Topic: UFC 287
UFC 287: Pereira vs Adesanya 2
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12.30.2022 | 2:35 PM ET
Responses Page 9
03.26.2023 | 12:00 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 455 Points | Tied for 1295th
Alex Pereira, DEC
I've seen people compare this to Usman vs Edwards. I vehemently disagree. Pereira was having plenty of success in setting up body-head combinations and mixing in leg kicks to keep Izzy at bay and he rolled with the straight right really well. Although Israel was up in that fight, the point I'm trying to make is that Pereira showed us he can hang with Adesanya, and even beat him in a point fight. He looked like the better technical striker even under the MMA rules, in a different type of cage. Unless Israel employs a grappling-heavy gameplan - which I still don't see him amassing a great deal of success with, because I simply don't see him being able to take Pereira down over and over, much less without sacrificing points in the process - I wouldn't back him to regain his title; not against Pereira. I think this fight will showcase the pressure fighter side of Israel, bordering on technical brawler. But without too much analysis, Pereira is extremely good at making reads even without the help of his corner, and I think that will be the difference maker. I don't think this fight will be very close.
Burns vs. Masvidal
Gilbert Burns, TKO, R2
Masvidal does have a decent shot at winning this. If Burns, for some reason, finds himself struggling to enter clinch range (which is a real possibility if Masvidal utilizes his drop-shifts), then Masvidal could bag a win here. I know it's an unpopular take, but it is what it is. With that in mind, I think Masvidal's chin is shot and in recent years, Burns has hit a new stride while his explosiveness hasn't left him despite the wear-and-tear on his body. The same can't be said for Masvidal: he looks visibly slower, with a worse gas tank and his striking almost looks stiff in quick bursts.
Font vs. Yanez
Rob Font, DEC
I'm picking Font based on the assumption that he can stick the jab in Yanez's face and keep him at bay. Yanez does not have the overall MMA game to get in Font's face and equalize with heavy power. He's primarily a boxer, and although he's an extremely slick counter-striker, I'll pick the guy whose fundamentals have been tested at this high level before. Costa was tearing Yanez up with his jab and fast boxing combinations, but didn't have the rounded defense to keep Yanez from going to his body, which ultimately lead to the finish. Font's defense is far from tip-top, but his calculated offense will overpower Yanez's ability to make it a dogfight. Should be a great one though.
Bahamondes vs. Motta
Ignacio Bahamondes, TKO, R1
I think Ignacio will be a contender very soon. He's a specimen in that division and his striking is extremely polished. Plus, he's 25. Huge, huge upside.
Gastelum vs. Curtis
Chris Curtis, TKO, R1
Each loss has made Gastelum worse than the one before. His speed is waning and Curtis's philly shell guard is an antidote to his offbeat step-in 1-2 - a combination he keeps going back to no matter how much it works against him. It's instinctual for Kelvin to throw that, and he's bound to get caught and probably put down at some point. I don't know if Curtis will finish him, but if somebody had to take advantage of a knockdown or two, I could see Curtis being the guy.
03.26.2023 | 12:02 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points | Tied for 507th
Israel Adesanya, DEC
I see that Pereira reduces his sparring sessions to being as sharp and as hard as possible. I believe that they will try to bring it to the cage, 5 rounds of chaos, but I believe that Adesanya has an excellent alternative, which is wrestling, which will open up during those exchanges. Adesanya will take the first round with his style, a lot of movement and pumping jabs and kicks. After the first moment when his space is threatened, I think he will pull him over and take him down. I believe that the wrestler will manage to take 2 rounds and the first one on pure striking.
Burns vs. Masvidal
Gilbert Burns, DEC
Masvidal has an underestimated takedown defense, but simply on the other hand, Burns also has an underestimated offensive wrestling. I think that Burns will push him to the cage and create an imbalance in his posture and that he will get a takedown. While in stand-up, I believe that he will be quite dangerous, because the fact that he is a threat is that he can get into the legs at any moment, and he has a very heavy hand and excellent cross that he follows up with uppercuts. If Masvidal wants to win this match, I think the boxing distance from which he will pump his straight punches is the only way to victory.
Font vs. Yanez
Adrian Yanez, DEC
Font is a character who does everything from his jab, if his jab doesn't work, his game falls into the water. We know that Yanez counters the front line very well and is very good at breaking the rhythm. I think that you should tie your series after the counter. Although it will be difficult, I think that Yanez is one of the few fighters who can accept the pace that Font leaves and the frequency of strikes. Yanez needs to attack the body a lot, or force his bodyhooks.
