Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall

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Tapology
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11.02.2021 | 3:38 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC Fight Night
  • Saturday 03.19.2022 at 01:30 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: ESPN+ | Prelims: ESPN+
  • Name: UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
  • Also Known As: UFC Fight Night London
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: 02 Arena
  • Location: London, England
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: John Gooden, Paul Felder, Michael Bisping
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $4,500,000
  • Attendance: 17,081
  • MMA Bouts: 12
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Tom Aspinall   defeats   Alexander Volkov   via Submission, Straight Armlock   3:45 Round 1 of 5 Bout Page
Arnold Allen   defeats   Dan Hooker   via KO/TKO, Punches, Knees and Elbows   2:33 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Paddy Pimblett   defeats   Rodrigo Vargas   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   3:49 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Gunnar Nelson   defeats   Takashi Sato   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Molly McCann   defeats   Luana Carolina   via KO/TKO, Spinning Back Elbow   1:52 Round 3 of 3, 11:52 Total Bout Page
Ilia Topuria   defeats   Jai Herbert   via KO/TKO, Right Hook   1:07 Round 2 of 3, 6:07 Total Bout Page
Makwan Amirkhani   defeats   Mike Grundy   via Submission, Anaconda Choke   0:57 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Sergei Pavlovich   defeats   Shamil Abdurakhimov   via KO/TKO, Punch to Ground and Pound   4:03 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Paul Craig   defeats   Nikita Krylov   via Submission, Triangle Choke   3:57 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Jack Shore   defeats   Timur Valiev   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Elise Reed   defeats   Cory McKenna   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Muhammad Mokaev   defeats   Cody Durden   via Submission, Guillotine Choke   0:58 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 27

AyyLmaonnaise
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03.16.2022 | 1:16 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 2426th

The shore pick I can understand but Craig being tapology favorite is just recency bias 

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

tonytootone
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03.16.2022 | 1:29 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 590 Points   |   Tied for 1408th

Abdurakhimov vs. Pavlovich
Sergei Pavlovich, TKO, R1
Lol

Sabbath
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03.16.2022 | 1:55 PM ET

Hooker is ******

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 470 Points   |   Tied for 2891st

Honestly, I don’t think the fight is gonna happen. Hooker is already doing his best Fallout 3 Feral Ghoul cosplay at lightweight, so the idea of him moving to featherweight is legitimately insane. I fear this fight would get cancelled, which sucks because Arnold needs this fight. Everyone at featherweight evades this kid like Mayweather evades his taxes. 

* Edited at 03.16.2022, 1:56 PM ET *

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AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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03.16.2022 | 1:57 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 2426th

This is a very unpopular opinion but I thought Carolina fairly beat loopy

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

Lisac
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03.16.2022 | 2:02 PM ET

@Sabbath

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 395 Points   |   Tied for 3450th

Yeah he looks like he can cut about a few lbs of fat tops, and the rest is all water, so around 13-15lbs of water in 2 days
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raz97
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03.16.2022 | 2:20 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 595 Points   |   Tied for 1333rd

So before I forget let me post my first comment on Tapology about Volkov vs Aspinall. I've followed Tom Aspinall since he started his UFC career and seen all his fights, similar to when Ciryl Gane came to the UFC. These 2 have shown incredible talent individually. Even more so I think Tom lives around 6 miles away from me its crazy!

I've been waiting since September when Tom last competed and won me a load of money & hoping for the same again this week! I am nervous if he can't take Volkov down and Sub him then it goes to a decision. 

If Tom got clipped a few times from Arlovski in their first round and looked a little bit nervous but he still got the job done. It really is a true test to see if he is ready for the HW big dogs. 

My vote for this match up is Aspinall inside 3 rounds (Great Odds) 
Or Volkov by decision possibly being smarter and a late finish (If Tom gets tired)

Maybe I am over thinking how good Tom really is but we haven't seen him in deep waters / But again he used spar with Tyson Fury and has high BJJ skills to finish the fight wherever. No injured knee in this fight & he claims he needs to put on a master class. 

LETS GO TOM!!!
BELM0NT
BELM0NT

03.16.2022 | 2:41 PM ET

If you bet meatball burn those tickets 
Jack_95
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03.16.2022 | 2:46 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 555 Points   |   Tied for 1812th

Wood- money line
McKenna- money line
Mokaev- money line
McCann- points
Shore- points
Topruria- ko/tko/sub
Craig- sub
Nelson- sub
Aspinall- money line

£20 bet wins £7675 🤞

* Edited at 03.16.2022, 2:47 PM ET *

Pastabolicles
Pastabolicles
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03.16.2022 | 2:52 PM ET

Wiki handicap much?

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 580 Points   |   Tied for 1507th

Meatball might not have a great UFC track record, and Luana Carolina might have a pretty good UFC record, but if you've watched both of them, you see Meatball has skill, and Luana Carolina is just an oversized doufus.

