Topic: UFC on ESPN+ 24

UFC on ESPN+ 24: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos

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Tapology

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Predictions: 0 | 0.0%
Forum Posts: 33,012
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11.12.2019 | 9:45 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Saturday 01.25.2020 at 05:00 PM ET
U.S. Broadcast: ESPN+
Name: UFC on ESPN+ 24: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Also Known As: UFC Fight Night Raleigh
Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
Ownership: WME-IMG
Venue: PNC Arena
Location: Raleigh, North Carolina, United States
Enclosure: Cage
TV Announcers: Brendan Fitzgerald, Michael Bisping, Daniel Cormier
Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
Post-Fight Interviews: Daniel Cormier
Ticket Revenue (live gate): $1,303,320
Attendance: 14,533
MMA Bouts: 12
Promotion Links:
Event Links:

Bout		Info
Curtis Blaydes defeats Junior dos Santos via KO/TKO, Knees and Punches		1:06 Round 2 of 5, 6:06 Total Bout Page
Michael Chiesa defeats Rafael dos Anjos via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Alex Perez defeats Jordan Espinosa via Submission, Arm Triangle Choke		2:33 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Angela Hill defeats Hannah Cifers via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound		4:26 Round 2 of 3, 9:26 Total Bout Page
Jamahal Hill defeats Darko Stošić via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Bevon Lewis defeats Dequan Townsend via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Arnold Allen defeats Nik Lentz via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Justine Kish defeats Lucie Pudilová via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Montel Jackson defeats Felipe Colares via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Sara McMann defeats Lina Länsberg via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Brett Johns defeats Tony Gravely via Submission, Rear Naked Choke		2:53 Round 3 of 3, 12:53 Total Bout Page
Herbert Burns defeats Nate Landwehr via KO/TKO, Knee From the Clinch		2:43 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 2
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ImperatorFishrat

Location: Wife's Boyfriend's Kitchen
Member Since: 2017.09.16
Predictions: 7,002 | 63.2%
Forum Posts: 14,546
Post Score: 236

01.20.2020 | 5:05 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 350 Points | Tied for 1879th

lol chiesa? The guy who decisioned Diego, best win is the husk of condit, is 2-2 from his last 4, and wins by sub if he wins at all vs a guy who only loses to elites and has never been subbed?

You people should be in a mental asylum.

This user is suspended from posting until 8 years, 11 months, 1 week, 3 days, 3 hours, and 14 minutes from now.

Axl702

Location: Las Vegas
Member Since: 2019.05.22
Predictions: 2,951 | 57.3%
Forum Posts: 483
Post Score: 110

01.20.2020 | 5:13 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points | Tied for 1665th

If chiesa manages to get him to the ground or pinned against the cage, i'm pretty sure he'll grind out a win

"R.I.P. Beneil"

ImperatorFishrat

Location: Wife's Boyfriend's Kitchen
Member Since: 2017.09.16
Predictions: 7,002 | 63.2%
Forum Posts: 14,546
Post Score: 236

01.20.2020 | 5:21 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 350 Points | Tied for 1879th

lol Lee couldn't get RDA to the ground or fence grind him, and he's ten times the wrestler and grappler Chiesa is. Chiesa was getting controlled by Diego.

Will not happen. Forget about it.

Free money if the lines are close to even on RDA.

This user is suspended from posting until 8 years, 11 months, 1 week, 3 days, 3 hours, and 14 minutes from now.

DamienHandel420

Location: Yah mom house
Member Since: 2018.09.01
Predictions: 5,766 | 66.8%
Forum Posts: 7,544
Post Score: 262

01.20.2020 | 5:25 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 465 Points | Tied for 961st

his last 2 wins are Condit who sucks now and Sanchez who suck when condit was good

"Quack quack quack"

tepid55

Location: Texas
Member Since: 2018.12.17
Predictions: 52,305 | 75.6%
Forum Posts: 2,339
Post Score: 168

01.20.2020 | 6:26 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 6 Perfect, 630 Points | Tied for 82nd

I think Chiesa is better than a lot of you guys give him credit for, and I think RDA's best days are behind him.

