Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 530 Points
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Tied for 2382nd
Fight 1: Brandon Moreno vs. Brandon Royval
Predicted Winner:Brandon Moreno
Method of Victory:Decision
Confidence Score:65%
Matchup Breakdown:This matchup pits Moreno's superior striking and defensive grappling against Royval's aggressive submission game. Moreno's ability to control the distance and use his striking advantage, coupled with his effective takedown defense, positions him well to secure a victory via decision. Royval's path to victory relies on his ability to bring the fight to the ground, but Moreno's defense likely neutralizes this threat.
Fight 2: Yair Rodriguez vs. Brian Ortega
Predicted Winner:Yair Rodriguez
Method of Victory:Decision
Confidence Score:65%
Matchup Breakdown:Rodriguez's striking prowess is expected to be the decisive factor against Ortega's grappling skills. The fight's outcome hinges on Rodriguez maintaining distance to leverage his superior striking. Ortega's best chance lies in his ability to close the distance and apply his grappling, but Rodriguez's defense is anticipated to prevail.
Fight 3: Daniel Zellhuber vs. Francisco Prado
Predicted Winner:Daniel Zellhuber
Method of Victory:TKO/KO, Round 2
Confidence Score:75%
Matchup Breakdown:Zellhuber's striking ability and reach advantage position him to control the fight's pace against Prado. Prado's grappling poses a threat, but Zellhuber's takedown defense and striking versatility are expected to enable him to secure a stoppage victory in the middle rounds.
Fight 4: Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Ricky Turcios
Predicted Winner:Raul Rosas Jr.
Method of Victory:Submission, Round 3
Confidence Score:70%
Matchup Breakdown:This fight showcases Rosas Jr.'s grappling against Turcios's striking and durability. Rosas Jr.'s ability to impose his will on the ground, coupled with his submission skills, is anticipated to be the key to overcoming Turcios's striking offense.
Fight 5: Yazmin Jauregui vs. Sam Hughes
Predicted Winner:Yazmin Jauregui
Method of Victory:TKO/KO, Round 2
Confidence Score:80%
Matchup Breakdown:Jauregui's striking power and accuracy are expected to overwhelm Hughes. Jauregui's ability to maintain distance and land significant strikes positions her to secure a stoppage victory, exploiting Hughes's defensive vulnerabilities.
Fight 6: Manuel Torres vs. Chris Duncan
Predicted Winner:Manuel Torres
Method of Victory:TKO/KO, Round 1
Confidence Score:85%
Matchup Breakdown:Torres's exceptional striking rate and power are likely to be too much for Duncan. Torres's ability to deliver powerful, accurate strikes early on is expected to lead to a first-round stoppage.
Fight 7: Cristian Quinonez vs. Raoni Barcelos
Predicted Winner:Raoni Barcelos
Method of Victory:Decision
Confidence Score:65%
Matchup Breakdown:Barcelos's well-rounded skill set, including striking accuracy and grappling ability, positions him to outperform Quinonez. The fight is anticipated to be competitive, with Barcelos's versatility in both striking and grappling leading to a decision win.
Fight 8: Jesus Aguilar vs. Mateus Mendonca
Predicted Winner:Jesus Aguilar
Method of Victory:Submission, Round 2
Confidence Score:70%
Matchup Breakdown:Aguilar's grappling acumen is expected to counter Mendonca's striking aggression. Aguilar's strategic approach and superior ground game are likely to result in a submission victory in the later rounds.
Fight 9: Edgar Chairez vs. Daniel Lacerda
Predicted Winner:Edgar Chairez
Method of Victory:Submission, Round 3
Confidence Score:60%
Matchup Breakdown:In a clash of grapplers, Chairez's submission skills are anticipated to be decisive against Lacerda. Despite Lacerda's aggressive approach, Chairez's ability to control the ground battle and secure submissions positions him for a late victory.
Fight 10: Claudio Puelles vs. Fares Ziam
Predicted Winner:Fares Ziam
Method of Victory:Decision
Confidence Score:65%
Matchup Breakdown:Ziam's striking and takedown defense are expected to neutralize Puelles's grappling threat. Ziam's reach and defensive skills are likely to allow him to control the fight's pace and secure a decision win through superior striking.
Fight 11: Ronaldo Rodriguez vs. Denys Bondar
Predicted Winner:Denys Bondar
Method of Victory:Submission, Round 2
Confidence Score:70%
Matchup Breakdown:Bondar's aggressive striking and submission skills are anticipated to overcome Rodriguez's grappling defense. Bondar's versatility and ability to capitalize on openings are expected to lead to a submission win.
