Topic: UFC 261
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
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01.29.2021 | 2:58 PM ET
Responses Page 9
04.22.2021 | 1:01 PM ET
Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 645 Points | Tied for 222nd
53 % betta watch out this guy knows his main events.
"For no particular reason beat up everyone"
04.22.2021 | 1:04 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 470 Points | Tied for 2158th
04.22.2021 | 1:12 PM ET
Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 360 Points | Tied for 3407th
"KURZHAAR - Tomorrow Never Comes Until It's Too Late"
04.22.2021 | 1:35 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 440 Points | Tied for 2551st
Entertaining for the sake of entertaining gets you a foot in your ass in this sport.
"I'm not on your side. I'm not on his side. I'm on the side or being right. - Richard Harrison Sr"
04.22.2021 | 2:33 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 525 Points | Tied for 1404th
Kamaru Usman, DEC
Tale of the Tape The tale of the tape looks good for Usman. Kamaru is 3 years younger, has a one inch height advantage and a 2 inch reach advantage. Usman is a lifelong welterweight while Masvidal is a former lightweight. Advantage: Usman Pro and UFC Experience Obviously, Masvidal is the far more experienced fighter in this matchup. Jorge has 49 pro fights and has spent 571.5 minutes in the cage while Usman has 19 pro fights and has 249 minutes of cage time. Masividal’s pro career spans almost 18 years while Kamaru has been in the game for a little over 8 years now. Jorge has 19 UFC fights (12W-7L) and Kamaru has 13 (13W-0L). Masvidal has the slight edge in UFC cage time by a 247.6 to 218.85 margin. Usmans average fight time is a little longer than Masvidals at 16.83 minutes to 13.03. While Masvidal is the far more experienced fighter, Usman has less miles on him and has spent just almost as much time in the UFC cage than Masvidal. Advantage: Even Finish Stats Masvidal has finished 57% of his career wins and Usman has finished 50%. Out of Masvidals 14 career losses only 3 have come by finish (21%) and all of those finishes came before his time in the UFC. Usman has only one career loss and it was by submission. Just under half of their combined fights have ended in a finish so its easy to see why the bookies are predicting this fight goes to decision. Advantage: Masvidal (slight) UFC Striking Stats The champ has landed 4.66 out of 8.59 SS thrown per minute (54.23%) while Masvidal has landed 4.17 out of 8.41 (49.62%). The champ absorbs 2.33 out of 5.62 SS thrown per minute for a 58.65% striking defense while Masvidal absorbs 3 out of 7.18 thrown for a striking defense of 58.18%. Usman’s KD/TSSL ratio is .0069 while Masvidal’s is .0087 and Usman has never been knocked down in the UFC while absorbing 509 SS and Masvidal has been knocked down 5 times in the UFC on 744 SS absorbed (0.67%). Usman has been the more accurate striker, Masvidal throws with slightly more power, the striking defense is almost identical and Usman has shown the far superior chin, perhaps because he is so adept at controlling fights on the ground which brings us to the grappling stats. Advantage: Masvidal (slight) UFC Grappling Stats The champ has landed 47 of 99 takedowns attempted so far in the UFC (47.47%, 3.22/15min) and for Jorge it’s been 17 of 32 (53.13%, 1.03/15min). Usman has controlled his opponents 52.71% of the time while only being controlled 1.4% of the time, a whopping 37.65 to 1 ratio. Masvidal has controlled his opponents 17.29% of the time and has been controlled 20.95% of the time so he has been out-controlled by his opponents by a slight margin. Usmans fights spend about 20% more time in control time than Masvidals fights so it seems clear that in order for Masvidal to have success he needs to keep this fight standing while Usman will surely attempt to bring this fight to the mat which brings us to their respective takedown defenses. Usman has 100% TD defense so far in the UFC, his opponents are 0 for 20 on takedowns against him. Masvidal’s opponents have only been successful on 25 of 99 TD attempts against him for a TD defense of 74.75% (1.51 TD’s against per 15 minutes. Usman has repeatedly shown that he has great conditioning and can wrestle for long stretches of time without gassing out and I think if he sticks to a wrestling heavy game plan he can use his grappling advantage to tire out Jorge, make his arms fill up with blood and take the sting out of his punches as the fight goes on. Advantage: Usman UFC Stength of Schedule Usman’s S.O.S metric overall is 2.43 to Masvidal’s 1.83. This means Usman’s opponents have had a 2.43 wins to losses ratio outside of their matches with Usman and it’s 1.83 for Masvidal and Masvidal’s opponents have been slightly more experienced (15.37 total fights to Usman’s 13.46) Usman’s wins are better, 2.43 metric to Masvidal’s 1.58. The average record of Usmans opponents in his wins are 9.54W-3.92L and for Masvidal its 9.58W-6.08L. Usman has never lost while the average record of the dudes who have beat Jorge is 10.57W-4.29L for a 2.47 ratio so Jorge has lost to very solid competition. Advantage: Usman Conclusion I see Usman winning this fight. He has the advantage everywhere but the distance striking and I don’t even see Jorge’s advantage there being that huge. Usman’s youth, wrestling, conditioning and ability to grind down his opponents all show a solid path to victory for Kamaru. I see him using his clinch game, wrestling and top control to grind out a decision win.
