UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

So glad you're here early because you are on fire ha "like cleaning a toilet" brilliant

Glad my toilet humor was appreciated, I fall back on it when I lack the wit for something more clever to say.

On a completely unrelated note I really hope Istela Nunes wins because she is most definitely UFC level and a fun fighter so I'd hate to see her go after this one.

Feel the same about Istela.  She has great coaches, and I'm betting with a bit of time she could do well here.

She's a ufc level fighter for 1 round. After that she's not even bellator level

There are four women's fights on this card therefore here is a friendly reminder to choose the dog or pass altogether.  

I don't give a damn if the woman is a -20000 favorite, those odds never reflect the truth.  

Jreynolds isn't wrong, Even though McKinney is lethal, He only lethal for about 3 minutes, Anyone who can only fight 3 minutes before gassing isn't that good for the UFC, I don't know much about Nazim, But most good lightweight can survive 3 minutes with someone unless McKinney is lucky, As a betting/picking man, Having 1 round of cardio is so bad

If Nazim a Bum, It McKinney round 1 bet, That the only way McKinney can wins

* Edited at 07.09.2023, 5:19 PM ET *

JDM will be fighting on this card. Opponent announced soon 

@DamienHandel420 

yeah I don’t disagree with that assessment. I don’t rate McKinney very highly, but his athleticism and aggression are hard for lower level UFC guys to deal with and Nazim’s lack of striking defense and willingness to brawl play right to McKinney’s strengths. I feel like it’s gonna be just a 3 minute slugfest. 

Probably can wait until round 2 and get a solid live line on Dudakova.

Nunes vs. Dudakova
Viktoriya Dudakova, SUB, R1
Why is Istela Nunes in the UFC?

@AyyLmaonnaise 

God i hope so that Lad is exciting 

This oneis just lacking in anything to get fired up about. Always glad to have Saturday fights, but damn 😵‍💫

Never forget

"Anyone picking DDP to beat Rob do me a big favour.

Message Gregory and ask for your account to be deleted."-Andrew1047

Oh don’t worry, they’ll never forget 

Lutz vs Baghdasaryan Baghdasaryan KO RD 2 
Pretty unexpected matchup here. Should honestly be decent fight tho since both are strikers. Much like a lot of people on this card, I am surprised lutz is getting another fight. I had never really understood the hype lutz got (not like people were calling him a contender or anything but i frequently would see people say he is a really solid fighter) and clearly the hype wasnt deserved as hes shown. Watching tape from before his recent losses, hes not crazy impressive even back then. He is a solid kickboxer but something is missing with him. His output is good and he attacks everywhere really well. I quite like his kicks to the body and i think his boxing is decent, but what really frustrates me is the lack of power. Watching him fight Lutz appears to have solid power but it always looks like he could put more into his shots; I always feel like hes only throwing at like 60% of what hes capable of. As a result, its hard to come away really impressed with any of lutz fights. Then, we get to his losing streak. So the ufc matched him up with sabatini which was just a terrible idea & he got outclassed as a result. The really bad part was the pineda fight. Now, pineda is a crafty vet whos always been difficult to deal with, but lutz looked BAD in that fight. For starters, he didnt seem to have improved one bit since his layoff. He looked lethargic out there, wasnt moving well, wasnt moving his head at all, and looked scared to engage. His tdd looked worse than ever as well. I know he has a wrestling background but i didnt expect pineda to get it to the ground so easily. When it got to the ground he was just clueless. Luckily, melsik is equally as clueless on the mat therefore this will probably be a striking battle. Melsik should easily take this if its purely striking. Lutz doesnt put enough power into his shots and he just looked like a deer in the headlights his last fight. Melsik is a very good kickboxer and throws everything with dangerous intent. His leg kicks and body kicks are so good & sound like gunshots when he lands them. He of course has better boxing than lutz too. My only real worry for melsik si the grappling. Lutz may not have any bjj, but he was a wrestler before mma & does mix it in occasionally. The caveat is he has no bjj so its very unlikely he would get a finish there, but there is a chance he could win minutes by holding melsik down. However ive gotta favor melsik here pretty significantly. Lutz looks like hes done fighting 