Rosas Jr. vs. Rodriguez
Raul Rosas Jr., DEC
Paul Rosas has a very good striking to wrestling and setup for his takedowns, he is a fighter who is full of action on the floor, who all the time pursues a specific submission and leaves threats to the opponent, and we saw it in the last Rodriguez match that he lacks that experience, that he thinks rationally in those situations. I believe that Christian has a better stand-up and excellent combinatorics, but simply Rosas has a lot of unorthodox striking that he uses as a set-up for his wrestling, which I believe will be enough for this match.
Calvillo vs. Godinez
Lupita Godinez, DEC
Godinez has good enough scrambles and wrestling to keep a standup fight against the petite Calvillo. While we know that Calvillo has too few weapons in the stance and that low kicks will not be enough to make a point difference. Loopy will do enough to win with his boxing series.
Waterson-Gomez vs. Pinheiro
Luana Pinheiro, DEC
Pinheiro has a very fast entry and exit, excellent footwork in all directions, a potshotting style that is the ideal way to beat Watterson because I think she is a fighter who looks for the center line to execute her kicks, Pinheiro will give her headaches by moving to the side and jabbing.
Bahamondes vs. Motta
Ignacio Bahamondes, TKO, R1
Motta has quite fast hands, but he is too defensive, and that is ideal for Bahamondes, who tries to damage or knock out his opponent with every punch. I think that the length of Bahamondesa's arms will be a big problem for him, with which he will dictate the distance at which a large part of the fight will take place. I don't believe it will last until the last gong.
Garcia vs. Nuerdanbieke
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke, DEC
Garcia still hasn't met any high level wrestlers in his career. I think that Shayilan will drag him to the cage and will simply crush him with his strength and drag him into deep waters, in such a way that he works more from the clinch in the first round, and massively in the second. level changing attacks and chain takedowns.
Gastelum vs. Curtis
Chris Curtis, DEC
Chris Curtis is one of the best defensive wrestlers in the division, while Gastelum is a fighter who works solid from the clinch but doesn't have good enough control on the floor, which immediately indicates that wrestling should not be part of his tactics. While I think that Curtis has that block & counter style and will hit much better shots, and Gastelum, I don't believe that he could do a fuse potshotting match and grind out a victory from a distance.
Meerschaert vs. Pyfer
Joseph Pyfer, TKO, R2
Pyfer is better in all segments, I believe that even in the ground floor he has a style that is more effective for MMA, which is position over submission, he will slowly build his position step by step and take points until he sets up some kind of finish. While in the stand I think that he hits too hard for GM3 and will break him with pressure, maybe GM3 can defend himself from the first attacks, until he reads and processes all the information of Pyfer and until his set ups are settled.
Chiesa vs. Li
Jingliang Li, TKO, R1
Lee should be the favorite in my opinion. Chiesa seems out of place to me, slow, one-dimensional. While on the other hand Lee has caught a good momentum, he is quite fast, he has an innate wrestling reaction, I think he will simply be one step ahead just because he is fast and I think he will see his intentions a second in advance and prevent him from executing them. Chiesa has a poor striking defense, his head is quite straight, he overextends his punches too much, I think he will find him in half rhythm and knock him out cold.
Hughes vs. Amorim
Sam Hughes, DEC
Hughes can hold a high pace for 3 rounds, her biggest advantage is her cardio and the fact that she can throw a large volume of punches. Amorim does not have good enough wrestling to be able to bring Hughes to the ground, her takedowns are naked and predictable, while on the other hand Hughes has a well-developed base of defensive wrestling, as far as basic technique is concerned, I believe that she will defend her takedowns and win in stand up fight.
Barnett vs. Sherman
Chase Sherman, DEC
Fighters with these dimensions present a problem to Sherman because they can knock him down with their mass and keep him on the floor, and they can generate strong power in the back hand. I think we saw that in the match against Porter, I think that in terms of manual technique, Barnett's main blow is that last overhand , who goes to that slip that Sherman is doing and the question is whether he will be fast enough to get out of danger for Barnett's spinninghook kick. On the other hand, I think that Barnett doesn't have the volume that Porter has to be able to replicate that.