"I fell in love with the box" Renato Moicano
04.22.2021 | 4:15 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 2 of 3 Winners, 0 Perfect, 100 Points | Tied for 4187th
Kamaru Usman
I'm picking Kamaru Usman because he needs to be KOed in order to win this fight for Jorge Masvidal. Kamaru have one of the strongest chins in UFC and I don't think Jorge have that ability to knock him out. Jorge is just a one way fighter where Kamaru is an all rounder. He also possess the power to knock Jorge out. It's simple, I feel like Kamaru is going to win this because he's been training with some world class fighters and champions lately.
04.22.2021 | 4:20 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 2 of 3 Winners, 0 Perfect, 100 Points | Tied for 4187th
Weili Zhang
Rose is an strong competitor. She can knock out Weili Zhang. The problem is, she is fighting Weili Zhang. Let's just forget where Weili came from. She have lost only one fight in her career. I saw her spirit when she fought JJ. When she feels like she ain't getting hurt, her confidence to move forward and land bombs is invincible. Besides, her toughness, skills, and stamina are beyond a person can explain. So I'm picking Weili Zhang based on the fact she dominated her previous opponents & she is purely disciplined, serious about her game.
04.22.2021 | 4:22 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 2 of 3 Winners, 0 Perfect, 100 Points | Tied for 4187th
Anthony Smith
I just picked this guy Anthony Smith randomly after watching his past fight against Jon Jones. I was impressed by the toughness of this dude & he can win.
04.22.2021 | 4:23 PM ET
Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 570 Points | Tied for 794th
* Edited at 04.22.2021, 4:25 PM ET *
"Quack quack quack"
04.22.2021 | 4:25 PM ET
^
Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 375 Points | Tied for 3318th
04.22.2021 | 4:44 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 415 Points | Tied for 2850th
"you dont need religion to have morals. if you can't tell right from wrong you lack empathy and humanity, not religion."
04.22.2021 | 4:56 PM ET
@Flying Frontkick
Yeah I really care what a rando calling people nutsacks on Tap says.
I've picked like 3 events man. I ain't worried bout you..but I'm glad you notice me. =)
And yes the guy who said Weili was gonna knock out Valentina I was talking to you.
04.22.2021 | 4:59 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 495 Points | Tied for 1796th
"🌽⚽️"
04.22.2021 | 5:01 PM ET
Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 570 Points | Tied for 809th
04.22.2021 | 5:03 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points | Tied for 1574th
"“What happened to you, USA? Wake up, USA! Go! Go back for you, go! Go for Jesus. No forgay Jesus people." -Yoel Romero"
04.22.2021 | 5:05 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 760 Points | 17th Place
Kamaru Usman, DEC
This time, Usman will strike more but the second he feels that Masvidal is getting comfortable on the stand up, he'll immediately wrestle. Usman was caught saying in the backstage after the Masvidal fight that he didn't feel comfortable in the stand up and then in the next outing against Burns, Usman showed a ton of improvement in his striking. His reach is unbelievably long for a 6' guy and it seems he has learned to fully capitalize on it by throwing very heavy accurate jabs. The only fighter who will give Usman a run for his money is Covington cos they both match up stylistically and cancel each other's strengths-wrestling and cardio. Until we see Usman vs Covington 2, it's Usman all day.
Zhang vs. Namajunas
Weili Zhang, TKO, R4
Zhang is one of the most mentally tough fighter. Her grit, determination, and the will to push that extra one tiny bit, is second to none. She is just too focused on fighting and fighting alone.. like no distractions and always looking to improve. She has the champ mentality. I'll give the agility, especially footwork advantage to Rose and she'll surely land some on Zhang but Zhang will just eat it and return back a set of combo with more power for every 1 strike Rose throws. If Andrade in the third round could bust up Rose [meaning rose being hittable], Zhang can definitely do it. Could even see a doctor's stoppage in this fight.