Dudakova vs Nunes Dudakova SUB RD 1 
This is some really one sided matchmaking right here. Im shocked nunes is even getting another ufc fight after getting so brutally beaten. I said in the 290 threads the other day my piece on nunes; I think she is a fantastic striker by wmma standards but the problem is this is mma not muay thai. If this was muay thai nunes would be one of the best girls in the division. Her footwork is very good, she has a diverse striking game, and she has really good power for a woman. The problem with her fight style is that she is no longer the same fighter off of PEDs. She got suspended 3 years for popping after signing with the ufc & has been a shell of herself ever since. Her striking still looks great as always but she has 8 minutes of cardio now and no grappling whatsoever. She always looks great early until the takedown comes & then she death gasses and gets finished. I wonder how her chin is too; she got violated by jauregui her last fight in a way id never seen before. Of course, jauregui might just be that good (despite the bad upset loss) but still i'd never seen nunes get *****ed like that before. Either way, she is going to take another ass whooping here. Dudakova is a very good wmma prospect. Her striking does need some work, but she has the basics down. Either waythat shoudnt matter too much here since she is a grappler. We have yet to really see a dominant russian wmma grappler yet but I think we have one here. The way dudakova was able to outgrapple and suppress a high level grappler like maria silva was very impressive. All it should take here is one td from dudakova and nunes will be clueless. Could be either ko or sub but ill go sub
Lingo vs Costa Costa KO RD 2
Should be a good striking match here. Really happy to see melk going down to 145 as I think he will have a lot more success there than he would at 155. Melk comes to the ufc with a lot of experience despite being pretty young, so luckily hes not fazed by being in the big show. Melk has a pretty fun striking style. He uses all of his limbs to attack you and is very aggressive. Loves the body kicks and his hooks. At range he throws a ton of kicks and up close has really good clinch work. Hes pretty powerful and can keep his same aggressive pace & his power throughout three rounds. His takedown defense is pretty bad but he does a decent job of getting back to his feet, along with having solid bjj to boot. However, the tdd wont be an issue here since lingo is just a striker. Idk why but i always had this image in my head that lingo was better than everyone else thought. Rewatching his fights tho, I was 100% wrong. Lingo is decent ill give him that but his skills are very limited; he is basically just a boxer with some leg kicks and good tdd. He has some decent power and an innate ability to make the striking count close every fight. Even against guys hes outmatched with (nate the train) he was still keeping the striking count very close. The caveat of this style is he gets hit a lot. He takes the punches well and his defense is actually okay, but he still gets tagged quite a bit with his style. Theres also the fact that hes basically just a boxer. He remains very stagnant on the feet and theres not much else he has to offer besides variations of punches and some leg kicks. Melk is much faster and throws all sorts of different strikes. I think the biggest thing for him here will be the body kicks. Lingo keeps a tight guard and doesnt protect his body well. Its also just good to mix in kicks because that will throw him off & also not play into lingo’s boxing game. We really saw saldana give him a lot of issues with the kicks and just by being diverse, but then his gas tank died and he quit like he always does. I think melk will win and look pretty good here. Wouldnt be shocked at all if the striking numbers end up being really close, however melk should pull through with the power shots and better shot selection
Valdez vs Elder Elder KO RD 1 
Love this fight. Both guys are 0-2 in the ufc and both are brawlers, but they are in very different situations. Edler is 0-2 but has had an unlucky run to say the least. He got his shot by taking a fight against preston parsons on short notice up a weight class. He got dominated but did show heart and good conditioning. Then, he fought sadykov & looked great. Obviously it was a brawl so both guys got touched up, but elder looked very improved and was winning 2-0 before the fight got stopped by a cut (really i think elder shouldve been able to continue). Then you have valdez who got signed off of dwcs. He had one of the best fights in dwcs history but man did he look bad doing it. He went life or death with an alaska fc can, got chinned a few times, gassed out, and just won the fight because his opponent quit. His ufc tenure has gone pretty much the same way; hes just a punching bag. He has no defense whatsoever and just takes punches on the chin. He does have mexican toughness but the dude gets dropped badly every single fight. Hes also a wild brawler where elder is a little more composed. Elder is still calculated in the heat of a brawl and throws with technique, valdez puts everything he has into every shot and overswings constantly. Elder never uses it and his tdd is bad, but id give the wrestling advantage to him should he need to use it. Really tho i think this is gonna be a brawl and elder wins just by being the better fighter. This seems like the ufc giving him a freebie after taking the short notice fight and then getting “robbed” in his last fight
Nam vs Maksum Maksum SUB RD 1 
One of the few good fights on this card. Poor nam is really getting thrown to the wolves here but someone had to take the maksum fight. Nam is a really solid vet whos been outside the top 15 for pretty much his whole career, but hes very beatable. Hes so good at what he does (staying composed until theres an opening to counter strike) but the problem is that it is a TERRIBLE style for winning fights. Nam has tons of power and his ability to make reads on a mistake is very impressive but you just cant consistently win fights by just sitting back and counter striking. Sure, it works on chinnt guys or people who leave a lot of openings like osbourne but against actual top 15 level comp that wont work. I think the person who really exposed this the best was kkf. Obviously very different styles between maksum and kkf, but kkf showed really how bad nam is when you dont give him the fight he wants. KKF stayed in his face and never let him get going; nam looked frozen and honestly just lost. He had no idea what to do there and just took a beating. Theres also the fact nam is 40. Somehow, hes still able to make weight and his durability is still there for the most part, but age catches up to everyone. Add to this that nam cuts like 30-40 lbs to make weight and its honestly shocking he even makes it to the fight. However, I think hes really outmacthed here. Maksum is just great everywhere. On the feet, he is low volume but he is also calculated. He takes his time to strike but picks you apart with different looks. His power is serious for 125 as well. Every time he lands clean it elicits a big reaction if not dropping/sleeping his opponent. He can be a little hittable at times, but if he stays on the pressure and gives nam different looks he should avoid the counter shot. The easiest path to victory for maksum is wrestling. Nam hasnt really had his wrestling tested in the ufc but im sure his wrestling isnt anything insane. Azat’s wrestling is tho. He is so good at timing his shots & if eh doesnt get it initially, he is swinging to the back and going for a bodylock takedown/re-adjusting his shot. When he does get it to the ground, he domionates. Suppressive top control, lots of gnp, very good positional awareness, and solid bjj. I think he will take nam down & find an opening and sub him. Maksum will be a top contender very soon
Deaton III vs Munoz Munoz DEC 
Going from the worst women's fight ive ever seen to likely the worst mens fight ive ever seen.  I really dont get how either of these guys are in the ufc. I mean, i do know how but its amazing ufc took either of these guys. At least munoz won on dwcs, deaton is some bum they grabbed off of the street to fight moises. Im not impressed with either at all, but i told myself i would never pick deaton to win a ufc fight. Like what is he even good at? He has 9 wins by sub but all I see in his fights is him standing & throwing 5 strikes a round. He appears to be a boxer but is just so dull to watch. He has some decent power in his hands but very low output and no killer instinct either. For someone with 9 subs, he has pretty nonexistent grappling too. A light breeze could knock him over and he seems content to just stay on his back when he gets taken down. Munoz isnt much better. He is a wrestler but not a very good one. He has solid technique but nothing that really makes him special. He should be able to get takedowns at will here since deaton cant wrestle, but this is also such a low level fight that nothing would really shock me here. I think munoz can hold his own on the feet too. Munoz is really uncomfortable on the feet, but he at least has some decent technique. He doesnt know what to do when his opponent is leading the dance, but when he does throw his technique is solid. Well, not really actually but he does throw with decent power and i like his overhand right. He will occasionally throw a singular counter strike as well but not much else in terms of offense. Honestly the real reason im going with munoz is the pena fight. He shouldve won the fight but at least he gave a solid performance against a real body, deaton hasnt beaten anyone quality at all. 
Evans-Smith vs Perez Perez DEC 
Not relly sure where to start for this one. This is as low level as it gets & also really sad the ufc is going thi far through the roster just to get perez a fight. I dont know why they even signed perez in the first place (maybe because she twerks at weigh ins) but other than that she has no redeeming qualities. Her whole style is just take you down and beat you up either with gnp or a sub. The problem is shes just not a good fighter in any capacity. Her wrestling is really bad and we saw her make just about every mistake you can against egger. In her defense, she did go from fairn who is an utter can to egger who at least is a solid grappler, but still not a good look. I didnt watch any tape on her opponent but i mean one look at her record is all i really need to see. Shes 6-5, 36, and hasnt fought in 3 years. I know she runs a weird sex podcast so clearly fighting isnt her main source of income & she also is off the sauce now so she will probably not look the same. However, I wouldnt be surprised to see a miller vs hardy type of fight where we all except perez to win just because her record is better & then she gets upset. However, dont have the confidence to pick an old 6-5 girl

