UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

🔒 Bo Nickal + Shavkat Rakhmonov + Shevchenko + Ian Machado Garry
                                (all of them ITD imo plus Nickal R1)

High confidence on  Farid Basharat

⚠️ Careful on Dricus Du Plessis (no cardio and doubtful wrestling) & Radzhabov (gym buddies and same manager)

Best of luck guys, have fun and make money! 💸

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"Valentina will get put out if she goes blow for blow with Grasso" 

This is cringe even for a Cejudo quote. Grasso has 0 KO's in 10 UFC fights but is going to knock out arguably the greatest all around WMMA fighter ever. 

I've seen crazier but that would be a top 5 all time upset.

Jon Jones is winning this fight. By decision. Hands down

I have a grade A conspiracy theory and will tell you why after the event. 

If Gane wins I will eat my hat, cancel my account and retire

Garbrandt by ko. Gane by decision and or ko. Bank it

Mezzor what are the locks for this week

I just hope Cereal Gain doesn't look for submissions instead of defending the takedowns as he did against Francis. If he does that, it's gonna be a problem for Jon, cause on the feet is Gane all day. 

I also have Bones by decision. Simply due to fact that Jones still is historically one of the best wrestlers 

Gamrot vs. Turner
Jalin Turner, TKO, R1
I’m going Turner by late 1st round TKO, I don’t see Gamrot being able to take all the big shots by Turner.

Garbrandt vs. Jones
Trevin Jones, TKO, R1
CODY “NO CHIN” GARBAGE WILL GET CHINNED AGAIN!!!

Machado Garry vs. Song
Ian Machado Garry, DEC
30-27 unanimous.

Martinez vs. Saaiman
Cameron Saaiman, TKO, R2
Saaiman is just too good

Radzhabov vs. Ribovics
Esteban Ribovics, TKO, R1
Not much to say here.

I am absolutely certain Jones wins.

But wait... let me confirm

* Edited at 03.03.2023, 10:27 AM ET *

Hey MezzBum. Didn't you pick Gane?

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Hahaha already have the opposite picked

Tbh idc what Mezzor picks Im confident that Bones can do this. Im also mostly confident that Gamrot this time won't open himself for huge shots and basicly grapple his way to a stoppage or decision. and The ***** should make quick work of Alexa Grasso

There are 5 dogs on this card who are +350 or higher: Grasso, Neal, Pickett, Blackshear and Song

Am I crazy for thinking Neal might have the best shot of any of these huge dogs? He has hands down the best resume. Blackshear has enough tools to not get finished but I think Basharat is an entire step ahead of him right now and has a much higher ceiling.

Shavkhat will probably beat Neal, but there's no arguement both guys are top 7-10 WWs. I guess you could make a similar arguement for Grasso but I don't think her resume is as impressive as Neals. Neal is a pretty consistent finisher and has fought half the division at this point. Grasso has two solid wins over Barber and Arajuo and that's pretty much it.

So do any of these fighters truly have a shot? Because when I look at all 5, Neal seriously might have the best chance at an upset despite having the scariest opponent. Every other fighter is fighting someone clearly below their level (in my humble opinion).

If you are having a similar realization and trying to talk yourself into betting on Neal because the odds are huge, look at Ribovics, Martinez, or Turner instead. Those are much more realistic dogs (again, in my humble opinion).