Topic: UFC 295

UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira

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07.07.2023 | 11:37 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 295
  • Saturday 11.11.2023 at 06:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: Madison Square Garden
  • Location: New York City, New York, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Joe Rogan, Daniel Cormier, Megan Olivi
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $12,400,000
  • Attendance: 19,039
  • MMA Bouts: 13
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Alex Pereira   defeats   Jiří Procházka   via KO/TKO, Left Hook to Hammerfists and Elbows   4:08 Round 2 of 5, 9:08 Total Bout Page
Tom Aspinall   defeats   Sergei Pavlovich   via KO/TKO, Right Hook and Hammerfists   1:09 Round 1 of 5 Bout Page
Jéssica Andrade   defeats   Mackenzie Dern   via KO/TKO, Left Hook and Straight Right   3:15 Round 2 of 3, 8:15 Total Bout Page
Benoit Saint-Denis   defeats   Matt Frevola   via KO/TKO, Head Kick   1:31 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Diego Lopes   defeats   Pat Sabatini   via KO/TKO, Punches   1:30 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Steve Erceg   defeats   Alessandro Costa   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Lupita Godinez   defeats   Tabatha Ricci   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Mateusz Rębecki   defeats   Roosevelt Roberts   via Submission, Armbar   3:08 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Nazim Sadykhov   vs.   Viacheslav Borshchev   Ends in a Draw, Majority   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jared Gordon   defeats   Mark Madsen   via KO/TKO, Right Hook to Ground Punches   4:42 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
John Castañeda   defeats   Kyung Ho Kang   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Joshua Van   defeats   Kevin Borjas   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jamall Emmers   defeats   Dennis Buzukja   via KO/TKO, Straight Right and Hammerfists   0:49 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 27

AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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11.08.2023 | 8:08 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 1386th

@valkire I would go back and rewatch that fight then; he smoked Zhalgas. Almost ko’ed him in round 2. He fought a very smart fight and outpointed a ufc vet while also showing very good conditioning and improved wrestling 

He also took that fight on like a weeks notice; definitely not a set up fight for van to win, he was literally the underdog 

* Edited at 11.08.2023, 8:09 AM ET *

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

Valkyrie_a7x
Valkyrie_a7x
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11.08.2023 | 8:43 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 545 Points   |   Tied for 1445th

Just rewatched the fight and yeah, it was way more one-sided than I remember. Borjas has that dog in him but if the same Van shows up as against Zhumagulov, then I think that Van is going to get the decision W. Van just has to stay defensively sound, mainly around the body. 
gliese58i
gliese58i
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11.08.2023 | 9:31 AM ET

@AyyLmaonnaise

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 525 Points   |   Tied for 1783rd

Dana stood up and clapped after the Borjas fight. I was a little perplexed. I guess he was in a good mood or liked that Borjas is Peruvian. Another day that would have been a fight he complained about and didn't sign anyone from.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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11.08.2023 | 9:37 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 1386th

Yeah really not sure what he saw there. Maybe he was happy the crotch sniffer didn’t win? Either way, def not a performance I would be applauding, he looked terrible 

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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11.08.2023 | 9:38 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 1386th

Also Castaneda vs kang is at a 138 lb catchweight. Last time Castaneda requested a catchweight he had bronchitis & death gassed, bears watching on the scales 

Could also just be because the fight got moved a week earlier that it was originally supposed to be but still

* Edited at 11.08.2023, 9:38 AM ET *

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

unoshowtenuno
unoshowtenuno
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11.08.2023 | 10:19 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 2775th

Borjas isn’t bad but I think Van has more upside. Sort of a rugged fighter vs a fighter who is just better.

"We are all one"

gliese58i
gliese58i
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11.08.2023 | 10:43 AM ET

@AyyLmaonnaise

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 525 Points   |   Tied for 1783rd

Castañeda death gassing is such a weird thing. I understand the cause but normally his cardio is insane. If you watch his fight with Miles he pressured him nonstop until he got the finish in the 3rd and wasn't even breathing after. Look at his face and body after that stoppage, mouth is closed, chest is not moving, he hasn't broken a sweat. Just unreal cardio.

If he was to deathgas again he'd become one of the most unreliable fighters moving forward. Either godlike cardio or awful cardio and you wont know which one you're going to get.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

Rah123
Rah123
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11.08.2023 | 10:53 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 3853rd

Procházka vs. Pereira
Alex Pereira, TKO, R2
It's finally here! My picks! Amen 🙏. I would say this card is going to make me rich but I am already that. So never mind. Left hook to chin. Moving around like a breakdancing monkey with a pineapple on your head ain't gonna stop hands of stone

Pavlovich vs. Aspinall
Sergei Pavlovich, TKO, R2
Sorry Tom. Knee gone, motivation gone, conciousness gone.

Andrade vs. Dern
Mackenzie Dern, DEC
Dern hasn't subbed anyone. Ever. But Andrade is now a legit bum. What happened to her? Hard to believe but apparently there's a lot going on behind the scene and her mentals are shot.

Frevola vs. Saint-Denis
Matt Frevola, DEC
The real Crimson Chin. Not the fake wish version we have on here.

Sabatini vs. Lopes
Pat Sabatini, SUB, R2
Lopes being over rated by everyone because he caught a random knee bar. He is getting schooled here. It won't be close. Trust me. Levels.

