Topic: UFC 281

UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira

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Tapology
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08.03.2022 | 1:16 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 281
  • Saturday 11.12.2022 at 06:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: Madison Square Garden
  • Location: New York City, New York, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Joe Rogan, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Interviews: Joe Rogan | Backstage: Megan Olivi
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $11,562,807
  • Attendance: 20,845
  • MMA Bouts: 14
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Alex Pereira   defeats   Israel Adesanya   via KO/TKO, Punches (standing TKO)   2:01 Round 5 of 5, 22:01 Total Bout Page
Weili Zhang   defeats   Carla Esparza   via Submission, Crucifix Rear Naked Choke   1:05 Round 2 of 5, 6:05 Total Bout Page
Dustin Poirier   defeats   Michael Chandler   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   2:00 Round 3 of 3, 12:00 Total Bout Page
Chris Gutierrez   defeats   Frankie Edgar   via KO/TKO, Knee   2:01 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Dan Hooker   defeats   Claudio Puelles   via KO/TKO, Body Kick   4:06 Round 2 of 3, 9:06 Total Bout Page
Renato Moicano   defeats   Brad Riddell   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   3:20 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Ryan Spann   defeats   Dominick Reyes   via KO/TKO, Power Jab   1:20 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Erin Blanchfield   defeats   Molly McCann   via Submission, Kimura   3:37 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Andre Petroski   defeats   Wellington Turman   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Matt Frevola   defeats   Ottman Azaitar   via KO/TKO, Hooks   2:30 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Karolina Kowalkiewicz   defeats   Silvana Gómez Juárez   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Michael Trizano   defeats   Seung Woo Choi   via KO/TKO, Counter Left Hook   4:51 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Montel Jackson   defeats   Julio Arce   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Carlos Ulberg   defeats   Nicolae Negumereanu   via KO/TKO, Left Hook to Ground Strikes   3:44 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 44

DrChaotic
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11.10.2022 | 1:09 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 1 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 2827th

Okay good, that's what I thought. It seems like the odds are reversed for some reason
This user is suspended from posting until 9 years, 8 months, 3 days, and 19 seconds from now.
hlgh
hlgh
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11.10.2022 | 1:11 PM ET

@stuthehistoryguy

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 1 Perfect, 520 Points   |   Tied for 1358th

I'm confused by your post. What disparity are you seeing from tapology picks and vegas odds? Weili is a damn near 4/1 favorite and the pick % on here is high for here. Where is the disparity? 

Do you expect her to be -800 against a champion? Where do you see Zhang getting "the shaft", from gamblers? She's been bet up from a -150 favorite to -400 and growing...

Confused to say the least...

"Youtube capper splits sheets avaliable in Twitter bio."

Casual008
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11.10.2022 | 1:14 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 1 Perfect, 470 Points   |   Tied for 2235th

He's probably looking at the tapology page for the Carla vs Zhang fight which shows Zhang has a +280 underdog. 

"They're sorcerers they don't get knocked out"

hlgh
hlgh
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11.10.2022 | 1:31 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 1 Perfect, 520 Points   |   Tied for 1358th

Yeah, I see what the discussion was about now. The tapology odds that are messed up. Because on bestfightodds, BetWay showed the odds that way as well, and I assume that's what got recorded on tapology as well.
And I will say, that IS shady, because BetWay seems to be one of the sharper books with MMA lines. Did they know something pre-fight and tried to protect themselves? But you can't do that, because every other book would have to follow with those odds, and nobody did...Sketch.

* Edited at 11.10.2022, 1:33 PM ET *

"Youtube capper splits sheets avaliable in Twitter bio."

stuthehistoryguy
stuthehistoryguy
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11.10.2022 | 1:41 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 2 Perfect, 480 Points   |   Tied for 2089th

Like I said above, it's some kind of glitch. Happens.

When in doubt, blame the server migration.

"I'm not on your side. I'm not on his side. I'm on the side or being right. - Richard Harrison Sr"

Casual008
Casual008
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11.10.2022 | 1:42 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 14 Winners, 1 Perfect, 470 Points   |   Tied for 2235th

bestfightodds doesn't even have the Zhang vs Carla fight listed under UFC 281 anymore. Probably just something on their end.

"They're sorcerers they don't get knocked out"

AyyLmaonnaise
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11.10.2022 | 2:03 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 655 Points   |   Tied for 161st

Nope it’s a sign, they’re fixing the fight. They just have to be. There’s no way the fight isn’t fixed. It’s a conspiracy 

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

flying_frontkick
flying_frontkick
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11.10.2022 | 2:37 PM ET

I don't see how Carla wins this fight, and yeah I've said stupid **** like this before but Zhang is pretty much Carla's kryptonite, but as usual Carla will win by a suplex KO in 6 seconds. 

