Topic: UFC Fight Night
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
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- Saturday 03.30.2024 at 07:00 PM ET
- U.S. Broadcast: ESPN | Prelims: ESPN+
- Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
- Ownership: Endeavor
- Venue: Boardwalk Hall
- Location: Atlantic City, New Jersey, United States
- Enclosure: Octagon
- TV Announcers: Paul Felder, Michael Bisping, Brendan Fitzgerald, Megan Olivi
- Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
- Ticket Revenue (live gate): $2,180,601
- TV Ratings: 12198
- MMA Bouts: 13
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Promotion Links:
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Event Links:
| Bout | Info | |
|---|---|---|
| Manon Fiorot defeats Erin Blanchfield via Decision, Unanimous | 5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Joaquin Buckley defeats Vicente Luque via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound | 3:17 Round 2 of 3, 8:17 Total Bout Page | |
| Chris Weidman defeats Bruno Silva via Decision, Unanimous (technical) | 3 Rounds, 12:18 Total Bout Page | |
| Nursulton Ruziboev defeats Sedriques Dumas via KO/TKO, Uppercut and Ground Punches | 3:18 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page | |
| Kyle Nelson defeats Bill Algeo via KO/TKO, Punches and Knee | 4:00 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page | |
| Chidi Njokuani defeats Rhys McKee via Decision, Split | 3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Nate Landwehr defeats Jamall Emmers via KO/TKO, Uppercut, Right Hook, and Hammerfists | 4:43 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page | |
| Virna Jandiroba defeats Lupita Godinez via Decision, Unanimous | 3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Julio Arce defeats Herbert Burns via KO/TKO, Punches | 2:00 Round 2 of 3, 7:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Dennis Buzukja defeats Connor Matthews via KO/TKO, Left Hook to Hammerfists | 0:22 Round 3 of 3, 10:22 Total Bout Page | |
| Ibo Aslan defeats Anton Turkalj via KO/TKO, Overhand Right | 1:32 Round 3 of 3, 11:32 Total Bout Page | |
| Jacob Malkoun defeats Andre Petroski via KO/TKO, Ground Strikes After Hard Collision | 0:39 Round 2 of 3, 5:39 Total Bout Page | |
| Caolán Loughran defeats Angel Pacheco via Decision, Unanimous | 3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page |
Responses Page 27
03.30.2024 | 7:57 AM ET
Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 505 Points | Tied for 526th
"Train by day, Joe Rogan podcast by night" - Nick Diaz
03.30.2024 | 8:06 AM ET
Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 520 Points | Tied for 383rd
"Eat Sleep Gamble on fights 👊🏿👊🏿👊🏿"
03.30.2024 | 8:10 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 5 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 295 Points | Tied for 4126th
Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
Erin Blanchfield, DEC
boring clinch control fight
Erin Blanchfield, DEC
boring clinch control fight
03.30.2024 | 8:37 AM ET
UFC Atlantic City: Picks, Betting Card & Fighter Graphics
Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 440 Points | Tied for 1296th
What bets is everyone liking the most for tonight's card? I'm feeling pretty good about Blanchfield by Decision at +250
Full Picks, Betting Card & Fighter Graphics for those interested: https://oddsmokermma.com/2024/03/30/ufc-atlantic-city-blanchfield-vs-fiorot-picks-betting-card-fighter-graphics/
Full Picks, Betting Card & Fighter Graphics for those interested: https://oddsmokermma.com/2024/03/30/ufc-atlantic-city-blanchfield-vs-fiorot-picks-betting-card-fighter-graphics/
"Check us out for free MMA Picks, Predictions, Analysis, Bets & More"
03.30.2024 | 8:44 AM ET
Predictions: 5 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 280 Points | Tied for 4249th
Pacheco by sub +1600
Small stab 🫡
Small stab 🫡
"Im not impressed by your performance"
03.30.2024 | 8:47 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 5 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 300 Points | Tied for 4091st
Petroski vs. Malkoun
Andre Petroski, DEC
Not sure I understand why Petroski is such a big dog here. Malkoun is just a chain wrestler with good ground and pound and that's it. His striking and his fight IQ are terrible. For how much he relies on wrestling, he's not very good at holding people down at all. For someone with decent ground and pound, he has no finishes in the UFC. Petroski is the dog here because he has shown to have not great cardio at times. However, I wouldn't exactly consider Malkoun some cardio king either. His cardio is good as long as he's able to stay in control. If he's on the feet too long or has to defend his own takedowns, he tires out just as quickly as anyone else. Everyone that's this big hits pretty hard but I'd say Petroski is the more powerful striker between the two. I think if he can mix in his own takedowns enough he wins this fight. He's not going to accept being on bottom and I'm confident in his jiu jitsu to get him out of those situations. Malkoun hasn't really fought anyone who's as dangerous on the ground as Petroski. I could be just making a homer pick here but I'm going with the local guy. Malkoun is just way too one dimensional for me and I can't get over him fumbling the easiest win ever against Brundage.
