight thrower and he just flatlined him in 8 seconds. Menifeld is terrible too but hes actually a fighter, winning and losing to actual opponents, even if he lost to knight. knight is better than literally anyone mozharov has fought and i truly mean that. I could go on and on about what happens to mozahrov when he doesnt get the 30 second ko but to spare the character limit, im just gonna list a few: against torres, he couldnt get the ko, got taken down with ease and tapped out with the first elbow that got landed on the ground, against alexey ivanov he very nearly got a sick highlight ko, ****** it up, got taken down and koed with ease after 2 minutes, against marcel tenorio he got a takedown and then subbed by an armbar, etc., etc. Now, alonzo does a lot wrong too: hes got little technique, I hate to say it but mozharov actually may be the more technical striker lol, instead opting to throw haymakers, his cardio isnt great but its definitely better than askars, and his striking defense is godawful. As ****** as he is, hes not nearly as bad as the people mozahrov is fighting on the regional scene. His opponents are literally fight throwers or random chinese people he fought on the regional scene. His best win is probably road to ufc contestant mingyang zhang. Cant ******* wait for this fight tho, its gonna be hilarious.
"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"
06.03.2022 | 3:28 PM ET
Predictions: 13 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 765 Points | Tied for 654th
"I am the greatest blonde man in the world. I am Tru Viking." - Alexander Gustaffsson / "The world must bow to my glory. I am a God amongst mortals. They must pay me tribute in wine and concubine for my deeds." - Jon Jones "
06.03.2022 | 3:46 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 450 Points | Tied for 3077th
"Jarno Errens, Damir Hadzovic"
06.03.2022 | 3:49 PM ET
Predictions: 11 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 655 Points | Tied for 1741st
"KURZHAAR - Tomorrow Never Comes Until It's Too Late"
06.03.2022 | 4:17 PM ET
Predictions: 10 of 14 Winners, 5 Perfect, 700 Points | Tied for 1332nd
Da Silva 1u
Ige 1u
Argueta 1u
"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison
06.03.2022 | 4:18 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 450 Points | Tied for 3077th
"Jarno Errens, Damir Hadzovic"