Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till

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Tapology

Location: www.tapology.com
Member Since: 2012.01.20
Predictions: 0 | 0.0%
Forum Posts: 33,131
Post Score: 47

06.05.2021 | 4:37 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Saturday 09.04.2021 at 02:00 PM ET
U.S. Broadcast: ESPN+
Name: UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till
Also Known As: UFC Vegas 36
Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
Ownership: Endeavor
Venue: UFC APEX
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Enclosure: Octagon
TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Michael Bisping, Daniel Cormier
Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
Post-Fight Interviews: Michael Bisping
MMA Bouts: 9
Promotion Links:
Event Links:

Bout		Info
Derek Brunson defeats Darren Till via Submission, Rear Naked Choke		2:13 Round 3 of 5, 12:13 Total Bout Page
Tom Aspinall defeats Serghei Spivac via KO/TKO, Elbow to Ground Strikes		2:30 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Alex Morono defeats David Zawada via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Khalil Rountree Jr. defeats Modestas Bukauskas via KO/TKO, Side Kick to the Knee		2:30 Round 2 of 3, 7:30 Total Bout Page
Paddy Pimblett defeats Luigi Vendramini via KO/TKO, Hooks		4:25 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Molly McCann defeats Ji Yeon Kim via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jack Shore defeats Liudvik Sholinian via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Julian Erosa defeats Charles Jourdain via Submission, D'arce Choke		2:56 Round 3 of 3, 12:56 Total Bout Page
Marc-André Barriault defeats Dalcha Lungiambula via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 6
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121zxc

Member Since: 2021.08.06
Predictions: 0 | 0.0%
Forum Posts: 20
Post Score: 425

09.01.2021 | 10:50 PM ET

I just read an interesting quote from Mario Yamasaki that explains a lot:

"MMA was never my main job, I have a construction company. I buy, remodel houses. I work with big companies. MMA was always a hobby to me."

Perhaps in the future, the UFC might want to hire a person who doesn't ref fights as a side gig. A fight is taking place where people are trying to injure each other. The UFC put a ******* general contractor in charge of making sure everything goes smoothly. It's amazing that nobody got killed during a fight Mario was reffing. Hire refs who are around the sport constantly. If I'm a fighter, I don't want my ref to have just finished demoing a house. Bob Vila wouldn't make a good ref.

Pezzie

Member Since: 2020.05.05
Predictions: 1,054 | 61.6%
Forum Posts: 107
Post Score: -23

09.02.2021 | 12:08 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 9 Winners, 3 Perfect, 375 Points | Tied for 1024th

"never tell me the odds."

AxaFin

Location: Finland
Member Since: 2020.11.21
Predictions: 1,513 | 59.7%
Forum Posts: 1,800
Post Score: 144

09.02.2021 | 12:59 AM ET

Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 0 Perfect, 215 Points | Tied for 2905th

I put 500€ on Aspinall just because Spivak looks annoying and didn't finish Oleinik

"I've lost 7000€ on Jared Cannonier."

depmode33

Member Since: 2020.09.13
Predictions: 248 | 57.3%
Forum Posts: 1,383
Post Score: 183

09.02.2021 | 2:53 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 9 Winners, 2 Perfect, 365 Points | Tied for 1109th

@Axafin, that's an interesting way to place bets but Aspinall does have the energy of someone like Ciryl Gane which is the future of the division. Remember one thing in MMA, there is a rotating door of stars that come and go... both Gane and Aspinall have that aura about them that they will be here for a while.

I'm not saying Aspinall will be a champion, I think Gane is much better than him but Aspinall has top 5 energy about him.

FeedingABusCarrots

Member Since: 2021.05.18
Predictions: 2,900 | 78.0%
Forum Posts: 835
Post Score: 235

09.02.2021 | 4:00 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 9 Winners, 2 Perfect, 365 Points | Tied for 1109th

Excited for this one lets go Darren

"Undefeated and undisputed in the pick game"

Loganarsenal

Member Since: 2019.10.27
Predictions: 6,552 | 71.6%
Forum Posts: 97
Post Score: 193

09.02.2021 | 6:48 AM ET

Predictions: 5 of 9 Winners, 2 Perfect, 330 Points | Tied for 1601st

I am truly mystified how any one is backing Spivac? Aspinall is dominant on the ground and on the feet, he beats Spivac everywhere. Spivac has looked horrible in his career so far, granted he’s had some good wins but he has never looked truly dominant, the many struggled to put oleinik out, aspinall is going to wipe his ass with Spivac

AxaFin

Location: Finland
Member Since: 2020.11.21
Predictions: 1,513 | 59.7%
Forum Posts: 1,800
Post Score: 144

09.02.2021 | 6:54 AM ET

@Loganarsenal

Predictions: 4 of 9 Winners, 0 Perfect, 215 Points | Tied for 2905th

is there a big size difference between the two? because I was yelling at the TV white eating my doritos, drinking Mtn Dew and jacking off. I had some money on Spivac by stoppage by couldn't get it done.