Dumont vs Chandler Chandler DEC
On the fence with this one too, i might switch to dumont just because she has more experience at a higher level but at the same time shes very unreliable and I just dont really like her so theres that. When shes on, her strikes are really clean. She throws her kicks and punches really fast but often times is scared to let her hands go. She would do it for like 20 seconds against rosa then go right back to hugging her against the fence. She also got dropped really badly in that fight which i didnt like to see. Then before that she dominated wolf the can before looking godawful against macy chaisson. So you can see theres lots of variance between her perfomanvces. She goes from looking great to either losing or having very flat performances. Now her opponent, Chandler, is the exact opposite. I do find it weird they signed her because shes a 145er and they want to kill the division but she is really fun to watch. The best way to describe her style is “bully” she isnt very tehcnical anywhere and gets tagged a good amount, but she marches forward throwing heaters & just wants to hurt you. What i really like from her in this spot is that she grapples and grapples a lot. Much like her striking, its nothing to call home about but it is effective. She uses her strength to muscle you to the ground and tries to beat you up with gnp or finding a submission. What really mkes me pick chandler here is she knows exactly how she beats dumont. When this fight got announced, I saw a tweet where chandler’s response was something along the lines of “im going to take her down because she cant grapple and get in her face because she doesnt like pressure” that alone is enough to sway me because she has the skillset to win and knows where dumonts weaknesses are. Of course, this is wmma so im prepared ti get this one wrong but i find dumont insanely boring so hopefully she ****s the bed


