Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 380 Points
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Tied for 3852nd
Not sure if you are adressing me. I'm a value bettor which makes my style a lot less risk averse than "bet the guy that is going to win" approach that is the most commonly held one in these threads. All I do is bet fights without knowing the outcome ahead of time unlike a lot of the tap experts that knows what will happen and then bets accordingly, odds be damned.
So I'm certainly willing to take risks if I think they make sense and frequently against the guy I think is the most likely to win. But I don't think it's a good strategy to take on risk if you don't perceive the value in it.
"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison
Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 390 Points
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Tied for 3764th
The percentage on saaiman is a bit crazy to me kinda feel as if terrence has a lot more chance than people think also let's not forget underdogs have been on an absolute tear this Yr
Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 380 Points
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Tied for 3852nd
@gliese58ibetting is about math not even about ,you don't even need to know the names of the fighters on this card to be on + money on the end of the night
Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 535 Points
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Tied for 688th
Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez Volkanovski, TKO, R4 I think Alex puts a brutal beating on Yair here. Yair comes back after a 2 year layoff, takes a beating from Max like it's nothing, beats Ortega via injury, submits Emmett and now he's interim champ. Yair's boxing is not great, great kicking game but Alex's footwork is so good that he can avoid most of them, especially the body kicks, which is Yair's best weapon. Alex could grapple here as well considering Max Holloway of all people looked like Khamzat Chimaev against Yair. Alex will do horrible horrible things to Yair if he gets in top position like he did with Ortega or if Yair gets mounted like he did against Max. Won't be as bad at the TKZ beating, but will be close. Volkanovski round 4 TKO ground and pound.
Whittaker vs. Du Plessis Whittaker, TKO, R3 This is a much closer fight than betting lines suggest. Du Plessis is legit, good low kick, grappling, just comes forward like a freak and throws wild punches. Du Plessis striking defense is quite bad and I can't see Rob not finding the mark with some counter punches here. Du Plessis cardio horrible as well but who knows how much the nose surgery could fix that. Most likely 19-19 heading into the 3rd, where Rob starts finding the mark with ease. Hasn't had a finish since Jacare 6 years ago but a late finish is very live here.
Lawler vs. Price Price, DEC Just put on a good show fellas. Really want Robbie to get it done, one of my favorites ever. Price sucks but will still probably win here. Hoping for FOTN. I think Robbie might not give a **** considering it's his retirement fight and lay it all out on the line. If Robbie bonks him world hunger might end
Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 350 Points
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Tied for 4344th
Turner really impressed me in his loss to Gamrot. I originally had Hooker winning when it was first booked but I changed my mind. However, I think Turner would have had the same exact record against Hooker's last 6 opponents (Puelles, Allen, Islam, Nasrat, Chandler, Poirier) and I think Hooker would have the same exact record against Turner's last 6 opponents (Gamrot, Riddell, Mullarkey, Medic, Weaver, Culibao). It seems as if Turner is entering his prime and Hooker is on the way out, but Turner still hasn't beaten anyone great yet, and Hooker hasn't lost to anyone he shouldn't have yet. I'm still on the Turner side due to age and skillset, but I wouldn't be surprised if this turned out like Munhoz/Gutierrez where everyone thought the older guy was washed up and the up and comer would win, and the older guy showed he still has it.
I think the UFC gave DDP to Whittaker because they do not want the Izzy-DDP matchup since it's going to become a race thing (even though all DDP said is that he was born, raised, and trains out of Africa which is true). Also, DDP has struggled in every one of his fights, and I think Whittaker shuts out those very same guys. DDP's only chance is to hurt Whittaker and finish him, but I think Whittaker is too disciplined to allow that to happen.
Similar to Whittaker/DDP, Yair's only chance to beat Volk is to hurt and then finish him. Volk is very disciplined as well, but I think Yair has the style that he can hurt anyone. I'm assuming Volk wins 49-46 or 50-45, but Yair by finish is +425. It can't hurt to throw some money on that, especially if Volk is the final piece in your parlay.
Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 480 Points
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Tied for 1642nd
Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez Alexander Volkanovski, SUB, R2 Volk comes out hyper motivated, looks phenomenal, Yair is on the back pedal and defending constantly. Good ground and pound throughout round 1, 10-9 but dominant. Volk switches play, strikes to loosen Yair and set up a takedown. He secures it, he ground and pounds into a side control, but secures a Kimura. Kimura round 2, Yair taps to it. Volk still evolving. AND STILL!
Moreno vs. Pantoja III Brandon Moreno, SUB, R2 Crazy fight but Pantoja gets cracked and Moreno doesn't hesitate, a classic Flyweight RNC back-take. Sinks it in almost immediately. Pantoja knows and taps out of it and is Pissed. AND STILL!!
Whittaker vs. Du Plessis Dricus Du Plessis, DEC 29-28x3 Uni. I think this is a VERY close fight but Dricus actually rocks Whit in the 3rd and almost ends this fight. Pushing any doubt in favor of him. Real close.
Hooker vs. Turner Jalin Turner, DEC 30-27x2 30-26 Dec Uni.
Nickal vs. Woodburn Bo Nickal, SUB, R1 I'm throwing a ten on Val. F It, this is MMA. Bo by RNC.
Lawler vs. Price Niko Price, TKO, R2 FOTN contender for sure, I don't like fighters after one of their small amount KO's nevermind a vet like Lawler. Price by TKO after a wild fight, reminds me of Liddell vs Franklin
Maddalena vs. Harrell Jack Della Maddalena, DEC 29-28x3 Uni. Almost a split but Della controls 2 rounds solid. Harrell is going to surprise and come in really hot,
Jauregui vs. Gomes Yazmin Jauregui, DEC Controverial Split Dec 29-28x2 27-30. Denise comes in and really looks great, wins the damage but Yazmin ends up winning due to flurries and cage control.
Crute vs. Menifield II Alonzo Menifield, DEC 29-28x2 30-27, I think Crute can KO Meni, but Alonzo has been real smart lately, I think he comes in and out works and out plans Crute to a uni.
Cháirez vs. Taira Tatsuro Taira, SUB, R1 Armbar from mount, in the last minute of round 1.
Petrino vs. Prachnio Vitor Petrino, DEC Low confidence here. I think Prachnio style is a big red flag for this one. Split Dec 29-28x2, 28-29
Saaiman vs. Mitchell Cameron Saaiman, TKO, R1 Jab lands clean on Mitchell, dropping him back into the cage, and delivers a huge couple hooks. GnP elbow finish. MSP is forreal.
Ross vs. Aguilar Jesus Aguilar, SUB, R1 Guillotine choke, I feel like this is a trap fight and Ross by UD is possible as well.
Kirk vs. Ribovics Kamuela Kirk, DEC 29-28x3 I See Esteban edging Kirk in the 1st round but Kirk looks better and more comfortable 10lbs heavier and wins the last two.
Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 465 Points
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Tied for 1967th
Very interesting thought that I myself have had. I actually said this a few months back when DDP and Izzy first started mouthing off at eachother. The UFC loves a good narrative for sure but if there were EVER a storyline that they wanted to avoid like the plague, this is probably it.
"Whos the real African!?" just has so many negative connotations attached to it its not even funny. I think even DDP and his team have realized this and that's why he sort of walked back some of his previous comments in the build up to this fight.
I believe his specific comment was something like "I dont care if I fight Izzy for the belt. I just want to fight whoever has the belt". Im not saying the UFC would never ever book DDP and Izzy but they'd definitely do whatever they can to downplay that storyline.
I mean the UFC wants to expand into Africa way, way more. I imagine Hunter and Sean were pulling their hair out when DDP was talking about being the only real African fighter in the UFC. I'm sure they loved that.