Burn those tickets?  You're getting a hell of a price on Molly McCann right now.
AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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03.16.2022 | 2:54 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 2426th

Meatball sucks tbh she just looks good when they put her up against strikers. Put her up against any girl with a ground game and she looks like a fish out of water. I can’t wait to fade her once the ufc stops giving her favorable matchups 

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

kylethemc
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03.16.2022 | 3:17 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 590 Points   |   Tied for 1374th

I got Arnold Allen, Aspinall, and Jack Shore all at plus odds. I'm thinking about playing Grundy as well but those aren't the best odds. As far as parlays go, I was thinking Mokaev, Topuria, Gunnar, and Paddy which is around +120 I believe. Thoughts or recommendations? 
danromanick
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03.16.2022 | 3:30 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 670 Points   |   Tied for 385th

I find it interesting that Craig is the underdog. I know that Krylov lost to the dude that just beat Thiago Santos, but he looked pretty flat in that matchup, and Craig probably has the 2nd best BJJ behind Oliviera in the UFC (apologies if I am forgetting anyone).
CrimsonChinGuru
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03.16.2022 | 3:53 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 525 Points   |   Tied for 2277th

Paul Craig has no where near the 2nd best BJJ?!?!? Why because he dislocated Jahamal Hill's arm, a striker with no sense of grappling... maybe if you said 2nd BEST BJJ in LHW.

Paul Craig can't even compare to a Muniz, Islam, Burns, Ortega and like you mentioned Oliveira. Those are top food chain guys, Craig is most definitely in between. Think people are rating Criag's BJJ a little to high rn.

* Edited at 03.16.2022, 4:05 PM ET *

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PickingMyNose
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03.16.2022 | 4:10 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 5 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 340 Points   |   Tied for 3715th

Volkov vs. Aspinall
Alexander Volkov, TKO, R4
SWOLEKOV STRONK.

Allen vs. Hooker
Dan Hooker, DEC
OZZIE OZZIE OZZIE!

Pimblett vs. Vargas
Rodrigo Vargas, TKO, R1
Throwaway pick, Paddy probably by R1 sub but I want to see if this ages better than it does poorly lol.

Nelson vs. Sato
Gunnar Nelson, SUB, R2
Dangerous pick, Nelson again SHOULD NOT BE THIS MUCH OF A FAVORITE.

McCann vs. Carolina
Luana Carolina, DEC
Bro, she just beat Lupita and is taller and 7 inch reach advantage. Meatball can't get it done.

Herbert vs. Topuria
Ilia Topuria, TKO, R1
Quick round 1 KO, horrible odds but yeah.

Grundy vs. Amirkhani
Mike Grundy, TKO, R3
Grundy is just more durable.

Abdurakhimov vs. Pavlovich
Sergei Pavlovich, TKO, R1
Shamil is way too old, it's over, even if Pavlovich has been away for over 2 years.

Shore vs. Valiev
Jack Shore, SUB, R3
How is he the underdog?

Reed vs. McKenna
Elise Reed, DEC
Reed SMASH!

Wood vs. Morales
Vince Morales, DEC
Wood should not be a -250, decision probably goes his way but I'm still going for Morales on top of his long layoff.

Mokaev vs. Durden
Cody Durden, DEC
Sending him back to the U.K.

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bokTHEman
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03.16.2022 | 4:17 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 560 Points   |   Tied for 1769th

Pimblett vs. Vargas
Paddy Pimblett, TKO, R1
Paddy will be his daddy

Nelson vs. Sato
Gunnar Nelson, SUB, R1
Gunnin for that neck

"Smesh "

WastelandWanderer
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03.16.2022 | 4:28 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 2468th



* Edited at 03.16.2022, 4:29 PM ET *

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Jack_95
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03.16.2022 | 4:30 PM ET

Craig

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 555 Points   |   Tied for 1812th

I dunno about 2nd best in the UFC but I think you're definitely under selling him there. He hasn't just snapped Hill's arm, he's submitted ankalaev, he got a sub win over vinicius moreira who is a black belt, sub wins in the UFC against antigulov, nzchukwu and henrique da silva. Plus he completely flattened out Shogun and made him tap to strikes 

Add in the fact 5 of krylov's 8 losses have been by submission, a Craig sub is very possible 
DamienHandel420
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03.16.2022 | 4:38 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 575 Points   |   Tied for 1580th

One thing I don't get is Dan Hooker, He look so good against Dustin Poirer ,but since then look mediocre or bad, It might just be a matchup thing, But also I don't know how good is he training situation is because of all the Covid lockdown in New Zealand 

I think if Dan Hooker show up it be a rough night for Allen, But if Hooker doesn't Allen will most likely cruse to a clear 30-27, I don't know, I'm picking Hooker because I'm hoping for the best, I also think the 145 move is a good sign in a way that he is training

* Edited at 03.16.2022, 4:38 PM ET *

"Quack quack quack"

AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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03.16.2022 | 4:48 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 2426th

It’s all about weigh ins for me. Everyone on here saying he looks like death but I really don’t think he’s looked that bad. He said himself it wasn’t a bad cut (obviously he’s not going to say it was a bad cut but still) plus guys, he made test cuts at the PI before attempting this. He’s not going to just go down to 145 because he feels he’s not effective at 155, this was a planned decision. That being said, if he does look ****** I’m going allen. If he comfortably makes weigh he’s gonna be much bigger than allen. As it stands I favor hookers output on the fret

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loudenSwain
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03.16.2022 | 5:03 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 450 Points   |   Tied for 3111th

I thought Paul Felder beat Hooker. 

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Page 27


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