Topic: UFC 295

UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira

Anonymous Mode

You are not logged in to Tapology. When browsing anonymously, profanities and images are automatically removed from the forum.

Tapology
Tapology
  • Location: www.tapology.com
  • Member Since: 2012.01.20
  • Predictions:  0  |  0.0%
  • Forum Posts:  33,154
  • Post Score: 47

07.07.2023 | 11:37 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 295
  • Saturday 11.11.2023 at 06:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: Madison Square Garden
  • Location: New York City, New York, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Joe Rogan, Daniel Cormier, Megan Olivi
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $12,400,000
  • Attendance: 19,039
  • MMA Bouts: 13
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Alex Pereira   defeats   Jiří Procházka   via KO/TKO, Left Hook to Hammerfists and Elbows   4:08 Round 2 of 5, 9:08 Total Bout Page
Tom Aspinall   defeats   Sergei Pavlovich   via KO/TKO, Right Hook and Hammerfists   1:09 Round 1 of 5 Bout Page
Jéssica Andrade   defeats   Mackenzie Dern   via KO/TKO, Left Hook and Straight Right   3:15 Round 2 of 3, 8:15 Total Bout Page
Benoit Saint-Denis   defeats   Matt Frevola   via KO/TKO, Head Kick   1:31 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Diego Lopes   defeats   Pat Sabatini   via KO/TKO, Punches   1:30 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Steve Erceg   defeats   Alessandro Costa   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Lupita Godinez   defeats   Tabatha Ricci   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Mateusz Rębecki   defeats   Roosevelt Roberts   via Submission, Armbar   3:08 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Nazim Sadykhov   vs.   Viacheslav Borshchev   Ends in a Draw, Majority   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jared Gordon   defeats   Mark Madsen   via KO/TKO, Right Hook to Ground Punches   4:42 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
John Castañeda   defeats   Kyung Ho Kang   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Joshua Van   defeats   Kevin Borjas   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jamall Emmers   defeats   Dennis Buzukja   via KO/TKO, Straight Right and Hammerfists   0:49 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 12

Snearious
Snearious
  • Location: Ontario, Canada
  • Member Since: 2023.03.12
  • Predictions:  596  |  63.9%
  • Forum Posts:  41
  • Post Score: 185

10.25.2023 | 7:49 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 615 Points   |   Tied for 579th

@Erix424 
100000 Billion percent you may need the hotline if youre not trolling 
Vispian
Vispian
  • Location: Jan Mayen
  • Member Since: 2023.02.05
  • Predictions:  2,491  |  66.6%
  • Forum Posts:  375
  • Post Score: 174

10.25.2023 | 8:57 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 565 Points   |   Tied for 1117th

 @Erix424 dude gonna re mortgage  his house and file for insolvency. Sure you may win, but dude this is a 50-50 fight and the odds are pretty even. 
Kniferusty
Kniferusty
  • Location: Chicago
  • Member Since: 2021.09.08
  • Predictions:  730  |  77.3%
  • Forum Posts:  1,182
  • Post Score: 185

10.25.2023 | 9:03 PM ET

Predictions: 2 of 3 Winners, 0 Perfect, 115 Points   |   Tied for 5633rd

@Erix424 
With all due respect…As a sharp bettor my advice to you is this - 
You should never feel you are going to win with 100% confidence. That is delusional thinking and not reality

Also - UFC fans do NOT naturally hate Russian fighters. I don’t know where you got that from it is not true

* Edited at 10.25.2023, 9:06 PM ET *

"All my picks are backed by some type of real money wager. When I bet the house - I now have two houses"

Dixgo514
Dixgo514
  • Member Since: 2019.08.11
  • Predictions:  5,167  |  79.8%
  • Forum Posts:  234
  • Post Score: 194

10.25.2023 | 9:23 PM ET

Prediction comments

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 495 Points   |   Tied for 2231st

Alex Pereira KO Round 3
By the famous deadly left hook

Sergei Pavlovich KO Round 2
Russian Ngannou, but in all seriousness I'm kinda skeptical about his gas tank in the later rounds. Let's see if Jon Jones will defend his belt or retire at this point just like Stipe

Mackenzie Dern SUB or a Split Dec
Low confidence on this one ngl

Diego Lopes SUB in the early rounds
Always like to put on great show, his BJJ is very good as well from his back

Benoit St-Denis KO 1st Round

Steve Erceg Winner

Nazim Sadykov Early round stoppage

Tabatha Ricci DEC
CrimsonChinGuru
CrimsonChinGuru
  • Location: The Great Flo-Rida!
  • Member Since: 2021.02.21
  • Predictions:  3,145  |  64.1%
  • Forum Posts:  10,565
  • Post Score: 108

10.25.2023 | 9:32 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 2775th

@DamienHandel420 
yeah I agree with the Aspinall could end up being exposed like Gane.