Pacheco vs. Loughran
Caolán Loughran, TKO, R2
Should be a lay-up here for Loughran. Pacheco is kind of just a brawler who throws the entire kitchen sink when he strikes. His entire game plan is just swarming his opponents, overwhelming them with wild strikes, and relying on his durability and toughness to keep him on his feet. I think Loughran is better everywhere and don't expect Pacheco to have a great chin down at 135. I think Loughran finishes this with ground and pound. I was super impressed with him against Lapilus.
(EDIT: accidently hit enter and submitted before I was done typing)
Andre Petroski, DEC
Not sure I understand why Petroski is such a big dog here. Malkoun is just a chain wrestler with good ground and pound and that's it. His striking and his fight IQ are terrible. For how much he relies on wrestling, he's not very good at holding people down at all. For someone with decent ground and pound, he has no finishes in the UFC. Petroski is the dog here because he has shown to have not great cardio at times. However, I wouldn't exactly consider Malkoun some cardio king either. His cardio is good as long as he's able to stay in control. If he's on the feet too long or has to defend his own takedowns, he tires out just as quickly as anyone else. Everyone that's this big hits pretty hard but I'd say Petroski is the more powerful striker between the two. I think if he can mix in his own takedowns enough he wins this fight. He's not going to accept being on bottom and I'm confident in his jiu jitsu to get him out of those situations. Malkoun hasn't really fought anyone who's as dangerous on the ground as Petroski. I could be just making a homer pick here but I'm going with the local guy. Malkoun is just way too one dimensional for me and I can't get over him fumbling the easiest win ever against Brundage.
Pacheco vs. Loughran
Caolán Loughran, TKO, R2
Should be a lay-up here for Loughran. Pacheco is kind of just a brawler who throws the entire kitchen sink when he strikes. His entire game plan is just swarming his opponents, overwhelming them with wild strikes, and relying on his durability and toughness to keep him on his feet. I think Loughran is better everywhere and don't expect Pacheco to have a great chin down at 135. I think Loughran finishes this with ground and pound. I was super impressed with him against Lapilus.
(EDIT: accidently hit enter and submitted before I was done typing)
* Edited at 03.30.2024, 8:49 AM ET *
03.30.2024 | 8:57 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 5 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 300 Points | Tied for 4091st
Aslan vs. Turkalj II
Anton Turkalj, SUB, R1
The rematch nobody asked for. I have to side with Turkalj here. Aslan is the definition of a can crusher. Turkalj has had a rough go of it in the UFC but anyone who watched his fight with Petrino knows this dude can hang. I just don't see why this fight would be any different than the first encounter. As long as Turkalj survives the first 4-5 minutes he should win this fight again. Aslan could successfully nuke him this time, but I have to give Turkalj the benefit of the doubt. He seems like the better overall fighter IMO no questions asked.
Gatto vs. Dudakova
Melissa Gatto, DEC
50/50 fight for me. Honestly not sure why Dudakova is moving up in weight. I actually went back and watched Gatto's last fight and she did better than I remember. This is probably as good as an unranked WMMA fight in the UFC gets from a skill perspective.
