UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Anyone watched Dean Barry? Is there a scenario where he goes in overconfident, throws a ridiculous amount of volume at Mike Jackson in the first round, gasses out and then losses? Never touching a 1-1 fighter who looked mediocre against CM Punk but would be too funny if that scenario happened.

@mmafan his gas tank seems fine. That being said I’ve never seen him leave the second round. That ALSO being said, mike jackson is a can. I think he gets hit cleanly once and just quits most likely

After getting into tape on kape/mudajeri, I think it’s gonna be a lot closer than I thought. Su may have a very padded record but his ability to read distance and range is very impressive. I still think kape will win because he’s the toughest person su has fought but su is very skilled

Maycee Barber fight style is so dumb, I don't mind a dog shot on Montana, Maycee style of throwing punchs from so far away, It has no hope of landing while slowing backing to the fence for 2 round, And then start trying in the 3rd and winning that round, Is not a good plan for winning fight,She lost to Grasso and  she should of lost to Maranda, But she gave a blowy to 2 of the judges before the fight, So she technically won but the streets know.

The annoying thing is that Montana is bad enough to lose to Maycee, I rather watch Maycee fight Blanchfield because I want her to get smash, And Blanchfield pressure and takedown game would punish Maycee problem, I'm so mad Maycee pulled out, I think Blanchfield was  a dog when they were suppose to fight

* Edited at 04.17.2022, 5:26 PM ET *

Hip-hop Yeah it's probably very last tbh

Actually probably 7th of 8th, right in front of big dog IKE pulling off the big upset at +340! Full 8 legs +36,750....$1.50 to win $550 let's ******* go!

(Picking Pedro and Marc on here tho)

* Edited at 04.17.2022, 5:40 PM ET *

this is from barry's most recent interview 

“I want to go out here and finish him and make a statement, really!” “It’s a weird one. I almost feel a bit eased that it’s Mike for my debut, but I also feel pressure. I’m battling two sides here.”

“He has nothing to lose, but can you imagine if I went out and got starched by Mike Jackson on my UFC debut?! I’ll move to China somewhere and change my name, grow my hair, and I’ll never speak to anyone again! I’ll delete all my accounts!” Barry proclaimed.

“1st round knockout, as always! Hopefully inside 2 minutes. That’s what I’m feeling. I have a weird feeling I’m going to head kick him.”

* Edited at 04.17.2022, 10:31 PM ET *

I wanna bet against Barber cause she’s a tool, but I don’t know enough about Montana to put my money on her.

Right! Kape vs Su is way closer than advertised. I think Kape is a special talent and his fight IQ will be the winning factor but Su is elite in his own right.

Just saw Cosce vs Parsons was canceled that was going to be a banger and everybody was sleeping on Parsons.

Last week I was wrong on almost everything but somehow got an 8/14 score on Tapology, back to the grind this week.

Barber v De La Rosa. Interesting fight. Barber is a bit younger and holds the edge I would say in power and aggression. I wont actually say that she has the striking advantage overall though as De La Rosa throws straighter punches and more often one twos whereas Barber often throws single shots and doesn't utilize the jab. Both fighters are very hittable and not great defensively. De La Rosa should have a grappling advantage but her own TDD isn't the best. On the ground Barber actually managed to reverse Modafferi multiple times although it might have been more of a strength mismatch than from technical skill. De La Rosa doesn't have the best control on the ground but she does like to take the back when presented with the opportunity and Barber does give it up in order to work herself back to her feet.

One thing that is always concerning with De La Rosa is how often she gets her nose busted in fights which causes her to breath through her mouth and gas out in the 2nd or 3rd round. This has also made her seemingly mentally quit on the stool in the past.
Barber has had an issue with starting slow before ramping up and having her best rounds in rd3 where she took the round against both Grasso and Maverick after losing the first 2 rounds (was rewarded the win nonetheless vs Maverick by judges).

Barber is the kind of fighter you love to bet because it's clear that she hates losing and will always give 110% in a fight. I'm not willing to bet her as a favorite though with how green she still is and the unevenness of her performance coming off what should be a 3 fight skid. If she could fight like she does in rd3 every round it would be different.
I think Barber should be the favorite here but only by a small margin and the money play is on De La Rosa at these lines. It's an uncomfortable bet to make though with a fighter that has mentally checked out at times vs a fighter with an indomitable will to win in Barber.

It's an interesting fight for livebetting as well since a decision is always likely in lower weight classes and WMMA and they match up unevenly in their trajcetories throughout a fight based on past fights where Barber starts slow and comes on stronger, De La Rosa fades over time.

That's a really nice observation in Montana's nose issues.

I think Maycee gets this one done by simply overpowering Montana. She's big, and very strong for the weight class. I think she can muscle down Rosa and control her for long enough to win. One thing I've noticed is that she's improved between consecutive fights, so I expect her to take quicker action  rather than her slower starts per usual, as you pointed out 

This has got to be one of the hardest cards to pick for quite some time

i like puelles by knee bar  guida gets over aggresive in  clinch control  i call it now

Lemos vs. Andrade
Jéssica Andrade, TKO, R2
why is andrade going back down to 115?

Guida vs. Puelles
Claudio Puelles, SUB, R1
puelles jiu jitsu

Boser vs. Romanov
Alexander Romanov, SUB, R1
romanov lowkey a smesh factory guy he got god submissions

Barber vs. De La Rosa
Maycee Barber, DEC
judges finna bless barber wit a decision again

Su vs. Kape
Manel Kape, TKO, R1
my son manel gonna keep the portugal train going after andre fialho knocked out baeza

Jourdain vs. Vannata
Charles Jourdain, DEC
jourdain is tuff his last fight was entertaining against ewell

Wright vs. Barriault
Jordan Wright, DEC
lowkey mid fight

Grant vs. Khandozhko
Dwight Grant, DEC
dwight grant has promise

Pedro vs. Villanueva
Tyson Pedro, SUB, R1
TYSON PEDRO

Aoriqileng vs. Else
Aoriqileng, TKO, R1
they robbed aoriqileng against jeff molina ong

Prachnio vs. Lins
Marcin Prachnio, DEC
mid fight

Barry vs. Jackson
Dean Barry, TKO, R1
another uk/ireland guy theyre gonna over hype and over promote

Баба - консервный нож, палец не клади в рот, откусит до самых пят, которые макали в речку Стикс. Два бицепса и 3 трицепса - вот и конец, пиши завещание, по правилу буравчика мордой в пол!

Jéssica Andrade, ТКО, 2r

Whatever the under is on that fight (probably 1.5 rounds) it is probably hammer time.  I don't see that fight getting to round two the way they fight.

Bold prediction on the Jordan Wright.  That man has never seen the judges in his life.

Guida vs. Puelles
Claudio Puelles, SUB, R2
Anybody else reminded of a young Charles Oliveira by Puelles? Fights tall, timid in a way, and he's great off his back. I think he can capitalize on an error by Clay on the ground.

Jordan Wright one of the most hittable fighters in the ufc (38%) once power bar connected to his glass jaw he will go out

MAB will absolutely take another nap.  There will be no decision here.  There are two paths to victory lol.

* Edited at 04.18.2022, 10:12 AM ET *