Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac

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Tapology
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06.05.2023 | 10:02 AM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC Fight Night
  • Saturday 09.02.2023 at 12:30 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: ESPN+ | Prelims: ESPN+
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: Accor Arena
  • Location: Paris, France
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Paul Felder, John Gooden, Michael Bisping
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Interviews: Michael Bisping | Backstage: Heidi Androl
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $4,000,000
  • Attendance: 15,610
  • MMA Bouts: 11
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Ciryl Gane   defeats   Serghei Spivac   via KO/TKO, Punches   3:44 Round 2 of 5, 8:44 Total Bout Page
Manon Fiorot   defeats   Rose Namajunas   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Benoit Saint-Denis   defeats   Thiago Moisés   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   4:44 Round 2 of 3, 9:44 Total Bout Page
Volkan Oezdemir   defeats   Bogdan Guskov   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   3:46 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
William Gomis   defeats   Yanis Ghemmouri   via KO/TKO, Body Kick   2:20 Round 3 of 3, 12:20 Total Bout Page
Morgan Charriere   defeats   Manolo Zecchini   via KO/TKO, Body Kicks   3:51 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Taylor Lapilus   defeats   Caolán Loughran   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Ange Loosa   defeats   Rhys McKee   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Nora Cornolle   defeats   Joselyne Edwards   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Farid Basharat   defeats   Kleydson Rodrigues   via Submission, Arm Triangle Choke   4:15 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Jacqueline Cavalcanti   defeats   Zarah Fairn   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 7

banjo47
banjo47
  • Member Since: 2023.06.06
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08.26.2023 | 8:33 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 9 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 2044th

Guskov money line best value on the card. Oezdemir has looked like ****

"“It’s tight” - Daniel Cormier"

Mothswords
Mothswords
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08.26.2023 | 9:06 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 4 Perfect, 565 Points   |   Tied for 1219th

Gane vs. Spivac
Serghei Spivac, SUB, R3
Gane can beat any striker/brawler heavyweight but showed he has a major hole in his defensive grappling. I believe gane needs to get an early finish which I don't see happening. Spivac will be relentless with his wrestling

Fiorot vs. Namajunas
Manon Fiorot, DEC
This is the type of fight where rose gets a first round ko, when most are counting her out. I wanna pick her for that reason & also I believe fiorot is extremely overrated. All she does is side kick & clinch. I think Rose has more talent but will be a bit too small & I'm not sure where her mental state is at

Gomis vs. Almeida
William Gomis, DEC
I love lucas almeida and I'm not a fan of Gomis but I'll go against my bias for once and go with the more well rounded guy who's difficult to finish

Saint-Denis vs. Moisés
Benoit Saint-Denis, SUB, R3
Not only is BSD one of the toughest dudes in the ufc he has talent to back it up

Ghemmouri vs. Loughran
Caolan Loughran, TKO, R3
Hard to predict because both are making their debuts. Loughran looks pretty good in tape other than he doesn't move his head at all but I don't think Ghemmouri has enough power to capitalize on that

Oezdemir vs. Guskov
Volkan Oezdemir, TKO, R1
Wanted to pick Guskov but he's a can crusher. I gotta see how he fights through adversity before I pick him

Cornolle vs. Edwards
Joselyne Edwards, DEC
I'll go with the younger fighter with more ufc experience

Loosa vs. McKee
Ange Loosa, DEC
Ange loosa is underrated. I think loosa will do more damage and have more control time

Lapilus vs. Gafurov
Taylor Lapilus, DEC
Maybe Gafurov can out grapple lapilus to a decision win but lapilus is well rounded and has fought good competition his whole career. I also don't like gafurovs cardio

Charriere vs. Zecchini
Morgan Charriere, DEC
Its crazy who the ufc signs and who they make fight on contender series. Why aren't any of the guys who beat these 2 in the ufc? I'll go with charriere because zecchini fades hard in fights

Basharat vs. Rodrigues
Farid Basharat, DEC
I believe this will be a closer fight than what people think but ultimately I'll go with the bigger guy & whatever Rodrigues can do basharat can do better

Fairn vs. Cavalcanti
Jacqueline Cavalcanti, DEC
Both are trash. I think fairn will have success early but her old ass will fade

Rah123
Rah123
  • Member Since: 2022.06.18
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08.26.2023 | 9:37 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 10 Winners, 5 Perfect, 590 Points   |   Tied for 891st

Love how everyone thought Benoit St Denis was trash just a few months ago, now he is the next title challenger 

"Positivity is a positive"

Rah123
Rah123
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08.26.2023 | 9:57 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 10 Winners, 5 Perfect, 590 Points   |   Tied for 891st

Lots of Cage Warriors prospects on this card. Fade instincts kicking in...

"Positivity is a positive"

Latrel Dog
Latrel Dog
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08.26.2023 | 11:13 PM ET

Gane x Spivac

Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 4 Perfect, 655 Points   |   Tied for 283rd

Is it weird to say that I'm really confident in Gane for this fight ? I know that he has a major disadvantage in the wrestling department, but Spivac isn't the best wrestler either. His takedowns are more of judo throws, and to do that he needs to clinch... and that's the problem against a guy like Gane. 

