Topic: UFC 264

UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3

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Tapology
Tapology
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  • Predictions:  0  |  0.0%
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  • Post Score: 47

03.23.2021 | 9:12 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 264
  • Saturday 07.10.2021 at 10:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: T-Mobile Arena
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Joe Rogan, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $15,759,800
  • Attendance: 20,062
  • PPV Buys / Buyrate: 1,504,737 | TV Ratings: 1.6M avg. viewers (ESPN prelims)
  • MMA Bouts: 12
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Dustin Poirier   defeats   Conor McGregor   via KO/TKO, Doctor Stoppage (broken Ankle)   5:00 Round 1 of 5 Bout Page
Gilbert Burns   defeats   Stephen Thompson   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Tai Tuivasa   defeats   Greg Hardy   via KO/TKO, Counter Hook to Ground and Pound   1:07 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Irene Aldana   defeats   Yana Santos   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   4:35 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Sean O'Malley   defeats   Kris Moutinho   via KO/TKO, Punches (standing TKO)   4:33 Round 3 of 3, 14:33 Total Bout Page
Max Griffin   defeats   Carlos Condit   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Michel Pereira   defeats   Niko Price   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Ilia Topuria   defeats   Ryan Hall   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   4:47 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Dricus Du Plessis   defeats   Trevin Giles   via KO/TKO, Right Cross to Ground and Pound   1:41 Round 2 of 3, 6:41 Total Bout Page
Jennifer Maia   defeats   Jessica Eye   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Brad Tavares   defeats   Omari Akhmedov   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Zhalgas Zhumagulov   defeats   Jerome Rivera   via Submission, Standing Guillotine Choke   2:02 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 16

Jake Pauler
Jake Pauler
  • Location: Los Angeles
  • Member Since: 2021.06.28
  • Predictions:  13  |  53.8%
  • Forum Posts:  14
  • Post Score: 307

07.02.2021 | 11:19 PM ET

Join us.... 😈😈😈😈

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 415 Points   |   Tied for 3263rd

https://www.tapology.com/groups/787/members/new

"The Jake Paulers are the strongest army out there. Dab. - Jake Paul"

Castbreeder
Castbreeder
  • Member Since: 2021.06.11
  • Predictions:  191  |  60.7%
  • Forum Posts:  3
  • Post Score: 167

07.03.2021 | 2:23 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 555 Points   |   Tied for 1339th

Hall is so sneaky/ Topuria might have been beaten

* Edited at 07.03.2021, 2:24 AM ET *

Search
Search
  • Member Since: 2021.03.14
  • Predictions:  107  |  55.1%
  • Forum Posts:  100
  • Post Score: 48

07.03.2021 | 7:34 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 430 Points   |   Tied for 3110th

age 36 8-1 hype
Xconchris
Xconchris
  • Location: Delaware
  • Member Since: 2019.03.07
  • Predictions:  6,149  |  67.0%
  • Forum Posts:  6,142
  • Post Score: 333

07.03.2021 | 7:55 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 2619th

I think shana dobson vs mariya agapova is the biggest UFC upset of all time, odds wise. -1400

"Dont take life too serious, you will never make it out alive."

TWJake
TWJake
  • Location: Minneapolis
  • Member Since: 2019.09.25
  • Predictions:  6,091  |  63.9%
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07.03.2021 | 11:26 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 2125th

@Hideff The hardest fighter I ever had to find highlights for was Jennifer Maia

"I know many a troops that I visit when I went to Iraq in 2005... 2-uh excuse me in 19-or.. 05' 06' 07' 08' 09' 2010 2011. I went from the Korwaiten border! All the way up to the Turkish border!" -Tito Ortiz

Thewelshguy1998
Thewelshguy1998
  • Member Since: 2021.02.22
  • Predictions:  604  |  58.9%
  • Forum Posts:  1,054
  • Post Score: 242