(EDIT: ******* hell I did it again)
Anton Turkalj, SUB, R1
The rematch nobody asked for. I have to side with Turkalj here. Aslan is the definition of a can crusher. Turkalj has had a rough go of it in the UFC but anyone who watched his fight with Petrino knows this dude can hang. I just don't see why this fight would be any different than the first encounter. As long as Turkalj survives the first 4-5 minutes he should win this fight again. Aslan could successfully nuke him this time, but I have to give Turkalj the benefit of the doubt. He seems like the better overall fighter IMO no questions asked.
Gatto vs. Dudakova
Melissa Gatto, DEC
50/50 fight for me. Honestly not sure why Dudakova is moving up in weight. I actually went back and watched Gatto's last fight and she did better than I remember. This is probably as good as an unranked WMMA fight in the UFC gets from a skill perspective.
(EDIT: ******* hell I did it again)
* Edited at 03.30.2024, 8:59 AM ET *
03.30.2024 | 9:13 AM ET
Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 445 Points | Tied for 1210th
My Picks:
Loughran
Malkoun
Gatto
Aslan
Matthews
Arce
Loopy
Emmers
Chidi
Algeo
Ruziboev
Silva
Buckley
Fiorot
Loughran
Malkoun
Gatto
Aslan
Matthews
Arce
Loopy
Emmers
Chidi
Algeo
Ruziboev
Silva
Buckley
Fiorot
* Edited at 03.30.2024, 9:16 AM ET *
03.30.2024 | 9:19 AM ET
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot | Full Card Fight Picks in 1 Minute
Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 430 Points | Tied for 1431st
"Every second is a gift"
03.30.2024 | 9:51 AM ET
Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 365 Points | Tied for 2741st
How can Julio Arce miss weight at both 135 and now 145??
"We fall, but we get up because the ground is no place for a champion." - Dustin Poirier
03.30.2024 | 10:04 AM ET
Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 560 Points | Tied for 164th
Emmers is better than Nate at everything.
* Edited at 03.30.2024, 10:35 AM ET *
03.30.2024 | 10:05 AM ET
Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points | Tied for 2253rd
Luque is going to school Buckley.
03.30.2024 | 10:11 AM ET
Predictions: 5 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 280 Points | Tied for 4249th
All that writing to get most of your picks wrong. You need to shorten it down, last few sentences of each pick is rambling
* Edited at 03.30.2024, 10:15 AM ET *
03.30.2024 | 10:14 AM ET
Predictions: 5 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 280 Points | Tied for 4249th
Troz just a misjudgment and complacency I guess, same thing happened to john linekar when he went from 125 to 135. Thought it would be so much easier so he started from a higher weight than usual wasn’t as professional and thought he would be able to sweat it out to 135 a lot easier
Emmers is better than Nate at everything apart from one thing. Fight IQ, same with Kennedy when he lost to OSP
Emmers is better than Nate at everything apart from one thing. Fight IQ, same with Kennedy when he lost to OSP
* Edited at 03.30.2024, 10:15 AM ET *
03.30.2024 | 10:39 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 415 Points | Tied for 1816th
Jandiroba vs. Godinez
Virna Jandiroba, DEC
Jandiroba aka “look at me” alway surprises my ass i have a feeling she will be the better fighter and no one is picking her she has a very similar style but more experience i like her at these odd
Gatto vs. Dudakova
Melissa Gatto, DEC
The better striker will prevail!
Virna Jandiroba, DEC
Jandiroba aka “look at me” alway surprises my ass i have a feeling she will be the better fighter and no one is picking her she has a very similar style but more experience i like her at these odd
Gatto vs. Dudakova
Melissa Gatto, DEC
The better striker will prevail!
"ZAZAAAAA"
03.30.2024 | 11:24 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 5 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 300 Points | Tied for 4091st
Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
Erin Blanchfield, SUB, R4
Manon would need to nuke Erin early I think. Not happening. Erin will continue to pressure Manon until she inevitably breaks her. I think Manon could be ahead early but I honestly wasn't crazy impressed with how she fought against Rose. She also looked like complete death on the scales. Erin can hold her own in the striking and I think there's a very good chance she eventually finds a sub. I'm fairly confident she get's this done overall even if it's by decision. If Manon was 5 years younger I'd probably take her no question, but I think Erin's youth is going to win out. Super high skilled fight overall.