Erceg vs. Costa
Steve Erceg, DEC
Both are good but Costa is short

Ricci vs. Godinez
Tabatha Ricci, DEC
Do guys on here really find these two hot? Really? Ok 🙄

Rębecki vs. Roberts
Mateusz Rębecki, DEC
Both over rated. But over rated and on short notice

Sadykhov vs. Borshchev
Viacheslav Borshchev, DEC
Black Wolf has grappling but he won't use it. He is kinda dumb

Gordon vs. Madsen
Jared Gordon, DEC
Easy

Kang vs. Castañeda
Kyung Ho Kang, DEC
Easy

Van vs. Borjas
Joshua Van, DEC
Both are good. Quite good actually. This one will be very close. Can see a split

Buzukja vs. Emmers
Jamall Emmers, DEC
Unless Emmers has another brain fart he wins. If it goes to decision as it likely will Bazooka is from NY

"Positivity is a positive"

Rah123
Rah123
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11.08.2023 | 10:53 AM ET

Gliesie

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 3853rd

He had pneumonia 

"Positivity is a positive"

Rah123
Rah123
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11.08.2023 | 11:00 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 3853rd

For those who think McKenzie Dern is an unstoppable BJJ machine with submissions coming out of her ass... let me list some of her last fights....

1. Angela Hill - DECISION
2. Xiaonan Yan - DECISION 
3. Tecia Torres - DECISION 
4. Marina Rodriguez- DECISION 
5. Virna Jandiroba - DECISION 
6. Amanda Ribas - DECISION 
7. Ashley Yoder - DECISION 

Only recent subs
Nina Nunes (best grappler in women's MMA), Hanah Cifers, Randa Markos.

"Positivity is a positive"

Rah123
Rah123
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11.08.2023 | 11:02 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 3853rd

Follow my picks and you will get rich. As you can see I am already tied for 1st position. 

"Positivity is a positive"

AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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11.08.2023 | 11:06 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 1386th

@gilese yeah he had bronchitis when he fought willycat, hence why his normally never ending cardio went away after 8 min. He should be fine here but asking for another cw is concerning. Hopefully it’s just because of the shortish notice and not bronchitis again

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

Nb52
Nb52
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11.08.2023 | 11:40 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 2405th

Rębecki vs. Roberts
Mateusz Rębecki, TKO, R1
guaranteed

VicStrk
VicStrk
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11.08.2023 | 11:59 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 445 Points   |   Tied for 3086th

Just re-watched Castañeda vs Daniel "willycat" Santos, that was such a great fight. 

I hope Daniel still fights this year.

"This is a rat race...but I’m not a rat. I’m a f*ckin’ turtle, ninja turtle. So which one is your favorite? I like Michelangelo....next question - Tony Ferguson"

AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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11.08.2023 | 12:09 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 1386th

I love thag fight; very underrated war. Ironically I think that’s castaneda’s best performance. He looked incredible everywhere before his cardio failed him. The fact he was doing that to willycat while having bronchitis is hella impressive too; when I had bronchitis I couldn’t get off the couch 

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

Frostline
Frostline
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11.08.2023 | 12:50 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 380 Points   |   Tied for 4057th

Procházka vs. Pereira
Alex Pereira, TKO, R3
I feel like Pereira is gonna be able to catch Jiri coming in on some wild ****. That power is DEATH if he lands flush.

Pavlovich vs. Aspinall
Sergei Pavlovich, TKO, R2
Pavlovich is probably gonna be too much with the reach and the swarming power.

Andrade vs. Dern
Mackenzie Dern, SUB, R2
It's Andrade's time i thinl

Frevola vs. Saint-Denis
Benoit Saint-Denis, TKO, R2
Saint-Denis is a ******* animal

Sabatini vs. Lopes
Diego Lopes, SUB, R2
Lopes may be that guy soon. Excited to see what he does.

"My goal is perfection. I will never reach perfection." - Georges St-Pierre.

gliese58i
gliese58i
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11.08.2023 | 12:50 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 525 Points   |   Tied for 1783rd

Frevola's last 4 fights have a combined time of exactly 10 minutes. His last 4 fights before that has a combined time of 60 minutes.
That makes for an interesting over/under situation.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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11.08.2023 | 12:56 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 1386th

I like the over 1.5 in that. I feel like this fight is gonna be a drawn out war 

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

STOMPZ
STOMPZ
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11.08.2023 | 1:03 PM ET

Nazim Sadikhov by DEC

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 545 Points   |   Tied for 1410th

This fight is the strangest of all, Nazim was losing in his first 2 fights and he didn't look like UFC material with Elder he was 20-18, but he comes out incredibly victorious, Slava is urgent for a victory here, I'm going to choose Nazim for decision, I think that having so many good fighters as partners something must improve, so Nazim must go for the knockdowns, if not he will lose the fight, I do not recommend this fight to bet, maybe a +2.5
Thesnake101
Thesnake101
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11.08.2023 | 1:20 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 6 Perfect, 575 Points   |   1047th Place

@STOMPZ 
You mean go for takedowns? Because if Nazim decides to be aggressive standing against Borschev he's just gonna get KO'd.

@AyyLmaonnaise 
I'm not touching it with a 10 foot pole. Frevola's power came out of nowhere, but he's still a guy who got KO'd by Polo and McKinney in short order, so I'll never feel confident in him against a finisher.

St. Denis on the other hand is pure brute force, in his last two fights he's ate a ton of clean counters en route to overwhelming his opponents, but at one point his chin is going to give. It could happen here. Very much prefer to just sit back and watch.

Page 27


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