03.26.2023 | 3:16 AM ET
Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 540 Points | Tied for 317th
* Edited at 03.26.2023, 3:17 AM ET *
"Quack quack quack"
03.26.2023 | 3:37 AM ET
Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 495 Points | Tied for 764th
"“I took no damage,” Hill said. “Most of the fall was me falling down"
03.26.2023 | 6:08 AM ET
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 415 Points | Tied for 2094th
03.26.2023 | 6:19 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 390 Points | Tied for 2618th
Alex Pereira, TKO, R4
Alot of 50/50 fights on this card & this is one of them. Going with the same exact prediction as I made the first time. Pereira has the death touch & has Izzy's number. Maybe Izzy willl mix in the grappling alot more this fight but I seriously doubt it'll make a difference. My biggest concern for Pereira is the weight cut
Burns vs. Masvidal
Gilbert Burns, DEC
I feel like if these guys fought 4 years ago mazvidal would ko Burns. I think he does have a better chance than what people are giving him credit for but I'm still gonna go with thicc neck Burns
Font vs. Yanez
Rob Font, DEC
I worry how much damage Font will be able to take but I still have my doubts about Yanez. He's a beast but is very hittable. Should be a great fight. Fight of the year potential
Rosas Jr. vs. Rodriguez
Raul Rosas Jr., DEC
I love that this fight is on the ppv. 2 talented prospects in a stacked division. c-rod is dangerous everywhere but his biggest weakness is his takedown defense which is why I think the ufc made this fight. Would not be surprised if c rod gets the win but I'm going with the hype train
Holland vs. Ponzinibbio
Kevin Holland, TKO, R2
Holland got the **** kicked out of him less than 3 months ago how does he already have a fight?? Didi he even train at all? I might have to switch this pick once I listen to some fight week interviews from him but right now I'm picking him because I do not like what I'm seeing from ponz these days. He's a dawg but when he gets hit he leans to the side & sort of stumbled back. He's been doing that a lot in his last few fights & even if he isn't getting hit clean that reaction doesn't look good to the judges
Calvillo vs. Godinez
Lupita Godinez, DEC
Full camp loopy should run through calvillo
Waterson-Gomez vs. Pinheiro
Luana Pinheiro, DEC
Pinheiro is overrated in my opinion but waterson is going to retire at some point soon I doubt she's fully motivated
Bahamondes vs. Motta
Ignacio Bahamondes, SUB, R3
Sucks this fight got cancelled. This would have been easy work for Ignacio
Garcia vs. Nuerdanbieke
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke, TKO, R2
I don't trust Garcia's chin especially at 145
Gastelum vs. Curtis
Chris Curtis, DEC
I don't hate Gastelums chances in this fight. This will mainly just be a boxing match & while Gastelum is probably the better boxer I don't think he belongs at middleweight
Meerschaert vs. Pyfer
Gerald Meerschaert, SUB, R3
Pyfer got submitted by ****** jhonoven pati. I'm not picking him.
Chiesa vs. Li
Jingliang Li, TKO, R2
3 years ago I'd pick chiesa but I feel like he has 1 foot in & 1 foot out of MMA right now
Hughes vs. Amorim
Sam Hughes, SUB, R3
Amorim seems like she could have that "It" factor but she's fought bums & while Huges isnt good she's tough & pushes a good pace. We'll see if amorim is 1st round finish or bust or not
Barnett vs. Sherman
Chris Barnett, TKO, R2
I'll go with the fatter more athletic guy
03.26.2023 | 6:52 AM ET
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 390 Points | Tied for 2618th
"the juice is worth the squeeze "
03.26.2023 | 9:15 AM ET
Alex - Israel
Predictions: 0 of 0 Winners, 0 Perfect, 0 Points | Tied for 5932nd
"WMMA = 50/50 no matter the odds"
03.26.2023 | 10:11 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 3 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 200 Points | Tied for 5353rd
Alex Pereira, TKO, R2
In Alex's kickboxing career he alternated between 2 and 4 wins between losses. Since he's new to the division the pattern points to an Adesanya decision. But that was before he developed the left check hook
"It's like predicting the future..., except it isn't."
03.26.2023 | 10:37 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 3 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 200 Points | Tied for 5353rd
Kevin Holland, DEC
Ponzi snapped Sean Striklands undefeated streak. Lost to Periera cuz Michelle looks like he's trying harder to push through the 3rd. Kevin broke his hands last time and Curtis went to decision next time out. Kevin should go to the wrestling and get the choke.
"It's like predicting the future..., except it isn't."
