Topic: UFC 286

UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3

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Tapology
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11.22.2022 | 2:20 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 286
  • Saturday 03.18.2023 at 12:30 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: O2 Arena
  • Location: London, England
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Michael Bisping, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Daniel Cormier
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $8,580,000
  • Attendance: 17,588
  • MMA Bouts: 15
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Leon Edwards   defeats   Kamaru Usman   via Decision, Majority   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Justin Gaethje   defeats   Rafael Fiziev   via Decision, Majority   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Gunnar Nelson   defeats   Bryan Barberena   via Submission, Armbar   4:51 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Jennifer Maia   defeats   Casey O'Neill   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Marvin Vettori   defeats   Roman Dolidze   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jack Shore   defeats   Makwan Amirkhani   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   4:27 Round 2 of 3, 9:27 Total Bout Page
Chris Duncan   defeats   Omar Morales   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Yanal Ashmouz   defeats   Sam Patterson   via KO/TKO, Counter Left to Ground Strikes   1:15 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Muhammad Mokaev   defeats   Jafel Filho   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   4:32 Round 3 of 3, 14:32 Total Bout Page
Lerone Murphy   defeats   Gabriel Santos   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Christian Leroy Duncan   defeats   Duško Todorović   via KO/TKO, Knee Injury   1:52 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Jake Hadley   defeats   Malcolm Gordon   via KO/TKO, Hook to the Body and Ground Strikes   1:01 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Joanne Wood   defeats   Luana Carolina   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jai Herbert   vs.   Ľudovít Klein   Ends in a Draw, Majority   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Veronica Hardy   defeats   Juliana Miller   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 23

ryanQ
ryanQ
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03.14.2023 | 9:30 AM ET

@rusty

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 4 Perfect, 580 Points   |   Tied for 1970th

good to have you back rusty missed you no ****, love the yanal play one I've had my eye on all week

* Edited at 03.14.2023, 9:32 AM ET *

AndresMontana
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03.14.2023 | 10:20 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 4 Perfect, 540 Points   |   Tied for 2589th

You should be too confident in the elevation & home factor to say Edwards Will win by decision. The Last fight was not even close to a W decision for Edwards. If you pick Edwards pick him by sub or tko. But keep dreaming, the nigerian nightmare is coming this Saturday  #ANDNEW 🇳🇬🤴🏿🤴🏿
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AndresMontana
AndresMontana
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03.14.2023 | 10:26 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 4 Perfect, 540 Points   |   Tied for 2589th

I really hope the Joanne Wood, Duncan ( vs Morales ), Patterson, " Hardy " fights... get cancelled, nobody cares about this fights.  This is not a banger card of course. But this fights suit better in a Apex ****** card than in a PPV of a Major league.
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TLRulebender
TLRulebender

03.14.2023 | 10:31 AM ET

Predictions: 4 of 15 Winners, 1 Perfect, 240 Points   |   Tied for 4700th

Of course I will dream on Edwards winning the Trillogy. Call me a bum but there is only 1 man that I would bet my ass of that he would get his belt back after such a brutal KO and it is the one and ONLY Cain Velasquez. The true scariest Heavyweight to walk on planet Earth and I shall die on this Jamahal Hill
UFC_PICK_MASTER
UFC_PICK_MASTER
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03.14.2023 | 11:03 AM ET

AndresMontana

Predictions: 1 of 3 Winners, 1 Perfect, 75 Points   |   Tied for 4997th

Literally the only 3 fights I'm betting on this card of 15, and need to happen you just mentioned all 3 except Patterson.

* Edited at 03.14.2023, 11:04 AM ET *

Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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03.14.2023 | 11:30 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 2 Perfect, 495 Points   |   Tied for 3199th

Leroy Duncan ML
Usman/Edwards O1.5

Screenshot this and show it to your bookie, tell them this is what you want

* Edited at 03.14.2023, 2:00 PM ET *

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AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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03.14.2023 | 11:37 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 15 Winners, 4 Perfect, 605 Points   |   Tied for 1426th

I get the Joanne wood fade but do people not see how big of a step down this is? She’s going from taila santos and the newly crowned flyweight champion, to luana ******* Carolina. This is a girl who probably still has PTSD from the last time she got brought in to lose in the 02. This feels like a setup fight for Joanne’s retirement. Carolina is trash 

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

Andrew1047
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03.14.2023 | 11:38 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 2 Perfect, 495 Points   |   Tied for 3199th

Small Stake Parlay

Leroy Duncan KO
Mokaev by Sub or Dec. 
Usman/Edwards O1.5
Miller ML
Patterson ML
Shore ML

May be worth live betting on Gaethje and Dolidze if they look good in the first couple minutes. 


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TLRulebender
TLRulebender

03.14.2023 | 12:39 PM ET

Andrew

Predictions: 4 of 15 Winners, 1 Perfect, 240 Points   |   Tied for 4700th

You're first guy to not count Gaethje out in 100% 
Theeraser
Theeraser
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03.14.2023 | 12:52 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 4 Perfect, 565 Points   |   Tied for 2223rd

Edwards vs. Usman III
Kamaru Usman, DEC
realistically we see the second fight play out again without a head kick finish

Gaethje vs. Fiziev
Rafael Fiziev, DEC
fotn i think fiziev is the better striker who gets hit less

Nelson vs. Barberena
Gunnar Nelson, SUB, R2
u saw what rda did to bryan?