Azaitar vs Prado Prado KO RD 1
Really tough one to pick right here. I think both these guys are really bad so im not sure what the ufc’s angle here is. Maybe loser goes home? This fight should be good tho because much like the previous fight, these guys are both brawlers except this time neither has any ground game to speak of. Azaitar was a boogeyman up until his last fight. He had a cool undefeated record and a wild highlight reel & then got annihilated by frevola last fight. The whole buildup to that fight i was really questioning how much of a fighter aziatar really is. He is butt buddies with the king of morroco so he really is set with everything he needs; he doesnt fight for money. And of course you see him training with team khabib & xtreme couture but how much of that is serous training & how much is it just him being there because he has endless amounts of money? I will say azaitar looks the part when he fights but hes just not really that good. He has a lot of kos but im also not really sure his ko power is actually all that. He has only koed bums in the ufc and outside of it as well so yeah. Azaitar is fast and has some good feints. I like his movement too. His hands are quick and he appears to have good power as well. Azaitar is a brawler tho; he loves getting into ugly fights. Watching his Brave CF fights is really eye opening, specifically the charlie leary fight. Leary is a notoriously bad journeyman and azaitar went to war with him, even getting dropped bad early on. These fights, compared with the fact that hes old, slowly going out of prime (33 now), just lost his 0 and all momentum he previously had, and is super rich so doesnt even need fighting, all make me worried about his ufc future. But then, we get to his opponent. Prado was likely gonna get a dwcs shot later this year but instead got called up short notice to fight mullarkey. I really dont like that prado got signed because he is not close to ready for the ufc. For starters, the kid is only 20 and not a phenom 20 year old like a mokaev or a taira. Prado has can crushed in argentina and hasnt been all that impressive. I mean, hes beating these guys but its not super impressive. He has really bad footwork, chases pretty much the entire time and is suuuuper slow in both his movement and with his strikes. He throws slow and loopy shots all the time along with being a brawler in general. Of course, he has naturally good power and will at least throw combos a good amount so thats something. I doubt he will, but ottman would be very smart to wrestle here because prado has very limited grappling. He cant defend a td to save his life and unlike his countryman ribovics, prado has really ****** get ups so he lies on his back a lot. Ultimately, i think this is a pickem and the line clearly reflects that but i have to go with prado based on the fact theres a huge age gap along with prado actually training and being active where im not sure ottman has much motivation at all. Honestly, the most surprising thing to me is weve made it to fight week and ottman somehow hasnt pulled out yet
Mckinney vs Sadykov Mckinney KO RD 1
I get everyone wants to fade mckinney as a mixture of people just not liking him + people thinking hes really bad. I dont think mckinney is bad per se, I just think he has an extremely exploitable game & his holes are still there. In round 1 mckinney is a force; he only knows one speed and doesnt slow down until his body wont let him (about 3 minutes). What annoys me about terrance is he cant find a happy medium between being aggressive but not so aggressive that he death gasses every fight. He doesnt have the technical ability to fight a normal, tactical fight but he doesnt have the cardio to continue fighting the way he does either. Terrance comes out every fight guns blazing. He isnt technical but throws with 200% of his power every time. Often he over swings orthe opponent reads his shots, but at the same time his punches are very fast and half the time people cant even eat the shots. He really has death touch power. Another thing I dont like about his striking is his defense. Because hes trying to take your head off, he has a tendency to get hit a good amount. On top of this he has a very bad chin & an even weaker tendency to get koed by a knee (3 losses by knee ko). An underrated part of his game tho is the wrestling. Terrance is actually a very legit wrestler and has a good bjj game as well. He has a good level change but doesnt chain wrestle that well. If he misses an attempt he will go back to striking and then shoot shortly after. When he gets the takedown tho he is really solid. Really goos control and underrated bjj. Not like hes an adcc phenom or anything but he has a really tight squeeze and good back control. If this was anyone quality id say this is a hard fight for terrance but i feel weirdly good about this one. Nazim is the perfect style matchup for him (a brawler with bad defense who is gonna meet him in the middle) and also seems really fraudulent. I cant exactly put my finger on it but watching the highlights & then actually watching his fights, you see two different fighters. Nazim has a well rounded skillset but he can be exploited by someone better in any area. He comes to brawl and has some good striking skills but no head movement at all. Even in the elder fight he was always just a step behind. Elder is a solid fighter but if you want to be taken seriously as a prospect you should be blowing him out of the water. Nazim’s grappling is also very suspect to me. He has wrestling and bjj but like the rest of his game it seems to be lacking. He can be taken down very easily, he can be reversed or swept very easily, and he has struggled to control some really bad guys on the regional scene. I think if mckinney takes him down early he will sub him and i think on the feet, its really hard to see mckinney losing against another brawler (especially one who doesnt move their head at all and wont try to fight technically).