Luque vs. Buckley
Vicente Luque, DEC
Luque is simply the better overall fighter. It would be fun if Buckley chins him because it would give the lower end of 170 a well needed shake-up but I don't see it. I think Luque still has gas left in the tank and wins a rare decision here. Buckley is decent and I think he can avoid getting finished. I obviously won't be surprised if someone gets finished here but I think both guys are going to respect the other power quite a bit.
Silva vs. Weidman
Bruno Silva, DEC
Silva is a hard fighter to trust. The best version of him beats Weidman comfortably. However, this is also his 4th fight in less than a calendar year. He definitely seems to be fighting for paychecks, which makes me question at 34 how healthy he is coming into these fights. We're of course comparing him to a 40 year old who on his absolute best day is still a complete shell of his former self, but anybody is fair game to be beaten if they're unhealthy in the octagon. His performance against GM3 is a great example. He clearly came into that fight bloated and compromised, and it showed in his performance. He then looks like a world beater in his next fight, only to then get completely out struck by Brenden Allen. As bad as Weidman looked in his last fight, I think there's something better left in the tank for him to leave in the octagon as a send off performance. I can give him a mulligan on the last fight because of the injury he was returning from. I can't imagine how timid he must have felt to try anything on that rebuilt leg. Now that he's mentally gotten over that hurdle, I think he could pull off an upset here no question. As much as I don't want to get into thinking about something like this, the fact that USADA isn't around anymore could play a factor here. As hard as Silva is to trust, I can't pick Chris Weidman to win a fight in 2024. He hasn't looked even decent in a really, really long time. I don't think steroids can even help him at this point. If Silva comes ready to bang this won't be close, but I'll give Weidman the benefit of the doubt and say he avoids getting finished.
Ruziboev vs. Dumas
Nursulton Ruziboev, TKO, R1
One of my more confident picks on the card. I'm not quite sure how good Ruziboev is but I think he's probably good enough to crack the rankings. Dumas is borderlien UFC caliber IMO. His last fight was so bad. The fact that he couldn't finish a 40 year old who was completely gassed was embarrassing. I think Ruziboev is better than him everywhere and will have a decided strength advantage. If this goes to the ground it's probably going to get ugly for Dumas. If you're getting broken and submitted by Josh Fremd I don't think you have much of a chance against Ruziboev. Ruziboev doesn't look physically imposing but I think his lankiness is deceptive. He looks long and thing but this guy is strong as an ox. There are definitely more legit tests waiting for him as he moves up, because 185 actually is fairly deep right now. I don't think this fight is it though. While most people think Dumas probably just get's submitted if he loses, I could see Ruziboev doing exactly what he did in his last fight and just nuke him on the feet. His striking is actually not bad and Dumas turns into a deer in headlights when he's not landing, which is often because he's so low volume.
Algeo vs. Nelson
Bill Algeo, DEC
I think this is a decent matchup for Algeo. I think his dynamic style and cardio is probably going to frustrate the very basic style Nelson has. Nelson is super tough though and won't go away. Algeo better be ready for a tough night at the office. Because he's not much of a finisher, he's going to need a complete effort to get a W here. I could see Nelson easily winning a round here but overall I think the speed and footwork advantage Algeo has will be the deciding factor. Both guys are fairly well rounded. I'd say there's no question Algeo is the more skilled of the two but I'd also say Nelson is the tougher and more durable of the two.
Njokuani vs. McKee
Chidi Njokuani, TKO, R1
McKee is a can and I was surprised at how good Chidi looked on the scale. For as bad as McKee is he's kind of a zombie so if Chidi somehow fails to finish him early he could death gas and lose. As good as he might have looked on the scale he's not gonna have more than 5 good minutes in him. The skill and experience difference here is pretty significant though. Overall I would say this fight is a complete mismatch, but Chidi was fumbling winnable fights at 185. If he doesn't nuke Rhys early, he could get finished himself despite how bad McKee is. I think Chidi finds a way to get it done early. McKees best quality might be his above average durability. He's really not good at anything and is crazy hittable.