This is one of those cards where I have 1-2 real predictions and rest I just follow mainstream Tapology picks lmao. Lungiambula and Aspinall by KO.

I don't Trust Paddy Pimblett yet, his record doesn't look crazy and in highlights he was doing so much crazy **** that could cost him the fight at the highest level.

I'll place my bets during the walkouts in this event.

-*** Luidvik Sholinian's 2nd latest win was against a guy making his debut and is now 0-2 and latest win against a small japanese dude who only beat other japanese people.

* Edited at 09.02.2021, 6:58 AM ET *

"I've lost 7000€ on Jared Cannonier."

Loganarsenal

Member Since: 2019.10.27
Predictions: 6,552 | 71.6%
Forum Posts: 97
Post Score: 193

09.02.2021 | 7:54 AM ET

@AxaFin

Predictions: 5 of 9 Winners, 2 Perfect, 330 Points | Tied for 1601st

Aspinall is 6”5, Spivac is 6”3 so not a huge difference. Hahahaha, sounds similar to my night, luckily I only had Spivac to win however he didn’t look great in that fight at all.

There’s a few fights I’m confident on, I’m English so I’m always going to be slightly bias towards the English fighters but I’m very confident in Jack Shore and Tom Aspinall; they’re locks!🔒

I agree with Lungiambula but his gas tank scares me, I’m also quite confident with Jourdain.

I agree with Pimblett, I do think he wins but always hard to predict when someone is making their ufc debut, especially as Vendramini throws bombs so could go either way!

PlusmoneyGod

Location: In many ppl's heads
Member Since: 2021.07.02
Predictions: 576 | 61.1%
Forum Posts: 764
Post Score: -48

09.02.2021 | 8:04 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 9 Winners, 2 Perfect, 365 Points | Tied for 1109th

Loganarsenal how does Spivak go from being "terrible in his career so far" to having some "good wins" in the same sentence... that's the mysterious thing here ctfu.
Spivak is a well rounded martial artist at nearly +200. He has strength of schedule and value on his side and that is why people are backing Spivak. Aspinall should win but I could definitely see a path of victory for Spivak

"You people need a bad guy like me.... say good night to the bad guy ~Scarface "

dbo123

Member Since: 2020.07.16
Predictions: 125 | 60.8%
Forum Posts: 13
Post Score: 162

09.02.2021 | 8:23 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 0 Perfect, 100 Points | Tied for 3227th

Brunson vs. Till
Till, TKO, R3
Straight left drops Derrick in the first minute of round 3.

"“I want to outlive my children,” - Tito Ortiz"

Erison

Member Since: 2020.05.24
Predictions: 1,686 | 65.3%
Forum Posts: 4,896
Post Score: 227

09.02.2021 | 8:39 AM ET

Predictions: 5 of 8 Winners, 1 Perfect, 275 Points | Tied for 2315th

Bettors looking for "value" instead of considering "who will ******* win" is the biggest crock. Draftkings has poisoned your brains. Nothing I hate more than hearing about how -170 for an obviously better fighter is "too much juice" but that +120 for Sam Alvey is "good value".

Tieoken

Member Since: 2015.07.05
Predictions: 1,977 | 59.0%
Forum Posts: 3,620
Post Score: 313

09.02.2021 | 8:59 AM ET

Predictions: 5 of 9 Winners, 4 Perfect, 390 Points | Tied for 963rd

Ehhh, value is a real thing. People just over use it to excuse bad picks. Usually it's not on straight lines it's found on props. Like when Minner fought Laramie for example, Minner by sub was a beautifully valued line even respective to their odds. Another example on this card that got corrected really quickly was Dalcha and Barriault fight goes the distance at like +280. If Barriault wins (and he is the favorite) it's almost 100% by decision.

"I’m here to snatch necks and cash checks" - Darrick Minner

: HiDefff

09.02.2021 | 9:00 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 9 Winners, 3 Perfect, 570 Points | Tied for 11th with 1 other

There's no such thing as good value in a losing bet.

Thewelshguy1998

Member Since: 2021.02.22
Predictions: 604 | 58.9%
Forum Posts: 1,054
Post Score: 242

09.02.2021 | 9:10 AM ET

Predictions: 5 of 9 Winners, 2 Perfect, 315 Points | Tied for 1800th

I never look for value, I always focus on who I think will be the winner , couldn't care if I'm not making bank from my stake as long as it's profit 👌🏻

* Edited at 09.02.2021, 9:11 AM ET *

Erison

Member Since: 2020.05.24
Predictions: 1,686 | 65.3%
Forum Posts: 4,896
Post Score: 227

09.02.2021 | 9:10 AM ET

Predictions: 5 of 8 Winners, 1 Perfect, 275 Points | Tied for 2315th

Agree with both of you, value is real. But there is a mindset that trying to snipe value is some kind of next level strategy. Whereas I'll always agree with what HiDefff said, there's no value in a losing bet. Sometimes I'll take a shot on the second most likely outcome if the odds are great. Like taking Derrick Lewis to win by KO in the first when he's an underdog at like +600.

