Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis

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Tapology
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11.16.2020 | 3:59 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC Fight Night
  • Saturday 02.20.2021 at 05:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: ESPN+
  • Name: UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis
  • Also Known As: UFC Vegas 19
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: UFC APEX
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Brendan Fitzgerald, Michael Bisping
  • Ring Announcer: Joe Martinez
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Michael Bisping
  • MMA Bouts: 12
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Derrick Lewis   defeats   Curtis Blaydes   via KO/TKO, Uppercut   1:26 Round 2 of 5, 6:26 Total Bout Page
Yana Santos   defeats   Ketlen Vieira   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Darrick Minner   defeats   Charles Rosa   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Chris Daukaus   defeats   Aleksei Oleinik   via KO/TKO, Knees and Punches (standing TKO)   1:55 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Phil Hawes   defeats   Nassourdine Imavov   via Decision, Majority   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Tom Aspinall   defeats   Andrei Arlovski   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   1:09 Round 2 of 3, 6:09 Total Bout Page
Jared Gordon   defeats   Danny Chavez   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
John Castañeda   defeats   Eddie Wineland   via KO/TKO, Punches   4:44 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Julian Erosa   defeats   Nate Landwehr   via KO/TKO, Flying Knee   0:56 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Casey O'Neill   defeats   Shana Dobson   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   3:41 Round 2 of 3, 8:41 Total Bout Page
Aiemann Zahabi   defeats   Drako Rodriguez   via KO/TKO, Overhand Right   3:05 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Serghei Spivac   defeats   Jared Vanderaa   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   4:32 Round 2 of 3, 9:32 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 10

rapidaveo
rapidaveo
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02.19.2021 | 12:56 PM ET

Predictions: 5 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 290 Points   |   Tied for 2115th

@Tieokenwill it affect the result?
nickytheeye
nickytheeye
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02.19.2021 | 1:08 PM ET

Alves missed by 11.5 pounds.......

Predictions: 4 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 215 Points   |   Tied for 2997th

WHAT?! This has to be one of the worst misses in UFC history. 
I remember Charlie Olives missed by 9, but 11.5?! 

Maybe I'm just ignorant, but he had to think the fight was at 155. Baffling really.. 
nick9819
nick9819
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02.19.2021 | 1:17 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 355 Points   |   Tied for 1220th

he even missed the 155 weight limit!      11.5 pounds   next round of cuts see ya
trackandfield
trackandfield
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02.19.2021 | 1:18 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 365 Points   |   Tied for 1117th

Is it just me or am I seeing a bunch of fighters missing weight today? I thought that I saw four fighters miss by a good margin and was shocked at how many there were in total.
nick9819
nick9819
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02.19.2021 | 1:19 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 355 Points   |   Tied for 1220th

i feel really bad for pat sabatini  he finally got a short notice call up and it will most certainly be scrapped because the other fighter couldn't even come close to making weight. 
nick9819
nick9819
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02.19.2021 | 1:23 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 355 Points   |   Tied for 1220th

dude didnt even try to cut if he has tears to spare
2021.02.19 2:06 PM ET

weigh-in result

Serghei Spivac: 245.0 lbs (111.1 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:06 PM ET

weigh-in result

Jared Vanderaa: 265.0 lbs (120.2 kgs)
SolarCowboy
SolarCowboy
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02.19.2021 | 2:07 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 365 Points   |   Tied for 1117th

Gordon vs. Chavez
Danny Chavez, TKO, R3
dog or pass

"Complicated Human in Search of Simplicity"

2021.02.19 2:07 PM ET

weigh-in result

Aiemann Zahabi: 136.0 lbs (61.7 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:07 PM ET

weigh-in result

Drako Rodriguez: 140.5 lbs (63.7 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:07 PM ET

weigh-in result

Chas Skelly: 146.0 lbs (66.2 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:07 PM ET

weigh-in result

Jamall Emmers: 145.5 lbs (66.0 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:07 PM ET

weigh-in result

Shana Dobson: 126.0 lbs (57.2 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:07 PM ET

weigh-in result

Casey O'Neill: 125.5 lbs (56.9 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:08 PM ET

weigh-in result

Rafael Alves: 157.5 lbs (71.4 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:08 PM ET

weigh-in result

Pat Sabatini: 145.5 lbs (66.0 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:08 PM ET

weigh-in result

Julian Erosa: 145.5 lbs (66.0 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:08 PM ET

weigh-in result

Nate Landwehr: 146.0 lbs (66.2 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:08 PM ET

weigh-in result

Eddie Wineland: 135.5 lbs (61.5 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:08 PM ET

weigh-in result

John Castañeda: 136.0 lbs (61.7 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:09 PM ET

weigh-in result

Drakkar Klose: 156.0 lbs (70.8 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:09 PM ET