And I mean more so; Aspinall hasn't showed holes in his cardio Pavlovich has and Aspinall doesn't seem like the type of fighter to gas too crazy.

And if I remember correctly didn't Overeem shoot a takedown early Pavlovich stuffed it and then Alistar had to use a outside trip? That won't happen against Aspinall.

* Edited at 10.25.2023, 9:37 PM ET *

"They killed Jesus for speaking the truth..."

Vispian
Vispian
  • Location: Jan Mayen
  • Member Since: 2023.02.05
  • Predictions:  2,491  |  66.6%
  • Forum Posts:  375
  • Post Score: 174

10.25.2023 | 10:01 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 565 Points   |   Tied for 1117th

Pavlovich vs. Aspinall
Tom Aspinall, SUB, R2
This is a 50/50 fight. No matter who you pick best of luck to you. Like Alex/Jiri this can go either way and will be pure violence for how short it lasts. Either Pavlovich gets the KO as Tom bounces in with his 1-2 down the pipe or marches Tom down with Hooks. Tom either clips him with the 1-2 and gets the KO with his speed, or he blasts in the double leg and finishes it on the ground. I think there is a chance for it to go round 2, but not any longer so I'm picking that more as an underdog pick since its 50/50. However, I want to end something on Aspinall, sure he has not had a training camp but he has been in the Gym. His whole HW gym has fights coming up, his two main training partners Parkin has a fight the week after and De Fries has just started preparing for his fight at the end of the year. Let alone Pavel/Houlton both having regional fights coming up. Tom has been active as a training partner and been in the gym. He even went over and trained with Verhoeven the other week. Two weeks is just enough time to get the hard rounds in to be sharp and at HW there is no need to work on conditioning as this will end within 10mins and there is no weight cut. Let alone family just went on holiday so he is home alone and can dial in only on training. I just say this not that I think it makes Aspinall win or removes the short notice concerns, just that its interesting context. This is HW MMA one punch or one takedown can change the outcome completely. These are the two best HWs at the moment and whoever wins I will be happy the HW division has a bright future. Whether its the power and violence of Pav or the Skillset and Speed of Tom



* Edited at 10.25.2023, 10:02 PM ET *

CowboyKurt
CowboyKurt
  • Member Since: 2021.10.27
  • Predictions:  972  |  65.4%
  • Forum Posts:  97
  • Post Score: 143

10.25.2023 | 11:09 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 495 Points   |   Tied for 2231st

Sergei Round 1 KO, He’s been in camp because of being the backup fighter for Stipe Vs Jones, and he seems to be working on his takedown defence a lot at AKA from what he’s posted on social media, much like last week with Volk it seems like the odds are stacked against Tom here 

"Everyone Has a Plan Until They Get Punched in the Mouth"

JJ MMA
JJ MMA
  • Location: Chicago
  • Member Since: 2022.07.01
  • Predictions:  1,136  |  63.4%
  • Forum Posts:  52
  • Post Score: 73

10.25.2023 | 11:37 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 520 Points   |   Tied for 1830th

Procházka vs. Pereira
Alex Pereira, TKO, R1
Right straight KO

Pavlovich vs. Aspinall
Tom Aspinall, SUB, R1
Arm triangle

Andrade vs. Dern
Mackenzie Dern, DEC
29-28

"Lrz 4800 / | \"

PickemMMA
PickemMMA
  • Location: Canada
  • Member Since: 2021.12.18
  • Predictions:  2,961  |  68.5%
  • Forum Posts:  581
  • Post Score: 52

10.26.2023 | 12:37 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 1898th

@Erix424 
Lets see that 40k ticket you got on Pavlovich
LilBro123
LilBro123
  • Member Since: 2023.09.17
  • Predictions:  219  |  59.8%
  • Forum Posts:  317
  • Post Score: 26

10.26.2023 | 1:38 AM ET

Mid card.

