UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Bro don't waste your time trying to reason with Bananas
 He is a casual.

And he is destroying all his credibility saying stupid casual things like how Almeida is a lock against Zubaira. LOL. In Abhu Dhabi no less! 😅🤣🤣

And don't worry about Bananas talking about how rich he is. He probably is rich but we all know how he got there. Lol

from now on I want everyone to acknowledge me as a real estate tycoon with the amount of property I own inside rah's and reynolds' heads

bums

Lol only thing you own is a bag to collect your poop from the streets

honestly? pretty disgusting that you'd randomly bring up **** in this conversation

I guess when your head is filled with it thats the only thing you can bring up

Länsberg vs. Rosa
Karol Rosa, DEC
I believe in Rosa to dodge this bullet and come with a decision win

Makhachev should constantly be careful with the finish and learn safer variants, which is to look for that double underhook or some uchimata/hip toss variant from which he enters total control, it is too risky to shoot a level changing takedown in the center of the cage because he may fall into a submission or in some awkward position. You have to be cerebral all the time and not rush for the finish, but without too much risk you will win. This is a match in which either Oliveira will get a finish or Makhacev will win with complete dominance.Oliveira should constantly push that forward pressure and look for the finish, I think that if he manages to dominate with the center of the cage, Makhacev's strongest weapon will be taken away, and that is the wrestling pressing that the Dagestani fighters work with. I think Oliveira, unlike previous opponents from Islam, has that Thai clinch that he initiates at a close distance from which he throws shots from different angles. In order to enter the ground floor with him, you need to be cerebral and have the right decision making in those situations where the question is whether Islam has it and whether he can do it through 5 rounds.

Charles Oliveira RD 3 KO TKO

Sterling throws a constant high volume and can keep the pace through 5 rounds, a lot is based on individual shots, he is quite flat-footed and wide, which gives a big disadvantage in defense, which he completes with his violent wrestling, loves to catch kicks and go for takedowns, attacks from different corners have solid chain wrestling. A methodical grappler that is based on step by step in grappling sequences and does it all brilliantly. I think it's very difficult to keep Dillashaw on the floor, and in the standup Dillashaw certainly has a huge advantage in technique, although Sterling complements it with his output. I believe that the first 2 rounds will go to Sterling's side, and the other 3 to Dillashaw's side.

TJ Dillashaw UD 48 47 X3

* Edited at 10.17.2022, 7:58 PM ET *

Do you actually wager that much?

I honestly think that both Dariush and Belal have reached their ceilings, and they are both going to lose to surging contenders. I think Gamrot has what it takes to be champ, and there is still a question mark on Sean Brady rn. Barralho is probably going to make a statement and show that he deserves to be in the top 15 b/c Muradov isn't a bum. I'm really high on Almeida after his last performance, so I'm expecting him to beat Tukhugov. Abubakar is probably the only Nurmagomedov in history of MMA to be an average fighter, so if Omargadzhiev is actually decent and Barralho is truly a top 5/10 middleweight, he should win that. 

I wanna fight @Greg. First I would act all casual and turn my head like I am listening. Then I would head but him immediately. Followed by me dropping levels, double legging him and turning the corner. Finally I finish him off with a key lock. Because he's not really strong and I could overpower him rather easily.

Was a paragraph needed there^😂

Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Charles Oliveira, SUB, R3
I think Islam has to finish this fight inside 2 rounds or he's toast. I feel like the longer the fight goes on and the longer Charles is allowed to survive, he will take chances and always look for something, some kind of counter attack or something to hurt Islam with. I think this battle of attrition will favor Charles, he has more experience and has been through many fires. I'm not saying Islam can't handle adversity, I just think Charles will have more experience to find a way to finish this fight IF he's allowed to survive for a long period of time. I can honestly see both guys finishing each other with KO or submission in many different ways, I just can't see it go to a decision, I don't think Charles' high risk high reward style will allow for it.

Sterling vs. Dillashaw
Aljamain Sterling, SUB, R2
I'm going with Aljo here due to the yough and wrestling advantage. I think TJ has more ways to win this fight, but I'm not sure if he'll be able to overcome the weird size advantage. I thought TJ struggled with Cory's size for 25 mins, and Aljo is a far better grappler than both imo. I think TJ will have to keep scrambling and then mix it up with kicks on the feet to put Aljo away, but I think the more scrambles there are the more chances Aljo has to wrap his long limbs around some weird body lock or something and just grab a quick submission. I think Aljo has to win this fight by finish and do it before the championship rounds, otherwise I can see TJ take over and possibly even finish Aljo if he hasn't taken too much damage. TJ isn't as fast as he used to be, but he is still very crafy and he will find more openings the longer he's given time to download data on Aljo.

Yan vs. O'Malley
Petr Yan, TKO, R2
I can see O'Malley having success if he can constantly keep it at kicking range and just pick Yan apart, make him fight his fight. But that's easier said than done and Yan has the most versatile arsenal O'Malley has ever faced. I think Yan will just overload O'Malley with feints and combinations until he finds a clean shot to end the fight. Or I can even see O'Malley getting leg kicked into submission.

Dariush vs. Gamrot
Mateusz Gamrot, SUB, R3
If Gramrot doesn't brawl he should be able to coast to a win imo. Dariush is old and has a rather "average" skillset, but he is extremely dangerous if you brawl with him. Dude has some weird dad strenght or something.

Alright boys... odds are out.  The starting parlay piece for everyone should be:

Muhammed Mokaev inside the distance -200

How do we get that down to +100?  

That's the key.

* Edited at 10.18.2022, 12:56 AM ET *

Yan vs. O'Malley
Petr Yan, TKO, R3
Nobody talks about Yan's ground game ability, slow start, maybe 1st round is Sean's but Ground n Pound in 3rd

Chookagian vs. Fiorot
Manon Fiorot, TKO, R2
How this is main card, and not Belal vs Brady?

Nishikawa vs. Mustafaev
Magomed Mustafaev, TKO, R1
The kid is gonna have a grown man beating

Nurmagomedov vs. Omargadzhiev
Abubakar Nurmagomedov, TKO, R3
Abubakar is not that bad, I see ground and pound.

* Edited at 10.18.2022, 1:47 AM ET *

Main card: every taller fighter is gonna lose.

They just want to believe in some iluminado ****. After Islam rides Oliveira like his horse, they will say that Charles fought in enemy territory. The fight wont be even competetive.