Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez

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01.16.2024 | 10:38 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC Fight Night
  • Saturday 04.27.2024 at 04:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: ESPN | Prelims: ESPN 2
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: UFC Apex
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: John Gooden, Dominick Cruz, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Joe Martinez / Charly Arnolt
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Daniel Cormier
  • MMA Bouts: 13
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Alex Perez   defeats   Matheus Nicolau   via KO/TKO, Right Hook   2:16 Round 2 of 5, 7:16 Total Bout Page
Bogdan Guskov   defeats   Ryan Spann   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   3:16 Round 2 of 3, 8:16 Total Bout Page
Karine Silva   defeats   Ariane Lipski   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jhonata Diniz   defeats   Austen Lane   via KO/TKO, Left Hook   2:12 Round 2 of 3, 7:12 Total Bout Page
David Onama   defeats   Jonathan Pearce   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Uros Medic   defeats   Tim Means   via KO/TKO, Uppercut   2:09 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Victor Henry   defeats   Rani Yahya   via KO/TKO, Punches (standing TKO)   2:36 Round 3 of 3, 12:36 Total Bout Page
Austin Hubbard   defeats   Michal Figlak   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Don'Tale Mayes   defeats   Caio Machado   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Ketlen Souza   defeats   Marnic Mann   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Chris Padilla   defeats   James Llontop   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   4:33 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Ivana Petrović   defeats   Na Liang   via Submission, Arm Triangle Choke   1:29 Round 3 of 3, 11:29 Total Bout Page
Maheshate Hayisaer   defeats   Gabriel Benítez   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 10

Rah123
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04.21.2024 | 10:56 PM ET

OneEye

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 1665th

Maybe. But not as much of a fraud as Bum Lane
This user is suspended from posting until 4 hours and 38 minutes from now.
TruDawgz
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04.22.2024 | 2:07 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 495 Points   |   Tied for 1963rd

Spann vs. Guskov
Ryan Spann, TKO, R1
Confidence: Low | This fight isn’t gonna last long, Although Spann is durable & can go all 3 Spann is also dangerous and hits hard as well. Spann’s 2 fight Skid may sway you to believe he’s on the downfall but that’s not so, Spann’s last fight with Smith was a very close fight and i thought he got that one imo. Guskov is an interesting guy, he marches forward with little to no  Defense & Bombs away ,we’ve seen Guskov get dropped & Submitted in his debut then came back strong against lower competition. There has been a knockdown in each of Guskov’s Two fights he is a very aggressive fighter ,this will be a fun fight while it lasts i do think Spann hits way too hard to have your hands low like Guskov does. What likely happens is Guskov is gonna march forward probably touch Spann up then pay for it & Get dropped.

Silva vs. Lipski
Karine Silva, SUB, R2
Confidence: Medium | I believe this is a bad matchup for Lipski , Silva is a powerful grappler who is always looking for the Sub. Silva has technical striking & can hang on the feet but the ground is where Silva shines. Silva has good control when she is on the ground Lipski is decent at everything Lipski has technical 1-2 Striking & Decent grappling . The thing about Lipski grappling is that it has to be offensive. Lipski can be a fish out of water when put on her back and this fight is a horrible matchup for that. When Lipski gets put on her back, She seems kind of lost and that’s what Silva will do. I believe this fight will be mildly competitive on the feet until Silva gets to the ground and she will be levels ahead of Lipski on the ground the only concern I have is that Silva tends to get the finish pretty early and I don’t know how her gas tank will hold up, but she is a flyweight & that’s just a slight concern and the only one here. Other than that, Silva should your cruise to victory

