Topic: UFC 266

UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega

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Tapology
Tapology
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04.14.2021 | 11:07 AM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 266
  • Saturday 09.25.2021 at 10:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: T-Mobile Arena
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Paul Felder, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Daniel Cormier
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $5,609,906
  • Attendance: 19,029
  • MMA Bouts: 13
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Alexander Volkanovski   defeats   Brian Ortega   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Valentina Shevchenko   defeats   Lauren Murphy   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   4:00 Round 4 of 5, 19:00 Total Bout Page
Robbie Lawler   defeats   Nick Diaz   via KO/TKO, Retirement   0:44 Round 3 of 5, 10:44 Total Bout Page
Curtis Blaydes   defeats   Jairzinho Rozenstruik   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jéssica Andrade   defeats   Cynthia Calvillo   via KO/TKO, Punches   4:54 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Merab Dvalishvili   defeats   Marlon Moraes   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   4:25 Round 2 of 3, 9:25 Total Bout Page
Dan Hooker   defeats   Nasrat Haqparast   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Chris Daukaus   defeats   Shamil Abdurakhimov   via KO/TKO, Right Cross to Ground Strikes   1:23 Round 2 of 3, 6:23 Total Bout Page
Taila Santos   defeats   Roxanne Modafferi   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jalin Turner   defeats   Uros Medic   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   4:01 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Nick Maximov   defeats   Cody Brundage   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Matt Semelsberger   defeats   Martin Sano   via KO/TKO, Right Cross   0:15 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Jonathan Pearce   defeats   Omar Morales   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   3:31 Round 2 of 3, 8:31 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 20

Xconchris
Xconchris
  • Location: Delaware
  • Member Since: 2019.03.07
  • Predictions:  2,949  |  63.9%
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  • Post Score: 300

09.23.2021 | 10:06 PM ET

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 7 Perfect, 790 Points   |   Tied for 98th

@Thewelshguy, very true, Murphy got that crackhead mentality. She might make it 5 rounds.

"Dont take life too serious, you will never make it out alive."

Thewelshguy1998
Thewelshguy1998
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09.23.2021 | 10:13 PM ET

Predictions: 5 of 5 Winners, 1 Perfect, 320 Points   |   Tied for 3920th

Cards insane 
Baldric Eggling
Baldric Eggling
  • Location: Bedlam & Squalor
  • Member Since: 2021.09.17
  • Predictions:  62  |  69.4%
  • Forum Posts:  518
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09.23.2021 | 10:27 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 720 Points   |   Tied for 562nd

@Plusmoneygod M'lord, I fear I have aggrieved you and such was never my intent. I did not wish to conjure up offence, but rather strove only to pay deference to another greater than myself, but surely lesser than yours, by way of comparison. Regrettably, I have failed. A man capable of throwing a football over a mountain is surely inadequate tribute for such a great as one with a picking percentage a mere 6.4% shy of the statistical rate that is achieved by picking the favourite every card.

I dare not challenge such a man. Nay, none should.


* Edited at 09.23.2021, 10:27 PM ET *

"Trailer Park Shakespeare "

PlusmoneyGod
PlusmoneyGod
  • Location: In many ppl's heads
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  • Predictions:  239  |  62.3%
  • Forum Posts:  367
  • Post Score: -191

09.23.2021 | 11:44 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 595 Points   |   Tied for 2210th

Ctfu ... In certain moments I have flashbacks to things told to me as a child... 

'some idiots aren't worth speaking to' ~ Grandma Plusmoneygod

Whatever you just said... It was Shakespearean... not William Shakespeare... Billy Shakespeare from the trailer park

All that to say you can't beat me and neither can the people who up voted your soliloquy full of words they don't understand haha. Thanks for the laugh tho, M'Lord M'Lord. Yea address me properly son. 


I don't pick every favorite but good luck with that gameplan. 

* Edited at 09.24.2021, 12:47 AM ET *

"You people need a bad guy like me.... say good night to the bad guy ~Scarface || VISIT https://www.instagram.com/plusmoneypickem/ "

Baldric Eggling
Baldric Eggling
  • Location: Bedlam & Squalor
  • Member Since: 2021.09.17
  • Predictions:  62  |  69.4%
  • Forum Posts:  518
  • Post Score: 331

09.23.2021 | 11:52 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 720 Points   |   Tied for 562nd

Uros Medic   vs.   Jalin Turner 


I'm going to pick Turner here  for exactly the same reason as Mikey did--though I will be doing so sans stolen wifi and at least one fish skeleton caught in a ragged beard.


For the uninitiated, he's 100% correct. It's impossible to trust anyone coming out of Alaska FC. It's easily one if not the worst promotions I've ever seen. It is a munted circus infested with part-timing crab fisherman and loggers, many of them surely alcoholics, and I have no faith in anyone fed into the UFC via it at all.