I'm pretty sure his quote was “first real African champ; trained, born, bred in Africa” which is 100% true. I think people are making a thing of it solely because of his skin color compared to the skin color of the other African champs. But DDP actually seems like a nice guy that was just trying to say he wants to win for his country. I don't think he had any negative intent in there whatsoever.
However, all that matters is the reactions to those comments. And the UFC would never promote this as "the battle for Africa" or anything like that. I think they're feeding him to Whittaker because they want him to lose, especially since we need some new blood in the division for Izzy, so it would've made sense just to let him fight Izzy now without having to get passed Whittaker. But, if DDP wins, there is no way you can deny him a title shot.
For once, I gotta agree with the white pride African chimp. I burned that bridge on my own, you didn't really have anything to do with it. Sorry mate, but you are simply not him :(
Regardless it doesnt matter to me. I still use Tapology whenever I choose. Gregory became a soyboy because of me which is evident by the fact that half the users on this website are suspended at any given time. I'm not really in the mood to troll and make the mods lives a living hell, because unlike my children Baremaras and his roleplaying alt account friend Rahdrew, I matured. I'm just leaving this comment and then dipping back to my actual account
I care so little about this website that Ill actually let you in on a little secret: I have several alt accounts just because I can, and no none of them are who you think. Idk why people thought I was that MMA Owls or Nameless guy, but unfortunately for them, I am not. Little known fact, there's actually evidence of me in this very thread. Its pretty easy to have a low profile when you're not constantly getting into arguments like half the autists on this website. These days I just make my picks, comment my opinions every now and then, and do better things with my time. Sex? No way, get outta here. This is Tapology. No one here is ever gonna lose their virginity, get real man lol. But yeah, this website is cancer and I think your life would be greatly improved if you ditched it and focused on more important things, like getting some *******.
Andrew, I believe the only STD here is you. You're a cancer to this website, which is weird cause its already cancer on its own. You're a parasite among parasites, which is quite the feat. Now let me ask you and your other account Rah something. How am I the STD when I returned and didnt even remember you, yet as soon as you saw me you went full ****** mode and seethed? Seems like Im only a STD in the sense that I'm forever stuck inside of you and your body. I'm on this website commenting every few days and making my picks on every event and you're here getting suspended every other week and being the most hated little boy on this website not named Crimson Tartara or Baremaras. What a sad life you live. Oh also, did you just try to get Sabbath banned for saying the n word... by saying the n word? I knew you werent the sharpest tool in the shed, but that seems pretty stupid, even for you. Also Gregory casually letting a slur like that slip. Not a good look from the soy mod 😬
I like how you edited it but even then still didnt take out the obvious racial slur 💀 Anyway Ima keep doing my thing, and I assume you will too (aka making a fool of yourself and liking your own comments from your own accounts since no one else with half a brain cell agrees with your downright idiotic takes). Take care lads 🍺
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Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 430 Points
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Tied for 2753rd
it's funny how no one cared when this happened with Leon Edwards. he said that he wanted to be the first to win a belt out of the UK because Bisping moved over to America before he did it. but when Dricus says it, it's some crazy thing? I think it's pretty simple tbh, Izzy wakes up in NZ, Usman wakes up in the US, and Dricus wakes up in South Africa. DDP was only stating the facts
Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 380 Points
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Tied for 3852nd
Jauregui match was one of the first I capped. I liked Denise Gomes better some time ago, watching her for this one I was less positive about her. Sorry that I can't give you a breakdown on it but I don't remember the specifics other than that I don't think Jauregui drops the ball here. For a -400 or whatever she is at now WMMa fighter I'm pretty hiogh on Jauregui here (not that I would ever consider betting in such a spot). I remember not liking how Rosa looked in her last one and Denise Gomes is her girlfriend so if she comes in looking equally bad on the scale that would cement it.
"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison
