Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac

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Tapology
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10.13.2022 | 2:10 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC Fight Night
Bout   Info
Serghei Spivac   defeats   Derrick Lewis   via Submission, Arm Triangle Choke   3:05 Round 1 of 5 Bout Page
Devin Clark   defeats   Da Un Jung   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Marcin Tybura   defeats   Blagoy Ivanov   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Doo Ho Choi   vs.   Kyle Nelson   Ends in a Draw, Majority   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Adam Fugitt   defeats   Yusaku Kinoshita   via KO/TKO, Elbows From Mount   4:36 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Anshul Jubli   defeats   Jeka Saragih   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   3:44 Round 2 of 3, 8:44 Total Bout Page
Jeong Yeong Lee   defeats   Yizha   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Rinya Nakamura   defeats   Toshiomi Kazama   via KO/TKO, Straight Left   0:33 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Hyun Sung Park   defeats   Seung Guk Choi   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   3:11 Round 3 of 3, 13:11 Total Bout Page
Jun Yong Park   defeats   Denis Tiuliulin   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   4:05 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Tatsuro Taira   defeats   Jesus Aguilar   via Submission, Triangle Armbar   4:20 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 8

TARTARA
TARTARA
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01.22.2023 | 7:22 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 355 Points   |   Tied for 2465th

"KURZHAAR - Tomorrow Never Comes Until It's Too Late"

UFC_1
UFC_1
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01.22.2023 | 7:56 AM ET

-1.000 favorite

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 315th

I also saddenly when I see so low odds. But what you want. 
Real odds for last fights: Nurmagomedov, Rębecki, Nascimento, Burns, Andrade, Almeida, Moisés and future fights: Nakamura, Taira, Makhachev, Jenkins, Tukhugov, Suarez, Shevchenko, Nickal, Ricci, Bautista, Mokaev. Real odds for all this fights is -10.000.
In connection with the popularization of the UFC, bookmakers are also starting to understand the real odds.
There are also more and more people who want to bet on the UFC.
This also leads to a decrease in the line.
baremaras
baremaras
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01.22.2023 | 8:07 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 520 Points   |   Tied for 135th

nascimento, burns, ricci, bautista, mokaev do not deserve -1000 lines on them, that is crazy

mokaev borderline got exposed in his last fight, ricci is wmma and wmma is always going to be unpredictable, bautista is fighting guido who literally in his last fight won as a major underdog which means the line put on him was flawed to begin with, nakamura is unproven in the ufc, jenkins is unproven in the ufc, rebecki didn't look as good as he should have against a regional fighter on short notice, tukhugov gasses badly, suarez is coming off a huge layoff and is fighting back from one of the most serious injuries of all time - a neck injury

these people don't deserve -1000 money lines and I don't think it's THAT much affected by people betting on them as their opening price is already at a crazy level to begin with

* Edited at 01.22.2023, 8:11 AM ET *

Khanate
Khanate
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01.22.2023 | 8:26 AM ET

@baremaras

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 282nd

Rinya is an elite prospect. He has went 3-1 in match wins vs his fellow countryman and Olympic Silver Medalist Rei Hiriguchi in freestyle wrestling and has wins over Sandeep Tomar. He also went in there in his last round and walked his opponent down and knocked him out to send a message that he didn't need to use his wrestling. The kid lost to in the finals of the Japanese trials to Otoguro who is p4p one of the best wrestlers alive. By the way his opponent isn't very good, Kazama has been a can crusher who was recently knocked out by a 2-2, Rinyas last opponent Nose was better and he walked through him and knocked him out to send a message. 

Maybe not -1000 but -500 would be low for this type of matchup. Looking at his opponent who to be fair I haven't seen tape on, he's never won on the feet and is reliant on his grappling too, seems like a near impossible matchup for Rinya to lose, really. -1000 seems way more justified here than it was for Umar vs Roani.

* Edited at 01.22.2023, 8:29 AM ET *

UFC_1
UFC_1
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01.22.2023 | 8:40 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 315th

Real odds for Nacamura and Taira is 1.01. All that is above is value.
JReynolds47
JReynolds47
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01.22.2023 | 9:19 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 282nd

min woo kim would beat rinya imo.

but unfortunately min woo kim could never actually fight


"Jarno Errens, Damir Hadzovic"

Erison
Erison
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01.22.2023 | 1:12 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 8 Winners, 3 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 1247th

The Derrick Lewis stuff is weird. Had stomach issues right before the fight. I thought Spivak was gonna grapple and sap his energy and ground and pound him as the fight went on. Then Lewis looks like he's in shape for the first time in his career. And Spivak IS hittable. And I still think Spivak will win. But I wonder... 

Lewis finally losing weight could be a couple things: whatever the stomach issue was and having to cancel a fight after a full camp and not get paid. Maybe it was a wakeup call? If the stomach stuff was avoidable with diet and real training. OR, maybe my man has a health condition. Maybe it's actually a really bad thing that he came down with something and then we see him looking 30lbs lighter. Did we see him in between those two moments? The weigh in and now? Was he healthy? Hospitalized? Recovering?

