Topic: UFC Fight Night
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi
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03.08.2023 | 10:53 AM ET
Responses Page 22
05.28.2023 | 5:40 AM ET
Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 475 Points | Tied for 1265th
"Jarno Errens is a future UFC champion, Мне нужна гора в моей жизни"
05.28.2023 | 5:40 AM ET
Predictions: 3 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 190 Points | Tied for 4045th
"💰🌆"
05.28.2023 | 5:47 AM ET
Predictions: 3 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 190 Points | Tied for 4045th
"💰🌆"
05.28.2023 | 5:55 AM ET
Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 340 Points | Tied for 3215th
"let people sleep on me, and let the doctor wake 'em up" - Jamahal Hill
05.28.2023 | 6:08 AM ET
Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 550 Points | Tied for 484th
But he lacks the intelligence to understand that no one reads through his posts. Or that he is losing money every time he bets.
Take some advice from me son. Make real profit like I do.
"Positivity is a positive"
05.28.2023 | 6:10 AM ET
Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 550 Points | Tied for 484th
"Positivity is a positive"
05.28.2023 | 6:10 AM ET
Predictions: 3 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 190 Points | Tied for 4045th
"💰🌆"
05.28.2023 | 6:12 AM ET
Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 550 Points | Tied for 484th
But of course you don't understand that with your 0.5% points and predictive values meaning nothing. And of course you will never make real money
"Positivity is a positive"
05.28.2023 | 6:13 AM ET
Predictions: 3 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 190 Points | Tied for 4045th
"💰🌆"
05.28.2023 | 6:32 AM ET
Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 550 Points | Tied for 484th
"Positivity is a positive"
05.28.2023 | 8:42 AM ET
Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 680 Points | Tied for 22nd with 3 others
"Be Joseph Pyfer" - Sherdog
05.28.2023 | 8:52 AM ET
Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 7 Perfect, 625 Points | Tied for 122nd
"Dont take life too serious, you will never make it out alive."
05.28.2023 | 12:11 PM ET
"I live, I die, I live again."
05.28.2023 | 12:24 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 500 Points | Tied for 934th
05.28.2023 | 12:40 PM ET
Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 600 Points | Tied for 185th
* Edited at 05.28.2023, 12:41 PM ET *
05.28.2023 | 12:55 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 500 Points | Tied for 934th
05.28.2023 | 12:56 PM ET
Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 680 Points | Tied for 22nd with 3 others
The thing is people want to get rich quick, and that requires taking on enormous risk. It is truly the gambling approach. If you look at betting as more of a craft or a job, then you want to minimze risk and have steady income that wins out over time in 99/100 cases.
"Be Joseph Pyfer" - Sherdog
05.28.2023 | 1:26 PM ET
Predictions: 3 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 190 Points | Tied for 4045th
if you parlay
+300
+150
-150
-300
+250
essentially what you just did was combine 0.25 x 0.40 x 0.60 x 0.75 x 0.28 = 0.0126% …. which is +793551, the funniest thing about people who parlay all of these lines is, most of the lines don’t even hold the chance that’s implied hahah, so you’re getting +793551 but realistically you probably should’ve got an even bigger price because the +300 is probably more like a +350, and the +150 is probably more like a +175, and the -150 is probably more like -125, so the big price that you’re salivating over should be an even bigger price… if you think a +150 (40%) has a better chance than their line says, combining it with other lines obviously isn’t the mathematically best thing to do.
"💰🌆"
05.28.2023 | 2:21 PM ET
05.28.2023 | 2:53 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 500 Points | Tied for 934th
You're talking about "implied probability" of these odds but there's a problem with that.
I know the real probability vs the probability the bookies tell me. I'll give you a recent example, the bookies had Pavlovich knocking out Blaydes in Round 1 at +350 (22%). Me? I knew that **** was 90% and I hammered it.
I also don't parlay +odds often in big parlays. I play 4-5 locks at big -odds, together they make close to + money and I drop 4 figures on it. That's how you consistently make money.
You're welcome.
* Edited at 05.28.2023, 2:55 PM ET *