UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

You mean the sharp bettors who got to the line before anyone else could. And they are right. 100% line move in the right direction. 

* Edited at 03.21.2023, 1:03 AM ET *

Just came off listening to another YouTube capper podcast
And that bald dude Dan was on it again. Seriously this guy is a moron but acts like he is the smartest guy in the room.

His comment, to someone who bet on Dumas the Dumbass. "It doesn't matter that he lost, you did your job and bet on him before the line moved "

LOL LOL LOL LOL 😂 🤣 😄 😆 

What are these guys? Seriously? These are the guys giving out betting advice???? Not that, oh you picked the wrong guy better luck next time. Rather, you picked the wrong guy, lost your money and your bet but you did a great job because you picked the losing guy before the line moved. 🤦🤦🤦

How does anyone listen to these clowns? Smh

* Edited at 03.21.2023, 1:47 AM ET *

Sandhagen v Vera
Marlon Vera, TKO, R3
Chito has demonstrated an ability to rise to the occasion, and I don't think we've seen his ceiling yet, despite Sandhagen coming in with superior fight stats.

Lee v Barber
Andrea Lee, SUB, R2
KGB is the better wrestler.  She should be able to carry off a sub here.  I don't see either of these women letting this fight go to decision.

Holm v Santos
Yana Santos, DEC
These women, however, could very easily go to decision.  Santos's higher strike rate and TD% should get her the W.

Alexander v Peterson
Steven Peterson, SUB, R3
Ocho is one of my favorite fighters to watch.  He has that insatiable zombie energy.  I seem to remember him having a nice submission game in his back pocket as well, and hope to see it on Saturday.

You have a profile picture of Amber Heard punching. Ironic.

Vera vs. Sandhagen
Cory Sandhagen, DEC
I think Cory will piece Chito up, similar to how Cruz was before Chito caught him. Chito could catch Cory at some point but I don't see him getting a finish.

Holm vs. Santos
Yana Santos, DEC
I think Santos will wrestle Holly pretty well, as long as she avoids the clinch she should win everywhere else.

Landwehr vs. Lingo
Nate Landwehr, DEC
This'll be a war, Landwehr thrives in wars so I think he'll be on the right side of the decision.

Lee vs. Barber
Maycee Barber, DEC
Barber has been on a run as of late and I think Lee is a good matchup for her, Barber should win in the striking and wrestling.

Perez vs. Kape
Alex Perez, DEC
Kape is too passive sometimes and I think Perez will dominate the range with some heavy low kicks to win a decision.

Njokuani vs. Duraev
Chidi Njokuani, TKO, R1
Duraev is gonna shoot a takedown, get stuffed, and get ko'd on the feet.

Pineda vs. Lutz
Tucker Lutz, DEC
Pineda has very bad striking defense, Lutz is gonna light him up like a Christmas tree.

Peterson vs. Alexander
Lucas Alexander, DEC
I think Alexander will outstrike Peterson surprisingly well to win an absolute war.

Giles vs. Parsons
Preston Parsons, DEC
Parsons should wrestle Giles to a dominant decision.

Vergara vs. da Silva
CJ Vergara, TKO, R1
Vergara is gonna touch Da Silva's chin and the fight is gonna end.

Torres vs. Ogden
Trey Ogden, DEC
Ogden should win this with his wrestling, Torres' wrestling defense isn't great.

Salvador vs. Altamirano
Victor Altamirano, TKO, R1
Salvador is kill or be killed, I think Altamirano will take some early punishment before finding a power shot that sleeps Salvador.

Vidal vs. Cowan
Tamires Vidal, DEC
I think Vidal will outstrike Cowan relatively easily to win a decision.

So rah chooses Vidal in his predictions, then spends his time saying how Cowan will definitely win. Carefully covered all bases then 🤣

Which o1.5s are you looking at?

This card could end up being a pretty violent one.

I like those. I also like the Peterson/Alexander one. Im probably skipping the Vidal/Cowan for the reason you mentioned and the Holms/Cowan one because i avoid betting on old fighters (could be some freaky **** that happens that busts the parlay).

* Edited at 03.21.2023, 9:52 AM ET *

Thanks for letting me know. Most definitely NOT picking Vidal who I think is an absolute bum. Corrected.

