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Topic: UFC 261

UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2

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Tapology
Tapology
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  • Predictions:  0  |  0.0%
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  • Post Score: 41

01.29.2021 | 2:58 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 261
  • Saturday 04.24.2021 at 10:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena
  • Location: Jacksonville, Florida, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Joe Rogan, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $3,300,000
  • Attendance: 15,269
  • PPV Buys / Buyrate: 700,000 | TV Ratings: 951,000 avg. viewers (ESPN prelims)
  • MMA Bouts: 13
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Kamaru Usman   defeats   Jorge Masvidal   via KO/TKO, Right Cross   1:02 Round 2 of 5, 6:02 Total Bout Page
Rose Namajunas   defeats   Weili Zhang   via KO/TKO, Head Kick   1:18 Round 1 of 5 Bout Page
Valentina Shevchenko   defeats   Jéssica Andrade   via KO/TKO, Elbows from Crucifix   3:19 Round 2 of 5, 8:19 Total Bout Page
Uriah Hall   defeats   Chris Weidman   via KO/TKO, Broken Leg   0:17 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Anthony Smith   defeats   Jimmy Crute   via KO/TKO, Doctor Stoppage (Leg Injury)   5:00 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Randy Brown   defeats   Alex Oliveira   via Submission, One-Arm Rear Naked Choke   2:50 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Dwight Grant   defeats   Stefan Sekulić   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Brendan Allen   defeats   Karl Roberson   via Submission, Heel Hook   4:55 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Pat Sabatini   defeats   Tristan Connelly   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Danaa Batgerel   defeats   Kevin Natividad   via KO/TKO, Counter Left Hook   0:50 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Rodrigo Vargas   defeats   Zhu Rong   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jeff Molina   defeats   Qileng Aori   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Ariane Carnelossi   defeats   Na Liang   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound from Guard   1:28 Round 2 of 3, 6:28 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 6

Kcoh MMA
Kcoh MMA
  • Location: Chi
  • Member Since: 2021.03.04
  • Predictions:  243  |  65.4%
  • Forum Posts:  38
  • Post Score: -495

04.20.2021 | 2:46 PM ET

Terrible outlook

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 2551st

I just finished a 2.5k parlay to win 12.5k on solecki, shore, vettori, d rod, Julia budd, Tony gravely and Bobby knuckles.  Parlays are the way to go if you tape study and find the best 3 or 4 fighters in each card throughout the weeks

"All I smell is blood"

FistyMcKickerChoke
FistyMcKickerChoke
  • Location: The real Fight Island in our hearts
  • Member Since: 2020.06.09
  • Predictions:  9,375  |  75.5%
  • Forum Posts:  1,964
  • Post Score: 226

04.20.2021 | 2:47 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 675 Points   |   Tied for 130th

@Kcoh even if you're right nobody cares because you're such an insufferable **** about it. 

"Check out my pound-for-pound greatest list, AKA "Fisty's Rusty Can Pile" for a laugh at the worst fighters to ever step in a cage! 350+ and counting!"

FistyMcKickerChoke
FistyMcKickerChoke
  • Location: The real Fight Island in our hearts
  • Member Since: 2020.06.09
  • Predictions:  9,375  |  75.5%
  • Forum Posts:  1,964
  • Post Score: 226

04.20.2021 | 2:49 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 675 Points   |   Tied for 130th

Also I genuinely don't believe you put $2500 on a 7-leg parlay, post a screenshot of the winnings or get out of here.

"Check out my pound-for-pound greatest list, AKA "Fisty's Rusty Can Pile" for a laugh at the worst fighters to ever step in a cage! 350+ and counting!"