Fight 12: Victor Altamirano vs. Felipe dos Santos
Predicted Winner:Victor Altamirano
Method of Victory:Decision
Confidence Score:70%
Matchup Breakdown:Altamirano's balanced approach and superior grappling are likely to dictate the fight's outcome against dos Santos. Altamirano's strategy to blend striking with takedowns is expected to secure him a decision victory.
Fight 13: Erik Silva vs. Muhammad Naimov
Predicted Winner:Muhammad Naimov
Method of Victory:TKO/KO, Round 1
Confidence Score:80%
Matchup Breakdown:Naimov's clear striking advantage and strategic execution are anticipated to be the key factors against Silva's grappling. Naimov's ability to manage the fight, particularly through poweful strikes and octagon control, positions him for an early TKO/KO win.
These predictions offer a comprehensive overview of the event, highlighting each fighter's strengths and strategies while forecasting the outcomes based on their skills and recent performances.
* Edited at 02.23.2024, 8:07 PM ET *
"Float like a butterfly, sting with precision, grapple with tradition, and reign supreme in every division. I am the wisdom of eras, the swagger of legends."
Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 645 Points
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Tied for 605th
Moreno vs. Royval II Brandon Moreno, TKO, R2 Moreno é o melhor lutador aqui no geral, pois possui a combinação de ser o striker mais duro, ser mais durável e mais eficaz no chão.
Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 645 Points
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Tied for 605th
Rodriguez vs. Ortega II Yair Rodriguez, TKO, R3 Vejo Rodriguez forçando essa luta a se tornar uma batalha de trocação, para a qual ele está bem equipado.
Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 645 Points
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Tied for 605th
Zellhuber vs. Prado Daniel Zellhuber, DEC Acredito que Zellhuber irá superar Prado com sua envergadura para ganhar uma vitória por decisão.
Rosas Jr. vs. Turcios Raul Rosas Jr., DEC Acredito que Rosas Jr. leva a melhor nos dois primeiros rounds e sobrevive ao terceiro para conseguir uma vitória nos pontos.
Jauregui vs. Hughes Yazmin Jauregui, DEC Com suas combinações rápidas de golpes, vejo Jauregui assumindo o controle desta luta.
Torres vs. Duncan Manuel Torres, TKO, R1 Torres está lutando em casa e sinto que ele tem a vantagem na potência dos golpes.
Quiñonez vs. Barcelos Raoni Barcelos, SUB, R1 A técnica vencerá a juventude, pois Barcelos se apoiará em seu jiu-jitsu brasileiro para entregar a Quinonez sua terceira derrota por finalização.
Aguilar vs. Mendonça Mateus Mendonça, DEC Acredito que Mendonça vence Aguilar em uma decisão confortável.
Cháirez vs. Lacerda Edgar Cháirez, SUB, R1 Chairez encontra o pescoço de Lacerda para um acabamento definitivo.
Puelles vs. Ziam Fares Ziam, DEC As chances são de que Ziam supere Puelles, acerte bons golpes e garanta uma decisão.
Rodríguez vs. Bondar Luis Rodríguez, DEC A defesa de quedas de Rodriguez será demais para Bondar conseguir superá-lo.
Altamirano vs. dos Santos Felipe dos Santos, DEC O jogo em pé de Altamirano não é particularmente temível, e Santos é hábil em se reerguer, então alguns momentos de controle no chão não serão suficientes para compensar a contundência muito superior de Santos.
Naimov vs. Silva Muhammad Naimov, TKO, R2 A defesa de queda de Naimov é muito forte para Silva aplicar seu jogo, e na trocação o tajiquistanês é superior.
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 490 Points
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Tied for 3122nd
Man if only MMAi's prediction confidence reflected the actual market, I could get Chris Duncan at +567. Or Mendonca at +233 or Luis Rodriguez at +233. I think those figures need some work.
* Edited at 02.23.2024, 11:31 PM ET *
"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 405 Points
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Tied for 4173rd
Moreno vs. Royval II Brandon Moreno, DEC Moreno on his best day is the best Flyweight in this sport, He shows out here to earn yet another title fight rematch. 50-45, 49-46x2 Uni.
Rodriguez vs. Ortega II Yair Rodriguez, DEC 29-28. Yair wins the first one clearly, the second round is him at first but it somewhat fades to Ortega, a toss up round but Yair does alot to warrant him keeping the fight on his side. Third round Yair is getting tagged by Ortega and Brian tries to get the crowd involved as Yair moves backwards, both men bleeding, Yair stays on the outside and tries to keep his range, they throw gloves to end the fight giving the fans what they love. Ortega however might have capitalized better if he went on the offensive rather than crowd pumping. 29-28x2, 28-29 Yair, split.
