UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Brundage vs. Reese
Zach Reese
Zach Reese will absolutely annihilate future PFL champion Cody Brundage because Brundage is nothing more than an overhyped prospect with a glass jaw. Reese's power and precision will expose Brundage's amateur level skills, making this matchup a mere formality. Betting against Brundage is the smart play for anyone who understands the difference between hype and actual talent.

Tate vs. Avila
Julia Avila
Julia Avila is going to make quick work of former champion Miesha Tate because Tate's glory days are long gone, and she's now just a has-been trying to relive past successes. Avila's tenacity and superior skill set will expose Tate's outdated techniques, turning this fight into a humiliating retirement party for the former champion. Betting on Tate is like flushing money down the drain – she's a relic of the past, and Avila will show her no mercy.

Soriano vs. Stoltzfus
Punahele Soriano
Punahele Soriano is going to utterly decimate wannabe European Dustin Stoltzfus because Stoltzfus's so-called "technique" is nothing more than a sad imitation of real fighters. Soriano's raw power and talent will expose Stoltzfus as the amateur he truly is, turning this bout into a one-sided beatdown. Betting on Stoltzfus is like throwing money into the Atlantic – it's going to sink without a trace.

Guida vs. Silva
Joaquim Silva
Joaquim Silva is going to make Clay Guida regret stepping into the ring because Guida is nothing more than an aging relic desperately clinging to his glory days. Silva's youth, speed, and killer instinct will expose Guida's outdated fighting style, turning this matchup into a geriatric beatdown. Betting on Guida is like placing your money on a senior citizen's shuffleboard game – it's a surefire way to lose.

Brady vs. Gastelum
Sean Brady
Confident Sean Brady is going to steamroll through shopworn middleweight Kelvin Gastelum because Gastelum's prime is a distant memory, and he's now just a punching bag for up-and-coming fighters. Brady's superior skills and unwavering confidence will expose Gastelum's decline, turning this fight into a mismatch. Betting on Gastelum is like throwing money away on a relic – his glory days are over, and Brady will make that abundantly clear in the Octagon.

Font vs. Figueiredo
Rob Font
Motivated Rob Font is going to demolish the depressed, overweight former champion Deiveson Figueiredo because Figueiredo's recent lackluster performances showcase a fighter who's lost his edge and gained too many pounds. Font's hunger for success and sharp skills will expose Figueiredo's sorry state, turning this bout into a sad display of the former champion's decline. Betting on Figueiredo is like banking on a has-been trying to cut weight with a buffet – it's a guaranteed loss.

Turner vs. Green
Jalin Turner
Gigantic lightweight Jalin Turner is going to make quick work of old man Bobby Green because Green is living on borrowed time in the octagon, and Turner is a towering force with youth and power on his side. Green's veteran status won't save him from the sheer physical dominance that Turner brings to the table, turning this fight into a retirement party for Green. Betting against Turner in this matchup is as foolish as thinking Green can keep up with the new era of fighters – it's easy money.

Hey mick what kinda pizza you eating?

Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
Arman Tsarukyan
Arman Tsarukyan is going to crush chinny Beneil Dariush because Dariush's weak chin is an open invitation for Tsarukyan's explosive striking. Dariush has a glass jaw, and Tsarukyan will expose it with precision and power, making this fight a one-sided spectacle. Betting on Dariush is like expecting a vase to withstand a wrecking ball – it's a guaranteed shatter.

Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
Beneil Dariush, DEC
SD.

Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
Beneil Dariush, SUB, R2
Benny by Club & Sub.... Super pumped for this scrap to go down.

I swear they’re one less fight from yesterday, but I can’t figure out if I’m crazy or not, did someone pullout, or I’m crazy

@DamienHandel420 

 
Steve Garcia vs. Melquizael Costa    is off

 UFC Fight Night Austin

Beneil Dariush vs. Arman Tsarukyan

• Prediction: Dariush by decision.
• Confidence: 55%.
• Breakdown: Dariush's experience and submission skills vs. Tsarukyan's striking and takedown ability.