Thesnake101
Thesnake101
  • Member Since: 2014.11.29
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  • Post Score: 183

04.20.2021 | 3:08 PM ET

@Kcoh

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 500 Points   |   Tied for 1739th

-700 post score, how can you even get to that point? Jesus.
ZoomerBet
ZoomerBet
  • Location: Atlantis
  • Member Since: 2020.12.05
  • Predictions:  386  |  65.8%
  • Forum Posts:  133
  • Post Score: 269

04.20.2021 | 4:15 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 470 Points   |   Tied for 2122nd

@Kcoh 

only inbreds need to watch tape to predict fights, if you can't accurately pick based off intuition alone you have no business being on this website. Seriously, I have never watched a fight in my life and I make min. five figures betting every UFC card. While you rely on "tape Study" I will sinply refer to the infallible blood memories of my ancestors to guide me.

know this

"I'm hoping it's a 5 round slugfest and I sc**** a victory by split decision."

reluded
reluded
  • Member Since: 2013.11.28
  • Predictions:  2,612  |  62.8%
  • Forum Posts:  10
  • Post Score: 600

04.20.2021 | 4:54 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 2079th

As an experienced gambler, with more than 6 years of profit, I can guarantee you that parlays are the way to go broke and make the bookies rich.
Also tape study is necessary, unless you have exceptional memory. Although it won't guarantee you a win, it's better than just blind betting.
ImperatorFishrat
ImperatorFishrat
  • Location: Wife's Boyfriend's Kitchen
  • Member Since: 2017.09.16
  • Predictions:  6,997  |  63.2%
  • Forum Posts:  14,546
  • Post Score: 202

04.20.2021 | 5:08 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 570 Points   |   Tied for 809th

MMA accumulators are risky.  Even if your reads are right, that of the Judging panel quite likely won't be. That said I am positive on them, but it's  likely the case I'd have done better on different wagers. I'd say they're no more or less risky than Props depending on the number of spots.  Personally I like to toss a small amounts on them occasionally for fun.

Tape study is critical IMO but it's not the be all and all and it's the best way to nurture confirmation bias in existence. Most of the time the numbers tell a truer story.

"Human beings are born with different capacities. If they are free they are not equal; if they are equal they are not free--Alexsander Solzhneitsyn"

reluded
reluded
  • Member Since: 2013.11.28
  • Predictions:  2,612  |  62.8%
  • Forum Posts:  10
  • Post Score: 600

04.20.2021 | 5:12 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 2079th

BTW, live betting, where possible, is quite a good way for profit.
Tieoken
Tieoken
  • Member Since: 2015.07.05
  • Predictions:  941  |  60.1%
  • Forum Posts:  2,091
  • Post Score: 300

04.20.2021 | 5:15 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 420 Points   |   Tied for 2801st

Zoomer is definitely correct. You have to divine the results based off of huffing glue and paint thinner, then connecting with your ancient ancestors and just hope that they weren’t ***** gatherers.

"I’m here to snatch necks and cash checks" - Darrick Minner

NickySwaz
NickySwaz
  • Location: Long Beach, NY. Not California
  • Member Since: 2019.07.15
  • Predictions:  2,277  |  62.2%
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04.20.2021 | 5:26 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 1574th

@fish i thought the term was be all end all

"“What happened to you, USA? Wake up, USA! Go! Go back for you, go! Go for Jesus. No forgay Jesus people." -Yoel Romero"

ImperatorFishrat
ImperatorFishrat
  • Location: Wife's Boyfriend's Kitchen
  • Member Since: 2017.09.16
  • Predictions:  6,997  |  63.2%
  • Forum Posts:  14,546
  • Post Score: 202

04.20.2021 | 5:29 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 570 Points   |   Tied for 809th

@Nicky it is, I'm just ********.

* Edited at 04.20.2021, 5:29 PM ET *

"Human beings are born with different capacities. If they are free they are not equal; if they are equal they are not free--Alexsander Solzhneitsyn"

Aric123
Aric123
  • Location: Detroit
  • Member Since: 2020.09.22
  • Predictions:  304  |  66.1%
  • Forum Posts:  134
  • Post Score: 338

04.20.2021 | 5:40 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 8 Winners, 1 Perfect, 250 Points   |   Tied for 3907th

The only time I have lost a bet or made a wrong fight prediction is when I went against the direct advice of my warrior ancestors. Stay humble and listen to the past, my friends 

"“WAAAAAAAAAAAAAGGGGGGHHHHH”- Conor Mcgregor "

DamienHandel420
DamienHandel420
  • Location: Somewhere over the rainbow
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04.20.2021 | 5:43 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 570 Points   |   Tied for 794th