Diniz vs. Lane
Jhonata Diniz, TKO, R1
Confidence: Medium | Another fight where this isn’t gonna last long, on paper Diniz should dominate this fight. The reality of the situation is this is a step up in competition for Diniz at the MMA level , Diniz has never been past the 1st round in MMA . Diniz is a clean powerful striker who mixes in his strikes well & is above average defensively, Diniz’s takedown defense is okay but not truly tested. Lane is a former NFL player who is more athletic than 90% of heavyweights & that may make you think Lane is a smaller heavyweight but that’s not the case Lane is 6’6 Lane is quick for his size He will probably be at a weight disadvantage this fight though. Lane is an okay striker but leaves his chin up & Lane is looking to grapple more then strike. What Likely happens is Diniz is gonna hurt Lane with one shot & smell blood in the water from then, Im low confidence because you can’t trust these DWCS 1st round finish guys. I don’t know how Diniz is gonna look if this gets into the 2nd , Sure Diniz has went to Decision’s in Kickboxing but Diniz has never defended takedowns for rounds, but ultimately I do think Diniz is levels ahead on the feet & will Knockout lane

Means vs. Medic
Uros Medic, TKO, R2
Confidence: Medium | Means is a good fighter but he is getting up there age , Means is a high volume striker who has nice takedowns but he is 40 & that is a problem this is a young man’s sport. This should be Medic all day. Medic will be faster , stronger & the better striker in this matchup . The only chance Means has is if he Wrestles to a decision but i don’t even know if he has the cardio at 40 to do so. The only slight concern i have for Medic is he was just wrestled against & taken down and Medic has never won a Decision. I do think Medic catches Means coming in for a sloppy takedown while Means is tired & TKO’s Means.

Pearce vs. Onama
Jonathan Pearce, DEC
Confidence: Medium | I believe Pearce will have a big grappling advantage in this fight . Pearce is a relentless wrestler & grappler, Pearce does not have the best control but he will get it to the ground. Pearce will not be the better striker in this matchup & he usually never is, Pearce throws one & two at a time but he is taking down everybody & winning that way. Onama will be the better striker in this matchup, Onama has power but Onama can be low volume & he does not like when put on his back foot. Onama will pump the jab out but when he can’t he has problems. I believe Onama will be uncomfortable on his back foot Pearce will pressure Onama and avoid the big shot & Wrestle to a victory.

Yahya vs. Henry
Victor Henry, TKO, R2
Confidence: Medium |

Petrović vs. Liang
Ivana Petrović, TKO, R2
Confidence: High | Liang is horrible. Liang is probably the worst UFC fighter on the roster, Liang gets a takedown & looks lost after that. Liang has 0 offense & 0 Danger if Petrovic is a half decent MMA fighter she will beat Liang just like everyone else has , Defend takedowns let Liang get tired & Gas and get finshed.

Hayisaer vs. Benítez
Maheshate Hayisaer, TKO, R1
Confidence: Low |


* Edited at 04.22.2024, 4:51 AM ET *

TruDawgz
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04.22.2024 | 2:50 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 495 Points   |   Tied for 1963rd

Hubbard vs. Figlak
Austin Hubbard, DEC
Confidence: Low | I hate strikers coming off long layoffs & that’s what Figlak is . It just seems like layoffs are kryptonite for strikers Figlak can also be hittable Figlak does have good takedowns, but he does get hit, coming off a layoff 2 year lay off & doesn’t have a win in the UFC. Those are all just huge red flags to me Austin Hubbard is a gritty savvy vet who can win in multiple ways Hubbard has clean striking and is good enough on the feet to hang . Hubbard Can get taken down but he does good stables when he does get taken down as well as decent offensive grappling as well I believe Hubbard will win just because of his activity in the octagon & experience fighting in general but this is a low confidence pick.

Mayes vs. Machado
Caio Machado, DEC
Confidence: Low | I like the style of fighter Machado is. Mayes will be the more dangerous fighter in this fight But Machado has good footwork and is faster then Mayes in the striking . Machado has good grappling as well . Machado is a smaller heavyweight who sits around 245-250, I think Machado will take Hayes down or clinch when Mayes swings wild & Grind out a decision win This is a low confidence pick because Machado hasn’t got a win in the UFC yet

Souza vs. Mann
Ketlen Souza, DEC
Confidence: Medium | I believe Mann has no business doing MMA let alone fighting in the UFC. Mann is just too small , Mann is tough and comes forward & works a Good mixed plan but Mann is quite easy to takedown and she don’t get up Mann just isn’t that skilled & is always at a big size disadvantage. Souza is a pressure fighter who throws heavy & is a bully with her takedowns more then technique she throws heavy kicks as well. I’m gonna go with Souza here just because i think She bullies Mann to a victory with takedowns and Cage control .