Shevchenko vs. Andrade
Valentina Shevchenko, DEC
I love how Andrade mixes it to the body. But I don't think she can grapple, takedown Shevchenko and control her on the mat and win a round like Maia did against shevchenko. In fact, I think Shevchenko will grapple Andrade if she feels the power of Andrade or else she will just maintain distance and pick apart Andrade from the outside. Andrade closes in, Shevchenko slides and resets, picks apart Andrade, and if Andrade touches her, shevchenko will mix in the grappling. Shevchenko via Unanimous decision.
Weidman vs. Hall II
Uriah Hall, TKO, R2
Weidman gets the takedown in round 1 after several tries. He looks good in round 1 until he gasses out badly and becomes sloppy. His previous fight against Akhmedov seemed like he was fighting in slo mo mode in the 3rd round. Weidman goes for the takedown in round 2 but he can't secure it and Hall finally finishes him off at the end of 2nd round. Only way Weidman wins is by decision if he is able to takedown Hall and win 2 rounds and stay safe in the third round.
Smith vs. Crute
Anthony Smith, TKO, R3
Crute is a good fighter and his fight IQ is high for a 25 year old young fighter who is still only 12-1. He was doing well until he got matched up with an upper ranked fighter in Cirkunov as his true test of whether he belongs to the top or not. Of course, he couldn't get past Cirkunov and I see that the UFC is giving him another similar test here by feeding him to a former title challenger. I see Smith using his veteran experience and getting a 3rd round stoppage win over Crute. Expecting a scenario where crute wins the first two rounds, even drops Smith but Smith is so tough to finish that crute gasses out by third round and Smith gets a comeback victory like he did many times in his UFC fights.
Brown vs. Oliveira
Randy Brown, DEC
Picking Oliveira is always 50/50. Guy is so unpredictable- either he looks good and really in it or he's just there to cash a cheque. I see Brown using his length to his advantage and piecing cowboy. Brown is going from fighting the likes of Luque to Oliveira so it should be an easier match up for him. A comfortable 29-28 unanimous victory for Brown.
Grant vs. Sekulić
Dwight Grant, TKO, R1
Expecting a Ko from Dwight Grant in round 1 unless Sekulic can tie him up, clinch, grapple and wrestle. The results could be very similar to last week's Al Hassan vs Malkoun where Malkoun just wrestled ****** Al Hassan, neutralizing Hassan's power, and got a decision victory.
Allen vs. Roberson
Brendan Allen, SUB, R1
Allen don't wanna stand and trade like he did against Strickland cos Roberson is a legit kickboxer. Allen just wouldn't go for the takedown to get try and get a sub against Strickland. The blue print to beat Roberson is to take him down and the submission is there. Hoping that Allen has learned his lesson and will go for the takedowns early and get a sub when they are dry in round 1. But if he stands with Roberson, he's getting finished.
04.22.2021 | 5:05 PM ET
Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 570 Points | Tied for 809th
04.22.2021 | 5:08 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 640 Points | Tied for 249th
Valentina Shevchenko, SUB, R4
Andrade KO prop as an insurance bet? I could see V win by sub just to shut people up.
Brown vs. Oliveira
Randy Brown, DEC
Look live is randy is winning on the ground or after rd. 2
Grant vs. Sekulić
Dwight Grant, TKO, R3
Guru thinks Sekulic is live!
"Complicated Human in Search of Simplicity"
04.22.2021 | 5:32 PM ET
Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 360 Points | Tied for 3407th
Tap Wiki 0, YT highlights 0
Yes he is the most boring/unwatchable "Champ/Stump" buy a mile/1.609344 kilometers! And he can compare only with female fighters!
Even worse, the 🤡1'Malley and 🤡Starling 🐦 looks like
a Super Heroes in front of him!
"Probably he is gonna win, but yes all this negative recosd is unbitedle"!
I prefer to support Jorge Masvidal although maybe is the wrong pick!
( I don't have any problem with you guys, or anyone else,
but all these things pass through my mind, when i listen his name!)
"KURZHAAR - Tomorrow Never Comes Until It's Too Late"
04.22.2021 | 5:33 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 470 Points | Tied for 2158th