Landwehr vs. Emmers
Nate Landwehr, DEC
Another pretty close fight. Two guys that definitely have their faults but are better than their often given credit for. I think Emmers has all the skill to necessary to win this fight but he's so hard to trust. His fight IQ just isn't very good. It's actually kind of crazy how bad he is at finishing people that he hurts. He's a pretty good striker with what I'd say is above average power. Landwehr just seems like a terrible matchup for him. I honestly think this will be kind of like the Sabbatini fight where Emmers will be ahead until he isn't. Landwehr is pretty durable and I think Emmers will need to finish him fairly early. It could definitely happen but I just don't see it. I think Emmers probably starts off well but Landwehr will eventually take over. Emmers is one of those guys that seems to just have an issue putting all his skills together to win a close fight. I can only hold my breath for so long at 34 waiting for a stand out performance from him. I do think he got robbed against Jenkins but starching Buzukja isn't impressive. Landwehr himself doesn't have amazing fight IQ either but he's well rounded and is a proven dog. He's got multiple wins in this weight class against fighters that I think would beat Emmers.
Jandiroba vs. Godinez
Lupita Godinez, DEC
Full disclosure: I'm 33% on picking Loopy fights so probably best to ignore this breakdown. I'm reluctantly picking her to win here. Every time I think she's going to win, she loses and vice versa. I think Loopy is essentially a younger and more dynamic version of Jandiroba, whos pretty basic and relies a ton on her wrestling. Loopy can hang in the scrambles and is the marginally better striker. Jandiroba is also coming off an injury and might be a step behind the younger and fresher fighter. This is another 50/50 fight for me but I think the UFC knows what they're doing here. They seem to like Loopy and are trying to build her up as a potential contender. She has shown some slow improvement fight to fight but this is arguably her toughest test yet.
Arce vs. Burns
Julio Arce, TKO, R2
The weight miss from Arce concerns me. Herbert Burns can be an absolute killer for 5 minutes. There is definitely potential for an upset here. I have to think Herbert Burns is coming in as a much improved version of himself after his last performance. What happened last time he was in the cage was embarrassing and arguably should have got him cut. That being said, Arce is one of the more under-rated fighters on the roster. We've already seen him beat better opponents at 145. I'm definitely concerned about the weight miss though for someone that's made bantamweight comfortably in the past. If he's injured or compromised in anyway there is huge upset potential here. This fight is basically 50/50 for me in the first round. After that, assuming Arce is healthy, I think he takes over and eventually finds Herberts chin. Herbert is just too low volume and too inconsistent to trust against anyone that's decent.
Matthews vs. Buzukja
Dennis Buzukja, DEC
One guy is one dimensional and the other guy is just low skill. I really don't think either of these guys are that good. The fact that Matthews is a Contender Series winner but a dog in his debut against a guy who's 0-2 and lucky to be in the UFC should tell you all you need to know about this fight. I think Buzukja makes this fight dirty and takes a close decision. Getting big split decision vibes here.
Erin Blanchfield, SUB, R4
Manon would need to nuke Erin early I think. Not happening. Erin will continue to pressure Manon until she inevitably breaks her. I think Manon could be ahead early but I honestly wasn't crazy impressed with how she fought against Rose. She also looked like complete death on the scales. Erin can hold her own in the striking and I think there's a very good chance she eventually finds a sub. I'm fairly confident she get's this done overall even if it's by decision. If Manon was 5 years younger I'd probably take her no question, but I think Erin's youth is going to win out. Super high skilled fight overall.
Luque vs. Buckley
Vicente Luque, DEC
Luque is simply the better overall fighter. It would be fun if Buckley chins him because it would give the lower end of 170 a well needed shake-up but I don't see it. I think Luque still has gas left in the tank and wins a rare decision here. Buckley is decent and I think he can avoid getting finished. I obviously won't be surprised if someone gets finished here but I think both guys are going to respect the other power quite a bit.
