UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Vettori vs. Cannonier
Marvin Vettori, DEC
gut says marvin can avoid big punches and grind it out. maybe he gets stuck striking though and that's probably cannonier's path to victory.

Tsarukyan vs. Silva
Arman Tsarukyan, TKO, R2
i don't think silva will be able to force favorable grappling exchanges.

Duncan vs. Petrosyan
Christian Leroy Duncan, DEC
feels like they're setting duncan up with armen because there's zero chance of a td attempt. not sure how that'll play out but i'll take the younger man with an 8" reach advantage i suppose.

Sabatini vs. Almeida
Lucas Almeida, TKO, R2
going against the grain here, pat's striking is gonna hamper him in fights that he can't just ragdoll his opponent.

Motta vs. Torres
Manuel Torres, TKO, R2
gonna side with the majority here, motta has been finished with strikes a few times and doesn't seem to have the ground acumen to adjust if the striking doesn't work out for him.

Salikhov vs. Dalby
Muslim Salikhov, DEC
feeling like salikhov can mix it up more when necessary and is probably more responsible on the feet.

Flick vs. Costa
Alessandro Costa, DEC
costa hasn't been subbed before so i see why folks are leaning towards him, i'll say it goes to scorecards though.

Kang vs. Quiñonez
Kyung Ho Kang, DEC
i'll take a chance here and go with experience just because i don't value a win over taha that highly.

Hernandez vs. Bondar
Denys Bondar, SUB, R2
seems like carlos is gonna have really manage distance and keep bondar off of him, not sure it'll happen.

Bledá vs. Fernandes
Gabriella Fernandes, DEC
probably throwing this one away, but bleda hasn't impressed me.

Lawrence vs. Argueta
Ronnie Lawrence, DEC
dan is most likely better standing, but i'm not sure i trust his cardio to hold up in the wrestling so i think it'll get more even once ronnie closes the distance.

Bukauskas vs. Pauga
Modestas Bukauskas, DEC
feeling like modestas might be able to control the range and keep up with the volume.

Bukauskas vs. Pauga
Modestas Bukauskas, DEC
Bukauskas is a huge step up in competition, not sure Pauga is ready

Vettori vs. Cannonier
Marvin Vettori, DEC
Well I think the odds are much more representative of how competitive this fight will be but Vettori's pace plus the extra 2 rounds does make it easier to pick Marvin.

Sabatini vs. Almeida
Lucas Almeida, TKO, R2
I think Sabatini's a bully grappler and I think Almeida is good enough to hold him off then Sabatini will fade.

Salikhov vs. Dalby
Muslim Salikhov, DEC
Big fan of Dalby so I'll just root for my pick to be wrong. It's a win/win.

“Khizriev, Tsarukyan, Taira, Topuria, Na***a - £100 returns £300”

Khizriev & Na***a in🔐

Rest is banker free cash lovely 

Sabatini vs. Almeida
Pat Sabatini, DEC
/ L

Griffo420 where did you bet Na***a bro?

Im not sure how Hernandez is the underdog🤣🤣 i mean yes i know he gives up his back in all his fights and gets taken down but he's shown the ability to get out of those positions and especially with Hernandez last fight losing to a standing RNC im sure he wont make the same mistake again. & Bondar striking is so garbage lmfao he exits in a straight line everytime, thats how Malcolm Gordon clipped him, if he didn't get injured Bondar would've got exposed. bad.  

And here I am having watched the sport for close to 20 years and not considering myself knowledgeable enough, especially about other leagues than the UFC, to put up accurate ranking lists on tap.

Only 20 years those a rookie numbers :>!

* Edited at 06.17.2023, 3:01 PM ET *

Glad I'm not always the greatest boomer in the room. :)

Jared Cannonier vs. Marvin Vettori
- Cannonier showed us he's still got it, despite "getting on" but from what we've seen he doesn't have the stamina to push a pace that's required to beat someone like MV. He'll in most cases show early success and could even win the first round or two if he's lucky but unless he's able to somehow crack the adamantium chin of Vettori, I can only see this going the way ofMarvin by Decision.

Arman Tsarukyan vs. Joaquim Silva
- I've only seen a couple fights from Silva and he's not looked impressive at all. In comparison to Arman, Silva is not the guy to hand him a loss in any sense of the word. AT is better in every way you could imagine. Realistically if Arman wants to prove to Dana that he deserves to be put right there with a eventual title shot he's gonna need to get a finish. Arman by however he wants in Round 1/2 (depending on his nerves).

Armen Petrosyan vs. Christian Leroy Duncan
- Neither guy stands out enough to get a knockout or submission for me, and I only really could see thisgoing the distance. Just to be safe though I'd personally go for a 'over 1.5' on this one which is almost guaranteed unless one of them breaks a bone or dies.

Muslim Salikhov vs. Nicolas Dalby
- Salikhov is simply better. It's a 65/35 fight for me. Dalby has his moments and has a chance of putting Muslim Salikhov away but unless he does it before mid round 2 then I simply can't see him winning after that. I'm not certain on how Salikhov wins so I'd go for Salikhov by any means.