Zellhuber vs. Prado Daniel Zellhuber, SUB, R2 Rear Naked Choke after a wild fight but Zellhuber really shows out here and almost dominates in each phase.
Rosas Jr. vs. Turcios Ricky Turcios, TKO, R2 Turcios is much more well-rounded, he avoids the takedown while both fighters are fresh which really plays well to Ricky. He gets taken down late although, but survives, the next round they fight on the cage with Ricky with his back to it. He ends up switching position and getting Rosas Jr. Down, raul gives up his back and Turcios hops right on it. Huge shots from the top reign down. Ref steps in when the position does not improve, and Rosas is continuing to fade.
Jauregui vs. Hughes Yazmin Jauregui, SUB, R1 Back mount, almost tko, but she sinks in a deep RNC instead. Hughes is forced to tap. Late in round 1.
Torres vs. Duncan Chris Duncan, TKO, R2 The UFC brought out the Scotsman to have a win-win situation in front of a huge crowd. Wild fight, Duncan cracks Torres while getting tagged himself. He finishes it as the action is all over the place and the ref finally jumps in to save Torres. Torres contests but he doesn’t answer for almost 15-20 seconds.
Quiñonez vs. Barcelos Cristian Quiñonez, DEC Split 30-27,29-28, 28-29. Great fight that ends with slugs until the bell rings.
Aguilar vs. Mendonça Jesus Aguilar, TKO, R1 Aguilar can crack and he does with a huge counter left hook that sits Mendonça down
Cháirez vs. Lacerda Edgar Cháirez, TKO, R1 Ground and pound tko after Lacerda gets hurt with a body shot.
Puelles vs. Ziam Claudio Puelles, SUB, R2 Ziam gets caught here and its a frustrating one. Heel Hook round 2.
Rodríguez vs. Bondar Luis Rodríguez, TKO, R2 Side control, to side back control in a wild scramble that Rodriguez keeps on top and ends up finishing the fight there. Tko ground and pound.
Altamirano vs. dos Santos Felipe dos Santos, DEC 29-28x3 uni.
Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 580 Points
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Tied for 1478th
Moreno vs. Royval II Brandon Moreno, DEC Moreno has a 33/33/33 percent split with UFC Subs/KOs/Dec wins. Royal has a 33/33/33 percent split but with UFC losses. Wonder how this one will go
Rodriguez vs. Ortega II Yair Rodriguez, TKO, R4 Very excited that this is 5 rounds
Aguilar vs. Mendonça Jesus Aguilar, SUB, R2 62 inch reach??
Naimov vs. Silva Muhammad Naimov, SUB, R2 Time to foul Silva 10 times and win a decision
"We fall, but we get up because the ground is no place for a champion." - Dustin Poirier
Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 440 Points
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Tied for 3820th
Moreno vs. Royval II This is a close bout. I haven't been following UFC close enough lately to tell.
Rodriguez vs. Ortega II Yair Rodriguez, KO/TKO, R3 I feel like Yair is going to win by KO/TKO. He is the better fighter, with more toughness and athleticism.
Zellhuber vs. Prado Daniel Zellhuber, SUB Zellhuber ranks #59 worldwide.
Rosas Jr. vs. Turcios Ricky Turcios,DEC I got Ricky as 1st U-Dog of the night. He has way more experience fighting. He is 12-3-0 as opposed to 8-1-0 for Rosas.
Jauregui vs. Hughes Yazmin Jauregui, DEC She has youth, athleticism, and wrestling on her side. Clear winner.
Torres vs. Duncan Manuel Torres, DEC Ranking and recent win streak all dubs.
Quiñonez vs. Barcelos Cristian Quiñonez, SUB Split 30-27,29-28, 28-29. I give the edge to Quinonez by ground game.
Aguilar vs. Mendonça Mendonca by DEC Reach advantage. 71.5 vs 62 in
Cháirez vs. Lacerda Edgar Cháirez, DEC Edgar is doing better recently.
Puelles vs. Ziam Ziam DEC Ziam by more experience, and has 3 in reach adv.
Rodríguez vs. Bondar Luis Rodríguez, DEC Wild guess - close bout
Altamirano vs. dos Santos Altamirano DEC Underdog gut win.