80% of fights will end inside the distance 

For the Vidal vs. Cowan fight, I am going to pick the Brazilian bc she's Brazilian and has been in the octagon before. Cowan wasn't that impressive on DWCS and neither was Vidal. If you really want to bet on this fight, take the dog. I was impressed with Salvador on DWCS; however, his opponent was not very good and his strength of schedule is nothing to write home about, so I am taking Altamirano. I think Torres pieces up Ogden since he's not at Glory anymore. Daniel Da Silva is probably tied for the worst flyweight with JP Buys, so Vergara should finish him in a round. Parsons is borderline UFC talent while Giles has untapped potential, and I expect him to put a win streak together. Alexander ain't UFC talent, and Peterson is a proven veteran, so give me Peterson. Tucker Lutz may be the most underrated featherweight bc he is not much of a finisher, but I can see him TKOing an old washed up Pineda in the later rounds. Duraev has to be the most overrated Dagestani UFC fighter ever. Chidi should finish him in 2 rounds. Maycee Barber is finally coming into her own and Andrea Lee is pretty average, so I think Barber will take advantage of this set-up fight. Lingo is decent, but I don't like he's taking this on short notice after not fighting in nearly 2 years. Landwhehr should win at least 2 rounds if not all 3. I think Holly Holm is done tbh. Yana Santos is not that great, but I think she'll squeak out one of the most boring co-mains of the year.

Vera vs. Sandhagen is hard to pick. I am huge fan of both fighters. Sandhagen has turned into the Tony Ferguson of the bantamweight division where his is just beating guys up and they never leave without a few cuts on their faces. Vera is not a very active fighter bc he relies on his power so much, but he has excellent timing and defense. I think if Vera wins, it will look like his fight against Rob Font, but I think Sandhagen is a little too slick and be able to cut Vera open causing him to not be able to find that finishing blow. Sandhagen by decision is the safe choice, but it is also the most likely outcome. Also, I have notice that I have not picked any dogs, but I think that there is only going to be around 1 or 2 dogs to win on this whole card. The matchmaking on this card is fun, but there are definitely clear-cut easy picks. The only 2 I'm not more than 90% sure about are the first 2 fights

Landwehr vs. Lingo
Nate Landwehr, TKO, R3
lingo should bring the fire and make this a fun fight i do think lingo posseses a good amount of power to end this in the first (nate doesnt have a chin) but nate has a wide range of tools on the feet and ground im expecting a sloppy brawl with one of these guys starting to gas and back against the cage and get the finish after the onama fight i have to take nate to get that cardio finish

Njokuani vs. Duraev
Chidi Njokuani, TKO, R1
i really dont see this going past the first chidi is super dangerous for a round and buckley was bashing duraevs face in chidi is going to land that hard shot in the first that stops the fight

Vergara vs. da Silva
CJ Vergara, TKO, R2
daniel da silva shouldnt be in the ufc yes he is fun to watch but like jordan wright just crumbles once the opponent fires back cj hits hard and will break silva

Salvador vs. Altamirano
Victor Altamirano, TKO, R3
not very sure why salvador is the fav he beat a can on dwcs and didnt look impressive doing so victor isnt great but pressures hard and mixes in takedowns i think salvador will have a big moment gas and get finished

Holm vs. Santos
Yana Santos, DEC
this is 99% biting me in the ass but holly is just old as **** and judges have been moving very suspicous lately i wouldnt be shocked at a low output holly losing a split decision

Perez vs. Kape
Manel Kape, TKO, R3
great scrap leaning kape because he seems to do even better off confidence and riding the 3 fight win streak his confidence seems very high alex on the other hand is looking for a win and idk if that means he tries to play it safe or go full agressive either way i see kape outlanding him or just flatlining him with a very big shot by the third kape masterclass w

Giles vs. Parsons
Preston Parsons, DEC
preston parsons is well rounded enough to beat giles and outclass giles for 3 rounds giles has looked much slower as of late and after his last fight i refuse to bet on him

Torres vs. Ogden
Manuel Torres, TKO, R1
torres seems like another legit mexican propsect ogden is good but i think torres is going to steamroll ogden once he sees his opportunity slow fight until that point

Vidal vs. Cowan
Tamires Vidal, DEC
vidal is younger stronger and has the grappling edge ik cowan might have the edge in striking but in wmma ill take the stronger girl

Holm vs. Santos
Holly Holm, DEC
💤💤💤💤💤💤💤

Landwehr vs. Lingo
Nate Landwehr, TKO, R2
CHOO CHOO MOTHA ****AAA