UFC 282: Błachowicz vs. Ankalaev

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Quarantillo vs. Hernandez
Billy Quarantillo, TKO, R3
Alex is stepping down a weight class he already hasn’t looked the best as of late and Billy is scrappy and like to take the fight to u I think by the third he really wears Hernandez up and we kind of just see him give up

Curtis vs. Buckley
Chris Curtis, TKO, R1
Curtis gets beat up for two minutes and then lands a bomb that puts buckley out cold

You moron.

You didn't see my first post on the Bellator thread? 

About how I hit Cass Bell, Lombardo and Kai Kamaka in a row and in a parlay? And didn't see how I said that becaus  of that I had already hit all my betting goals for the month already, and how I didn't need any further wins and how everything else was a bonus after just the first 3 fights on the card. Go look again. It's there in black and white. Unedited.

Then after that when the underdogs started hitting, you didn't see my posts saying that I was then going to bet every other underdog on the card except for Stots who I was betting straight. 

So hit 6 massive underdogs, and a couple of big parlys.

Didn't see that? 

Can't read?

Or just ********?

I think probably just ********.

* Edited at 12.10.2022, 12:36 AM ET *

Błachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Magomed Ankalaev, DEC
Magomed is another Dagestan champ

Pimblett vs. Gordon
Paddy Pimblett, SUB, R2
The baddy keeps on rolling

Ponzinibbio vs. Morono
Alex Morono, DEC
Ponz has been on the decline and morono is a scrappy guy if this wasn’t short notice I would definitely take him

Till vs. Du Plessis
Darren Till, DEC
I actually think till can edge this fight out and win especially if he’s made the improvements that he so desperately needed

Mitchell vs. Topuria
Ilia Topuria, TKO, R2
Bryce is tough and this is gonna be a ******* scrap but I truly believe ilia is just a step ahead

Perrin vs. Rosas Jr.
Jay Perrin, DEC
I don’t really think that rosas Jr is all that in his contender series fight he fought someone with terrible IQ if Perrin can manage to somehow keep this standing he can do something

Rozenstruik vs. Daukaus
Jairzinho Rozenstruik, TKO, R1
Daukaus gets chinned

Shahbazyan vs. Lungiambula
Edmen Shahbazyan, TKO, R2
Edmen should look improved here against a clear step down in competition

Ponzinibbio vs. Morono
Alex Morono, DEC
Could surprise everyone here when he resorts to grappling and gets a submission

Perrin vs. Rosas JR
Rosas JR, DEC
Perrin has looked decent in the UFC so far but he's about to go 0-3. The length of Rosas is going to be a problem for all but a few fighters in this division. This kid is that good.

Rozenstruik vs. Daukaus
Rozenstruik, KO/TKO
Daukaus has the hand speed to keep up with Bigi Boi but I think he gets put again. If Curtis Blaydes is knocking you out Rozenstruik has a solid shot of absolutely shadow realming you.

Shabazyan vs. Lungiambula
Shabazyan, DEC
Not really confident in this pick with both fighers on 3 fight skids but gotta rank Shabazyans KO of Tavares as the best win by either fighter.

Curtis vs. Buckley
Curtis, DEC
I thought Buckley looked really good even in a loss to Imavov but I will be very surprised if he can keep up with the striking of the Action Man.

Quarantillo vs. Hernandez
Quarantillo, KO
Have a feeling Billy Q gets a statment win. I think the weight cut will probably leave Hernandez a little more chinny than normal. Hernandez was only losing to really good LW fighters but Billy Q is as legit as it gets at FW.

Silva vs. Brown
Silva, SUB
Feel like Brown is getting served up on a platter here. Surprised the odds are as close as they are but probably because Silva doesn't really have any impressive wins yet.

Saaiman vs. Koslow
Saaiman, KO/TKO
Koslows nickname alone loses him this fight.

Bwachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Ankalaev, KO/TKO
Ankalaev has almost no holes and I thought Jan looked like absolute dog water against Glover.

Pimblett vs. Gordon
Pimblett, SUB
Gordon is probably Paddys toughest opponent yet but I think the size difference will be too much here. Paddy has 5inches of reach and has a frame that just packs so much more power than most guys in this division because he walks around so heavy. All of Gordons losses are by stoppage.

Ponzinibbio vs. Morono
Ponzinibbio, DEC
Ponzi has lost a bit of a step but is still legit and probably an entire tier above Morono if im being honest. While on a two fight skid, they were both by split. Morono is still a super tough fight but Ponzi probably cruises here.

Till vs. Du Plessis
Till, DEC
I think Du Plessis gets humbled expecting a straight kickboxing match. Till better have some new wrinkles in his game to show off after training with Khamzat so much. If he tries to just bang with Dricus hes going to bed. Dricus lands almost 7 strikes per minute.

Mitchell vs. Topuria
Mitchell, DEC
I don't like Topuria at all but he could easily win this fight. I just think Bryce is too well rounded, doesnt absorb a lot of damage and can wrestle with Topuria all day. Topuria is definitely the better boxer and overall striker but Mitchell is no slouch and fights very smart. I'm probably going to flip flop on this one up until the start of the card. Very close fight. 