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04.22.2024 | 9:17 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 405 Points   |   Tied for 3415th

Means vs. Medic
Uros Medic, DEC
Means has the experience to make this close but I think I slightly favour the younger man here. Means doesn't bring the same level of grappling threat that's given Medic issues in the past. Medic should be faster and should be strong enough to stop Means taking him down. Don't think he's really chinny if he gets caught either.

Hellowhosthat
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04.22.2024 | 9:38 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 405 Points   |   Tied for 3415th

Yahya vs. Henry
Victor Henry, TKO, R2
Rani seems pretty shot to me. Still a good grappler when he can get on top but I don't see that against Victor. Seems like Victor should be able to break him with output and find a finish based on accumulative damage.

Frostline
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04.22.2024 | 9:52 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 590 Points   |   Tied for 528th

Nicolau vs. Perez
Alex Perez, DEC
I'm willing to take the underdog pick here considering Perez has only been losing to stylistic nightmares or champions

Spann vs. Guskov
Bogdan Guskov, TKO, R2
Ah yes, Ryan Spann's core weakness, Anthony Smith

Silva vs. Lipski
Karine Silva, TKO, R3
Killer is an accurate nickname, I think Karine has the edge

Diniz vs. Lane
Jhonata Diniz, TKO, R1
Alright Jhonata let's see what you got

Means vs. Medic
Uros Medic, DEC
Means is probably cooked, Medic is still young and seemingly hungry

Pearce vs. Onama
David Onama, TKO, R2
Onama's a good underdog to pick here, he's a killer

Yahya vs. Henry
Victor Henry, DEC
Henry is less cooked

Hubbard vs. Figlak
Michal Figlak, DEC
Ziam is a 'better loss' in my mind than Holobaugh, so I guess based on that ****** MMA math I favor Figlak

Mayes vs. Machado
Caio Machado, DEC
Simply can't bring myself to trust Mayes again

Souza vs. Mann
Ketlen Souza, DEC
Your only loss in your last five being to Karine Silva isn't that bad a look considering the tear that girl is on

Petrović vs. Liang
Ivana Petrović, DEC
Liang seems cooked

Hayisaer vs. Benítez
Maheshate Hayisaer, TKO, R2
Benitez seems chinny.

Hellowhosthat
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04.22.2024 | 10:05 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 405 Points   |   Tied for 3415th

Hubbard vs. Figlak
Michal Figlak, DEC
I think this one is very close. Figlak will try and pressure and get Hubbard on the back foot. I don't think Hubbard is an especially good counter fighter and might not be able to make him pay for that. Does have a really good gas tank and heart and will make Figlak scrap for it though, so there is a world where I can see Figlak fall apart late and Hubbard take over.

Conan1412
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04.22.2024 | 10:51 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 1581st

Anyone have any underdogs they like here? Aside from Mayes I really don't see many of them winning tbh

Edit: I do think Perez is solid but in a boring pointfight I think Nicolau has the edge 

* Edited at 04.22.2024, 10:52 AM ET *

Hellowhosthat
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04.22.2024 | 11:00 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 405 Points   |   Tied for 3415th

Mayes vs. Machado
Don'Tale Mayes, DEC
Close fight, both guys pretty terrible. Mayes should have the athleticism advantage but he also loves getting subbed so Machado getting a sub is entirely possible. Mayes should be able to keep it in his ball park if he wants, but he's made stupid decisions before.

Oneyecrook
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04.22.2024 | 11:11 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 415 Points   |   Tied for 3312th

why Katrine only -155. Lipski iq is terrible. 
grayerman
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04.22.2024 | 11:15 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 2511th

James Llontop vs. Chris Padilla
seems like a classic Apex matchup

* Edited at 04.22.2024, 11:16 AM ET *

AyyLmaonnaise
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04.22.2024 | 11:22 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 1665th

They really chose the worst can possible for the Peruvian hahahha
foppa420
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04.22.2024 | 11:25 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 565 Points   |   Tied for 814th

Nicolau is solid but notoriously fights to the level of his opponents. 

