Topic: UFC 291
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
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05.13.2023 | 11:40 AM ET
Responses Page 9
07.22.2023 | 11:02 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 11 of 11 Winners, 4 Perfect, 770 Points | Tied for 5th with 2 others
Justin Gaethje, TKO, R4
This card is stacked to the gills. I'm going against the grain here and backing Gaethje. If anything, their first fight acts as a good indicator of how much better Gaethje has gotten. Poirier, although he's evolved, hasn't experienced nearly as many fundamental stylistic changes in the time since that Gaethje has; and the way Gaethje has changed looks to be very calculated and safe. Gaethje is a much more defensively-aware fighter now, with a timing on his counters that's orders of magnitude greater than their last fight, whereas Poirier is overall much more polished himself. Poirier mentioned how Chandler was looping too much when he had him hurt, and Gaethje being meticulous - I think he'll have picked up on that. I can see this being a closely contested fight where this time, when Gaethje hurts Poirier, he'll pick his shots and eventually put together a finish.
Błachowicz vs. Pereira
Alex Pereira, TKO, R3
This fight is so stupidly close. On the one hand, Pereira hasn't had a long enough recovery period from getting starched 3 months ago. That's a ridiculously quick turnaround, especially considering how badly he got put out. So there's a chance that he doesn't show up anywhere close to 100% and Jan makes him pay for it. On the other hand, though, Jan has had a career-long tendency of dropping his right hand a little low on the entry with his hands. Alex is a studious striker - the last person agaisnt whom you want to have a glaring opening for left hooks. I don't see Jan knocking out Alex; I think he'll largely dominate Pereira here, but the moment that left hook lands - the same way Glover and Izzy rocked him up - the finish will be there.
Ferguson vs. Green
Bobby Green, DEC
Not much to say. Ferguson looks awful these days. Green, although he has seen better days too, is a far superior functional striker right now.
Chiesa vs. Holland
Kevin Holland, SUB, R1
Chiesa will get a takedown and manage to give up his neck in a scramble. It just makes sense.
07.22.2023 | 11:30 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 570 Points | Tied for 1003rd
Justin Gaethje, TKO, R5
I gotta go with Gaethje here. I thought Fiziev was going to be ahead of Gaethje in the exchanges, but Justin proved me wrong. He's more responsible on the defensive end nowadays, and although I really like DP, I reckon Gaethje has been getting better than him as of late. It's gonna be an amazing one !
Błachowicz vs. Pereira
Alex Pereira, TKO, R3
I gotta go with Pereira here, but Blacho is no slouch on the feet... I think this one will be pretty close, and what worries me is the quick turnaround for Alex after being koed by Izzy. If Pereira wins, imagine him against Adesanya or him against Jiri... Fireworks !
07.22.2023 | 11:45 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 460 Points | Tied for 3079th
Dustin Poirier, SUB, R3
I don't think we get a slugfest this time around, I think Poirier looks for a way to get Gaethje to the ground and put him to sleep with a RNC or maybe some kind of D'Arce attack in a scramble. Justin can definitely KO him if he follows a calm and patient gameplan like he used against Tony, but I believe that Poirier got better at checking kicks while his MMA wrestling game got stronger, so I see him edge out a win through a more well rounded skill set and gameplan.
Błachowicz vs. Pereira
Jan Błachowicz, SUB, R1
No amount of training with Glover will take away from the natural experience Jan has gained through the high level fights. If he tries to prove a point like Strickland and look for a KO I think he's in for a long night, but if he wants this fight to lead to a title shot he should look towards a path of least resistance. a finish is still a finish, it doesn't need to be a flashy KO.
Ferguson vs. Green
Bobby Green, TKO, R2
Tony Ferguson retirement tour.
Chiesa vs. Holland
Michael Chiesa, SUB, R2
If Chiesa fights smart he should be able to wrestle**** Holland and even find a submission finish, Chiesa is very active. But if he can't get Holland to the ground or if he gets lazy on the feet I think Holland can sleep him in like the first 3 minutes lol
Thompson vs. Pereira
Stephen Thompson, TKO, R3
Going with Wonderboy because I think he has more composure and is more technical, but we've seen him get too comforatable and get caught with wild ****, and Pereira is "wild ****" personified. Either Wonderboy slowly picks him apart or he gets ran through quickly lol
Lewis vs. Rogério de Lima
Derrick Lewis, TKO, R1
fight isn't in Texas so maybe Lewis doesn't randomly quit, but if De Lima makes it out of the 1st round I think he submits Lewis
"🏴 No Quarter Given 🏴"
07.22.2023 | 11:57 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 4 Perfect, 605 Points | Tied for 587th
Justin Gaethje, DEC
Banger card. Predictions will be hard because of the high elevation playing a huge factor. I'm gonna ignore that this is for the BMF belt because it's so corny but MMA in general is corny so whatever, plus I could watch these 2 fight any day of the week. I'm going gaethje because he trains at high elevation & that's really the main reason. It's a 50/50 fight just sit back and watch the violence
Błachowicz vs. Pereira
Jan Błachowicz, DEC
Pereira has the death touch but I think Jan will be able to out grapple him. Wouldn't be surprised no matter who wins
Ferguson vs. Green
Bobby Green, TKO, R3
I just can't pick Tony. Dudes literally a walking corpse at this point it's depressing.