Silva vs. Weidman
Bruno Silva, DEC
Silva is a hard fighter to trust. The best version of him beats Weidman comfortably. However, this is also his 4th fight in less than a calendar year. He definitely seems to be fighting for paychecks, which makes me question at 34 how healthy he is coming into these fights. We're of course comparing him to a 40 year old who on his absolute best day is still a complete shell of his former self, but anybody is fair game to be beaten if they're unhealthy in the octagon. His performance against GM3 is a great example. He clearly came into that fight bloated and compromised, and it showed in his performance. He then looks like a world beater in his next fight, only to then get completely out struck by Brenden Allen. As bad as Weidman looked in his last fight, I think there's something better left in the tank for him to leave in the octagon as a send off performance. I can give him a mulligan on the last fight because of the injury he was returning from. I can't imagine how timid he must have felt to try anything on that rebuilt leg. Now that he's mentally gotten over that hurdle, I think he could pull off an upset here no question. As much as I don't want to get into thinking about something like this, the fact that USADA isn't around anymore could play a factor here. As hard as Silva is to trust, I can't pick Chris Weidman to win a fight in 2024. He hasn't looked even decent in a really, really long time. I don't think steroids can even help him at this point. If Silva comes ready to bang this won't be close, but I'll give Weidman the benefit of the doubt and say he avoids getting finished.
Ruziboev vs. Dumas
Nursulton Ruziboev, TKO, R1
One of my more confident picks on the card. I'm not quite sure how good Ruziboev is but I think he's probably good enough to crack the rankings. Dumas is borderlien UFC caliber IMO. His last fight was so bad. The fact that he couldn't finish a 40 year old who was completely gassed was embarrassing. I think Ruziboev is better than him everywhere and will have a decided strength advantage. If this goes to the ground it's probably going to get ugly for Dumas. If you're getting broken and submitted by Josh Fremd I don't think you have much of a chance against Ruziboev. Ruziboev doesn't look physically imposing but I think his lankiness is deceptive. He looks long and thing but this guy is strong as an ox. There are definitely more legit tests waiting for him as he moves up, because 185 actually is fairly deep right now. I don't think this fight is it though. While most people think Dumas probably just get's submitted if he loses, I could see Ruziboev doing exactly what he did in his last fight and just nuke him on the feet. His striking is actually not bad and Dumas turns into a deer in headlights when he's not landing, which is often because he's so low volume.
Algeo vs. Nelson
Bill Algeo, DEC
I think this is a decent matchup for Algeo. I think his dynamic style and cardio is probably going to frustrate the very basic style Nelson has. Nelson is super tough though and won't go away. Algeo better be ready for a tough night at the office. Because he's not much of a finisher, he's going to need a complete effort to get a W here. I could see Nelson easily winning a round here but overall I think the speed and footwork advantage Algeo has will be the deciding factor. Both guys are fairly well rounded. I'd say there's no question Algeo is the more skilled of the two but I'd also say Nelson is the tougher and more durable of the two.
Njokuani vs. McKee
Chidi Njokuani, TKO, R1
McKee is a can and I was surprised at how good Chidi looked on the scale. For as bad as McKee is he's kind of a zombie so if Chidi somehow fails to finish him early he could death gas and lose. As good as he might have looked on the scale he's not gonna have more than 5 good minutes in him. The skill and experience difference here is pretty significant though. Overall I would say this fight is a complete mismatch, but Chidi was fumbling winnable fights at 185. If he doesn't nuke Rhys early, he could get finished himself despite how bad McKee is. I think Chidi finds a way to get it done early. McKees best quality might be his above average durability. He's really not good at anything and is crazy hittable.
Landwehr vs. Emmers
Nate Landwehr, DEC
Another pretty close fight. Two guys that definitely have their faults but are better than their often given credit for. I think Emmers has all the skill to necessary to win this fight but he's so hard to trust. His fight IQ just isn't very good. It's actually kind of crazy how bad he is at finishing people that he hurts. He's a pretty good striker with what I'd say is above average power. Landwehr just seems like a terrible matchup for him. I honestly think this will be kind of like the Sabbatini fight where Emmers will be ahead until he isn't. Landwehr is pretty durable and I think Emmers will need to finish him fairly early. It could definitely happen but I just don't see it. I think Emmers probably starts off well but Landwehr will eventually take over. Emmers is one of those guys that seems to just have an issue putting all his skills together to win a close fight. I can only hold my breath for so long at 34 waiting for a stand out performance from him. I do think he got robbed against Jenkins but starching Buzukja isn't impressive. Landwehr himself doesn't have amazing fight IQ either but he's well rounded and is a proven dog. He's got multiple wins in this weight class against fighters that I think would beat Emmers.
