UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

And y’all are doing the wrong math 

Ya dumb dorks 

They think they can apply their fantasy numbers to real life. And that they can predict MMA fights with percentages and little calculators. LOL.

I can imagine them glued to the computer, watching the lines move and suddenly go... aha! Gotcha! The line moved too much and I caught it. Now it's safe to bet the dog because now there is value on the dog side! Wow What a great bet! Now I will win for sure because I estimate this fighter has a 31.568% chance of winning but the line movement has now given me value of 33.534%. Now its safe to bet. I am a genius. 

No wonder the bookies keep getting richer. There is a sucker born every minute.

* Edited at 01.09.2023, 1:22 AM ET *

Maybe you girls can agree to disagree and stop the motionless shoving match you have started.

**** and go back to your ****** picks. 90% of which are going to lose btw

* Edited at 01.09.2023, 1:23 AM ET *

I never seen a guy who would be marked as a “safe player” brag so much about his bets lol

Kopylov vs Puna 50k

This does not negate the fact that you need to set the correct coefficients. Umar is the favorite, but Raoni has a chance to win. I would give something like 6.0-4.0 Umar. People greatly overestimate Khabib and everything connected with him. It's just that people themselves sometimes arrange the apsets of the year from scratch, incorrectly arranging the kefas, and then they are surprised. In the end, 40 percent is a considerable chance of winning. Ricky Simon went against Kelleher -250, and Umar -1000. WHAT??? If Umar is a huge favorite in a fight with Ricky , and most likely he will be , this will be a reason to think about whether we live in the same world with these people .
He should be an outsider with a chance of +110 or +120 in a possible fight with Ricky in my opinion

* Edited at 01.09.2023, 3:30 AM ET *

What did I say about all these nerdy maths guys with their little calculators and imaginary numbers losing their mums lunch money every week. 🤦

Sijara is now a -205 against Cachoeira.  She shouldn't be priced that heavy against Cachoeira based on the fact that she got finished in her last fight and Cachoeira is 4-1 in her last 5 while Sijara is 2-3 in her last 5.  However, I think in this situation, the sharps or whoever that has bet the early lines have let the cat out of the bag that she will win. If she does win, I am going to pay attention more to early lines from here on out.  

Source:  https://www.bestfightodds.com/

I know we talk about betting too much on this forum but even if you are just making predictions, understanding what direction the lines go despite not making sense might you an answer on who will win.  Now keep in mind, this only works on a few select fights.  There is such a thing as trap lines but the Sijara line is not a trap line whatsoever because I don't think there is anyone on this planet who is 100 percent confident that she will win this fight so the line doesn't make sense to be that heavy on her side.

I'm personally not putting any money on that fight but let's see what happens.  

* Edited at 01.09.2023, 3:51 AM ET *

The first fight of the first card of the new year 2023 is Sijara Eubanks Vs Priscilla Cachoeira. After a whole months break.

This tells you exactly what the UFC thinks of you, me and all the MMA fans. They don't give a flying F about you

* Edited at 01.09.2023, 4:03 AM ET *

@Rusty.... LMAO!!!

Who do you think those sharps were? 😉

parlay pls

@Rah123, for sure you and your boys!  You guys talk a lot of smack lol but you do back it up as well so props to ya.

Priccila is pretty fun to watch, I don’t think she ever really had a boring fight, I think it one of those you think because the fight suck skill wise and or has no name value, doesn’t alway means it boring 

Pricilla isn’t a bad dog only because of the logic that if both girl suck, might as well get plus money, I slightly favour Eubanks tho, but it so 50-50

* Edited at 01.09.2023, 4:13 AM ET *