07.03.2021 | 12:22 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 395 Points   |   Tied for 3435th

Could regret this but just done a 3 way parlay all to win - Stephen Thompson next week, Phil hawes and Islam mackachev the week after, £150 😂 

As William Montgomery would say

I GOT A LOT RIDING ON THESSSSS
DCpredictions
DCpredictions
  • Member Since: 2021.01.12
  • Predictions:  1,644  |  59.4%
  • Forum Posts:  842
  • Post Score: 141

07.03.2021 | 1:35 PM ET

Predictions: 5 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 265 Points   |   Tied for 4277th

@duke76 I don't think you understand how odds work. If you bet favorite odds and it only lands 67% of the time chances are youll be losing money. If they were all slight favorites you could make money this way but they are often not. 
SAShort
SAShort
  • Member Since: 2020.10.09
  • Predictions:  3,921  |  66.9%
  • Forum Posts:  108
  • Post Score: 249

07.03.2021 | 2:00 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 570 Points   |   Tied for 1132nd

Burns vs. Thompson
Stephen Thompson, DEC
Burns is by far the fighter on the better streak. He's won 6 of 7 while Wonderboy is 3-3 in his last 6. But I see Thompson winning similarly to his bout with Luque. Burns best bet is to get Thompson down but I think Thompson does enough to win 2 of 3 Rounds. 

* Edited at 07.03.2021, 2:01 PM ET *

ModestMan
ModestMan
  • Member Since: 2020.08.22
  • Predictions:  543  |  63.4%
  • Forum Posts:  1,871
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07.03.2021 | 2:05 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 2644th

Yeah betting on only favorites won’t really get you anywhere. Underdogs is where the big money is made, high risk high reward

"WMMA = 50/50 no matter the odds"

Erison
Erison
  • Member Since: 2020.05.24
  • Predictions:  1,678  |  65.4%
  • Forum Posts:  4,896
  • Post Score: 227

07.03.2021 | 2:46 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 530 Points   |   Tied for 1670th

Parlaying 2-3 -250 favorites together will hit far more than looking for underdogs.
SAShort
SAShort
  • Member Since: 2020.10.09
  • Predictions:  3,921  |  66.9%
  • Forum Posts:  108
  • Post Score: 249

07.03.2021 | 3:07 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 570 Points   |   Tied for 1132nd

O'Malley vs. Moutinho
Sean O'Malley, DEC
My wife and I are doing picks and this was her turn to pick and despite me trying to convince her that O'Malley is almost guaranteed to finish the 9-4 Moutinho (O'Malley-350 to win inside the distance). But she said that her gut is telling her. I'm thinking I'm throwing at least 15-50 points out the window here.

SAShort
SAShort
  • Member Since: 2020.10.09
  • Predictions:  3,921  |  66.9%
  • Forum Posts:  108
  • Post Score: 249

07.03.2021 | 3:11 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 570 Points   |   Tied for 1132nd

Griffin vs. Condit
Carlos Condit, DEC
I reluctantly went against both the OG's in winnable fights; Dalby over Means and Lima over Matt Brown. Gonna take this OG over Griffin which is a tough yet very winnable fight here. Thinking it'll be notted up 19-19 going into the 3rd and Condit will bite down hard on his mouth piece and pull off the slight upset.

* Edited at 07.03.2021, 4:35 PM ET *

SAShort
SAShort
  • Member Since: 2020.10.09
  • Predictions:  3,921  |  66.9%
  • Forum Posts:  108
  • Post Score: 249

07.03.2021 | 3:16 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 570 Points   |   Tied for 1132nd

Price vs. Pereira
Michel Pereira, TKO, R1
This fight should be fireworks. Anybody else feel like most of these fights could really go either way.