And just because you are ******** I will put down some of my best bets on this card right now. So you can't say I didn't put them up.

1. Ankalaev ML and over 2.5 and 1+ takedowns 
2. Pimblett ML,  ITD and 2+ takedowns 
3. Ponzi ML and decision and over 40 significant strikes
4. DuPlessis and FTNGD (Not played this much), over 40 sig strks
5. Topuria ML and over 1.5
6. Rosas ML and ITD
7. Rozenstruik ML and by KO
8. Dalcha ML (small play) and FTNGD
9. Buckley and over 2.5
10. BillyQ, o 1.5 and FTNGD
11. TJ small play
12. Saimon ITD and FTNGD

OK? Happy now? Can't say I didn't put up what my picks are

* Edited at 12.10.2022, 12:47 AM ET *

Till vs. Du Plessis
Dricus Du Plessis, TKO, R2
Till is in a difficult situation because if he loses he will be on a 3-fight losing streak, with a 1-3 record in MW and with a 1-5 record in his last 6 fights. The most lapidary thing is that Dricus didn't trash talking Till in the Press Conference, he only told him the truth: That Till is a fighter with the charisma and weapons to be a contender but not in the middleweights. Till is a fighter with low volume of strikes, his best things are heavy leg kick, good use of elbows, his famous one-two combo and use of the clinch (most of those elements come from Muay Thai), but unlike The welterweights in this division he is a regular MW in a matter of weigh in fight day, he only be able to overmuscle Gastelum (who is a fighter who could be in the welterweight, but has serious diet problems). Dricus is wild striker, unorthodox Kickboxing K-1 style, unorthodox wrestling style, but with great KO power. Despite being clearly tired against Tavares (after some bad strategy where he tried to force the fight to the ground and probably depleted his energy fast). DuPlessis kept throwing bombs in the second and third rounds (and absorbs his opponent's strikes well). If DDP hadn't been tired he probably would have knocked out Tavares, but despite having no energy he still managed to beat him up in the last two rounds to Brad. Dricus is a fighter with heart and precisely Till has shown in the past that he cannot go the extra mile: Against Whittaker, Till started out dominating, but once he was knocked down he changed his strategy to a much more defensive one, looking to pass strikes and leaving the attack to Robert. Against Brunson after taking an early beating in the third round he managed to hurt Brunson, only to be brought back to the ground and quickly tapped out. The fact that Cormier was talking about giving Till help if he lost is a sign that even those deep inside MMA World know that Till is in for a very tough fight. I'm sure Till's strategy will be to try to counter when Dricus tries to pull his offense (due to his unorthodox style), but when Till feels the Power he can react like in his fight against Bobby Knuckles. I pick Dricus for a Statement KO in the 2nd Round and it's crazy how the sport changes at UFC 228 Till ers favorite to be the new WW King and if he loses on Saturday night he can get released from his contract or even retire for own account.

* Edited at 12.10.2022, 1:28 AM ET *

Quarantillo vs. Hernandez
Billy Quarantillo, TKO, R2
I only just caught on to the fact that Alex Hernandez will fight at 145 pounds. Hernandez's Cardio used to not be very good at lightweights, at featherweight he will tire even faster. Quarantillo is not a one-strike KO Artist, but he has several T/KO wins, a variety of striking weapons and excellent volume of strikes, if he manages to hurt a tired Hernandez he can finish him off. Hernandez to this day was a failed prospect who was derailed by Cerrone, he had the dangerous combination of great athleticism and growth potential + a really big ego. I also remember that Hernandez had a considerable muscle mass for 155 pounds (which often carries greater physical power, but also muscles that wear out faster). If Hernandez had a new eating plan for the change in category and changed his training to be more dynamic, then he might even have a good chance of giving the upset. But if your plan was to keep the same Walk Around Weight or a very close one and only made the decision to cut an extra 10 pounds in water, the fight will probably end sooner than you think.

* Edited at 12.10.2022, 1:29 AM ET *

Literally a night of dawg wins for bellator some huge upsets bro

What am I again? Sorry I can't read.

Like the judge who gave Danny sabatello every round against stots... I went all in on stots and when I heard that score card I was gutted .... However stots got the win... So we will all in on paddy this week ... I really feel like paddy is a lock... Barring a gsp matt serra or Anderson Silva Weidman event 

Well, that's an interesting fight. My guess - Bryce will submit Topuria in 3rd round. He has insane power of will, even his crazy quote about Jesus during face off is scary lol
Topuria did not look relaxed and focused on Bryce, talking **** to Paddy. Topuria has one punch KO power and is very strong at this weight, but Bryce will sink him like Titanic

Do you notice that all Paddy's opponents is much smaller than him.
It's like Conor was fighting midgets. Till he met Nate.
It's some UFC work to choose him midgets.

Paddy KO 1st or 2nd round

If Du Plessis will not KO him in 1st, he will submit him in 2nd.
Till was never at the level people talking about. He never beat anyone relevant, ex some doubtf. decisions.