Topic: UFC 292

UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley

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Tapology
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05.07.2023 | 1:00 AM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 292
  • Saturday 08.19.2023 at 06:30 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: TD Garden
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Joe Rogan, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $7,250,000
  • Attendance: 18,293
  • MMA Bouts: 12
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Sean O'Malley   defeats   Aljamain Sterling   via KO/TKO, Counter Right to Ground Strikes   0:51 Round 2 of 5, 5:51 Total Bout Page
Weili Zhang   defeats   Amanda Lemos   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Ian Machado Garry   defeats   Neil Magny   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Mario Bautista   defeats   Da'Mon Blackshear   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Marlon Vera   defeats   Pedro Munhoz   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Brad Tavares   defeats   Chris Weidman   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Gregory Rodrigues   defeats   Denis Tiuliulin   via KO/TKO, Elbows From Back Mount   1:43 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Kurt Holobaugh   defeats   Austin Hubbard   via Submission, Triangle Choke   2:39 Round 2 of 3, 7:39 Total Bout Page
Brad Katona   defeats   Cody Gibson   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Andre Petroski   defeats   Gerald Meerschaert   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Natália Silva   defeats   Andrea Lee   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Karine Silva   defeats   Maryna Moroz   via Submission, Guillotine Choke   4:59 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 30

*****_swaggins
*****_swaggins
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08.19.2023 | 12:07 PM ET

holy ****

Predictions: 6 of 6 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 4791st

@mezzor 
you’re back!!
GreenTeaEnthusiast
GreenTeaEnthusiast

08.19.2023 | 12:09 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 600 Points   |   Tied for 2061st

I jumped from the Chito side to Munhoz.

It's hard to tell if Chito will come in with a new strategy after being slapped from pillar to post by Cory, but the safer bet is that he won't — a radical stylistic change this quickly just isn't that practical.

Assuming Chito will come in starting slow, biding his time, Munhoz will rack up points. Chito is all about damage, but the issue is that Pedro continually dishes out damage while taking plenty of big hits himself. That's a style that Chito has notably struggled with in the past (besides Font, who is very susceptible to getting rocked by heavy hands).
mulefloyd
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08.19.2023 | 12:09 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 2955th

Lee vs. Silva
Natália Silva, TKO, R3
Closer to reality than the first fight but I'll say both Vegas and y'all are a little overconfident but I think Natalia pushes through early adversity and her power wears down the durable Lee

"Grammar. The difference between knowing your **** and knowing you're ****."

mulefloyd
mulefloyd
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08.19.2023 | 12:27 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 2955th

Weidman vs. Tavares
Brad Tavares, DEC
Always been a big Tavares fan so I hope everyone's right but I'll be sad at the same time and every loss on Weidman's record most likely beats Tavares.

Rodrigues vs. Tiuliulin
Gregory Rodrigues, TKO, R1
Where is robocop on the Jorge Gurgel scale?

Holobaugh vs. Hubbard
Austin Hubbard, DEC
I'm a fan of Holobaugh but Hubbard has one the best nicknames

Gibson vs. Katona
Brad Katona, DEC
Rather see Gibson win

Meerschaert vs. Petroski
Gerald Meerschaert, SUB, R2
Meershaert's one of my guys so let's see....yeah that's what I thought. Where's the confidence in Petroski coming from?

"Grammar. The difference between knowing your **** and knowing you're ****."

mulefloyd
mulefloyd
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08.19.2023 | 12:50 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 2955th

Sterling vs. O'Malley
Aljamain Sterling, DEC
It would DEFINITELY be better if O'Malley won

Magny vs. Machado Garry
Ian Machado Garry, TKO, R1
It would be better if Magny won.

Bautista vs. Blackshear
Mario Bautista, DEC
Rooting for Da'Mon and think his opponents are much stronger overall to Mario's other than Sandhagen but on 1 week's notice I gotta go with the favorite

Vera vs. Munhoz
Pedro Munhoz, SUB, R2
I'm a fan of both but a bigger fan of Pedro and the odds and especially tap pick % just seem way off. Clips him in the 2nd for a club & sub.


* Edited at 08.19.2023, 12:53 PM ET *

"Grammar. The difference between knowing your **** and knowing you're ****."

Yana
Yana
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08.19.2023 | 1:29 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 6 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 2955th

Anyone else think O'Malley +5.5 at + odds has any value?
JReynolds47
JReynolds47
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08.19.2023 | 1:34 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 640 Points   |   Tied for 1312th

O'Malley in general is value

"Jarno Errens, Damir Hadzovic"

houdini199x
houdini199x
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08.19.2023 | 1:34 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 6 Perfect, 630 Points   |   Tied for 1594th

@Yana 
Moneyline Aj for a higher probability imo. 😎

"High risk is high adrenaline. ..."

