UFC 260: Miocic vs. N'Gannou 2

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Azaitar vs. Barriault
Marc-André Barriault, DEC
From what I've seen in two years..... Really liking Marc. I see upside with him. With Abu,I just see a whole lot of inactivity.

Bukauskas vs. Oleksiejczuk
Michał Oleksiejczuk, TKO, R2
I see Michal causing damage. Big damage.

Young vs. Morales
Omar Morales, DEC
Liking Morales. Young is lacking evidence for me to back him. Simple as that.

I don't expect to do well 

* Edited at 03.27.2021, 2:33 PM ET *

UFC 260 FACE THE PAIN HAS DROPPED

@TWJake

Nice work man 👍!

TWJAKE THE LEGEND 

Miocic vs. N'Gannou II
Stipe Miocic, TKO, R4
I guess it depends whats Ngannous plan is. If he comes out blasting as usual I think hes gonna win. If he takes his time overthinking this sht as other contenders do as ALWAYS hes gonna lose to DECISION. I dont really think you can get better at take down defense. Miocic is gonna force it and hes gonna take it to the mat.

Mullarkey vs. Worthy
Jamie Mullarkey, DEC
Looks like its gonna be a grindding. Mullarkey gonna take it easy.

Bukauskas vs. Oleksiejczuk
Modestas Bukauskas, TKO, R3
Bukauskas more teq fighter. I can see Oleksiejczuk tiring himself out after 2 rounds. Might be decision tho.

Young vs. Morales
Omar Morales, TKO, R1
It might be the same TKO again for Shane Young, head kick.

@Tapology

Right now, tell us, who is the 
F****R with the downvotes . -

* Edited at 03.27.2021, 3:27 PM ET *

@TARTARA it's this guy

@flying_frontkick

So true man 👍!

Miocic vs. N'Gannou II
Stipe Miocic, DEC
......Look, I'm only going by what I've seen on tape. I think Francis has a shot. Otherwise, we'll see glimpses of the 1st one.

Woodley vs. Luque
Vicente Luque, DEC
This could be the last time we see T-Wood. Might as well send him off with a bang, yeah?

Almeida vs. O'Malley
Sean O'Malley, TKO, R1
Jeez. Provided Sean's legs are still intact, this won't last too long.

Robertson vs. Maverick
Miranda Maverick, TKO, R2
I think Maverick's striking will shine again.

Mullarkey vs. Worthy
Jamie Mullarkey, DEC
Another tough call. I do like Mullarkey....

Menifield vs. Cherant
Alonzo Menifield, TKO, R2
I think Alonzo gets this done. Not the biggest fan of ultra quick notice debutants.

Gooden vs. Nurmagomedov
Jared Gooden, DEC
.....Despite the rough cut on Gooden's side, I honestly think he has a shot. I just wish I had more data. Looks like we'll find out.

I used to post my picks on reddit but I've since stopped since that site is full of the most god awful do nothing but ***** about anything against them people, I'ma start posting them here just so I have a record somewhere. 

-130 5 units francis vs stipe over 1.5 rounds - I see tenative start from Francis and some more of the same fight and for the price Ill take it over 1.5 in a 5 round fight. Biggest bet

+145 1 unit jared gooden ITD (goes to dicision refunded) - this is bet I like to play when I see a good spot I bet on jared inside the distance but if it goes to judges it gets refunded. I don't see abu finishing gooden. I think abu probably wins by decision in which case I get refund but if a finish does happen it'll be on the gooden side I believe. 

-125 2 units Michael vs modestus round 3 doesn't start - very few of their combined fights go past 2nd. Clear narratives for both to get a finish in the first 2. 

+125 1.5 units gillan vs maverick doesn't go to decision - I see either a KO from maverick or a sub from gillian at some point here. Maverick not much of a finisher but she's still very young and improving and gillian has chin issues, yet gillian probably can find a sub on the ground

+110 1.5 units o'malley by KO - I think most people see this happening. I think there's a slight chance of o'malley winning a decision but pretty unlikely. I have him ml in another parlay

2 leg parlay - 1.5 units...total odds +155 - 1. Mullarky vs khama over 1.5 -180 + 2. Tyron vs luque over 2.5 - I see Mullarky grinding out decision win like he shoulda got last fight or late finish by khama. I do still believe that tyron can last to a decision if it's more of the same for him but open for late late finish

2 leg parlay -1.5 units...total odds +100 - 1. o'malley ML + 2. Morales ML - the size and quickness of morales will be too much for young plus a recent KOed. Morales is also apparently good on the ground even if I haven't seen much of it. O'malley like I said I took the KO prop but if it doesn't to the distance I'm covered here or even a sub who knows


Not the best card but I'm excited and hopefully will make a profit. Good luck to all that bet!

* Edited at 03.27.2021, 4:08 PM ET *

@TWJake 

That's another awesome video! Dana should be paying you for those!

Bukauskas vs. Oleksiejczuk
Michał Oleksiejczuk, TKO, R1
I am really looking forward to this fight. Both of these guys are fantastic strikers and it looks like they'll both have the opportunity to show off their striking as long as this fight lasts and that might not be long. All 3 of Bukauskas career losses are by finish and its the same for Michal's 4 losses. FDGTD is one of my safest plays of the week, I have that and Menifield ML for plus money for 2 units. Either Michal gets the KO early or his conditioning fails him somewhere around the start of the 2nd and Bukauskas takes over late. All 3 of Modestas losses came by 1st round finish so I'll pick Oleksieczjuk by 1st round KO. Thats available on Fanduel sportsbook right now at +480. Jump on that!

Gooden vs. Nurmagomedov
Abubakar Nurmagomedov, DEC
A couple of veterans going at it here. Nurmagomedov is going to wrestle Gooden from the word go. Gooden has some power in his hands and he has been exposed for his poor TD defense in the past and inability to get up after being taken down and that gives Abubukar a clear path to victory. In Gooden's 5 career losses only 1 was by finish so it looks like Nurmagomedov by unanimous decision after wrestle-******* Gooden for the full 15 is the best and safest bet here.

@DCpredictions

Reddit's loss is Tapology's gain!

Stipe by decision has been around +400, and I think thats the bet. It's gotta be the most likely outcome, IMO. He's gonna go in with the same gameplan to tire him out and outwork him. But if he didnt knock him out last time, I don't think he will this time.

Menifield vs. Cherant
Alonzo Menifield, TKO, R1
This is gonna be a tough row to hoe for Cherant. 3 days notice, having just fought a 5 round fight within the last month and trying to make weight on short notice added to that. He missed by a half pound and is going to forfeit 20% of his purse. I felt that Cherants best path to victory was making this fight dirty, taking Zo down and grinding on him or finding his next which Cherant is very good at. The weight cut and short notice makes me doubt that is a viable path to victory for him anymore. I have to go with Zo's power here and I'm picking him to win by 1st round ko. The ONLY thing that worries me is Cherant is a lefty and Menifield looked like garbage against Ovince who is also a southpaw but I still feel really safe parlaying Menifields ML here.