SAShort
SAShort
  • Member Since: 2020.10.09
  • Predictions:  3,921  |  66.9%
  • Forum Posts:  108
  • Post Score: 249

07.03.2021 | 3:21 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 570 Points   |   Tied for 1132nd

Du Plessis vs. Giles
Trevin Giles, DEC
I like the South African fighter Du Plessis a lot but I think ultimately he'll need a Tko stoppage here. Giles boxing has looked very good. I think his hand speed and technique will be enough to earn a 29-28 or maybe even a 30-27 clean sweep. Not completely ruling Du Plessis out but I do believe he'll need to stop Giles.

SAShort
SAShort
  • Member Since: 2020.10.09
  • Predictions:  3,921  |  66.9%
  • Forum Posts:  108
  • Post Score: 249

07.03.2021 | 3:29 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 570 Points   |   Tied for 1132nd

Hall vs. Topuria
Ilia Topuria, TKO, R2
Great fight. Would love to see The Wizard pull off the Sub here though.

Maia vs. Eye
Jennifer Maia, SUB, R1
Decision is more likely but I think Maia gets after Eye right away with a grappling exchange similar to the Joanne Calderwood fight. Eye is fading, has been also losing grappling matches while Maia is 1 fight removed from her Title Bout. She's going after Eye's weakness R1 armbar.

dbo123
dbo123
  • Member Since: 2020.07.16
  • Predictions:  125  |  60.8%
  • Forum Posts:  13
  • Post Score: 162

07.03.2021 | 4:43 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 2022nd

Maia vs. Eye
Maia, DEC
Maia feeling like the lock of the whole card, imo.

Hall vs. Topuria
Topuria, TKO, R1
Watching this one is gonna suck, huge fan of The Wizard, but I see him getting KO’ed early.

"“I want to outlive my children,” - Tito Ortiz"

DamienHandel420
DamienHandel420
  • Location: Yah mom house
  • Member Since: 2018.09.01
  • Predictions:  5,766  |  66.8%
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  • Post Score: 262

07.03.2021 | 5:39 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 585 Points   |   Tied for 971st

 to make money gambling all you need to do  is just find value.Doesn't matter if it favorite or underdog. Erison is a favoute better, No one shows they losing slips ,but what I see he make good  money on favorites parley. In my opinion the best way to make money is props bets, As I think those bets are the one where if you really know MMA you can make a lot of money. As for example I made a lot on Sandhagen knocking out Frankie at 4 to 1 and Derrick Lewis Knocking out Blaydes parley with Kuniskya decsion vs Vierra at 27 to 1.  Also made a bit on Shana Dobson at +1000

Tl:dr I think the most importent thing is just finding the right line and knowing a lot about MMA to make money

* Edited at 07.03.2021, 5:40 PM ET *

"Quack quack quack"

PilloryChoke
PilloryChoke
  • Location: United States
  • Member Since: 2012.10.11
  • Predictions:  31,980  |  64.3%
  • Forum Posts:  2,972
  • Post Score: 195

07.03.2021 | 6:36 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 630 Points   |   Tied for 528th

I call ********. To make money MMA betting you have to be lucky as ****.

"When Conor fought Cowboy, he looked like a lion. When he fights stronger opponents, he looks like a scared chicken." - Khabib

Thewelshguy1998
Thewelshguy1998
  • Member Since: 2021.02.22
  • Predictions:  604  |  58.9%
  • Forum Posts:  1,054
  • Post Score: 242

07.03.2021 | 7:09 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 395 Points   |   Tied for 3435th

Lot of luck involved
Tieoken
Tieoken
  • Member Since: 2015.07.05
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07.03.2021 | 8:13 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 1923rd

I've turned like a tiny profit with MMA. But my average return rate is definitely less than my Roth account lol. I usually do very well on smaller promotions (LFA, Cage Warriors, and Bellator) but I either lose or break even most UFCs recently. I think self-control is probably more important than luck though, I've seen very lucky people win a lot of money, but somehow that money never seems to make it to the bank if you know what I mean.

"I’m here to snatch necks and cash checks" - Darrick Minner

Page 16


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