TARTARA
TARTARA
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08.19.2023 | 1:36 PM ET

Predictions: 11 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 620 Points   |   Tied for 1739th

If Sean 10'Malley take the W... 
im gonna delete my 5th account... !

"KURZHAAR - Tomorrow Never Comes Until It's Too Late"

PickingMyNose
PickingMyNose
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08.19.2023 | 1:40 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 480 Points   |   Tied for 3955th

Sterling vs. O'Malley
Aljamain Sterling, TKO, R2
Boston Crab pls. (or just beat the heck out of him).

Zhang vs. Lemos
Weili Zhang, SUB, R4
Top control to RNC.

Magny vs. Machado Garry
Neil Magny, DEC
The Magny test is here, how is bro a +370 when his last two losses were Gilbert and Shavkat.

Bautista vs. Blackshear
Da'Mon Blackshear, SUB, R1
TWISTER BACK TO BACK, REAL AND TRUE!

Vera vs. Munhoz
Marlon Vera, DEC
I think Munhoz is probably gonna win the fight, that being said no way Chito doesn't have the favor of the judges (SPLIT AGAINST CORY?!?!). Marlon split decision (arguable robbery).

Weidman vs. Tavares
Brad Tavares, DEC
Well... hope Weidman got paid well to come back despite the injury.

Rodrigues vs. Tiuliulin
Gregory Rodrigues, TKO, R2
Iron turtle esque stoppage.

Holobaugh vs. Hubbard
Kurt Holobaugh, SUB, R1
This pick came courtesy of the crack pipe.

Gibson vs. Katona
Brad Katona, DEC
Canada finally got another prospect eh? (That makes two).

Meerschaert vs. Petroski
Gerald Meerschaert, SUB, R3
Petroski should by all means win this... THE GOAT WILL RETURN WITH A W, CHRISTMAS TREE RECORD IS BACK!

Lee vs. Silva
Natália Silva, DEC
Andrea Lee is a tough girl, she will make it to the bell.

Moroz vs. Silva II
Maryna Moroz, DEC
Coin has been flipped.

"Why they allow makeup in beauty contest but not steroids in contest of strength?"

darkrheenix
darkrheenix
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08.19.2023 | 1:54 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 4088th

Gibson vs. Katona
Cody Gibson, SUB, R2
no to reptile peoples

STRICKLANDSBURNER
STRICKLANDSBURNER
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08.19.2023 | 2:03 PM ET

Predictions: 11 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 675 Points   |   Tied for 820th

@Osantowski 
 and aljo has to pray he gets a takedown . Such a robot typing out **** like everyone isn't picking aljo. So corny 

"Why be a sheep when u can be a wolf"

psysico
psysico
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08.19.2023 | 2:10 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 580 Points   |   Tied for 2399th

Petroski is going wreck g m garbage aljo all day it's gonna be like wow wrestling is easy 😁 ssuga bears got a punchers chance lemos is game and Zhang is hittable brad katona is boring as **** Garry destroys magny inside 1.5 
lldowntoearthll
lldowntoearthll
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08.19.2023 | 2:17 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 580 Points   |   Tied for 2399th

Sterling vs. O'Malley
Aljamain Sterling, DEC
range will be interesting, but seems to be a large ground disparity.

Zhang vs. Lemos
Weili Zhang, TKO, R4
weird situation because i don't personally feel like zhang even is the best at 115 right now so i don't think there's too huge of a gap between her and lemos, but the quality of competition is heavily in her favor so i'll say she can avoid big rushes and keep it technical.

Magny vs. Machado Garry
Ian Machado Garry, DEC
not sure garry will push the sort of grapple heavy gameplan that seems to be the blueprint for magny so i can see it being a little closer than most anticipate, but i still see the striking being in favor of ian. i'd rather let neil surprise me than mess up my garry % playing doubter.

Bautista vs. Blackshear
Mario Bautista, TKO, R2
interested to see how scrambles go, but i'm thinking mario is the better striker and might be able to shut down entries and force exchanges.

Vera vs. Munhoz
Pedro Munhoz, DEC
alright i guess this is my spicy play of the night. chito kinda disappointed me last time out and seems to get outstruck numberwise in many of his fights, relying on his powershots, but pedro's movement is probably better and he does a good job of mitigating damage. i can see him frustrating vera at range and marlon probably doesn't wanna engage on the ground here. both men have lost exclusively by decision so i'll say no finish.

Weidman vs. Tavares
Brad Tavares, DEC
same rationale as magny fight, would rather have chris surprise me than burn a pick on him. brad's clinch figures to make this a slower fight so it could be decided on a couple weidman takedowns, but i'm just gonna hedge and hope we don't get another "still my boy" moment.