ImperatorFishrat

Location: Wife's Boyfriend's Kitchen
Member Since: 2017.09.16
Predictions: 7,002 | 63.2%
Forum Posts: 14,546
Post Score: 236

01.20.2020 | 6:40 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 350 Points | Tied for 1879th

**** version of TFERG IMO.

This user is suspended from posting until 8 years, 11 months, 1 week, 3 days, 3 hours, and 14 minutes from now.

Dragonfly Jones

Location: Michigan
Member Since: 2020.01.01
Predictions: 1,599 | 68.7%
Forum Posts: 467
Post Score: 346

01.20.2020 | 8:37 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 555 Points | Tied for 336th

I really like RDA he's been one of my favorites for a while. But I have a feeling Chiesa is gonna decision him though.

"Keep your eyes open. Or you'll die in the dark."

DamienHandel420

Location: Yah mom house
Member Since: 2018.09.01
Predictions: 5,766 | 66.8%
Forum Posts: 7,544
Post Score: 262

01.20.2020 | 9:36 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 465 Points | Tied for 961st

i honesty find chiesa a good fighter but not great like RDA, But i just don't like him because he kept *****ing about a coke out Irishman throw a huge metal object at his vercinty and saving him from a smashing from Khabib and Kevin Lee talk about his mom then put him to sleep like the ***** he is

* Edited at 01.20.2020, 9:39 PM ET *

"Quack quack quack"

Blaydes84

Member Since: 2019.12.17
Predictions: 1,063 | 61.7%
Forum Posts: 53
Post Score: -30

01.21.2020 | 1:27 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 545 Points | Tied for 400th

Saying no to chiesa haha you are also the one that argued to me there was no value in roxanne

ImperatorFishrat

Location: Wife's Boyfriend's Kitchen
Member Since: 2017.09.16
Predictions: 7,002 | 63.2%
Forum Posts: 14,546
Post Score: 236

01.21.2020 | 2:25 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 350 Points | Tied for 1879th

There wasn't. Just because the lottery hit doesn't mean it was a value bet. But you should take all your winnings and bet it on Chiesa.

* Edited at 01.21.2020, 2:26 AM ET *

This user is suspended from posting until 8 years, 11 months, 1 week, 3 days, 3 hours, and 14 minutes from now.

Lewpdeylewp814

Location: 814
Member Since: 2018.08.08
Predictions: 4,843 | 63.6%
Forum Posts: 135
Post Score: 248

01.21.2020 | 2:38 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 465 Points | Tied for 961st

Cifers is my big upset pick this week any thoughts?

"Wish in one hand **** in the other see which one fills up first"

johnnyonthespot

Location: Bridger Bowl
Member Since: 2019.10.31
Predictions: 134 | 58.2%
Forum Posts: 371
Post Score: 101

01.21.2020 | 10:32 AM ET

Predictions: 5 of 9 Winners, 0 Perfect, 250 Points | Tied for 2168th

Well Pinnacle has RDA at -260, that is a 72% win probability, fight is lined nowhere close to even, he prolly will win, but it's not free money. Chiesa has only lost to Lee and Pettis in last five years. MMA math dont work with Lee as that beast is super volatile.

This line is biggest dog of Chiesa career, similar to Gamebred.

I dont really have feel, just trying to figure it out.

"The urge to save humanity is almost always only a false-face for the urge to rule it." -H.L. Mencken

johnnyonthespot

Location: Bridger Bowl
Member Since: 2019.10.31
Predictions: 134 | 58.2%
Forum Posts: 371
Post Score: 101

01.21.2020 | 10:44 AM ET

Predictions: 5 of 9 Winners, 0 Perfect, 250 Points | Tied for 2168th

Pet peeve of mine is when UFC analysts, not here, mostly VOX losers call a -150 line or even higher, slight fave or some ****.

