Topic: UFC 293
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
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05.17.2023 | 7:17 PM ET
Responses Page 32
09.09.2023 | 1:42 PM ET
Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 590 Points | Tied for 1323rd
09.09.2023 | 1:49 PM ET
Israel Adesanya vs Sean Strickland
Predictions: 1 of 3 Winners, 0 Perfect, 50 Points | Tied for 5577th
Stand Up Phase:
Adesanya (SW) has a traditional kickboxer style where he uses a variety of kicks from both stances to attack his OPP at all levels before finding the chance to land accurate counters and combinations. His constant movement allows him to, defensively, remain out of range and use his height and reach to capitalize on minute opportunities. Strickland (OX) has a boxing based style with a somewhat “Philly Shell”-esque defensive stance. He uses heavy volume while pressuring into range to force his OPP to make errors before landing quick counters and combinations. Both have good movement that bolsters a solid defense. The sheer variety of Adesanya's striking will most likely put Strickland at heavy disadvantage due to Strickland being primarily a headhunter. Unless Strickland levels up his cardio, smothers Adesnaya’s range, and pushes an uncomfortably high pace while doubling or tripling his volume, his success on the feet seems unlikely. I predict Adesanya will batter Strickland from range with alternating leg kicks, high kicks, and body kicks before setting up chances to land accurate counters.
Clinch Phase:
Strickland will have to do his best work within the clinch if he wants to increase his chances of winning. However, this will be difficult due to Adesanya having probably the best TD defense in UFC Middleweight history along with being great at separating from the clinch. Strickland prefers to hold OPPs against the cage and land strikes in close. His smothering style does have the added effect of wearing down his OPPs cardio. Adesanya likes to maintain a thai clinch or fight for UHs to control his OPPs on the cage before separating back into space. He has shown the ability to use bodylock TDs and trips, but typically will only use those in rare cases. I predict if Strickland can constantly force Adesanya against the cage, smothering this movement and offense, he can frustrate him to the point of making a mistake and possibly secure a TD. At this point he can begin to wear down Adesanya with prolonged grappling exchanges.
Ground Phase:
Strickland has shown better competency on the ground defensively and offensively. He has good control from top position while continuing to land GnP. Adesanya is more capable defensively grappling compared to offense, but he has shown the ability to be active off his back with Sub Attempts. Adesanya primarily chooses to return to feet when on the ground unless he’s stunned the OPP and intends to secure the finish. I predict if Strickland can secure a TD he would most likely just hold Adesanya in a half guard or full guard position, landing GnP, and essentially not allowing Adesanya the chance to find the cage to get up or progress to a more neutral position.
Prediction: Adesanya wins by 2nd Round TKO
Adesanya has gone up against far more adept strikers and grapplers than Strickland up to this point and performed excellently in most of those cases. I predict Adesanya’s defensive grappling will be enough to stifle any attempts Strickland makes and force the fight into kickboxing range. Due to the limited striking variations of Strickland, Adesanya will be able to eventually find his timing and counter him effectively. Adesanya will either slowly break Strickland down with variety or catch him with a clean counter to set up a finish.
Abbreviations:
SW: Switch OX: Orthodox OPP: Opponent TD: Takedown UH: Underhook GnP: Ground and pound
"It is what it is."
09.09.2023 | 1:50 PM ET
Tai Tuivasa vs Alexander Volkov
Predictions: 1 of 3 Winners, 0 Perfect, 50 Points | Tied for 5577th
Stand Up Phase:
Tuivasa (OX) has a brawler kickboxer style where he throws fast, heavy combinations and punishes his OPPs lead leg with leg kicks before cementing the finish. Volkov (OX) has a traditional kickboxer style where he uses his, often, height and reach advantage to land strikes from distance, punishing Teeps to the body, and well timed counter shots that stun his OPPs until he swarms to a finish. In this fight their kind of opposite in approach, Tuivasa the shorter, stocky fighter trying to close distance on the tall, distance managing fighter Volkov. One would assume Tuivasa has the clear power advantage given his past performances, but recently Volkov has been improving in his ability to find a quick finish with a solid right cross. For Tuivasa, his defensive movement will need to be on point. He can’t afford to absorb too many Teeps from Volkov since Tuivasa has shown a vulnerability to body strikes. I predict Tuivasa will use his movement and leg kicks to punish Volkov’s lead leg before finding opportunities to stance switch into a few quick boxing combinations. If given too much space, Volkov will simply sting Tuivasa from range until he breaks him down or controls him to a decision.