Holm vs Bueno Silva Silva SUB RD 2 
This is more of a bias/spite pick than something actually logical but I wouldnt totally count out bueno silva’s chances here. Holm is the ageless wonder. She is a grandma but also an OG of wmma and with that brings a plethora of experience. Holly was a former world champion boxer & has translated it well to mma. What she also brings is a complete striking game to compliment. She has great hands but also really good kicks. Somehow, she is still freakishly athletic despite being so old. Also whats really kept her around so long is that she can also grapple & grapple pretty well at that. Bueno silva is honestly a dark horse for me. She isnt talked about much but she is improving every fight and has found her weight class at 135. Mayra always had talent at 125 but she was a bit of an ape. She didnt really know where her strengths were and just tried to use the chute boxe style of “all aggression all the time”. It worked somewhat but she was just inconsistent at 125. She couldnt keep up with the more technical girls and also had issues with tdd. But now, mayra has switched to ATT & gone to 135 and has looked totally different. Its hard to rate her last performance since lansberg was just a heavy bag at the end of her career, but mayra showed a lot of improvements. Firstly, she didnt get chinned by a lansberg elbow (literally the only thing she knowd how to land) which is good because i was worried her aggression would cause her to get it. Secondly, her striking looked very improved. She still kept her aggressive style, walking forward and throwing bombs, but you can see she learned actual technique. She was mixing up her shots and I really like her body work in that fight. What I really liked tho was the wrestling from bueno silva. Her bjj has been the best part of her game her entire career, the issue was that she only used it when taken down. Against lansberg, she wrestled offensively for like the first time ever & it worked very well. Bueno silva does her best work off of her back but hey at least she started bringing the fight where she wanted. If she gets it to the ground, her bjj is amazing & i think she will finish holly. I know holly is the smart and safe pick against an untested prospect (especially when holly looked so good her last fight) but age is undefeated. This is also a spite pick because im really tired of seeing holly holm fight, lets get some new blood already.