weigh-in result

Luis Pena: 155.5 lbs (70.5 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:09 PM ET

weigh-in result

Jared Gordon: 150.0 lbs (68.0 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:09 PM ET

weigh-in result

Danny Chavez: 145.0 lbs (65.8 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:09 PM ET

weigh-in result

Andrei Arlovski: 249.5 lbs (113.2 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:09 PM ET

weigh-in result

Tom Aspinall: 244.5 lbs (110.9 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:10 PM ET

weigh-in result

Nassourdine Imavov: 185.5 lbs (84.1 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:10 PM ET

weigh-in result

Phil Hawes: 185.0 lbs (83.9 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:10 PM ET

weigh-in result

Aleksei Oleinik: 240.0 lbs (108.9 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:10 PM ET

weigh-in result

Chris Daukaus: 234.0 lbs (106.1 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:10 PM ET

weigh-in result

Darrick Minner: 146.0 lbs (66.2 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:10 PM ET

weigh-in result

Charles Rosa: 146.0 lbs (66.2 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:11 PM ET

weigh-in result

Ketlen Vieira: 138.0 lbs (62.6 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:11 PM ET

weigh-in result

Yana Santos: 135.5 lbs (61.5 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:11 PM ET

weigh-in result

Curtis Blaydes: 259.0 lbs (117.5 kgs)
2021.02.19 2:11 PM ET

weigh-in result

Derrick Lewis: 263.0 lbs (119.3 kgs)
HiDefff
HiDefff

02.19.2021 | 2:23 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 493rd

Lewis looks like hes in great shape considering his normal shape. this could be way more interesting than the odds suggest. Derrick "Just Get Up" Lewis 
Hippie
Hippie

02.19.2021 | 2:42 PM ET

🥊

Predictions: 3 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 195 Points   |   Tied for 3240th

Face Offs!!

DamienHandel420
DamienHandel420
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02.19.2021 | 3:02 PM ET

Predictions: 5 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 315 Points   |   Tied for 1800th

Alves is 100% gonna get cut from the UFC because he didn't even bother cutting weight and Honesly **** him because act like a professional and stop wasting the other guy time. He doesn't matter in the UFC and his 19-9 record at 145 they can find 100 guys who better and don't miss weight as a lightweight

"Quack quack quack"

Card
Card
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02.19.2021 | 3:04 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 375 Points   |   Tied for 978th


* Vieira fined 20 percent of her purse
# Gordon fined 30 percent of his purse
^ Bout canceled due to “weight management issues”
+ Rodriguez fined 30 percent of his purse

Yana Kunitskaya (135.5) vs. Ketlen Vieira (138)*
Danny Chavez (145) vs. Jared Gordon (150)#
Rafael Alves (157.5)^ vs. Patrick Sabatini (145.5)
Drako Rodriguez (140.5)+ vs. Aiemann Zahabi (136)

* Edited at 02.19.2021, 3:04 PM ET *

Card
Card
  • Member Since: 2012.02.15
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02.19.2021 | 3:05 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 375 Points   |   Tied for 978th















lldowntoearthll
lldowntoearthll
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02.19.2021 | 3:24 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 355 Points   |   Tied for 1220th

Blaydes vs. Lewis
Curtis Blaydes, DEC
think we might see more standup than expected, but that doesn't mean lewis is gonna be winning it necessarily.

Vieira vs. Kunitskaya
Yana Kunitskaya, DEC
high hopes for vieira, but i'm thinking yana has decent enough striking to keep it at range.

Minner vs. Rosa
Charles Rosa, SUB, R2
why is this 3rd fight from the top? it's pretty much irrelevant. minner is sub or be subbed and charles hasn't been tapped, so i'll agree with consensus pick.

Oleinik vs. Daukaus
Chris Daukaus, TKO, R2
i love seeing all the faith in boa, and i hope to be wrong in the most spectacular strongman choke way, but i think daukaus' boxing and speed could be problematic.

Imavov vs. Hawes
Nassourdine Imavov, SUB, R2
perhaps he fixed it up, but i'm skeptical of hawes' gas tank if he doesn't finish early.

Arlovski vs. Aspinall
Tom Aspinall, TKO, R1
feeling like aspinall won't be scared to engage like other guys get with andrei.

Gordon vs. Chavez
Danny Chavez, DEC
gonna come down to gordon's ability to force grappling exchanges because otherwise he'll probably be on the wrong end of a technical affair.

Klose vs. Pena
Drakkar Klose, DEC
i think pena will be too eager to clinch and play guard and won't be able to land enough meaningful offense to offset drakkar's pressure.

Wineland vs. Castañeda
Eddie Wineland, DEC
guess i'm just not convinced by castenada's hands and feel like even this shadow of eddie wineland should be the sharper striker. maybe not though.