It was embarrassing to think that he could win against Jones, but this one right here against Spivac is a pretty winnable fight for him. If it was against a guy like Malhadinho, then I would be way less confident. 
Biba
Biba
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08.27.2023 | 12:48 AM ET

Prediction model (https://www.fightforecast.net/)

Predictions: 11 of 11 Winners, 5 Perfect, 730 Points   |   Tied for 40th with 6 others

Welp last week was terrible, got 60% accuracy with all the Tapology underdogs it picked being terrible (kazuma, jarno errens, Na liang). This week isn't going to be any better imo as there are a lot of newcomers on the card which my model can't really make accurate predictions for.

Tapology underdogs for this week it predicted: Loosa, Fairn, Ghemourri.

Link to FREE predictions & previous predictions: https://www.fightforecast.net/

Proust
Proust
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08.27.2023 | 5:48 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 2044th

Gane vs. Spivac
Ciryl Gane, TKO, R2
Gane's distance management will be too much for Spivac.

Proust
Proust
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08.27.2023 | 5:54 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 2044th

Fiorot vs. Namajunas
Rose Namajunas, DEC
Fiorot is a basic 1-2 fighter that spams side kicks. Namajunas has a better footwork, striking and definitely ground game.Predicting this fight based on her last performance would be a huge mistake as she was up against a threat of takedowns with Esparza. I think she gets the win by UD.

JM Barrie
JM Barrie
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08.27.2023 | 7:44 AM ET

Taylor Lapilus

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 350 Points   |   Tied for 3867th

 is only a slight fav.
mistake?

"1. Avoidant personality disorder _______________2. Maladaptive daydreaming"

Maksonische
Maksonische
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08.27.2023 | 8:19 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 8 Winners, 2 Perfect, 415 Points   |   Tied for 3284th

Gane vs. Spivac
Serghei Spivac, SUB, R1
Ez job for Spivac.

Fiorot vs. Namajunas
Manon Fiorot, DEC
In my opinion the mental problems of Namajunas haven't gone anywhere

Saint-Denis vs. Moisés
Benoit Saint-Denis, DEC
Saint-Denis wrestling is very dangerous and aggressive. I think Benoit is future top 5 this weight.

Oezdemir vs. Guskov
Volkan Oezdemir, TKO, R2
Who is Bogdan Guskov? Somebody knows?

Basharat vs. Rodrigues
Farid Basharat
The Basharat brothers continue to destroy opposition on the way to the top 15 rating.

brandonk
brandonk
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08.27.2023 | 9:26 AM ET

Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 6 Perfect, 705 Points   |   Tied for 94th

Spivac is a one trick pony. Hope he gets flying knee'd.
Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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08.27.2023 | 10:06 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 5 Perfect, 615 Points   |   Tied for 646th

@brandonk 
i hope you get flying knee'd
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*****_swaggins
*****_swaggins
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08.27.2023 | 11:19 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 6 of 6 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 3542nd

Gane vs. Spivac
Ciryl Gane, TKO, R2
GANE via TKO. Spivac struggles with hand speed a lot and can see Gane Pieci

eduardo mora
eduardo mora
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08.27.2023 | 11:21 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 1 of 1 Winners, 0 Perfect, 50 Points   |   Tied for 4668th

Gane vs. Spivac
Ciryl Gane, SUB
big power stroke

"La mente es tu mejor arma "

Kniferusty
Kniferusty
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08.27.2023 | 2:10 PM ET

Predictions: 1 of 1 Winners, 0 Perfect, 50 Points   |   Tied for 4668th

What???
Why is Basharat / Rodrigues opening the prelims? 

"All my picks are backed by some type of real money wager. When I bet the house - I now have two houses"

Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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08.27.2023 | 2:15 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 5 Perfect, 615 Points   |   Tied for 646th

@Kniferusty 
probably because neither is French lol dumb ufc.
This user is suspended from posting until 1 year, 7 months, 2 days, 21 hours, and 17 minutes from now.
aldolvl999
aldolvl999
  • Member Since: 2023.05.19
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08.27.2023 | 2:28 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 4 Perfect, 640 Points   |   Tied for 385th

@Mothswords 
Spivak isn't that much of a pressure wrestler. i think Gane will gain some respect early on in the fight and halt the wrestling of Spivak. 
AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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08.27.2023 | 2:45 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 570 Points   |   Tied for 1147th

I get why a lot of people think gane will lose but let’s factor in that spivak actually has to get to him first. Being able to catch gane is a task in and of itself. He is so quick and has such good footwork that it’s going to be difficult for spivak to track him. Spivak is much slower and not nearly as atheltic as gane. If he shoots, he will probably get gane down but I’m not too sure he will be able to get in close enough proximity. It’s also not in the apex which favors spivak greatly. Spivak also doesn’t like getting hit so I think he’s gonna panic a little bit once he starts getting touched up 

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

OldFashion
OldFashion
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08.27.2023 | 4:05 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 560 Points   |   Tied for 1320th

Don't see what would keep Rose from just outpointing Fiorot and cruise to an easy decision. The only way for Fiorot to win this is to tie Rose up in the clinch or somehow get her to the ground and lay 'n pray. 

* Edited at 08.27.2023, 4:05 PM ET *

Kniferusty
Kniferusty
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08.27.2023 | 4:06 PM ET

Predictions: 1 of 1 Winners, 0 Perfect, 50 Points   |   Tied for 4668th

@Andrew1047 
soooooo dumb indeed

"All my picks are backed by some type of real money wager. When I bet the house - I now have two houses"

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