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 3465th

While I do appreciate the addition of Pavlovich/Aspinall for the interim belt on the card, this card sucks ass. Lopes on the main card. REALLY? Why are they bothering with stacking up the Austin and 296 cards but not even bothering with a ******* MSG card. Put Emmett/Giga, WB/Shavkat, Walker/Ankalaev 2, and Garbandt/Kelleher on the main card.
FcBayern
FcBayern
  • Location: Las Vegas
  • Member Since: 2021.12.16
  • Predictions:  1,826  |  68.4%
  • Forum Posts:  117
  • Post Score: 9

10.26.2023 | 1:59 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 2031st

@Erix424 
Casinos make a lot of profit from people trying to make fast money don't bite the fishhook better use your bankroll to learn how to be on + slowly with smaller roi but surely
DamienHandel420
DamienHandel420
  • Location: Yah mom house
  • Member Since: 2018.09.01
  • Predictions:  5,792  |  66.9%
  • Forum Posts:  7,560
  • Post Score: 262

10.26.2023 | 2:03 AM ET

Lilbro

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 555 Points   |   Tied for 1238th

I disagree with that. I really like this card, less names but fun fights, this is going to be a real unpopular opinion but I like this card way more then 296, I’m not really a fan of ‘old yeller’ fights because it just makes me sad, and that December card is full of those fight, while this card have competitive fights with either young talent or fighter in their prime. Andrade is the only past prime fighter on this card 

I'm excited to see Lopes fight, he sick to watch, rather watch him then watch geriatric fighter

* Edited at 10.26.2023, 2:24 AM ET *

"Quack quack quack"

Vandal
Vandal
  • Member Since: 2021.03.07
  • Predictions:  4,451  |  71.3%
  • Forum Posts:  821
  • Post Score: 96

10.26.2023 | 3:32 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 2405th

Agree with duck. We have a lot fun fights here.
even Frevola vs BSD, Rebecki vs Aliev should be fireworks
PickemMMA
PickemMMA
  • Location: Canada
  • Member Since: 2021.12.18
  • Predictions:  2,961  |  68.5%
  • Forum Posts:  581
  • Post Score: 52

10.26.2023 | 3:55 AM ET

+110 for Pavlovich

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 1898th

I might put a couple unit and then bet him by KO/TKO if Tom cant get the takedowns and has to trade with him in the pocket he could be in some trouble, he has been knocked out before early in his career. Also Sergeiw as already preparing for either Jones or Stipe so you gotta think he has been drilling his TD defence in camp. if Tom was plus money I would bet him but hes not
baremaras
baremaras
  • Member Since: 2022.09.10
  • Predictions:  3,127  |  71.7%
  • Forum Posts:  1,762
  • Post Score: -18

10.26.2023 | 4:32 AM ET

pickemmma

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 530 Points   |   Tied for 1666th

stop spreading misinformation, aspinall has never been knocked out. what you're referring to was a DQ loss due to illegal elbows (12-6) in a fight he was dominating.

do you people even actually bet? you literally just publicly urged everyone to follow your supposed bet based on false information. you're either a conman misleading people on purpose or just straight up stupid - pick one
tkr8600
tkr8600
  • Location: NJ
  • Member Since: 2023.08.21
  • Predictions:  424  |  65.3%
  • Forum Posts:  102
  • Post Score: 66

10.26.2023 | 8:00 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 430 Points   |   Tied for 3305th

Pavlovich vs. Aspinall
Sergei Pavlovich, TKO, R1
My god I love this fight more than the previous Heavyweight bout we had planned considering I saw Jones running right through Stipe in all honesty. Now we have one where two finishing machines & the future of the Heavyweight division go head-to-head to see who is the next king between two of my favorite Heavyweights rn. And MAN do I want Aspinall to win but tbh it's hard to see w/ the streak that Pavlovich has been on in his own regard, and tbh I wouldn't be mad if he did. His power & pressure is unrelenting and it's hard to see anyone really stopping that right now. Aspinall's best chance is by taking him down & I think he fully knows that & won't make the same mistake Blaydes did by staying on the feet with him for as long as he did. Although Aspinall is fast and can move in & out very effectively, he blitzes in & crashes into his opponent usually & leaves his chin up in the air. Pavlovich is fast as well & has the 2nd longest reach in all of UFC right now which will only make it easier to catch Aspinall coming in. No matter which way this bout goes, we're either getting a back & forth banger or a quick 1st RD finish & I can't wait for either outcome because no matter who wins or loses, both are the future of what's to come in the Heavyweight division & will likely be facing off again sometime down the road & become the best rivalry in this division since Stipe & DC back years ago & I'm allllll in for that! Can't wait to see this live @ The Garden as well :').

"We Fall, But We Get Up Because The Ground Is No Place For A Champion." - Dustin Poirier

tkr8600
tkr8600
  • Location: NJ
  • Member Since: 2023.08.21
  • Predictions:  424  |  65.3%
  • Forum Posts:  102
  • Post Score: 66

10.26.2023 | 8:53 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 430 Points   |   Tied for 3305th

Procházka vs. Pereira
Alex Pereira, TKO, R3
I. Love. This. Fight. Can't get any more violent than what we have in front of us here. One thing is for certain: this likely ain't seeing the score cards in the least. Like many off the bat, my first thought is that this will be a 1st RD KO on someone's end for sure, but honestly after looking at their records & actually visualizing how the fight will play out, I see this actually going to RD 2 or 3 after a war between the two. Obviously this can end @ any point and either side can win, but you gotta side w/ Pereira's technical prowess over Jiri's manic style that usually end up getting him caught at more than one point or another in the bouts he's been in. I see a 3rd RD Flat-Line KO via Pereira Left Hook as Jiri blitzes in. CHAMA!