Maia vs. O'Neill
Jennifer Maia, SUB, R2
casey did not look good against roxxy and is now coming back off an injury i have to take maia

Vettori vs. Dolidze
Marvin Vettori, DEC
keep going back and forth but with the fact vettori has great stamina and a granite chin i think he can do enough to win a split

Shore vs. Amirkhani
Jack Shore, DEC
makwan will not get a hail mar sub on shore shore likely beats him down till he breaks shore has never been much of a finisher tho so i say he holds positioning more then advancing and just gets the dec

Duncan vs. Morales
Omar Morales, DEC
duncan didnt look that good either time he had his dwcs fight and i dont think omar is a bad fighter at all he is more then well rounded enough to stop duncans striking and get the decision probably boring fight

Patterson vs. Ashmoz
Sam Patterson, SUB, R1
idk either so im just taking the guy who won off dwcs

Mokaev vs. Filho
Muhammad Mokaev, SUB, R3
idk filho but mokaev does always seem a little jittery in the cage and i think he has time to fix that he is young i think mokaev will find the sub late

Murphy vs. Santos
Lerone Murphy, DEC
originally had santos but i think the short notice and having just fought a month ago lerone will be the better of the two he also has the ufc experience and seems pretty good just inactive as **** lerone by split in a fun fight

Duncan vs. Todorović
Christian Leroy Duncan, TKO, R1
dusko has no chin and duncan seems to have incredible striking should be a highlight ko

Hadley vs. Gordon
Jake Hadley, DEC
close fight but gordon is breakable i think hadley will just have the better grappling exchanges and striking moments i would edge hadley as well think hadley takes the ud

Wood vs. Carolina
Joanne Wood, DEC
i want to take carolina cause wood has been nothing but **** as of late but really this is just a giant step down in comp and something tells me after watching carolina get flatlined like that she will look even worse here boring dec w for wood

Herbert vs. Klein
Ľudovít Klein, TKO, R1
id say jai has a chance but his chin doesnt hold up and klein is a pretty good striker with some hard kicks i think we see a highlight ko

Hardy vs. Miller
Juliana Miller, TKO, R3
miller is just gonna pressure hardy the whole fight and out cardio her way to a sloppy ground and pound w

"Too much wine "

Rah123
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03.14.2023 | 12:56 PM ET

Andrew

Predictions: 7 of 15 Winners, 3 Perfect, 480 Points   |   Tied for 3398th

I really like that parlay, except I am going to replace Patterson with Hadley and Shore with Lerone Murphy or the o1.5 in the Fiziev fight.

This is a really hard card to bet on

* Edited at 03.14.2023, 12:57 PM ET *

"Positivity is a positive"

AndresMontana
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03.14.2023 | 12:58 PM ET

@mayo

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 4 Perfect, 540 Points   |   Tied for 2589th

People fading womens cause the other women is worst tells u why so many ppl is homeless here 🤪🤪🤪 Im agree, this is a ''friendly goodbye '' for Joanne CalderBUM

* Edited at 03.14.2023, 12:59 PM ET *

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bracket
bracket
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03.14.2023 | 1:04 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 15 Winners, 3 Perfect, 585 Points   |   Tied for 1840th

Miller + Shore + Fiziev = LOCK

Thank me later
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AndresMontana
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03.14.2023 | 1:06 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 4 Perfect, 540 Points   |   Tied for 2589th

Bend the knee ************s
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Kniferusty
Kniferusty
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03.14.2023 | 1:14 PM ET

Predictions: 5 of 6 Winners, 2 Perfect, 350 Points   |   Tied for 4417th

The shallow odds with CLD as the favorite is unbelievable value. Get him now while he's still early in the UFC...

Only time he's losing the fight is if he gets stuck on the fence (or ground) for a minute or so before escaping

* Edited at 03.14.2023, 1:19 PM ET *

"All my picks are backed by some type of real money wager. When I bet the house - I now have two houses"

GunnStarr
GunnStarr

03.14.2023 | 1:20 PM ET

@AndresMontana

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 4 Perfect, 525 Points   |   Tied for 2811th

i kinda wanna see Morales vs. Duncan, only so they can finally get rid of Morales when he loses and gets knocked out. 
Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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03.14.2023 | 1:20 PM ET

kniferusty

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 2 Perfect, 495 Points   |   Tied for 3199th

I was just about to type exactly this. I don't see why he's less than -200 here unless I'm missing something 
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Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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03.14.2023 | 1:23 PM ET

Rah

Predictions: 8 of 15 Winners, 2 Perfect, 495 Points   |   Tied for 3199th

I'm not 100% confident in Shore either. Definetely not playing big on him.

I agree, last March's ufc london card was much easier. I had one of my best betting nights on it with Mokaev, Topuria, Paddy, Allen and Aspinall it was a great night. 

* Edited at 03.14.2023, 1:23 PM ET *

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Bigjewmoney
Bigjewmoney
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03.14.2023 | 1:24 PM ET

Love Dolidzes 'decision no bet' prop (-115) as a parlay piece this week
gliese58i
gliese58i
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03.14.2023 | 1:30 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 15 Winners, 3 Perfect, 595 Points   |   Tied for 1666th

I've bet and won money on Luana Carolina before but her technique is just so bad. The only knock against Joanne Wood is her age. Her technique is light years ahead.
But age is a ************, size disadvantage is a ************, especially in WMMA that is less technically advanced as a whole.
Overall I give it 60/40 Joanne.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

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