* Edited at 01.22.2023, 1:12 PM ET *

AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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01.22.2023 | 1:14 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 380 Points   |   Tied for 2150th

Taira will look -1000 here tho. His opponent is outmatched everywhere and isnt ufc level imo. Also another guillotine specialist. As we learned yesterday with saimon you just don’t pick those guys

* Edited at 01.22.2023, 1:15 PM ET *

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

danromanick
danromanick
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01.22.2023 | 2:11 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 445 Points   |   Tied for 885th

The only good thing about this card is Taira, the fact that we will finally have representation from Asian countries other than Korea and China, Choi's finally back against a dude he can easily win against, and we get to see skinny Derrick Lewis
Mothswords
Mothswords
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01.22.2023 | 3:11 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 1934th

This card is so pointless 
DamienHandel420
DamienHandel420
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01.22.2023 | 3:54 PM ET

Mothsword

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 455 Points   |   Tied for 720th

It’s also free entertainment, if you don’t like it, don’t watch it. It free entertainment and ufc are usually are pretty entertaining 

I don’t care about the quality of free card because it free, I judge PPV becuase they’re $80, not free

* Edited at 01.22.2023, 3:55 PM ET *

"Quack quack quack"

Cheddiemac
Cheddiemac
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01.22.2023 | 5:35 PM ET

Predictions: 5 of 9 Winners, 2 Perfect, 340 Points   |   Tied for 2838th

Rinya 
Taira
Kino****a

Easy ******* money if you ask me
gliese58i
gliese58i
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01.22.2023 | 7:43 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 186th

Guys what sort of coverage on the smaller leagues can you get via Fight Pass or similar? The UFC is more and more signing guys that are very hard to research. I'll find a video here or there on youtube but it's so tough to gauge these people when your video material is so incomplete.
Would it even help to have Fight Pass for this card with asian fighters or would you need other stuff to view their matches?

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

JReynolds47
JReynolds47
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01.22.2023 | 8:55 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 282nd

they have the chinese league on fight pass

"Jarno Errens, Damir Hadzovic"

AustinLaxton
AustinLaxton
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01.22.2023 | 11:14 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 340 Points   |   Tied for 2759th

Taira vs. Aguilar
Tatsuro Taira, DEC
I can’t wait to watch these two grapple it out.

"I CANT LET YOU GET CLOSE!"

gliese58i
gliese58i
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01.22.2023 | 11:19 PM ET

@JReynolds47

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 186th

Which one? Or are there only one? I don't know a lot about the combat sports in that part of the world, but I'd assume a country with China's population might have more than one, even if they're still dog**** on average at it.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

DamienHandel420
DamienHandel420
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01.23.2023 | 1:24 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 455 Points   |   Tied for 720th

Ji Yeun Kim is on a 1-5 run, How is she still here, She not even BJ Penn or Cowboy where they famest fighter, She is the female Sam Alvey LOL, But to be fair to Kim, She should be on a 2-4 run, As she beat Catchabeting but got robbed

Edit, She a -260 favorite Do these bookies know WMMA, It's so volitle especally when it's low level WMMA, Mandy Bohm is more **** most likely, But I just don't think these women figh where they're both terrible are 75-25 or 70-30, I think at most they're 55-45

* Edited at 01.23.2023, 1:30 AM ET *

"Quack quack quack"

Jinpapa
Jinpapa
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01.23.2023 | 2:01 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 1 of 1 Winners, 0 Perfect, 50 Points   |   Tied for 3902nd

Nakamura vs. Kazama
Rinya Nakamura, SUB, R2
Hybrid wins

Rah123
Rah123
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01.23.2023 | 2:08 AM ET

Lol F-Duck

Predictions: 5 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 305 Points   |   Tied for 3099th

Dumbass womens MMA expert. Seems to be all you talk about. Womens MMA and Petr Yan. You are a psycho. Seriously get help. And I don't mean with your ****** picks. I mean with actual medicine. I am sure there is a cure for your condition. Actually sorry, there isnt. Stupidity isn't a disease. 

Till you mentioned it I did not know that Cowboy and BJ Penn where they famest fighters. Thank you for educating me on that. Are you still in school? At the age of 45? 

And calling Kim the female Sam Alvey.... I am going to come back to you when she beats Bohm and see what your stupid ass has to say then. 

Btw who is Catchabeting? Is it a new Bookie? Or a Capper or Tout? 

Your stupid takes on womens MMA are actually good to see. At least I will have something to laugh about every time there is a womens fight, because I know the Tapology Panty Sniffer is around to give his views that no one asked for. You are the Tapology version of Chris Tognoni. Sniffing around every womens MMA fight there is. Idiot 

"Positivity is a positive"

Bryson50
Bryson50
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01.23.2023 | 2:11 AM ET

Jrey isn’t picking Bohm?

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 674th

LOLs. Remember last time?

* Edited at 01.23.2023, 2:12 AM ET *

Page 8


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