Erosa vs. Landwehr
Julian Erosa, DEC
having a hard time picking this one. i guess i'll go with erosa's pacing.

Dobson vs. O'Neill
Casey O'Neill, DEC
no idea about casey, but still low faith ceiling on dobson.

Skelly vs. Emmers
Jamall Emmers, DEC
feel like emmers will be able to stay mobile and stuff td attempts while winning the outside fight.

Zahabi vs. Rodriguez
Drako Rodriguez, DEC
aiemann's performances havne't really jumped out to me so it's hard to favor him.

Spivak vs. Vanderaa
Sergey Spivak, SUB, R2
vanderaa could catch spivak without a doubt, but i'll say the card opens the way it closes and one hw dictates the grappling exchanges.

2021.02.19 3:26 PM ET

bout status update

Alves vs. Sabatini Changed from Confirmed to Cancelled
BetAgainstMe2Win
BetAgainstMe2Win
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02.19.2021 | 3:39 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 445 Points   |   Tied for 358th

Ketlen Vieira looked like dog**** that's been stepped on. Yana definitely live.
RangerJW
RangerJW
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02.19.2021 | 4:03 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 300 Points   |   Tied for 2083rd

According to the matchup page for Spivac/Vanderaa, Vanderaa is listed as taller, but in the staredown he looked a good inch or two shorter than Spivac. Is that just Spivac wearing platforms or something, or is he actually the bigger man?
rapidaveo
rapidaveo
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02.19.2021 | 4:22 PM ET

@RangerJW

Predictions: 5 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 290 Points   |   Tied for 2115th

Vanderaa - Height 6'2 Reach 75
Spivak - Height 6'3 Reach 78

If this changes your choice, please write to me
 
RangerJW
RangerJW
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02.19.2021 | 4:46 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 300 Points   |   Tied for 2083rd

@rapidaveo I was already on the fence about my Vanderaa pick. I'll keep him, but I'm not at all confident. Really, I think it could go either way. 
Xconchris
Xconchris
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02.19.2021 | 4:47 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 215 Points   |   Tied for 2997th

From a PR standpoint, it would have been much better for Alves to not even weigh in and just pull out. A unknown undercard fighter pulls out and nobody really cares. A unknown undercard fighter misses weigh by 2 weight classes, everyone is demanding his head and be cut. Less embarrassing to not even show up!

* Edited at 02.19.2021, 4:48 PM ET *

"Dont take life too serious, you will never make it out alive."

Amettxpc
Amettxpc
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02.19.2021 | 4:50 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 5 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 315 Points   |   Tied for 1800th

Blaydes vs. Lewis
Derrick Lewis, TKO, R2
Actually I think 9 out of 10 times Blaydes vs. Lewis, Curtis would win either with a boring decision or via brutal Ground and Pound. But there are data that may make you doubt that Blaydes' victory is the only possible outcome tomorrow: Derrick Lewis has beaten fighters who had a huge advantage over grappling like Tybura, Ivanov, Latifi, Oleinyk, Abdurakhimov, to name a few. All of those got takedowns on Lewis, worked with Ground & Pound, or tried to get some submission. But on many of those occasions (already late in the fight) Lewis knew how to capitalize at some point in the final rounds to define the fight in his favor either with a victory by KO (like the fights against Tybura or Abdurakhimov) or by forcing a closed decision (like the fights vs. Roy Nelson, Latifi, etc.). Although for example Cormier capitalized on takedowns and subdued Derrick Lewis, most of Lewis' losses were to strikers like JDS, Mitrione, Jordan twice, etc. For his part, Blaydes has a great wrestling base (the most effective with respect to the Heavyweight), he has fights at 5 rounds he has been worn out after 15 minutes which reduces his effectiveness of takedowns, his number of strikes and his initiative in the fight. He almost got caught by Volkov (with knees) in the last 2 rounds when he attempted the takedown (Takedowns that were less disguised by exhaustion). It should also be noted that in the rematch vs. Ngannou was defeated in less than a minute by punches to the ear while attempting to force a takedown. With Lewis you never know it could be a knee when Blaydes tries to look for the takedown (as happened in the Dariush vs. Barboza fight) or the story of Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2. The fight on Paper seems like an easy decision for Blaydes but I think anything can happen ...

"Moicano Wants Money!"

rapidaveo
rapidaveo
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02.19.2021 | 4:56 PM ET

@RangerJW

Predictions: 5 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 290 Points   |   Tied for 2115th

Spivak in his interview said that he is lonely and does not have a full-fledged camp and his own team. Out of 4 of his fights, Spivak defeated only Tuivasa ahead of schedule (who at that time had serious problems with defense against takedowns). In a fight with Felipe, victory could have been given to any fighter.

Page 10


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