Jandiroba vs. Godinez
Lupita Godinez, DEC
Full disclosure: I'm 33% on picking Loopy fights so probably best to ignore this breakdown. I'm reluctantly picking her to win here. Every time I think she's going to win, she loses and vice versa. I think Loopy is essentially a younger and more dynamic version of Jandiroba, whos pretty basic and relies a ton on her wrestling. Loopy can hang in the scrambles and is the marginally better striker. Jandiroba is also coming off an injury and might be a step behind the younger and fresher fighter. This is another 50/50 fight for me but I think the UFC knows what they're doing here. They seem to like Loopy and are trying to build her up as a potential contender. She has shown some slow improvement fight to fight but this is arguably her toughest test yet.
Arce vs. Burns
Julio Arce, TKO, R2
The weight miss from Arce concerns me. Herbert Burns can be an absolute killer for 5 minutes. There is definitely potential for an upset here. I have to think Herbert Burns is coming in as a much improved version of himself after his last performance. What happened last time he was in the cage was embarrassing and arguably should have got him cut. That being said, Arce is one of the more under-rated fighters on the roster. We've already seen him beat better opponents at 145. I'm definitely concerned about the weight miss though for someone that's made bantamweight comfortably in the past. If he's injured or compromised in anyway there is huge upset potential here. This fight is basically 50/50 for me in the first round. After that, assuming Arce is healthy, I think he takes over and eventually finds Herberts chin. Herbert is just too low volume and too inconsistent to trust against anyone that's decent.
Matthews vs. Buzukja
Dennis Buzukja, DEC
One guy is one dimensional and the other guy is just low skill. I really don't think either of these guys are that good. The fact that Matthews is a Contender Series winner but a dog in his debut against a guy who's 0-2 and lucky to be in the UFC should tell you all you need to know about this fight. I think Buzukja makes this fight dirty and takes a close decision. Getting big split decision vibes here.
03.30.2024 | 11:41 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points | Tied for 2253rd
Aslan vs. Turkalj II
Anton Turkalj, SUB, R2
Rnd 1 Aslan or 2 or 3 Turkalj
Anton Turkalj, SUB, R2
Rnd 1 Aslan or 2 or 3 Turkalj
"I don't bet WMMA"
03.30.2024 | 12:31 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 350 Points | Tied for 3105th
03.30.2024 | 12:33 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 350 Points | Tied for 3105th
03.30.2024 | 1:03 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 455 Points | Tied for 1045th
Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
Erin Blanchfield, DEC
Very tough fight to call but I think Blanchfield gets those takedowns every round and wins a decision. Fiorot is gonna piece her up if it stays standing but I'm not going against Erin at this point.
Luque vs. Buckley
Vicente Luque, DEC
Luque can win this fight anyway he wants. Buckley needs a finish. I'm taking Luque to implement grappling etc. but I'm not sleeping on a Buckley finish.
Silva vs. Weidman
Bruno Silva, TKO, R1
Retire Chris. Silva is gonna kick his legs a couple times and this fight is gonna get called off.
Ruziboev vs. Dumas
Nursulton Ruziboev, SUB, R1
I'll take Ruziboev to get a quick submission but Dumas is very live in this spot. Dumas hasn't looked great in the UFC so far but he's talented. This fight could play out close if there's not a quick finish.
Algeo vs. Nelson
Bill Algeo, DEC
Algeo with pace and pressure will break Nelson.
Njokuani vs. McKee
Chidi Njokuani, TKO, R1
Njokuani is first round or bust. McKee is way too hittable so I think Chidi gets an early finish but I'm not sleeping on McKee for a late finish.