The tarantula isn't a world-beater but it's not like he's about to be cut either. His last two losses are to Frevola and Luque. Before picking Medic, I suggest watching a few of his bouts. You may notice that in fact he throws strikes as though he's physically explaining the punchline in a joke about  a fat man with short arms trying to swim butterfly.


And that's not great.


I'll go with the more proven commodity in Turner.

* Edited at 09.24.2021, 12:04 AM ET *

"Trailer Park Shakespeare "

PlusmoneyGod
PlusmoneyGod
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  • Predictions:  239  |  62.3%
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  • Post Score: -191

09.24.2021 | 12:32 AM ET

Sad that buzz the whole week was talking about Nick Diaz instead of relevant fighters

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 595 Points   |   Tied for 2210th


* Edited at 09.24.2021, 12:32 AM ET *

"You people need a bad guy like me.... say good night to the bad guy ~Scarface || VISIT https://www.instagram.com/plusmoneypickem/ "

PlusmoneyGod
PlusmoneyGod
  • Location: In many ppl's heads
  • Member Since: 2021.07.02
  • Predictions:  239  |  62.3%
  • Forum Posts:  367
  • Post Score: -191

09.24.2021 | 12:56 AM ET

Footage of Daukaus's loss is hard to find

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 595 Points   |   Tied for 2210th

"You people need a bad guy like me.... say good night to the bad guy ~Scarface || VISIT https://www.instagram.com/plusmoneypickem/ "

Baldric Eggling
Baldric Eggling
  • Location: Bedlam & Squalor
  • Member Since: 2021.09.17
  • Predictions:  62  |  69.4%
  • Forum Posts:  518
  • Post Score: 331

09.24.2021 | 1:07 AM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 720 Points   |   Tied for 562nd

You misunderstand me m'lord. I have failed again. I will take no supper this evening and flagellate myself with the cat-o--nine-tails, accordingly. Perchance might I attempt to offer sufficient explanation?

The mathematical reality of picking UFC is such that if one were to choose the favourite every card, their statistical rate of success would be 68%. This would range between about a percentage point or slightly over occasionally on either side. If you pay attention, you may  see this probability born out by the Automaton present here in these black and white Halls, known as 'Oddsbot'. Oddsbot was created by the progenitor and overlord of Tapology to display betting lines, and to Troll users who think their powers of prediction can beat the market and who do not understand that if it could be beaten reliably, it would not exist.

Let me try by way of example:

Let us say you went to your local town square, somewhere in Rural Arkansas, and captured a wild pigeon. You give it a bath, name it Taylor-Sue after your mother, and paint its talons in her favourite colour scheme, which is leopard print.

You could, in fact, hack the universe and train it to have a greater picking percentage than even yours. All you would need to do is open a Tapology account for Taylor-Sue, navigate to any UFC card, hover your mouse icon over the fighter who is the odds on favourite, and place a single grain of corn on your left mouse button. Then, you would just need to bring over Taylor-sue and have her pick off that single grain, thus depressing the button in the process.

You would simply need to repeat this process for every fight on the card until you had selected a possible winner from all events on it. And you would get a net success hit rate of about 68%, averaged out across several cards.

Regardless, I am sure m'lord you are not interested in the mere entrail-readings of a lowly three-toothed peasant smelling vaguely of unleavaned bread and urine such as myself. I will endeavour to do better.

* curtsies*


* Edited at 09.24.2021, 1:18 AM ET *

"Trailer Park Shakespeare "

KyleH
KyleH
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09.24.2021 | 1:54 AM ET

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 735 Points   |   Tied for 394th

Oddsbot is at 70% rn, higher than me :(

"There's 3 things in life that excite me. A woman, of course. Dinosaurs, and the violence of the Octagon" - GSP

PlusmoneyGod
PlusmoneyGod
  • Location: In many ppl's heads
  • Member Since: 2021.07.02
  • Predictions:  239  |  62.3%
  • Forum Posts:  367
  • Post Score: -191

09.24.2021 | 2:07 AM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 595 Points   |   Tied for 2210th

I literally fell asleep trying to read the first paragraph then stopped. Why buy Nyquil when you can try to read what a ******** has to say ctfu

whatever you wrote, Baldric Eggling you can't beat me. Your pick % is 0% ...work on that. you talk more in forum then you do anything else


"You people need a bad guy like me.... say good night to the bad guy ~Scarface || VISIT https://www.instagram.com/plusmoneypickem/ "

Tap867
Tap867
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09.24.2021 | 2:08 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 690 Points   |   Tied for 908th

Lawler vs. Diaz II
Nick Diaz, DEC
Honestly, I probably shouldn't have spent as much time thinking about this. I'll take Diaz.