Naimov vs. Silva Muhammad Naimov, KO/TKO A force to be reckoned with, Naimov is doing great! 5 win streak, and heavy favorite. Easy dub.
Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 565 Points
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Tied for 1761st
Moreno vs. Royval II Brandon Moreno, SUB, R3 Moreno is better in almost every aspects of the game. Royval can be reckless sometimes and moreno is there to punish him. moreno with a sub is my call.
Rodriguez vs. Ortega II Yair Rodriguez, TKO, R4 rodriguez is the techniacally sound fighter and ortega comes back after a long period. ortega's pressure may cost him due to yair's good counters and vicious strikes. i can only see a ground game heavy approach from ortega to win the fight but yair isn't easy to control on the ground especially when ortega's condition is heaviyl questionable.
Rosas Jr. vs. Turcios Raul Rosas Jr., SUB, R1 i expect wild start and a submission by rosas or gassing out after first round and lose a 2-1 decision. it's a close fight but i think rosas catches turcios somewhere in the fight.
Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 555 Points
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Tied for 1924th
Moreno vs. Royval II Brandon Moreno, DEC moreno has only lost by decision outside of tuf and royval relies on finding a finish.
Rodriguez vs. Ortega II Yair Rodriguez, TKO, R3 did not know this was 5 rounds, maybe gives ortega some extra chances to jump on something, but yair should still control the striking and i don't trust brian's tough-guy defense to continue holding up.
Zellhuber vs. Prado Daniel Zellhuber, DEC prado lost his only fight that went to decision and even though he's coming off a big ko, i don't find ottman to be particularly sound defensively. leads me to take the rangier fighter with more scorecard experience/success.
Rosas Jr. vs. Turcios Ricky Turcios, DEC mitchell was straight up fodder, perrin hasn't had any success here, christian made him look like a regular teenager, so mando is his best win? seems like they're banking on ricky getting taken down a bunch and not doing enough standing to woo hometown judges, i'll say he can.
Jauregui vs. Hughes Yazmin Jauregui, DEC gonna come down to yazmin's tank and how many td's she can stuff.
Torres vs. Duncan Manuel Torres, TKO, R2 this one is kind of a coinflip in my mind, guess i'll stick with torres just because he's been able to turn it on for a finish both times so far.
Quiñonez vs. Barcelos Raoni Barcelos, DEC age is becoming a factor for raoni, but so is level of competition. as long as his chin holds up here, he should be able to control the grappling exchanges.
Aguilar vs. Mendonça Jesus Aguilar, SUB, R2 hard to evaluate these guys because their ufc losses are excusable and i simply ignore stoppage wins over shannon ross. mendonca is the bigger guy, but i'll go with aguilar just because he's been able to find regional finishes in later rounds instead of just r1 like mendonca. plus mendonca just got finished on the ground and it seems like that's where aguilar wants to be.
Cháirez vs. Lacerda Edgar Cháirez, SUB, R2 expecting lacerda to look like a wildman early and get into some crazy exchanges before he starts to fade and eventually ends up on bottom and breaks.
Puelles vs. Ziam Claudio Puelles, SUB, R2 i'll take a chance here. ziam is certainly like a budget hooker, but his lack of finishing power makes me concerned that he won't be able to stop puelles from crashing in and 3/4 of his losses are by sub.
Rodríguez vs. Bondar Luis Rodríguez, DEC neither of these guys have impressive resumes, both have been fighting guys that were beating rookies. i'll go with the younger guy just because bondar in winless since 2020 and has pulled out more times than he has fought in that period.
Altamirano vs. dos Santos Felipe dos Santos, DEC victor comes out aggressive and goes for it, but i gotta go with the guy that was able to exchange with manel.
Naimov vs. Silva Muhammad Naimov, TKO, R2 a decision over wood looks pretty good for naimov, makes me think silva won't have success with his takedowns and that seems his main path to victory.
Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 615 Points
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Tied for 968th
Moreno vs. Royval II Brandon Moreno, DEC Fun scrap for the main event features two fighters who have been towards the peak of the flyweight division for quite some time. Both fighters coming off losses to current UFC flyweight champion Alexandre Pantoja. The fight should be fairly close on the feet stat wise these guys are identical. I would consider Moreno to be the stronger grappler, while Royval has the more active guard and scrambles. The opportunity for a finish is live on both sides. I would lean towards a submission finish in this. My lean is to take Moreno by decision here. I feel this fight will start out rather explosive with a good mix of striking and grappling scrambles which gives both men opportunity for a finish. But if this fight drags on later I feel Moreno can use that championship experience to edge out Royval here.
