Topic: UFC on ESPN+ 11
UFC on ESPN+ 11: Gustafsson vs. Smith
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12.31.2018 | 12:00 AM ET
Responses Page 3
bout announced
Sergey Khandozhko vs. Rostem Akman at 170 lbs (77.1 kg)
05.26.2019 | 9:05 AM ET
Predictions: 3 of 8 Winners, 1 Perfect, 175 Points | Tied for 1646th
I reckon Vendramini will take a decision victory, he showed great promise against dos Santos who is an absolute monster at 170lbs.
05.26.2019 | 10:51 AM ET
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 455 Points | Tied for 140th
Oezdemir absolutely did not get robbed. Neither fighter in that fight would've had any reason to ***** because both fought with little urgency and neither did enough in any round to definitively take it. Round 3 was the clearest (Reyes, but even that could be argued for Volkan).
That was my take after rewatching the fight because of the previous page's comments. After watching, I checked MMAdecisions.com and it just reinforced how close the fight was: 8 scores 29-28 for Reyes, 6 29-28 for Volkan, and 5!?! 30-27 for Volkan. That last group should have their judging priveleges revoked imo.
"Grammar. The difference between knowing your **** and knowing you're ****."
05.26.2019 | 11:18 AM ET
Predictions: 3 of 8 Winners, 1 Perfect, 175 Points | Tied for 1646th
05.26.2019 | 12:24 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 4 of 7 Winners, 0 Perfect, 230 Points | Tied for 1394th
Joel Alvarez, SUB, R2
I see Alvarez as the better fighter of the two. Having faced better comp. on the regional scene and finishing at a high rate. Style wise I think his opponent will play into Alvarez's strengths I see another submission finish in this one. The pick is Alvarez by sub.
"Aiming to be professional sports handicapper"
05.26.2019 | 1:11 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 4 of 7 Winners, 0 Perfect, 230 Points | Tied for 1394th
Darko Stošić, TKO, R2
This fight is some solid matchmaking. Clark is not a pushover but his chin has been cracked before and likely will be again in this fight. If Clark is put out again this could be his UFC swan song so I expect him to be very determined to try and hold a spot on the roster. However it will be hard to implement his style in this one as I think Stosic takedown defense is good enough to keep this fight standing. Meaning that eventually he lands some of his power on that chin of Clark. So the pick is Stosic by KO. I will say round 2.
"Aiming to be professional sports handicapper"
05.26.2019 | 1:26 PM ET
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 355 Points | Tied for 526th
Sergey Honda via TKO
Very fun match-up based on both's willingness to engage. Sergey has had a full-camp. Last fight was at the 2018 Plotforma Cup. Which is held basically on a Moat with Vladimir Putin in attendance. Akman crafted himself as a finisher through the IMMAF tourny's but with 2 TKO losses.. I expect Honda to overwhelm Rostem.
05.26.2019 | 2:38 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 4 of 7 Winners, 0 Perfect, 230 Points | Tied for 1394th
Frank Camacho, DEC
I see value on Camacho here. Assuming he can make the weight on short notice and not totally deplete himself Camacho should win this fight. With height and reach advantage in his favor and the styles of these 2 expect a 3 round kickboxing match. Both fighters are very hittable. From a betting perspective all the value here lies with the price on Camacho. My pick is Camacho by decision.
"Aiming to be professional sports handicapper"
05.26.2019 | 6:10 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 4 of 7 Winners, 0 Perfect, 230 Points | Tied for 1394th
Leonardo Santos, DEC
-250 on Santos at age 39 and rust of 2.5 yrs layoff is a high number but Ray just does not offer the kind of style that I think can beat Santos here. Santos has not taken a ton of damage in his career either so I don't think age will be a huge factor. Ring rust may be a problem. Santos is the better fighter and my pick is by decision as Ray is a durable opponent. I give it about a 30% chance Santos gets a sub.
"Aiming to be professional sports handicapper"
05.26.2019 | 7:23 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 4 of 7 Winners, 0 Perfect, 230 Points | Tied for 1394th
Sung Bin Jo, TKO, R3
Jo has not fought UFC caliber up to this point but at least he has done what he should to the cans by finishing every win he has. Teymur is not UFC caliber either and is getting one last chance only because this card is in Sweden. My biggest concern for Jo is octagon jitters as he tends to move a lot but not throw a ton of volume. If Teymur comes forward and uses leg kicks and presses Jo against the cage he could get some home cooking on the scorecards. Jo tends to lean on a power shot landing and then flurrying to a finish that can be a danger if the power shot doesn't land to begin with. Jo has size and ht/rch and youth on his side. I will pick Jo to win by 3rd round KO but betting it does have risk here.