"We Fall, But We Get Up Because The Ground Is No Place For A Champion." - Dustin Poirier

jeffferson
jeffferson
  • Member Since: 2023.09.17
  • Predictions:  471  |  71.8%
  • Forum Posts:  765
  • Post Score: 149

10.26.2023 | 9:03 AM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 680 Points   |   Tied for 189th

@PickemMMA 
huh? Aspinall didn't get KO'd in that fight it was a DQ for illegal elbows.

"Train by day, Joe Rogan podcast by night" - Nick Diaz

Hyrm
Hyrm
  • Location: Laval, Quebec, Canada
  • Member Since: 2015.12.08
  • Predictions:  6,141  |  64.3%
  • Forum Posts:  3,258
  • Post Score: 189

10.26.2023 | 9:06 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 405 Points   |   Tied for 3739th

Rules of 3 means that Aspinal will get knocked out 1st round but i'm still not so confident about power puncher that dont know grappling. Interesting figth.

"Never go down without a fight"

jeffferson
jeffferson
  • Member Since: 2023.09.17
  • Predictions:  471  |  71.8%
  • Forum Posts:  765
  • Post Score: 149

10.26.2023 | 9:06 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 680 Points   |   Tied for 189th

Aspinall is fighting on 2 weeks notice, while Sergei was the back-up for Jones v. Miocic. This can be the key diffrence here. Pavlovich definetly was improving that TD def and ground game. But also I can't just ignore how wellrounded Aspinall is. And we still don't know how Sergei looks after the 1st round or how well he could do on the ground, however if we look at this only loss at MMA (his first UFC fight against Overeem) he got taken down with ease and finished by GnP. No doubt he has improved since then but that is still a big question to ask since all he does is fight these strikers, Blaydes was the diffrence but he was too scared to grapple. Tough fight to predict. Absolute 50/50 here from my POV.



* Edited at 10.26.2023, 10:24 AM ET *

"Train by day, Joe Rogan podcast by night" - Nick Diaz

Page 12


You must be signed in to reply. Sign in or register to join the discussion.

As an anonymous reader, profanities and images are automatically removed from the forum.

  • MMAFighting.com : UFC 302 bonuses: Michel Pereira snags extra $50,000 for monster finish of Ihor Potieria
  • UFC.com : Bonus Coverage | UFC 301: Pantoja vs Erceg
  • MMA Mania : Bonuses! Back-Flipping Pereira Banks $50K
  • MMA Mania : UFC 301 PPV Results, Streaming Updates
  • MMA Junkie : UFC 301 results: Alexandre Pantoja ekes by Steve Erceg to retain title in thrilling five-round battle
  • MMAFighting.com : Canelo Alvarez vs. Jaime Munguia full fight video highlights
  • MMA Junkie : UFC 301 bonuses: The Force is $50,000 strong with Mauricio Ruffy
  • MMA Junkie : Canelo Alvarez drops, beats overmatched Jaime Munguia to retain 168-pound title
  • MMA Mania : Resurgent Aldo Teases Second Run At UFC Title
  • MMAFighting.com : ‘Canelo carried him’: Pros react to Canelo Alvarez humbling undefeated Jaime Munguia
  • MMAFighting.com : Alexandre Pantoja fends off valiant challenge from Steve Erceg to retain title in UFC 301 main event
  • Middle Easy : Alexandre Pantoja Outsmarts Steve Erceg To Razor-Close Decision, Retains Title – UFC 301 Results (Highlights)
  • MMAFighting.com : ‘I just didn’t see it’: Pros score Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg at UFC 301
  • MMA Junkie : Social media reacts to Alexandre Pantoja's title defense over Steve Erceg at UFC 301
  • MMA Mania : LIVE! Watch UFC 301 Post-Fight Presser Here
  • Bad Left Hook : ‘Canelo carried him the whole fight’: Bud Crawford and more pros react to Canelo vs Munguia
  • MMA Mania : Highlights! Canelo Hands Munguia First Career Knockdown
  • Bad Left Hook : Canelo drops Jaime Munguia, wins clear decision to retain titles: Highlights
  • MMA Mania : Canelo Dominates For Decisive Title Defense
  • MMA Mania : UFC 301 Results, Full ‘Prelims’ Play-By-Play