03.26.2023 | 11:50 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 515 Points | Tied for 556th
Alex Pereira, TKO, R4
I just want to preface this by saying I’m not an Izzy fan so there is a little bias involved. But I genuinely believe that Alex would get him every time they fight. When guys pressure him Izzy falls back on his slick movement and counter ability, while that works against most people it does not work on Alex. He maintains the pressure and makes Izzy work every second which means Izzy has to fight a perfect fight to win. I just don’t believe that will happen, I see it being competitive but Alex will find the mark at some point late and put him away
Burns vs. Masvidal
Gilbert Burns, DEC
Bumsvidal was humiliated in his last 3, granted they were against 2 of the best in the world but he got absolutely crushed. Not only that, he showed regressed td defense in his fight against Colby as well as regressed striking. I honestly think that Burns might KO him, however I’ll play it safe. I think Gilbert will dominate every aspect of the fight, the grappling, the striking and in the clinch
Font vs. Yanez
Adrian Yanez, TKO, R2
Skill for skill this fight is close, but the difference maker will be the power of Yanez. As well as his speed, Font has cardio and volume for days but Yanez will throw combos at terrific speed and precision. And with how badly he got beat down by Vera I’m not sure how he comes back from that against such a tough test against a young killer like Yanez
Waterson-Gomez vs. Pinheiro
Luana Pinheiro, DEC
This has Michelle retirement fight written all over it. It’s a big show and she’s going against a young contender with lots of talent. I think she gets 30-27d and retires
Gastelum vs. Curtis
Chris Curtis, DEC
I would go Gastelum but I don’t trust him to make it happen at this point
Hughes vs. Amorim
Jaqueline Amorim, SUB, R1
Just watched all of Amorims lfa fights again to get a good idea of how good she is. She is absolutely outstanding on the ground, no woman at 115 besides Dern has better pure Jiu Jitsu than her, on top of that she has decent takedowns which goes a long way. I don’t think Hughes is anything special
03.26.2023 | 12:01 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 505 Points | Tied for 666th
Alex Pereira, TKO, R3
PRELIM PICK. Going to be difficult to convince me otherwise here.
Burns vs. Masvidal
Gilbert Burns, SUB, R1
PRELIM PICK. Going to be difficult to convince me otherwise here.
Font vs. Yanez
Rob Font, TKO, R2
PRELIM PICK. Could go either way.
Rosas Jr. vs. Rodriguez
Raul Rosas Jr., SUB, R2
PRELIM PICK.
Holland vs. Ponzinibbio
Kevin Holland, DEC
PRELIM PICK. Could go either way. Siding Holland for age advantage.
Calvillo vs. Godinez
Lupita Godinez, DEC
Prelim pick. Could go either way. Subject to change.
Waterson-Gomez vs. Pinheiro
Luana Pinheiro, SUB, R1
PRELIM PICK. There is no world where waterson gets my dollar. Don’t care much about this one.
Bahamondes vs. Motta
Ignacio Bahamondes, DEC
PRELIM PICK. Pretty sure this fight got cancelled. Subject to change
Garcia vs. Nuerdanbieke
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke, TKO, R2
PRELIM PICK. Subject to change
Gastelum vs. Curtis
Chris Curtis, DEC
PRELIM PICK. Subject to change
Meerschaert vs. Pyfer
Joseph Pyfer, TKO, R1
PRELIM PICK. Subject to change. Love the guys coming out of Philly but this is a big step up for pyfer.
Chiesa vs. Li
Jingliang Li, TKO, R2
PRELIM PICK. Subject to change.
Hughes vs. Amorim
Jaqueline Amorim, SUB, R1
PRELIM PICK. Looks like Sam Hughes is being sacrificed here for a new name in womens mma
Barnett vs. Sherman
Chris Barnett, TKO, R2
PRELIM PICK. Can’t leave our Georgia boy behind here. Subject to change
"Okay Flaming Dragon, f***face. First, take a big step back... and literally f*** your own face!"
bout status update
Bahamondes vs. Motta Changed from Confirmed to Cancelled
03.26.2023 | 2:28 PM ET
Predictions: 5 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 340 Points | Tied for 3713th
He specially asked to have his fight pushed back 3 weeks to heal. Not sure if thatll happen or if UFC will try to find Bahamondes a replacement.
* Edited at 03.26.2023, 2:28 PM ET *
03.26.2023 | 3:46 PM ET
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 390 Points | Tied for 2618th
03.26.2023 | 3:56 PM ET
Mothswords
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 300 Points | Tied for 4325th
"Positivity is a positive"
03.26.2023 | 4:24 PM ET
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 390 Points | Tied for 2618th
03.26.2023 | 5:01 PM ET
I also think Rob Font as a moderate dog is a bit crazy, too. Yanez is a good fighter, but this is a big step up from Randy Costa, Tony Kelley, and Davey Grant. Could easily see Font winning a 2-1 decision or even stopping him late.
03.26.2023 | 5:35 PM ET
Vandal
Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 540 Points | Tied for 317th
I think they also doing the same with Chiesa vs Leech to make the prelims better, But that one i'm less sure about
"Quack quack quack"
03.26.2023 | 5:40 PM ET
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 300 Points | Tied for 4325th
I am licking my lips looking at this card
"Positivity is a positive"
03.26.2023 | 9:24 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 375 Points | Tied for 2976th