Jalin Turner vs. Bobby Green

• Prediction: Turner by TKO/KO in Round 2.
• Confidence: 65%.
• Breakdown: Turner's reach and striking vs. Green's experience and versatility.

Rob Font vs. Deiveson Figueiredo

• Prediction: Figueiredo by submission in Round 3.
• Confidence: 60%.
• Breakdown: Figueiredo's grappling and submission skills vs. Font's striking.

Sean Brady vs. Kelvin Gastelum

• Prediction: Brady by decision.
• Confidence: 65%.
• Breakdown: Brady's striking and grappling efficiency against Gastelum's resilience and experience.

Punahele Soriano vs. Dustin Stoltzfus

• Prediction: Soriano by TKO/KO in Round 1.
• Confidence: 60%.
• Breakdown: Soriano's striking power and aggressiveness against Stoltzfus's grappling.

Clay Guida vs. Joaquim Silva

• Prediction: Silva by TKO/KO in Round 2.
• Confidence: 55%.
• Breakdown: Silva's striking output and power vs. Guida's experience and grappling.

Miesha Tate vs. Julia Avila

• Prediction: Avila by decision.
• Confidence: 60%.
• Breakdown: Avila's striking and reach advantage vs. Tate's grappling and experience.

Zach Reese vs. Cody Brundage

• Prediction: Reese by TKO/KO in Round 1.
• Confidence: 70%.
• Breakdown: Reese's striking prowess and physical attributes against Brundage's grappling.

Drakkar Klose vs. Joe Solecki

• Prediction: Solecki by submission in Round 2.
• Confidence: 55%.
• Breakdown: Solecki's grappling and submission skills vs. Klose's striking and takedown defense.

Rodolfo Bellato vs. Ihor Potieria

• Prediction: Bellato by TKO/KO in Round 2.
• Confidence: 65%.
• Breakdown: Bellato's striking output and accuracy vs. Potieria's striking and finishing ability.

Wellington Turman vs. Jared Gooden

• Prediction: Gooden by TKO/KO in Round 3.
• Confidence: 60%.
• Breakdown: Gooden's reach advantage and striking vs. Turman's grappling.

Veronica Hardy vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth

• Prediction: Horth by TKO/KO in Round 2.
• Confidence: 70%.
• Breakdown: Horth's striking output and reach advantage vs. Hardy's grappling and experience.

* Edited at 12.01.2023, 11:06 PM ET *

Horth vs. Hardy
Jamey-Lyn Horth, DEC
This matchup presents an interesting dynamic: an older, less experienced prospect versus a younger, more seasoned veteran. Horth, aged 33 with an unblemished 6-0 record, stands in contrast to Hardy, 28, whose record is 7-4-1 and boasts significantly more UFC experience.

Despite being the more tested competitor, I'm hesitant to overlook Hardy's historical struggles against larger, more athletic opponents, especially with people hyping up her recent performance against the underwhelming Juliana Miller. Notably, that victory over Miller represents her sole fight in the last three years… While it's tempting to emphasize the "experience advantage," I view Hardy's edge as a subtle acknowledgment of her accumulated wear and tear, despite being the younger fighter.

Horth, though five years older, appears to be in her physical prime, showcasing a sturdy gas tank despite her larger stature for WFLW. All five of her finishes occurred in the second and third rounds, a notable strength, especially when compared to Hardy's 1-4 record in UFC fights extending beyond round 1. Horth's better striking, combined with her physicality and decent takedown defense, positions her well to neutralize Hardy's jiu-jitsu. Notably, Hardy's extended grappling success in the UFC is limited to her bout against the aforementioned Miller, so I don’t expect her to be able to smother Horth from top position, either.

Barring an early, first-round submission from Hardy, my prediction leans towards Horth securing either a decision victory or finishing the fight in rounds two or three.

