UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Jones vs. Gane
Jon Jones, TKO, R2
Finally JBJ doing this. Its been too long in the making. Lets show some of the old Jones and bring the wrestling and elbow GnP. 2u on Jones ML.

Shevchenko vs. Grasso
Valentina Shevchenko, TKO, R2
Grasso is not on this level. Lets go Sheva. Part of a parlay with Rakhmonov and Im going all in, almost...

Neal vs. Rakhmonov
Shavkat Rakhmonov, TKO, R2
Rakhmonov hype train - chooo chooo! Part of a parlay with Sheva and Im going all in, almost...

Gamrot vs. Turner
Mateusz Gamrot, SUB, R2
Really looking forward to this one!! Really torn on who to pick though, Gamrot with the wrestling/grappling and maybe a sub or Turner with the KO? First vibe was Turner but I gotta go with the legendary polish power, Turner has not faced a grappler on that level and it will show.

Pickett vs. Nickal
Bo Nickal, SUB, R1
Lets see what Nickal has. Step up in comp but I guess he gets the sub quite fast.

Garbrandt vs. Jones
Cody Garbrandt, TKO, R1
Got love for No Love in this one even if Jones also got power in his hands. Will be on the under props when they drop.

Brunson vs. Du Plessis
Dricus Du Plessis, TKO, R2
Im afraid Du Plessis will get wrestle f-ed but flipping the coin for him to catch Brunsons chin.

Araujo vs. Ribas
Amanda Ribas, DEC
I dont know. With the younger gal here.

Marquez vs. Barriault
Julian Marquez, DEC
I have trusted Powebar too many times and he has not come through. Marquez should have an advantage in the wrestling and grappling and use that.

Machado Garry vs. Song
Ian Machado Garry, TKO, R2
The Future gets back to his finishing ways.

Martinez vs. Saaiman
Cameron Saaiman, TKO, R2
This could be a banger. Mana is always ready to throw some hands but might be too wild and MSP can capitalize.

Penne vs. Ricci
Tabatha Ricci, DEC
Baby sharks gets top position and grinds it out.

Basharat vs. Blackshear
Farid Basharat, DEC
Basharat bros. Kickboxing dec?

Radzhabov vs. Ribovics
Loik Radzhabov, DEC
Another wrestle clinic like his Tajik brother Nurullo Aliev last weekend. Dont go for the biting technique though.

I sometimes wish I had bookies with more intricate props like that. The best one I had for propbets put a $40 per bet limit on my account because I hit too many unanimous decision bets before they fixed the market error that existed on those.

Another Embedded 💪

All of the RVCA fighters are finish or bust tbh. None of them are particularly great point fighters. Turner is either going to win by mauling to a decision or 2nd round finish, and Gamrot is going to win either by submission, 3rd round GnP, or decision

I'll be honest, I mostly downvote the MMAFORTUNETELLER as a meme at this point but I think if you're selling your bets, which he is, you should show some kind of record somewhere. There's no picks on Tap, no link to BetMMA or similar that I can see. To me lacking that you're just a grifter.

So for all I know he's been killing it with his predictions videos, can't say as I don't watch them. I just would never trust someone that wont show the receits if they're gonna sell a service.

So, The Teller from March 2022 to now has a prediction % of 61% (63% last year alone). He's honestly a pretty chill dude and I really don't understand the hate. Grown man trying to do better for himself and others and people hate on him for what? What's new with this ****** up generation of kids though. Hating on a guy who's doing his best in life and doing something he loves to do (talk about MMA).

Never have a heard a disrespectful or bad word spoken out of the guys mouth, yet all I ever see is hate for him. Tell me you're 14 without telling me.

I wish I was 14 with the knowledge I hold today. I would've taken over the world by my age. But to reply to your point, he has 32 picks total and they are all from 2020. Not sure where you're getting the 61%, some other site? Tap says 56.3% based on those picks from 2020.

I've clicked on his youtube video and I can't find any sort of receits on his historical performance. As I said he might be good. He could even be the best capper on this site for all I know. It's just that he's selling services with no documentation in a field full of grifters and I'm pointing out I find that suspicious. Everyone should make their own evaluation of course if they want to take someone's advice or not.

I'm not saying you have to pick fighters on Tap and it's not analogous to how much money you make anyhow. As I've said in the past, I frequently pick one fighter and bet a dog that I think is less likely to win but has good value. But I think you should have some sort of record somewhere if you're selling this kind of service. That's my two cents and people can make up their own mind on it.

As much as I respect Grasso's abilities, she doesn't have that X factor to be the one to dethrone the great Valentina.  

Blanchfield is going to be the one who does it later this year.  

All you gotta do is watch this and see that Blanchfield will outgrapple her and and get the sub.

* Edited at 02.28.2023, 3:15 PM ET *

Yes you're right. The dwcs fighters seems to win.
nazim was lucky though :)

Valentina might avoid Blanchfield and Santos like the plague and ask for that triology fight with Nunes if and when she wins. There's nobody with a convincing argument for a title shot right now at women's 135. If Valentina racks up another title defense and then asks for it, I can't imagine the UFC says no. 

Which would all but certainly mean we get Blanchfield vs. Santos rebooked, except its 5 rounds for an interim title as opposed to the original 3 rounds and then last minute swap to a main event (with no title on the line, which would have been a waste). 

@foppa420, might be right about that.  Didn't think of that possibility.  Nunes will beat her again.  

I wish Santos would've gotten that one, had her at +526.

Jones vs. Gane
Jon Jones, DEC
I believe Jon can overcome octagon rust, if anyone can I believe he can. It’s also hard for me to believe Gane will beat him in a kickboxing/chess match, Jon has more tools in shed to get points and win a decision

I mean the last opponent that had kinda similar physical atributes to Turner made him look like he isn't rdy for UFC yet. But Turner is not Marian Ziółkowski nor he is a Beneil Dariush so if he puts it on Gamer with striking he can surely knock him out. But once Gamrot gets a hold of him its lights out. We all saw his grappling in action, and its a sight to see (After you of course watched Charles Oliveira's grappling, and DISCLSIMER : I do not mean by that Charles is best grappler in Lightweight nor that Gamrot is close second. My order of best lightweight grapplers is Islam, Charles, Benny, Arman and then Mateusz has an argument for 5th spot)

@guy who asked about the 5 leg parlay....

I don't think there's a big enough difference between shavkat ITD and his ML (in terms of a 5 leg parlay anyway). I would just take his ML. He's now worked his way into the top 15 he's going to win by decision eventually. I like the Garry ITD more as kenan doesn't impress me with durability, but I think u should still be vague and do his ML when you're trying to hit 5 spos or bust.