Chiesa vs. Holland
Kevin Holland, SUB, R3
Holland has pretty bad wrestling/grappling defense but I don't think chiesa is fully committed to the game. I think the fact that he's been out for so long will affect his cardio especially in high elevation. I see him winning the first round but gassing then getting hurt then d'arce choked
Thompson vs. Pereira
Stephen Thompson, DEC
There's no way Pereira doesn't gas 😂. He better pray for a first round finish
Lewis vs. Rogério de Lima
Marcos Rogério de Lima, TKO, R1
Derrick Lewis might die at this high of elevation. If this fight makes it out of the first it's gonna be a **** show
Giles vs. Bonfim
Gabriel Bonfim, SUB, R1
Giles is super dangerous and can latch up a sub at any point. I say he gets a guillotine
Kopylov vs. Ribeiro
Roman Kopylov, TKO, R2
Kopylov is way more skilled and ribeiro will definitely gas out at high elevation
Vergara vs. Salvador
CJ Vergara, DEC
Salvador is pretty trash. Vergara isn't that good either but I think he has better cardio and heart
Matthews vs. Flowers
Jake Matthews, SUB, R2
Can't pick a dude making his debut & on short notice at high elevation
Maverick vs. Cachoeira
Priscila Cachoeira, TKO, R1
Fading maverick
Semelsberger vs. Medic
Matthew Semelsberger, TKO, R3
Fun scrap to kick off the card. I don't trust medics cardio at high elevation on short notice
07.23.2023 | 12:29 AM ET
Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 510 Points | Tied for 2082nd
07.23.2023 | 2:38 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 470 Points | Tied for 2912th
Dustin Poirier, TKO, R4
Gaethje is better and better and one clean shot can put to sleep Dustin, but I go with Poirier. He has better boxing ... and jiu jitsu in his pocket in case he loses the fight on the feet
Błachowicz vs. Pereira
Jan Błachowicz, DEC
Both great fighters, or Perreira puts Jan to sleep, or Jan will outblanket him. Flip coin
Thompson vs. Pereira
Stephen Thompson, TKO, R3
Perreira gases out and I hope will get caught in 3rd
Lewis vs. Rogério de Lima
Derrick Lewis, TKO, R1
Lewis needs a V. I think he will fight smart this time
07.23.2023 | 5:34 AM ET
Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 485 Points | Tied for 2604th
"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison
07.23.2023 | 7:21 AM ET
Predictions: 11 of 11 Winners, 4 Perfect, 770 Points | Tied for 5th with 2 others
07.23.2023 | 7:55 AM ET
Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 470 Points | Tied for 2912th
just my opinion
07.23.2023 | 10:10 AM ET
Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 525 Points | Tied for 1770th
"i "Pick ⛏ Up Truck" all the events on Tapology ! | empty walls of Tapology.... | I don't give a flying F16... | keep ****posting about me... | Get Your Mind Out Of The Gutter... | L☻L | @TARTARABLESS | just let me know... !?"
07.23.2023 | 10:30 AM ET
Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 485 Points | Tied for 2604th
"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison
07.23.2023 | 11:08 AM ET
Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 4 Perfect, 705 Points | Tied for 51st
07.23.2023 | 11:16 AM ET
@Meluka
Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 485 Points | Tied for 2604th
"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison
07.23.2023 | 12:12 PM ET
Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 620 Points | Tied for 401st
07.23.2023 | 1:39 PM ET
Predictions: 1 of 2 Winners, 0 Perfect, 50 Points | Tied for 6041st
07.23.2023 | 2:33 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 485 Points | Tied for 2604th
But I think he has more aggression with a higher output and is the better striker which counts for a lot. They are fighting at high altitude which just makes cards harder to predict imo. Normally you'd think that's bad for the guy with a shorter camp but in this instance it means Medic isn't cutting much at all (bc he's moving up) whereas Semi is cutting. So that might counter any advantage or even reverse it on the weight/cardio front, hard to say.
It's a fight I waffled quite a bit on so I'm wary of it.
* Edited at 07.23.2023, 2:34 PM ET *
"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison
07.23.2023 | 3:02 PM ET
Predictions: 1 of 2 Winners, 0 Perfect, 50 Points | Tied for 6041st
07.23.2023 | 3:04 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 515 Points | Tied for 1989th
Everywhere imo Chise is pretty washed a lw and not at all like dogboy kazmat.
"“I took no damage,” Hill said. “Most of the fall was me falling down"
07.23.2023 | 3:12 PM ET
@MMAparlay69
Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 485 Points | Tied for 2604th
It's quite possible he could hold down Medic if he got it there though, since he will be bigger and Medic is profiled as a striker with his kickboxing background, grappling mostly unknown for Medic at this point.
The way I view Semi in general is I think he's not a naturally talented guy but he's a naturally athletic guy. He doesn't have bad fight IQ (ie doesn't make a ton of mistakes). He has to work hard to improve his game though (which he has over time). He's one of those guys that grinds and grinds to improve rather than improve in leaps and bounds from natural talent.
"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison
07.23.2023 | 3:41 PM ET
@gli
Predictions: 1 of 2 Winners, 0 Perfect, 50 Points | Tied for 6041st