UFC on ESPN+ 7: Overeem vs. Oleinik

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Yeah that is a very strange match up putting Arman against Islam. Kill off a good prospect or damage a potential top 5-10's reputation. Crazy matchmaking

Evloev vs. Choi
Movsar Evloev, DEC
this is a bangin one!

Overeem vs. Oleinik
Alexey Oleinik, SUB, R3
this is a very intriguing one

Pavlovich vs. Golm
Marcelo Golm, DEC
50/50

A lot of debuting talent on this card.  

Shevchenko vs. Modafferi
Roxanne Modafferi
Long shot but the girl has the perfect skill set and attitude to take on anyone.

This is a really difficult card to predict, there are just too many unknowns.  If anyone is able to nail this one down, I will take my hat off to them.

Also, here are shameless links to my Fight Picking Podcast: The Fighting Spirit

https://open.spotify.com/show/4g1QBvsF0CoWqIjcM1Udab

http://shoutengine.com/TheFightingSpirit/

Pavlovich vs. Golm
Sergey Pavlovich, TKO, R1
Russian Pharma

Shevchenko vs. Modafferi
Antonina Shevchenko, DEC
It should be in the EARLY EARLY PRELIMS.

Jotko vs. Amedovski
Krzysztof Jotko, DEC
Jotko 2.0

Aliev vs. Nakamura
Sultan Aliev, DEC
Aliev is looking like Russian version of Luke Rockhold so no brainer.

Yakovlev vs. da Silva
Alexander Yakovlev, TKO, R2
Too much pressure on da Silva. Yakovlev gonna put the show for the сволочь.

Tybura vs. Abdurakhimov
Marcin Tybura, DEC
It can go either way.

Antigulov vs. Oleksiejczuk
Michał Oleksiejczuk, TKO, R1
I won't be suprised if Antigulov take neck of Polish boy.

If anyone here is interested in talking some of the more technical specifics about the match ups and breaking it down, respond to this and hit me up. 

Create an account and join this discord channel = https://discord.gg/yUFSqQ

Always looking for people enthusiastic about the details 2 rap with.

Challenge accepted lol. 

Definitely a lot of wild cards though. It can be really hard to get a feel for how someone will perform in the UFC until you see them in there. regional tape can lie.

Aliev vs. Nakamura
Sultan Aliev, DEC
https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/fighters/71788-alex-da-silva-leko

Overeem vs. Oleinik
Alistair Overeem, TKO, R3
Oleinik ain't gonna tap Alistair.

Really want Oleinik to win, but playing it safe with Overeem inside the distance.

I think Oleinik will wear Overeem down and submit him.

Makhachev vs. Tsarukyan
Islam Makhachev, DEC
I think Makhachev will win by either submission or decision.

Shevchenko vs. Modafferi
Antonina Shevchenko, DEC
I think this could be a tough fight fot Shevchenko.

Overeem vs. Oleinik
Alexey Oleinik, SUB, R2
*****'s meat.

Shevchenko vs. Modafferi
Antonina Shevchenko, TKO, R1
Tosia musisz. Pozerka na cmentarz.

Jotko vs. Amedovski
Krzysztof Jotko, DEC
Polska górom.

Evloev vs. Choi
Seung Woo Choi, TKO, R2
Bo tak.

Tybura vs. Abdurakhimov
Marcin Tybura, TKO, R3
Polska górom.

Antigulov vs. Oleksiejczuk
Michał Oleksiejczuk, DEC
Polska górom.

OVEREEM VS OLEINIK

oleinik by 3rd or 4th round finish. 

this is a hard one to pick. reems chin is gone and oleinik hits very hard. but hes just a basic striker, cant ever bet on reems chin though. oleinik by finish, ko or sub late, round 3 or 4.


MAKHACHEV VS TSARUKYAN

makhachev by decision.


not an easy fight for islam but he should grind out a decision.




PAVLOVICH VS GOLM


pavlovich by decision


with 2 loses golms back is against the wall here. but hes not ready for the ufc, he drops another decision and gets cut.




SHTYRKOV VS CLARK


shtyrkov by 1st round ko.


even though this is shtyrkov's ufc debut hes fought tougher competition than clark. id be surprised if it goes into the second. 




MODAFFERI VS SHEVCHENKO


modafferi by 3rd round gnp tko.


shevchenko has shown some cardio issues in three round fights. roxanne has gone five rounds at a high pace. shevchenkos striking style leaves openings for takedowns. i dont think roxanne can win a decision here. she could win all three rounds 10-8 and lose 29-28. she has to finish. i think the experience of 39 fights will tell here.




JOTKO VS AMEDOVSKI


amedovski by decision


jotko has lost three in a row, the last two by ko. its hard to pick him here. but i'd stay away from this one as far as betting goes.




EVLOEV VS WOO CHOI


evloev by decision or late sub.


i think woo choi has a decent ufc future but this is a bad match up for him.




ALIEV VS NAKAMURA


nakamura by late sub


this is another one thats hard to pick. nakamura is tough and has a big advantage on the ground, its hard not to pick him here. but this is another one id stay away from as far as betting goes.




YAKOVLEV VS DA SILVA


da silva by ko round 2 or 3


yakovlev hasnt fought in two and a half years and he lost his last two. he got a chance to make a payday at home and he took it. thats about it.




ABDURAKHIMNOV VS TYBURA


abdurakhimnov by decision


to close to call actually might even be a split decision.




the last two fights i know nothing about the fighters but my picks are oleksiejczuk over antigulov and fiziev over mustafaev.