-150 is 60% implied win prob

Big difference between 40% and 60%, I believe its 20%

"The urge to save humanity is almost always only a false-face for the urge to rule it." -H.L. Mencken

tepid55

Location: Texas
Member Since: 2018.12.17
Predictions: 52,305 | 75.6%
Forum Posts: 2,339
Post Score: 168

01.21.2020 | 11:51 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 6 Perfect, 630 Points | Tied for 82nd

@johnnyonthespot

Some people only think a fighter is a heavy favorite when their money line is -300 or higher.

Torontomma

Member Since: 2019.05.01
Predictions: 70 | 57.1%
Forum Posts: 105
Post Score: 238

01.21.2020 | 12:08 PM ET

@Blaydes84 is a kid that wants attention. Ignore him.

Jakey1988

Location: Buckeye, AZ
Member Since: 2019.03.29
Predictions: 21,128 | 67.8%
Forum Posts: 1,389
Post Score: 205

01.21.2020 | 2:06 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 500 Points | Tied for 682nd

Landwehr vs. Burns
Nate Landwehr, TKO, R3
Nate has a huge future in the ufc very excited for this fight

"Lets see some ******* action!"

Blaydes84

Member Since: 2019.12.17
Predictions: 1,063 | 61.7%
Forum Posts: 53
Post Score: -30

01.21.2020 | 2:12 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 545 Points | Tied for 400th

Blaydes is a man that knows so much more than you. This is a very uneducated community. Good luck scrubs.

Blaydes84

Member Since: 2019.12.17
Predictions: 1,063 | 61.7%
Forum Posts: 53
Post Score: -30

01.21.2020 | 2:13 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 545 Points | Tied for 400th

The win says otherwise you scrub.

MarioSuperSmash

Member Since: 2018.07.24
Predictions: 2,221 | 65.3%
Forum Posts: 327
Post Score: 37

01.21.2020 | 3:02 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 525 Points | Tied for 503rd

You do realize that Kevin Lee took him down 6x in the first three rounds And if he had Mavericks conditioning he probably would have won

"Eat Sleep Gamble on fights 👊🏿👊🏿👊🏿"

ImperatorFishrat

Location: Wife's Boyfriend's Kitchen
Member Since: 2017.09.16
Predictions: 7,002 | 63.2%
Forum Posts: 14,546
Post Score: 236

01.21.2020 | 4:29 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 350 Points | Tied for 1879th

lol those weren't real TD's. They consisted off Lee working his ass off to toss RDA who touched the mat with one knee then got up again basically instantly. A lot of work for no result. And RDA has better cardio than Chiesa ever will. If my grandfather had testicles she'd be my grandfather. Lee tried to pull an Usman but he isn't on that level. I correctly predicted that fight BTW, down to the letter, and went exactly the way I said it would. Chiesa isn't a bigger sub threat than Lee. Lee subbed Chiesa's raggedy stick insect ass in one round. ********ed him.

Some other things to consider: Kevin Lee has Power, Chiesa doesn't. Chiesa's TDA is 48% vs Bums against RDA's TDD at 60% against elites--that figure being dragged down by the ten thousands times Usman took him down. Chiesa's striking defense is 51% and Chiesa's own TDD is only 61%, again, against bums. RDA has much less chance of gassing than Chiesa, who is not a grinder, he's an opportunistic grappler.

I'm sorry, but Chiesa isn't a good bet. It's wishful thinking. It's fighting and anything can happen, but there is absolutely no value on Chiesa.

* Edited at 01.21.2020, 4:56 PM ET *

This user is suspended from posting until 8 years, 11 months, 1 week, 3 days, 3 hours, and 14 minutes from now.

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Topic: UFC on ESPN+ 24

UFC on ESPN+ 24: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos

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