* Edited at 12.01.2023, 11:15 PM ET *

Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
Arman Tsarukyan, DEC
on paper, quality of competition has a big gap, but that's likely because people were avoiding arman. i'll say beneil doesn't break but is kept defending more.

Turner vs. Green
Bobby Green, DEC
late notice, tough cut, bad momentum, and feeling "like he had to" accept the fight are all red flags to me so i'll say bobby is more tuned.

Font vs. Figueiredo
Rob Font, DEC
feeling like rob can stay technical enough to keep his preferred range and avoid deiveson's bursts

Brady vs. Gastelum
Kelvin Gastelum, DEC
kelvin has been subbed, but the people that did it were able to hang with him striking. i'm not trying to play doubter on sean brady, i think they're just giving him tough matchups and that's a good thing.

Guida vs. Silva
Joaquim Silva, DEC
i just find it really hard to pick guida at this point. he's not like a danger to himself, damage-wise, but i think joaquim's ground game kinda neutralizes clay's wrestling and they end up sloppy kickboxing.

Soriano vs. Stoltzfus
Punahele Soriano, TKO, R2
not sure dustin will be able to work his wrestling well enough, but if he can get puna tired then opportunities can pop up.

Tate vs. Avila
Miesha Tate, DEC
i'll take a chance here. julia has been taken down by lesser wrestlers and even this stage of miesha's career is still a step up.

Brundage vs. Reese
Zach Reese, SUB, R2
i just won't pick brundage, don't even know who the other dude is.

Solecki vs. Klose
Drakkar Klose, DEC
klose hasn't been subbed and should have a decent edge standing so i'll say he can score enough striking to outweigh moments where solecki gets inside.

Potieria vs. Bellato
Rodolfo Bellato, TKO, R1
bellator missed out, maybe. maybe ihor clips him. not sure. someone's probably getting tko'd in sloppy fashion either way.

Turman vs. Gooden
Wellington Turman, DEC
maybe turman mixes it up more and avoids the big shots?

Horth vs. Hardy
Jamey-Lyn Horth, DEC
idk what to make of this one, i'll just say horth keeps it standing.

Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
Beneil Dariush, DEC
DAROOOOOOSH VIA FRAUD CHECK!

Turner vs. Green
Bobby Green, SUB, R3
WE SMOKING CRACK FOR THIS ONE! :fire: :fire: :fire:

Font vs. Figueiredo
Deiveson Figueiredo, SUB, R3
BW Figueiredo is the mythical fighter of 2023 and 2024 (CHAMP RUN STARTS NOW).

Brady vs. Gastelum
Kelvin Gastelum, TKO, R2
Getting stopped by BELAL is not a good look, it is such a bad look that I believe Gastelum is going to do the same thing but faster.

Guida vs. Silva
Joaquim Silva, TKO, R1
Clay decision feels too good to become true, so Joaquim Silva via making me sad mimicking every Frankie Edgar loss in the past few years.

Soriano vs. Stoltzfus
Punahele Soriano, TKO, R1
SORIANO SMASH!

Tate vs. Avila
Julia Avila, SUB, R3
R3 sub again because why not? (No though went into this)

Brundage vs. Reese
Zach Reese, TKO, R1
Brundage striking makes it hard not to pick R1 finish.

Solecki vs. Klose
Drakkar Klose, DEC
I think Klose is too versatile to be controlled anywhere by Solecki; the ACL injury is concerning but he's had a year and a half to heal up so he should be fine.

Potieria vs. Bellato
Rodolfo Bellato, SUB, R1
Bellato R1 blitz into sub, when your best win is an ancient Shogun then that does not bode well for you.

Turman vs. Gooden
Jared Gooden, TKO, R1
Carlston Harris is a beast, Gooden has the tools and power to end the fight in a flash; I honestly think this fight should be evens, the weight ins only reinforce my gut feeling.

Horth vs. Hardy
Jamey-Lyn Horth, TKO, R2
Lyn Horth Decision is probably safer than R2 KO/TKO but I want the card to be fun so I'll put my pick where my heart is.

Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
Arman Tsarukyan, DEC
it just feels like tsarukyan is a little better everywhere, with a better chin and on the right side of 30. Dariush is crafty with more experience though. Unless Tsarukyan has improved his GnP I could see this going all 5

Turner vs. Green
Jalin Turner, DEC
absolutely shocked jalin made weight. green has made the most of his situation over the last few years and its been fun to watch but i think he is a bit overrated at the moment. I didn't like some of the things jalin was saying in the leadup to the fight this week, but his physical advantages should at least win him 2 rounds. cool matchup

Font vs. Figueiredo
Rob Font, DEC
Its a good move up to 135 for deiveson but this is not a good matchup for him. font can take a beating and keep coming, which is the exact style to counter someone like deiveson. he hates pressure and font is going to be in his face landing 30+ strikes a round

Brady vs. Gastelum
Kelvin Gastelum, TKO, R3
Really really didn't like brady's response to adversity last time out. Gastelum can rumble and has enough wrestling and cardio to gas brady out after he chain wrestles early.

Guida vs. Silva
Joaquim Silva, DEC
We all know what guida brings to the table. i think silva has the cardio and tdd to outlast old man clay and bring his career ufc record to 18-18. Silva by sub is interesting

Soriano vs. Stoltzfus
Punahele Soriano, TKO, R2
Puna's striking is fun but his grappling is a problem. Not sure if Stoltzfus will be able to close the distance early enough if the fight to survive until Puna gets tired. Puna early, Stoltz late

Tate vs. Avila
Julia Avila, DEC
you can't get 30-27'd on the feet by lauren murphy and expect to have sort of title aspirations. Prime Miesha probably gets to the takedown but I don't think so anymore.

Brundage vs. Reese
Zach Reese, TKO, R2
Can't get over Brundage's history of poor fight IQ and that garbage he pulled against Malkoun last fight. He is useless off his back and is at a big size disadvantage here. Maybe a TKO on the ground after some big shots on the feet from Reese

Solecki vs. Klose
Drakkar Klose, DEC
Klose is underrated but is nearly 36 and has only had 5 fights in the last 5 years. He mixes striking and takedowns well, but rarely remains in top position for long. Solecki will be looking to grapple at every opportunity as he is very overmatched on the feet. Klose is hard to hold down, if he’s able to get up I could see a late finish or fairly close decision.

Potieria vs. Bellato
Rodolfo Bellato, TKO, R2
No shame in losing to Petrino, even though Bellato got violently slept both times. The way Potieria handled the Shogun win was shameful and I don’t think he’s UFC-caliber. Bellato almost took out Petrino in their rematch on DWCS and a TKO makes sense here.

Turman vs. Gooden
Wellington Turman, DEC
Neither guy would crack the top 15 in any major organization. Gooden’s striking technique bothers me. If Turman’s chin holds up he should just win with takedowns

Horth vs. Hardy
Jamey-Lyn Horth, DEC
Hard to say where Hardy is, she definitely improved over the long time off but her last opponent is terrible. Horth via size

Cheers bro.

Green should KO Turner R2-3. Turners Gas tank is hot garbage. Gassing half way through the second rd against hooker…then almost getting finished in the 3rd (he should’ve gotten KOd by body shots). Turner will look sharp in the first round n will prolly win it while Green finds his range. But after watching the hooker Turner fight, one thing stands out to me more than Turners **** cardio. Hooker has no head movement. It may look like Turner has this amazing boxing or something but it’s really garbage. Bobby isn’t just gonna walk forward, leg kick n eat punches on the way in. Turner is gonna MISS a lot of strikes which will make him gas even quicker than he normally does. Imo Turners path to victory is to take R1 n R2 n survive 3,  headkick ko while Green thinks he’s Dom Cruz, or a sniper straight left right hook combo while green tries to blitz in. I’m trusting Green in this fight cause BELIEF, but I understand why ppl are taking Turner. Green can be dumb ash but I think he rlly wants to run for the title before his days are up n I gotta back a man with that goal n background.