Clinch Phase:
For Tuivasa this might be really where the fight is won or lost. He has shown great control against the cage to stifle his OPPs attack and movement, then landing devastating elbows and punches. Volkov uses his size advantage very well to prevent any kind of sustained attack in the clinch. He also probably has the best TD defense in the Heavyweight division. Volkov could use his leverage to prevent Tuivasa’s attempts to land strikes and control him to the point of breaking the clinch or landing knees to the body that could hurt Tuivasa. I predict Tuivasa will attempt to do his best work in the clinch by pressing Volkov against the cage and trying to land elbows and UCs to stun Volkov.
Ground Phase:
Volkov has shown to be the more competent grappler, showing a good ability to progress from inferior positions to neutral positions. He has shown ability to attack from his back, but he generally elects to find the cage and return to his feet. Tuivasa has shown to only be defensive when on the ground, doing whatever he can to return to the feet. Whenever he’s forced to be on the ground for extended periods, it typically ends in a Tuivasa loss. It might not be shocking if Volkov attempts to take the fight to the ground since it would be his easiest path to victory. He could maintain control of Tuivasa easily while landing heavy GnP from multiple positions with his long limbs.
Prediction: Tuivasa wins by 2nd Round TKO
I predict Tuivasa will be able to smother Volkov’s range and find chances to land some heavy counters. After stunning Volkov, Tuivasa will press him against the cage before finding the finish.
Abbreviations:
OX: Orthodox OPP: Opponent TD: Takedown GnP: Ground n pound UC: Uppercut
"It is what it is."
09.09.2023 | 1:51 PM ET
Carlos Ulberg vs Da Un Jung
Predictions: 1 of 3 Winners, 0 Perfect, 50 Points | Tied for 5577th
Stand Up Phase:
Ulberg (OX) has a traditional kickboxer style where he uses various kicks and his jab to keep distance before landing accurate strikes. Jung (OX) has a more boxer style with few kicks being used and chooses to remain in the pocket to land heavy combinations. Ulberg uses his constant movement to avoid heavy strikes and landing strong counters that have stunned nearly all his past UFC OPPs. Jung has good head movement that allows him to avoid strikes and counter quickly. Ulberg tends to keep his chin high which allows chances for OPP to land counters more easily. Jung tends to keep his hands down, allowing for jabs and high kicks to land more readily. I see Ulberg using his range and constant movement to land low kicks and jabs onto Jung. This will allow Ulberg to break Jung down before landing the finishing shot. If Jung becomes impatient, I could easily see him being countered by a check hook that Ulberg consistently throws. For Jung to be effective he would have to increase his strike volume and smother Ulberg’s range, forcing him into boxing range.
Clinch Phase:
Neither typically chooses to be offensive in the clinch to start out, but both have the ability to defend and counterattack. Ulberg has shown competent pummeling for underhooks and transitions to a body lock to secure TDs. Jung has very good TD defense against the cage, less so in open space. However, he’s shown a good ability to scramble and find dominant positions. Jung seems to have better strikes in the clinch, using his quick elbows to land heavy fight ending strikes. I see Jung attempting to smother Ulberg against the cage or possibly looking for trips if the striking exchanges are not going into his favor. If Jung can force Ulberg to defend TDs or focus on breaking the clinch, he can find opportunities to land some vicious elbows that can stun Ulberg.
Ground Phase:
Jung seems to be the more competent grappler on the ground between the two. He has decent control, electing to secure dominant position before attacking. However, Jung does seem to gas out more quickly when he is forced into prolonged grappling exchanges. Ulberg has spent most of his time on the ground landing GnP for the finish. He doesn’t seem to have good control, choosing to land strikes instead of keeping his OPP secured on the ground. I could see Jung using his control on the ground to slow down Ulberg’s offense and looking for Sub Attempts. However, he’ll have to be strategic about the usage of his grappling to not negatively affect his work on the feet.
Prediction: Ulberg wins by 1st Round TKO
I believe Ulberg’s ability to control range and his quick, accurate strikes will be enough to keep Jung at bay before finding chances for counters or setting up combinations for the finish. I don’t believe Jung’s offensive grappling is strong enough to be a threat to Ulberg and his style of fighting within boxing range will leave him vulnerable to long-range attacks.