"For no particular reason beat up everyone"

ModestMan
ModestMan
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11.10.2022 | 2:45 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 5 Winners, 0 Perfect, 200 Points   |   Tied for 5026th

It’s funny people give Izzy so much flack because he fights safe, I respect champs that fight safe. They HAVE the belt, the person fighting them WANTS it, the opponent should be the aggressor, not go for tic for tac, go in there and take the belt if you want it so bad. If a person wants something that you have and willing to go after you for it they will go full fledge and you have to protect what you have. Izzy got into wars on his way up getting knock outs, now he sits on the throne and his duty is to protect it, not to prove a point.

"WMMA = 50/50 no matter the odds"

Neva_Cared
Neva_Cared

11.10.2022 | 3:18 PM ET

Predictions: 0 of 0 Winners, 0 Perfect, 0 Points   |   Tied for 5339th

u are right, and the best example if u rly want take this belt is Islam 
gliese58i
gliese58i
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11.10.2022 | 3:19 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 670 Points   |   Tied for 119th

Betway are not sharp, they just take the most off the top. Typically they offer the worst odds on both ends among my books. Whenever they have the best odds I snatch it up to make sure I get a bet in every 6 month or whatever their requirement is to consider the account active. It's not a small disparity either.

That tells me they put less time and effort into the sport than the other bookies and can't afford to give as good lines.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

MMAFORTUNETELLER
MMAFORTUNETELLER
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11.10.2022 | 3:25 PM ET

SLAM THAT DP MONEYLINE BROTHAS!!!!!!



This user is suspended from posting until 3 weeks, 5 days, 10 hours, and 32 minutes from now.
gliese58i
gliese58i
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11.10.2022 | 3:50 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 4 Perfect, 670 Points   |   Tied for 119th

I feel for Sam Alvey, if it wasn't for the judges he would still be in the UFC. Corruption of the highest order.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

CheckLeftHook
CheckLeftHook
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11.10.2022 | 3:56 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 14 Winners, 0 Perfect, 395 Points   |   Tied for 3595th

I just hope that the main event isn't another snoozer point fighting/sparring match from Izzy. I really hope that fight delivers above all the others.

"🏴 No Quarter Given 🏴"

DamienHandel420
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11.10.2022 | 3:58 PM ET

Modestman

Predictions: 9 of 14 Winners, 3 Perfect, 565 Points   |   Tied for 766th

He deserve the flak for entertainment value, People wants to be entertained, No one want to pay $60 to watch fights and get bored, Also how many other champions are boring fighter??? Most of them are still pretty fun to watch

I say this Izzy is the highest paid UFC fighter, And is on 5 title defence and counting, He doesn't need to fight entaining if they're not a lot of benefits to doing so, And in a few years he get praise like GSP, GSP is a boring fighter like Adesayna too

* Edited at 11.10.2022, 4:04 PM ET *

"Quack quack quack"

lytskinjonnybones
lytskinjonnybones
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11.10.2022 | 4:00 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 14 Winners, 1 Perfect, 355 Points   |   Tied for 4088th

All facts. Dustin is too crafty and collected to lose. He truly has paid the cost to be the boss at 155. Only legends have defeated him in the past 5 years.

"If you dont go too far you will never go far enough" - Uncle Chael

Jbustan
Jbustan
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11.10.2022 | 5:37 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 14 Winners, 1 Perfect, 600 Points   |   Tied for 453rd

Ummm I am not comfortable on my picks I have 90% end by tko
ModestMan
ModestMan
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11.10.2022 | 6:15 PM ET

Damien

Predictions: 4 of 5 Winners, 0 Perfect, 200 Points   |   Tied for 5026th

I don’t like to watch snoozers either but I put more fault on the contender, not the champ. Why don’t anyone give flak to the opponent. No one gave fault to Romero, Vettori or Cannonier for those fights being snoozers, the blame all went to Izzy, he’s the champ, the contender should be going all out trying to become champ, not playing pitty pat. Somehow it’s only Izzy’s fault for a boring fight. Thing is their plan is to go forward until they feel those strikes then they’re like ok wait a minute

"WMMA = 50/50 no matter the odds"

ModestMan
ModestMan
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11.10.2022 | 6:16 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 5 Winners, 0 Perfect, 200 Points   |   Tied for 5026th

I do think we’ll see a fight this Saturday though, I don’t see Alex going tit for tat with Izzy plus his defense isn’t the best

"WMMA = 50/50 no matter the odds"

Ezbrees99
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11.10.2022 | 6:22 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 14 Winners, 2 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 2871st

minus Trizano, Juarez, Riddell and Negumereanu  


* Edited at 11.10.2022, 6:25 PM ET *

Page 44


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