Perez really didn't do that bad against Mokaev, especially when you consider that was more cage time in a single night than he had in the last 4 years combined. If that was a "clear the cob webs fight" so to speak, he might actually be in a good position right now fighting twice in a span of 6 weeks. I'm gonna take this one to the scales and see how Perez looks. I think it's very fair to question whether a guy that has had the injury and weight issues he's had in the past can fight well twice in such a short span of time. 

The UFC has really put themselves in an interesting spot here. It was pretty questionable putting a guy like Manel Kape in a main event coming off a weight miss, especially when you consider he already had a fight cancelled in the UFC prior to that due to popping. The fact that the only viable replacement was a guy who's even more unreliable is kind of crazy. Let's hope Perez makes it to the scales healthy and ready to go. 

I will stop short of saying he's a good dog because I want to see how he'll look on the scales, but this main event for me is honestly pretty close on paper. 
2024.04.22 11:25 AM ET

bout announced

James Llontop vs. Chris Padilla at 155 lbs (70.3 kg)
anjunajoker
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04.22.2024 | 11:38 AM ET

Silly Props

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 355 Points   |   Tied for 3923rd

Rani Yahya by decision could be an electric prop - I just don't see the price tag on Henry being justified as -650
Karine Silva seems like sub is the logical move here so prolly wins by KO
Tim Means business - he came out so hungry last fight, I don't think he is an easy out. I like him as a dog
Gabe Green by decision - he's just a dawg
Benitez - while I won't play him I think over 1.5 is a nice parlay piece

* Edited at 04.22.2024, 11:38 AM ET *

jeffferson
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04.22.2024 | 11:51 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 455 Points   |   Tied for 2756th

Never heard of the guy, is he atleast decent? (Talking about C. Padilla)

* Edited at 04.22.2024, 11:51 AM ET *

AyyLmaonnaise
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04.22.2024 | 12:03 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 1665th

No he sucks lol
Mothswords
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04.22.2024 | 12:21 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 455 Points   |   Tied for 2661st

Llontop vs. Padilla
James Llontop, TKO, R2
Hey forget all the talented prospects around the world. Let's keep bringing in these **** fighters because they're from america and the ufc never leaves the apex

Hezzli
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04.22.2024 | 12:37 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 1704th

Nicolau vs. Perez
Matheus Nicolau, DEC
wonder if the fight will even happen

Spann vs. Guskov
Ryan Spann, SUB, R2
spanns fight IQ is a meme for a reason but guskov might be even dumber. his no defense and swing meaty hooks approach will not work against someone with one punch power

Silva vs. Lipski
Karine Silva, SUB, R3
lipski isn’t a bad shout but i’m a big fan of silva (shocker)

Diniz vs. Lane
Jhonata Diniz, TKO, R1
someone’s going to be counting sheep and it’s most likely going to be bin- man lane

Pearce vs. Onama
David Onama, TKO, R2
onama has terrible cardio and a grappling matchup probably isn’t going to do him too well but he has to put the skillse together one day

Petrović vs. Liang
Ivana Petrović, SUB, R1
liang might be the worst fighter on the roster


* Edited at 04.22.2024, 12:38 PM ET *

DevinM34
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04.22.2024 | 1:16 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 340 Points   |   Tied for 4065th

Lipski, Hubbard, and Mayes are probably the best dogs. Not that they're gonna win, but they probably have the best shot
Mav58
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04.22.2024 | 3:03 PM ET

Padilla was supposed to fight Chris Gonzales in May, and I would have liked to see Gonzales in the UFC instead (no offense lol). He's got some really good skills and all his losses in Bellator are to good fighters.

I guess he lost his last fight, but the ufc sign much worse than CGZ all the time, even from other orgs like Bellator. Like if you need a short notice guy from the US, Gonzales is right there literally booked the same day! I don't quite understand.

* Edited at 04.22.2024, 3:05 PM ET *

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