Abbreviations:
OX: Orthodox OPP: Opponent TD: Takedown GnP: Ground n pound
"It is what it is."
09.09.2023 | 2:12 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 415 Points | Tied for 4240th
09.09.2023 | 2:14 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 415 Points | Tied for 4240th
09.09.2023 | 2:14 PM ET
Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 555 Points | Tied for 1901st
"“I took no damage,” Hill said. “Most of the fall was me falling down"
09.09.2023 | 2:22 PM ET
"I live, I die, I live again."
09.09.2023 | 2:35 PM ET
Drake has sealed Izzys fate lmao
Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 555 Points | Tied for 1901st
"“I took no damage,” Hill said. “Most of the fall was me falling down"
09.09.2023 | 2:44 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 430 Points | Tied for 4087th
09.09.2023 | 2:47 PM ET
@Belmont
Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points | Tied for 3175th
Both things can be true here though. That still might be a stereo-typical bad Drake bet because the main event could end up going to a decision.
09.09.2023 | 2:48 PM ET
KingofBets
Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 550 Points | Tied for 1997th
"Jarno Errens, Damir Hadzovic"
09.09.2023 | 2:51 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 430 Points | Tied for 4087th
09.09.2023 | 3:00 PM ET
Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 715 Points | Tied for 49th with 15 others
09.09.2023 | 3:01 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points | Tied for 3175th
"I'll make my own damn quote." -Me
09.09.2023 | 3:04 PM ET
Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 715 Points | Tied for 49th with 15 others
09.09.2023 | 3:15 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 605 Points | Tied for 1030th
Sean Strickland, SUB, R3
I genuinely believe that Sean Strickland will win, Adesanya of course on paper beats him cleanly in striking and likely will and could definitely TKO Sean, but Sean is a way better grappler than Izzy, will land a takedown or multiple, and MARVIN VETTORI HAD HIS BACK, just saying, Strickland round 3 RNC
Tuivasa vs. Volkov
Alexander Volkov, TKO, R2
Volkov will either smoke Tuivasa completely and win, Smoke Tuivasa get rocked at one point badly but still win, or smash Tuivasa completely before getting knocked out cold, I'll go with the first one
Kape vs. dos Santos
Manel Kape, TKO, R2
I cannot confidently go against Manel Kape but I'm also not confident in Manel Kape, yk?
Tafa vs. Lane
Justin Tafa, TKO, R1
Either Tafa flatlines him or probably loses, I'll go with Tafa getting another highlight
Pedro vs. Turkalj
Anton Turkalj, SUB, R2
Correct me if I'm wrong but Tyson Pedro has never beat anyone with talent. Anton has some talent so on the ground he probably rips through him, Turkalj can't strike tho so that worries me
Ulberg vs. Jung
Carlos Ulberg, TKO, R1
Ulberg is an animal and I'm gonna ignore this being potentially tough and say Ulberg runs through him, hype train all aboard
Jenkins vs. Mariscal
Jack Jenkins, TKO, R1
Chepe seemed really cool and powerful against Peek but the leg kicks I believe will cause him massive trouble here and Jack gets a early finish
Mullarkey vs. Makdessi
Jamie Mullarkey, DEC
Mullarkey should win but his chin may fall off again who knows, either he dies or wins 30-27
Haqparast vs. Quiñones
Nasrat Haqparast, TKO, R3
Idk what to say about this one, Quinones has almost no shot here against such an established guy but MMA is dumb so who knows
Mathetha vs. Radtke
Charles Radtke, SUB, R1
Never heard of Radtke but 10 fights coming off a sub win taking a guy's 0, and Blood diamond sucks so I'll go with (Reads Tapology Nickname) Chuck Buffalo?
Young vs. Miranda
Gabriel Miranda, SUB, R2
I'm not confident in this pick but bad weight miss for Shane Young I can't confidently pick him either
Jousset vs. Crosbie
Kevin Jousset, TKO, R3
Crosbie coming off a win over Cowboy Oliveira is cool, but can't forget that he's very average, Jousset seems like a very interesting prospect I'm gonna ride with him here
09.09.2023 | 3:19 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 425 Points | Tied for 4149th
09.09.2023 | 3:21 PM ET
Modriguez
So they increased the value by not putting on any WMMA fights
"Positivity is a positive"
09.09.2023 | 3:23 PM ET
OldFashion
"Positivity is a positive"