I know Parleys can really suck when you lose them for the stupidest reason, My most ****** parley ending was UFC 260, I put $5 on a longshot parley on  Mularky KO, Women fight to go to decsion, Luque inside the distince and O'Malley 1st round KO, When O'Malley showbotted after what should of been a TKO finish, I was screaming at the TV horrible thing,Good thing I had  $20 on Francis by 2nd round KO because I walk away with some money,But nothing can take away the pain of lossing $600

* Edited at 04.20.2021, 5:50 PM ET *

"Qwack Qwack Qwack"

Swallerballs
Swallerballs
  • Member Since: 2020.08.29
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  • Post Score: 307

04.20.2021 | 6:32 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 520 Points   |   Tied for 1472nd

I love parlays even though they're awful and I've hit so many times 5/6 7/8 3/4 etc. However, they're not smart to make and generally you should straight bet/round robin. Thing is you cant straight bet kamaru usman at -400 cause it's not worth it. 
Thewelshguy1998
Thewelshguy1998
  • Member Since: 2021.02.22
  • Predictions:  201  |  55.2%
  • Forum Posts:  309
  • Post Score: 285

04.20.2021 | 6:40 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 470 Points   |   Tied for 2158th

I got an usman crute parlay 
Thewelshguy1998
Thewelshguy1998
  • Member Since: 2021.02.22
  • Predictions:  201  |  55.2%
  • Forum Posts:  309
  • Post Score: 285

04.20.2021 | 6:41 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 470 Points   |   Tied for 2158th

In the UK we call it accumulator but all I hear is American words on here lol
Bobb
Bobb
  • Member Since: 2021.01.03
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  • Post Score: 260

04.20.2021 | 7:24 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 445 Points   |   Tied for 2521st

Usman is gonna crush masvidal again. Don't think it'll even be close
thebluedash
thebluedash
  • Location: United States
  • Member Since: 2020.11.27
  • Predictions:  1,741  |  62.9%
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  • Post Score: 286

04.20.2021 | 7:49 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 420 Points   |   Tied for 2801st


Had to do quite a bit of tape research for the debutting fighters. Rong Zhu is definitely the most interesting out of the Chinese prospects, very well rounded game. Very technical striker, he's not a hard hitter, but he will fight a very technical battle and space himself until he lands a nice shot. He has hands up high all the time, very good striking defense.  I feel as if Vargas is almost a set-up fight.  Vargas's only way of winning is to try to wrestle and keep him down, however Zhu isn't bad on the ground and I don't think Vargas would have the cardio to keep pressuring him with his wrestling to get the takedowns. And in the striking Vargas is a very slow, kinda sluggy striker and Zhu is someone who will try to stay out of your reach and sneak in strikes.

Aori is kinda interesting, hes very aggressive and will be a fun fighter to watch however I don't know what his ceiling would be, he seems a little susceptible to takedowns a lot of the time and sometimes I feel like hes too aggressive for his own good, though same can be said for Jeff Molina to an extent. I also think Molina while a striker also, is definitely the better grappler of the two, so I wouldn't be surprised if he implements a gameplan based on that. Molina vs Aori will be a really close one and I wouldn't place money one either fighter. 

Na Liang is my least confident bet out of all the Chinese fighters. Her gameplan is to get you to the ground and submit you. She'll shoot a takedown as soon as the bell begins and will keep going for it even if its failing and sometimes she's far too comfortable on the ground and has been GNP there before. Carnelossi is also a heavily muscular fighter she could possibly outwrestle Na Liang and just ground n pound on Liang like during the Apagova vs Liang fight.


* Edited at 04.20.2021, 8:01 PM ET *

"Don't follow my bets, it's probably wrong."

Thewelshguy1998
Thewelshguy1998
  • Member Since: 2021.02.22
  • Predictions:  201  |  55.2%
  • Forum Posts:  309
  • Post Score: 285

04.20.2021 | 8:03 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 470 Points   |   Tied for 2158th

The Chinese really are taking over this card lol 
NickySwaz
NickySwaz
  • Location: Long Beach, NY. Not California
  • Member Since: 2019.07.15
  • Predictions:  2,277  |  62.2%
  • Forum Posts:  878
  • Post Score: 250

04.20.2021 | 8:20 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 1574th

@fish me 2 lol

"“What happened to you, USA? Wake up, USA! Go! Go back for you, go! Go for Jesus. No forgay Jesus people." -Yoel Romero"

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