* Edited at 09.24.2021, 2:18 AM ET *

"Everybody wants to be a bodybuilder, but nobody wants to lift no heavy-ass weights. - Ronnie Coleman"

adrndc11
adrndc11
  • Member Since: 2020.10.06
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09.24.2021 | 2:22 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 680 Points   |   Tied for 1108th

I don't see Diaz having a chance in there to be honest. I expect him to be very slow and rusty. 

Valentinas fights are about how much will she dominate the opponent. No question if she loses this

"https://youtu.be/fdAqre8X3hI"

jorgesaintpierre
jorgesaintpierre
  • Member Since: 2021.04.21
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09.24.2021 | 2:29 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 450 Points   |   Tied for 3476th

Maximov vs. Brundage
Nick Maximov
Maximov has good wrestling.

Daebak
Daebak
  • Member Since: 2019.09.02
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09.24.2021 | 2:48 AM ET

Predictions: 12 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 755 Points   |   Tied for 227th

Can anyone make a case for picking Modafferi? 
Baldric Eggling
Baldric Eggling
  • Location: Bedlam & Squalor
  • Member Since: 2021.09.17
  • Predictions:  62  |  69.4%
  • Forum Posts:  518
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09.24.2021 | 2:56 AM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 720 Points   |   Tied for 562nd

@Daebak I've got a few props on Santos so Roxy will probably win.

* Edited at 09.24.2021, 2:58 AM ET *

"Trailer Park Shakespeare "

Erison
Erison
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09.24.2021 | 3:02 AM ET

Predictions: 12 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 745 Points   |   Tied for 293rd

As far as low level guys who are barely in the UFC, I really like Jalin Turner’s game. He’s rightly the massive dog here. But I think it’ll be an interesting fight. He hits hard, has his crazy reach, and can lock up subs from almost any angle. Medic is gonna go far, but this might be a tricky speed bump. 
Roaring2020
Roaring2020
  • Member Since: 2021.05.05
  • Predictions:  236  |  67.4%
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09.24.2021 | 3:03 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 580 Points   |   Tied for 2408th

Hooker vs. Haqparast
Nasrat Haqparast, DEC
No tape watched. I dont like Hooker

Medic vs. Turner
Uros Medic, TKO, R1
Tough Pick - Medic is a tough pick here. Turner has the experience, length, technique, but I just dont see a killer in him. Medic looks like he has some real power. Strong kicks and punch combos. Medic can hurt Turner with some body leg kicks, and win this fight. Look for dancing around and feeling each other out early on until they lock horns. Turner looks like he doesnt mind fighting in the pocket and that is going to be BAD for Turner. Going with Hype over experience here. Riskiest pick of the night

Maximov vs. Brundage
Nick Maximov, DEC
No tape watched. Taking Maximov because Brundage is short notice NON Striker.

Morales vs. Pearce
Omar Morales, TKO, R2
Lock Pick - Omar is just better in every area of MMA. JP is a good up and comer but Omar has excellent defensive boxing. He is not going to just sit there and eat punches like Kai Kamaka.. He is not going to gas out and be taken down by falling over on him. Omar is going to push the pace and avoid most of what JP has to throw at him. Morales is like a forward pushing counter puncher. He strikes with force and he is going to hurt JP early. Most people are saying Omar doesnt have finishing power, but he can pull out the finish over a weaker JP who just isnt going to be able to catch Omar with anything special.

Roaring2020
Roaring2020
  • Member Since: 2021.05.05
  • Predictions:  236  |  67.4%
  • Forum Posts:  23
  • Post Score: 143

09.24.2021 | 3:32 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 580 Points   |   Tied for 2408th

Volkanovski vs. Ortega
Alexander Volkanovski, TKO, R2
Lock Pick

Shevchenko vs. Murphy
Valentina Shevchenko, SUB, R1
Lock Pick

Andrade vs. Calvillo
Jéssica Andrade, DEC
Lock Pick

Tap867
Tap867
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  • Predictions:  1,231  |  64.3%
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09.24.2021 | 3:46 AM ET

The Lawlor and Diaz fight is a complete mystery.

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 690 Points   |   Tied for 908th

....I'm not interesting in being a detective for this one...

"Everybody wants to be a bodybuilder, but nobody wants to lift no heavy-ass weights. - Ronnie Coleman"

Zulizani
Zulizani
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09.24.2021 | 6:25 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 570 Points   |   Tied for 2580th

All I know is that historically, razor blades does not do well again giant black men who carry power like I carry my emotional baggage. I don't want to, but I have to bet on Jr. I hate this sport.

"You're all my children, I'll discipline you how I feel" Massabruce

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