Rodrigues vs. Tiuliulin
Gregory Rodrigues, TKO, R2
looks like a bounceback for obama texeira, not convinced denis really belongs here. wanted to pick sub because denis has been tapped in most of his losses, but gregory probably won't even try.

Holobaugh vs. Hubbard
Austin Hubbard, DEC
i feel like austin will be the one better able to mix things up. if he can't find his td's though then kurt might throw some bricks at him.

Gibson vs. Katona
Brad Katona, DEC
hedge. brad is gonna try to do exactly what cody said, grab and hold, but i think he can execute that gameplan. plus he's conor's friend so the judges like him.

Meerschaert vs. Petroski
Andre Petroski, TKO, R2
gonna come down to andre's tank. likely dominates r1 and pushes r2, but he has to not gas.

Lee vs. Silva
Natália Silva, DEC
really don't think lee is too outmatched here, silva's best win is jasmine and i'd put her on the same level. what i like about silva in this matchup is that she figures to be viable standing and on the ground so andrea's rounded approach is kinda matched.

Moroz vs. Silva II
Karine Silva, SUB, R2
feels silly picking silva by sub when moroz subbed her if the first meeting, but different momentum now. not sure moroz can push her grappling like she would desire so it may come down to who controls the striking and pressure.

thebeefjerker
thebeefjerker
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08.19.2023 | 2:19 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 555 Points   |   Tied for 2800th

Bautista vs. Blackshear
Da'Mon Blackshear, TKO, R2
I think Blackshear is an absolute dog and he's getting overlooked here. I rate the striking highly from Blackshear, especially after having fought less than a week ago and having the confidence knowing that you beat a much longer and more athletic build. I think Bautista is solid but wasn't training for a fight like this, which is just as much a disadvantage as it is an advantage to have a whole camp. Give me Blackshear by TKO stoppage middle to late rounds.

Rodrigues vs. Tiuliulin
Gregory Rodrigues, SUB, R1
Robocop, if he's a man of his word, will come out and look to take Tiuliulin down and look for the easiest and least damaging path to victory. I think a Robocop takedown COULD happen early on, its just a matter of if he chooses to do so. If he ****s around too much I can see Tiuliulin winning a la Nate Diaz esc flurry of paunches, however I think Robocop won't look to mess around here.

Gibson vs. Katona
Cody Gibson, DEC
Gibson's lankiness and athleticism should help him on all levels of the fight here, and I think he's much more active and impressive of a fighter to judges. If Katona hadm'

thebeefjerker
thebeefjerker
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08.19.2023 | 2:24 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 555 Points   |   Tied for 2800th

Meerschaert vs. Petroski
Andre Petroski, TKO, R2
This fight scares me, a lot. I think Petroski understands the danger of Meerschaert, but you can't fully until you've been caught with something. I think Petroski will have the volume to wear on Gerald and finish him quickly, but should this go to round 3 I will be ****ting bricks.

Moroz vs. Silva II
Karine Silva, SUB, R1
Silva has revenge in the back of her mind if she's the competitor she seems to be. It's a sketchy one, but some fighters turn major corners in their game and I think Silva has done that and more in the 9 years since they've faced one another.

MattyViceGrip
MattyViceGrip
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08.19.2023 | 2:30 PM ET

Predictions: 11 of 12 Winners, 6 Perfect, 770 Points   |   Tied for 95th

Boutta head to the gahden semi soon, got a 30 minute car ride and an hour train ride straight to the gahden! So ******* amped, tonight's gunna be electric... First UFC event in the Bean since 2019




"Pound for Pound! Headshot, dead!"

Joshjeffords
Joshjeffords
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08.19.2023 | 2:37 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 405 Points   |   Tied for 4629th

Hell yeah enjoy looks like a helluva card to see in person!

"“I took no damage,” Hill said. “Most of the fall was me falling down"

yorma
yorma
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08.19.2023 | 2:45 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 565 Points   |   Tied for 2631st

Hello back everybody 😁

"And whats up with y'all, Looking at me like a monkey, You !?! Yeah right, You're all saints, You !! Bunch of macaques !! Gimme a baby monkey, He'll be .. Wonderfull"

gliese58i
gliese58i
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08.19.2023 | 2:49 PM ET

@GreenTeaEnthusiast

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 7 Perfect, 675 Points   |   Tied for 897th

Also worth noting that Font would have handilly won that match if he didn't get rocked in every single round. He was clearly winning rounds then would get hurt bad at the very end, happened in like 2 or 3 of the rounds.
Similar story to some of Petr Yan's fights there, for example the one against Jimmy Rivera.

Just shows that you can be a really good fighter but being passive or a slow starter is a huge obstacle to overcome.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

Page 30


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