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Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac

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Tapology
Tapology
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10.13.2022 | 2:10 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC Fight Night
Bout   Info
Serghei Spivac   defeats   Derrick Lewis   via Submission, Arm Triangle Choke   3:05 Round 1 of 5 Bout Page
Devin Clark   defeats   Da Un Jung   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Marcin Tybura   defeats   Blagoy Ivanov   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Doo Ho Choi   vs.   Kyle Nelson   Ends in a Draw, Majority   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Adam Fugitt   defeats   Yusaku Kinoshita   via KO/TKO, Elbows From Mount   4:36 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Anshul Jubli   defeats   Jeka Saragih   via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound   3:44 Round 2 of 3, 8:44 Total Bout Page
Jeong Yeong Lee   defeats   Yizha   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Rinya Nakamura   defeats   Toshiomi Kazama   via KO/TKO, Straight Left   0:33 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Hyun Sung Park   defeats   Seung Guk Choi   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   3:11 Round 3 of 3, 13:11 Total Bout Page
Jun Yong Park   defeats   Denis Tiuliulin   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   4:05 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Tatsuro Taira   defeats   Jesus Aguilar   via Submission, Triangle Armbar   4:20 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page

Responses Page 22

mezzor
mezzor
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01.29.2023 | 10:24 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 919th

You should apply for Portuguese homeless shelters in advance
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bracket
bracket
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01.29.2023 | 10:26 AM ET

Predictions: 4 of 5 Winners, 1 Perfect, 255 Points   |   Tied for 3410th

Mezzor, my favorite fade 🤑
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AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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01.29.2023 | 10:29 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 380 Points   |   Tied for 2150th

I need to see the mezzor wiki capping. Lewis has more ko’s than spivak so he should win right? @mezzor

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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01.29.2023 | 11:01 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 380 Points   |   Tied for 2129th

I think Spivak will make light work of Lewis here, his best days are over and his health is on the way down. His only chance is a KO early and I see Spivak just scoring takedowns at will. 
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Rah123
Rah123
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01.29.2023 | 11:40 AM ET

Andrew

Predictions: 5 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 305 Points   |   Tied for 3099th

For once in recent times we are on opposite sides.

I think Spivak is super over rated and is going to get his ass handed to him

"Positivity is a positive"

Andrew1047
Andrew1047
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01.29.2023 | 11:51 AM ET

Rah

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 380 Points   |   Tied for 2129th

It could happen, outside of Tuivasa and Aspinall he hasn't faced any elite guys in the division. I don't think I'll be putting that fight in any big parlays anyway. 
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Erison
Erison
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01.29.2023 | 12:25 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 8 Winners, 3 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 1247th

Honestly I'm not impressed or interested in Lewis finally losing weight. And if anything it's probably the result of an illness that canceled this fight last time, after weigh ins. A fighter pushing 40 finally losing all that baby fat everyone said they had their whole career is often the last thing a fighter does before hanging it up.

Suddenly a 40 year old Oscar De La Hoya is like "I can drop down two weight classes and have a size advantage" and they post shredded workout pics and make weight and it's a whole thing. And then they get in there completely spent, looking like a mummy just getting peppered by Manny Pacquiao.

Dan Hooker did this and I was immediately like "uh oh, this dude's cooked", but he's fighting against the curse right now.
Erison
Erison
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01.29.2023 | 12:26 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 8 Winners, 3 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 1247th

Chris Daukaus will probably do it. When he's 36+ years old, career at a stand still, suddenly he's got six pack abs and is gonna try to make 185. It never works.
AnthillIss
AnthillIss

01.29.2023 | 12:28 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 1073rd

Derrick is finally fighting someone who's more of a quitter himself and will gas trying to hold him down. Vintage KO time 
DrChaotic
DrChaotic
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01.29.2023 | 12:30 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 1209th

Tbh this whole card is a landmine with picks that could go either way. Would stay away from this one betting wise if I did bet
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Erison
Erison
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01.29.2023 | 12:32 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 8 Winners, 3 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 1247th

I feel pretty good about Tybura, Rinya, Jung, Spivak. Not overthinking it. 
TLRulebender
TLRulebender

01.29.2023 | 12:34 PM ET

Predictions: 3 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 150 Points   |   Tied for 3711th

Meh My predicition ratio already sucks after couple KSW events so YA YEET
DrChaotic
DrChaotic
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01.29.2023 | 12:36 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 1209th

I agree with all of those except for Spivak. I feel like Derrick could show up and KO him, show that there's still levels to this 
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TLRulebender
TLRulebender

01.29.2023 | 12:40 PM ET

Predictions: 3 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 150 Points   |   Tied for 3711th

I mean Lewis' last 2 loses are against killers who both have that oneshot power and Lewis is probably the easiest guy to KO due to his non existent cardio, like rly when I watch Lewis I feel like he's gassed after walkout at least for me he looks aliven't, and then when he is gassed he is not even able to hold himself correctly but somehow he was making it work before so, we'll see what happens

* Edited at 01.29.2023, 12:41 PM ET *

Erison
Erison
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01.29.2023 | 12:40 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 8 Winners, 3 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 1247th

Derrick can definitely KO Spivak, and Spivak is there to get hit. But I also don't think Spivak fears Lewis, like Blaydes. So I dont see him staying at that mid range where he's in danger. I think 30 seconds into the fight, Spivak will have Lewis against the cage, controlling one wrist and looking for a body trip. He's gonna be a wet blanket, and we're just gonna watch him ground and pound til the ref steps in. I dont think its gonna be a "fun" fight.
DrChaotic
DrChaotic
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01.29.2023 | 12:54 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 1209th

Yeah but if there's one thing Lewis is good at, it's getting up when taken down. He just says "no" to grappling. Idk if the weight loss is gonna make that his strength and get up game worse, or be a good thing and make his cardio better (maybe both) but the fight is very tricky to predict IMO

* Edited at 01.29.2023, 12:54 PM ET *

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Joshjeffords
Joshjeffords
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01.29.2023 | 1:25 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 10 Winners, 0 Perfect, 410 Points   |   Tied for 1549th

Problem is Lewis best tools are reflex hand speed and counters.
Against a younger faster guy this wont work 80% thats without huge grappling advantage.
He has to get lucky as he did in most his wins if you actually watch them.
Frangon staring match not included.

"“I took no damage,” Hill said. “Most of the fall was me falling down"

gliese58i
gliese58i
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01.29.2023 | 1:51 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 186th

My problem with the argument that "Lewis isn't shot yet" is that it presumes that Lewis has to be shot to lose when in reality he was never that good to begin with.

His power is what gives him a shot in any match but in my opinion he's won more fights than he ought to given his skillset and had some luck on his side.

* Edited at 01.29.2023, 1:53 PM ET *

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

gliese58i
gliese58i
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01.29.2023 | 3:09 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 186th

The last time Doo Ho Choi fought was on a card that had Cyril Gane on the prelims vs Tanner Boser. Who knows what he'll look like in this one.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

JReynolds47
JReynolds47
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01.29.2023 | 3:10 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 282nd

hes only 31 though

"Jarno Errens, Damir Hadzovic"

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