"Aiming to be professional sports handicapper"
05.26.2019 | 7:43 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 4 of 7 Winners, 0 Perfect, 230 Points | Tied for 1394th
Damir Hadžović, DEC
This could be a very good scrap. -220 on Hadzovic is a little high in my opinion. I like him to win the fight but it won't be a walk in the park this is a tougher fight then the odds suggest. Pick is Damir by decision.
"Aiming to be professional sports handicapper"
05.26.2019 | 9:17 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 4 of 7 Winners, 0 Perfect, 230 Points | Tied for 1394th
Alexander Gustafsson, DEC
very interesting fight. Gus in Sweden will be very hard to beat. Smith is no easy out either. It will be interesting to see how both of these guys bounce back from defeat at the hands of Jon Jones. From a betting angle there is little value on Gus but you have to favor him to get the W. So the pick is Gus by decision it what I think will be a close fight.
"Aiming to be professional sports handicapper"
05.27.2019 | 2:38 AM ET
Predictions: 5 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 320 Points | Tied for 794th
"you dont need religion to have morals. if you can't tell right from wrong you lack empathy and humanity, not religion."
05.27.2019 | 6:41 AM ET
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points | Tied for 355th
2-1 Ooze. Not hard.
05.27.2019 | 6:54 AM ET
Predictions: 5 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 320 Points | Tied for 794th
"you dont need religion to have morals. if you can't tell right from wrong you lack empathy and humanity, not religion."
05.27.2019 | 6:57 AM ET
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points | Tied for 355th
* Edited at 05.27.2019, 6:58 AM ET *
05.28.2019 | 10:20 AM ET
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 395 Points | Tied for 339th
His wrestling doesn't appear to have progressed very much imo and is still the weakest part of his game.
05.28.2019 | 10:31 AM ET
Predictions: 6 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 440 Points | Tied for 186th
05.29.2019 | 8:53 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 5 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 405 Points | 291st Place
Stevie Ray, DEC
Sticking with my fellow Scotsman STEVIE RAY got some skills will win by decision!
"LIVE EVERY DAY LIKE ITS YOUR LAST!"
05.29.2019 | 12:57 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 420 Points | Tied for 240th
Alexander Gustafsson, TKO, R3
smith is good at winning fights he "should" win, but so is gus, and this is one that likely favors the more established contender.
Oezdemir vs. Latifi
Ilir Latifi, DEC
i think ilir will stay composed and force the action more effectively. volkan has some good wins, but he's a product of becoming ranked during 205's exodus down years moreso than an established perennial contender.
Manuwa vs. Rakić
Aleksandar Rakić, TKO, R2
been picking against this glass cannon and i think it's safe to continue doing so as long as they put him against heavy hitters.
Amirkhani vs. Fishgold
Chris Fishgold, DEC
first round could be fun. don't really have a great reason for the pick, guess i feel like fishgold has proved more to me.
Giagos vs. Hadžović
Damir Hadžović, TKO, R1
my intuition is rarely right, but this fight jumps out to me as a good parlay piece. feeling like hadzovic should have few issues with a middling guy like giagos.
Teymur vs. Jo
Daniel Teymur, DEC
a lot of people picking jo, huh? i know this teymur brother isn't to be trusted, but the korean fella hasn't even had decent competition.
Khandozhko vs. Akman
Sergey Khandozhko, TKO, R1
both questionable, but sergey has clearly fought better competition and rostem is a replacement.
Evinger vs. Länsberg
Tonya Evinger, TKO, R2
not ready to doom tonya based off the ladd fight. she can still take a shot and has the heart to work her way inside and find td's.
Ray vs. Santos
Leonardo Santos, SUB, R2
stevie ray is either gonna establish aggression and control early or he's gonna get slowly chipped away at while trying to avoid the ground.
Hein vs. Camacho
Frank Camacho, DEC
couple years ago i'd say hein by decision, but after 3 years without a win i'm more inclined to pick with my heart and say camacho throws the bigger shots and reverses bad positions.
Santana vs. Malecki
Bea Malecki, TKO, R2
i wanna pick duda, but can't help but feel like they set this up in favor of promoting bea so i'll hedge my bet and pick her while hoping to be wrong.
Clark vs. Stošić
Darko Stošić, TKO, R1
feels like it should be darko's fight unless he gets tied up early and drained. clark just hasn't done enough against relevant guys for me to say he can dominate a hard hitter.
Belluardo vs. Alvarez
Joel Alvarez, SUB, R2
this italian dude has been running through guys, but journeymen at best. alvarez relies on finding a sub, but he has better wins so i'll go with him.
05.29.2019 | 1:47 PM ET
Predictions: 1 of 4 Winners, 0 Perfect, 65 Points | Tied for 1877th
"We're going to turn this team around 360 degrees." - Jason Kidd