Landwehr vs. Emmers
Jamall Emmers, DEC
Nate is a dogggg but Emmers is way more technical and can win this by picking Nate apart for 3 rounds.
Jandiroba vs. Godinez
Lupita Godinez, DEC
Loopy will be much stronger and can win this fight anyway she wants.
Arce vs. Burns
Julio Arce, TKO, R2
Arce is such a good fighter. Burns is gonna get demolished because he quits.
Matthews vs. Buzukja
Dennis Buzukja, DEC
I'll take Matthews to put a pace on Dennis and break him. Matthews is good all around. He doesn't have amazing skills but he's a dog and it's tough to break him. He wins here. Buzukja has looked awful.
Aslan vs. Turkalj II
Ibo Aslan, TKO, R1
I wouldn't be shocked if Anton wins this via grappling like he did last time against Ibo but he took some heavy shots in the first round and almost got finished. I think Ibo is gonna knock him out in the first.
Gatto vs. Dudakova
Melissa Gatto, DEC
Gatto is gonna be much stronger and she will implement takedowns as well. I really like Gatto in this spot.
Petroski vs. Malkoun
Jacob Malkoun, DEC
Malkoun will put a pace on Petroski and break him. Petroski gasses and he's awful anyways.
Pacheco vs. Loughran
Caolán Loughran, DEC
Angel is good everywhere but nothing really stands out besides his toughness. Loughran has a rough UFC debut but I think he's a decent fighter and he will be able to wrestle here to win a decision.
Erin Blanchfield, DEC
Very tough fight to call but I think Blanchfield gets those takedowns every round and wins a decision. Fiorot is gonna piece her up if it stays standing but I'm not going against Erin at this point.
Luque vs. Buckley
Vicente Luque, DEC
Luque can win this fight anyway he wants. Buckley needs a finish. I'm taking Luque to implement grappling etc. but I'm not sleeping on a Buckley finish.
Silva vs. Weidman
Bruno Silva, TKO, R1
Retire Chris. Silva is gonna kick his legs a couple times and this fight is gonna get called off.
Ruziboev vs. Dumas
Nursulton Ruziboev, SUB, R1
I'll take Ruziboev to get a quick submission but Dumas is very live in this spot. Dumas hasn't looked great in the UFC so far but he's talented. This fight could play out close if there's not a quick finish.
Algeo vs. Nelson
Bill Algeo, DEC
Algeo with pace and pressure will break Nelson.
Njokuani vs. McKee
Chidi Njokuani, TKO, R1
Njokuani is first round or bust. McKee is way too hittable so I think Chidi gets an early finish but I'm not sleeping on McKee for a late finish.
Landwehr vs. Emmers
Jamall Emmers, DEC
Nate is a dogggg but Emmers is way more technical and can win this by picking Nate apart for 3 rounds.
Jandiroba vs. Godinez
Lupita Godinez, DEC
Loopy will be much stronger and can win this fight anyway she wants.
Arce vs. Burns
Julio Arce, TKO, R2
Arce is such a good fighter. Burns is gonna get demolished because he quits.
Matthews vs. Buzukja
Dennis Buzukja, DEC
I'll take Matthews to put a pace on Dennis and break him. Matthews is good all around. He doesn't have amazing skills but he's a dog and it's tough to break him. He wins here. Buzukja has looked awful.
Aslan vs. Turkalj II
Ibo Aslan, TKO, R1
I wouldn't be shocked if Anton wins this via grappling like he did last time against Ibo but he took some heavy shots in the first round and almost got finished. I think Ibo is gonna knock him out in the first.
Gatto vs. Dudakova
Melissa Gatto, DEC
Gatto is gonna be much stronger and she will implement takedowns as well. I really like Gatto in this spot.
Petroski vs. Malkoun
Jacob Malkoun, DEC
Malkoun will put a pace on Petroski and break him. Petroski gasses and he's awful anyways.
Pacheco vs. Loughran
Caolán Loughran, DEC
Angel is good everywhere but nothing really stands out besides his toughness. Loughran has a rough UFC debut but I think he's a decent fighter and he will be able to wrestle here to win a decision.