But there are whole Youtube channels like Hype Check that just chase dog****. Anything beyond -150 is "no value" and all their picks are overly clever "here's why this +250 fighter has a better chance than you think". I think if you treated each UFC card like a Pick Em game, and then just parlayed your three favorites moneyline picks, you'd do far better than chasing value.

: HiDefff

09.02.2021 | 9:15 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 9 Winners, 3 Perfect, 570 Points | Tied for 11th with 1 other

Its the same thing as people saying "dog or pass" like why just because of some juice you will only consider one side of this fight? makes no sense to me but to each is own right. Isn't my money being bet.

Erison

Member Since: 2020.05.24
Predictions: 1,686 | 65.3%
Forum Posts: 4,896
Post Score: 227

09.02.2021 | 9:17 AM ET

Predictions: 5 of 8 Winners, 1 Perfect, 275 Points | Tied for 2315th

I don't care how wrong the oddsmakers have it, if you think a guy will lose you probably shouldnt bet on them. And conversely, especially if you're willing to parlay, if you think a guy is a lock at -200, he's still a lock at -300.

: HiDefff

09.02.2021 | 9:22 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 9 Winners, 3 Perfect, 570 Points | Tied for 11th with 1 other

Heres a fun one for you guys. Why is Nick Maximov the grappler currently an under dog ever so slightly to the guy who gets subbed in every loss? I cant figure this one out for the life of me. He opened as high as -165 some places and has been bet against to the point he's the dog now.

* Edited at 09.02.2021, 9:30 AM ET *

Erison

Member Since: 2020.05.24
Predictions: 1,686 | 65.3%
Forum Posts: 4,896
Post Score: 227

09.02.2021 | 9:34 AM ET

Predictions: 5 of 8 Winners, 1 Perfect, 275 Points | Tied for 2315th

Oh interesting... maybe just him being a little unproven? But he fought on Contender series as a heavyweight, and he's coming down to middleweight. Gonna be a big strength advantage for him... might have to jump on that.

Another interesting matchup just got announced: Rafael Fiziev vs Brad Riddell. That's gonna be wild.

: Michael315Scarn

09.02.2021 | 9:44 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 4 of 6 Winners, 3 Perfect, 325 Points | Tied for 1780th

Rountree vs. Bukauskas
Khalil Rountree, TKO, R2
This will most likely be a kick boxing match, where I give Rountree the advantage because of his power and defense. I think he’ll hurt Bukauskas before finishing him.

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#	Member	Picks	Points
1	MysticRootsCBD	9 of 9	640
2	coolrain	8 of 9	625
3	shirtguymma	9 of 9	615
4	Ampampam	9 of 9	605
5	MattyViceGrip	8 of 9	600
6	CarteLL	9 of 9	595
7	TheThaiTerror	9 of 9	590
8	hughjhazz	8 of 9	580
8	dirk_frog	8 of 9	580
10	P4PCTC	9 of 9	575
11	HiDefff	9 of 9	570
11	Peter DeVilbiss	9 of 9	570
13	dazfire	8 of 9	570
14	SlipperyWhenDry	9 of 9	565
15	Jonhotz22	8 of 9	565
15	ThunderMan93	8 of 9	565
15	cortinafrank2121	8 of 9	565
15	frazlol	8 of 9	565
19	Hudson	8 of 9	560
20	LunazimHawk	8 of 9	555
20	Artyom Smirnov	8 of 9	555
20	Bob Morano	8 of 9	555
20	Daytona	8 of 9	555
20	Dynamikdylan	8 of 9	555
25	Von Kaiser	8 of 9	550
25	pjstemarie	8 of 9	550
25	dajuluma	8 of 9	550
25	sabi1701	8 of 9	550
25	ELaw31	8 of 9	550
25	Casual Cro Cop	8 of 9	550
31	KeithMurrayLA	7 of 9	550
32	shark8046	8 of 9	545
32	gavinheamykelly	8 of 9	545
32	mariozeledon	8 of 9	545
32	Dave338	8 of 9	545
36	ayobozz2	8 of 9	540
36	Alexei88	8 of 9	540
36	Walid_elias	8 of 9	540
36	nkustas	8 of 9	540
40	WomanRepellent	7 of 9	540
40	FireFist45	7 of 9	540
40	Zaza	7 of 9	540
40	frankie56	7 of 9	540
44	KJM23	8 of 9	535
45	jak65	8 of 9	530
45	jayzzz1997	8 of 9	530
45	lannyman	8 of 9	530
45	OmegaOrtegaMMA	8 of 9	530
45	tonycline7777	8 of 9	530
45	Mystic Mos	8 of 9	530

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Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till

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@Loganarsenal

@AxaFin

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