Jimmy Flick vs. Alessandro Costa
- There's something about Costa that gives me the feeling that he's not as good as people have been lead to believe. Saying that I still believe he's clear of Jimmy. A finish is what I'm expecting and I'd be disappointed and shocked if it goes the distance. Costa by any means because you just never know here. 50/50 on whether or not Costa merks him inside 3 minutes or whether it's a 30/27 decision to Costa.

Kyung Ho Kang vs. Cristian Quinonez
- A fight where neither guy is that much better than the other. Quinonez is definitely the more explosive fighter and believe that could pull him ahead as the fight progresses and eventually lead to a decision win but Kang is an overall solid fighter and has the skill to keep it close. Not entirely sure who has this but I believe a decision win for either is inevitable.

Ronnie Lawrence vs. Daniel Argueta
- This fight screams decision. Ronnie's been cracked and has shown that he can recover well against someone that I believe would get the win over Argueta. A 55/45 to Ronnie but with the power of pillow fists from Ron and the ability to get into the GWR for most strikes missed I see this going to a controvisial decision win for either man.

Zac Pauga vs. Modestas Bukauskas
- Fight IQ is heavily swayed into MB's favour. He's strong, smart and can most likely tank the shorts Zac can throw at him. Zac's only chance is a rapidly fleeting first round tko/ko. Bukauskas by decision.

* Edited at 06.17.2023, 3:29 PM ET *

 2 hours to go.
hopefully i can stay up the entire time.

Bledá vs. Fernandes
Tereza Bledá, DEC
9 out

Vettori vs. Cannonier
Jared Cannonier, DEC
Defend the takedowns. Victory

Tsarukyan vs. Silva
Arman Tsarukyan, TKO, R1
Food

Duncan vs. Petrosyan
Christian Leroy Duncan, TKO, R2
Food

Sabatini vs. Almeida
Lucas Almeida, TKO, R3
Defend the takedowns. Victory

Kang vs. Quiñonez
Kyung Ho Kang, DEC
Kang really impressed me in his match versus Danaa, improved sharp striking

Hernandez vs. Bondar
Carlos Hernandez, DEC
Defend the takedowns. Victory

Bledá vs. Fernandes
Tereza Bledá, DEC
If TDD hasn’t improved, easy win for Bleda

Lawrence vs. Argueta
Ronnie Lawrence, DEC
Scramble scramble scramble

Bukauskas vs. Pauga
Zac Pauga, DEC
My upset for this card 🤷‍♂️

Vettori vs. Cannonier
Jared Cannonier
By split decisions

Tsarukyan vs. Silva
Arman Tsarukyan
Total destruction

Duncan vs. Petrosyan
Christian Leroy Duncan
Decision

Sabatini vs. Almeida
Pat Sabatini
By decision

Motta vs. Torres
Nikolas Motta
By knockout

Salikhov vs. Dalby
Muslim Salikhov
Decision

Flick vs. Costa
Alessandro Costa
Knockout

Kang vs. Quiñonez
Cristian Quiñonez
Decision

Hernandez vs. Bondar
Carlos Hernandez
Decision

Lawrence vs. Argueta
Ronnie Lawrence
Decision

Bukauskas vs. Pauga
Modestas Bukauskas
Decision

@ModestMan 

I like your upset of the card🤭

Vettori vs. Cannonier
Jared Cannonier, DEC
Vettori lost to Dolidze. Jared is a better striker.

Tsarukyan vs. Silva
Arman Tsarukyan, TKO, R1
Meh

Duncan vs. Petrosyan
Christian Leroy Duncan, DEC
Good fight. Both could win. But CLD is faster, more reach and has grappling

Sabatini vs. Almeida
Lucas Almeida, TKO, R1
Almeida ain't getting submitted. And his striking is legit. Sabatinis chin is not.

Motta vs. Torres
Nikolas Motta, DEC
Motta is a counter striker. Torres leaves his chin up and leaves openings with his wild style. Miller caught Motta with a step in hook he wasn't expecting. His chin isn't that bad.

Salikhov vs. Dalby
Muslim Salikhov, DEC
Body kick and body shots will make the difference. Both have horrible cardio but Muslim is the better striker with better grappling

Flick vs. Costa
Alessandro Costa, TKO, R3
Meh

Kang vs. Quiñonez
Cristian Quiñonez, DEC
Great fight. If Kang wrestles he wins. Otherwise its a close fight.

Hernandez vs. Bondar
Carlos Hernandez, TKO, R3
Bondar is not good.

Bledá vs. Fernandes
Gabriella Fernandes, TKO, R3
Grappler with poor cardio is an auto fade. Fernandes has nice body kicks. Bleda will get her down but tire out if she can't finish. Fernandez doesn't have as bad of grappling as everyone is making out. She just stays on her back.

Lawrence vs. Argueta
Ronnie Lawrence, DEC
As mentioned before, fade the wrestler with bad cardio. Lawrence is also the better striker

Bukauskas vs. Pauga
Modestas Bukauskas, DEC
Modestus has turned a corner. He should win this

Finally Salikhov fights, time to bet the house again.