Duraev vs Park Duraev DEC 
Interesting choice for a co main but not really much you can do with a card this bad. Park is a really solid guy but i feel like he underperforms a lot. For example, despite being a grappler, park often times loves to trade it out with his opponent. Now he does a good job of landing in a brawl but the problem is he doesnt have the best defense. Iron turtle is a good name for park because hes got a hell of a chin, the only issue with that is he gets touched up a lot. We saw obama sleep him badly, tiuliulin landed on him for as long as that fight was on the feet, and the worst look of all (to me) was he was actually getting touched up badly & even lost the first round to ugly man joe. He even got his back momentarily taken in that fight. Where park is best is his grappling. He has solid judo & subsequently is good in the clinch. His actual takedowns arent very good but he will literally go as far as to drag you down with him just to get the fight where he wants. When he gets you down, he is really suppressive. He throws tons of gnp and has a really good body triangle. When he gets on the back he is very good at finding the RNC. Then we have duraev who i just cant seem to figure out. In his prime when he was fighting in ACA, he was an absolute monster; just good everywhere and especially with his wrestling. However, the majority of his prime years were wasting sitting out waiting for the ufc shot. Since then, he really hasnt looked the same. FOr starters, he has a glass jaw. Its always been bad as he has been slept badly outside the ufc, but it seems to be even worse in current day. He gets rocked badly quite a bit and also might have the weakest orbital bone i have ever seen. Anytime he eats a clean pinch to his left eye, his orbital breaks and swells up immediately. Now its weird because duraev can actually strike decently well but he just cant take puinches at all. Weirdly enough, he was able to win 2 rounds against chidi almost exclusively on the feet. Sure, that fight was close and also terribly boring but hey he beat a really good striker on the feet so that says something. I think from a technical standpoint duraev is a muvh better striker, but he just has to be careful defensively because park loves a good scrap and definitely hits harder (not like he has crazy power or anything tho). The other part about duraev thats just weird to me is his wrestling. With that last name, you would expect him to be a dominant grappler, and he is but he also isnt if that makes sense. What I mean by this is his wrestling is SO inconsistent. ON dwcs, he took his opponent down and killed him insatntly, in his ufc debut it took him a little but when he got roman down it was a complete domination. Same goes for chidi, he took him down and chidi couldnt get back up. So when he gets on top we know he is super dominant but the problem is his actual wrestling. Sometimes it looks amazing but then we have fights like the buckley one where he just looks terrible. Idk if that was just a nightmare style matchup or what but buckley dominated him & honestly made him look like he should be in bellator. Even in the chidi fight after having very easy success with wrestling, he didnt even attempt a takedown in the next two rounds. Against Park you’d think he would be wrestling quite frequently; park doesnt have good tdd and his whole game is really dependent on him having top control. I think thats how duraev will win; by mixing in the wrestling. However, park can match him everywhere and has a big chin advantage so this will be interesting. 

Harris vs ParisianParisian KO RD 2 
I cant believe im actually making this pick but here we are. Walt is -200 rn and i totally understand why since parisian is a bum, but i weirdly think he takes this honestly with ease. Now it wont really be easy since hes gonna have to homer simpson his way to a win, but his style is a nightmare for harris; a punching bag who has just enough durability that hes made a career off of getting his ass whooped and finishing gassers. Ive always liked walt harris but he is like the heavyweight mckinney; 2 minute gas tank and quits afterwards. In those 2 minutes, walt looks elite. Hes 6’5 but moves like hes a lightweight, super fast, powerful hands, sharp combos, and really mixes in all his tools very well. I mean he just melts people early on but if they dont get finished he death gasses and just gets slept. Sadly, I think thats coming here as well. Parisian is honestly one of the lowest skilled guys in the ufc. He has no redeeming qualities other than he takes an ass whooping really well. However, I think that may be enough here. Walt harris starts off super fast, looks amazing, but if he fails to get the finish its almost a guarantee he loses the fight. We already saw a much lower level version of this fight play out with parisian vs baudot. Baudot started hot like he always does, was killing parisian with every punch, then josh didnt die, got a takedown, and the fight was over. I unironically see this fight going the same way. Its annoying too because looking at harris’s record and his performances he should 100% take this fight but idk if he can be relied on anymore. Maybe a few years ago but hes now 40, been out for 2.5 years, and had all his confidence destroyed since the overeem fight. I really dont want to pick parisian either but i just cant rely on a 40 year old with a 2 minute gas tank

The first 2 fights are not even worth watching tbh. The 3rd fight is worth watching bc there's a lot of hype on Azat, but then the 4th fight is only worth watching bc Elder is decent and his opponent sucks so much that he might knock him out bad, Lingo vs Costa is really the fight to start watching at if you don't want to be looking at your phone with boredom for half the time

There's a lot of weird matchups on this card tho. Walt Harris might win bc Parisian sucks, but at the same time Harris hasn't looked good in like 5 years.