UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Reed vs. Hughes
Sam Hughes, DEC
Am I du

I hope that doesn't happen, banking on the fight going the distance on one parlay. Hooper ML/Martinez gtd/Omar ML/Jailton u1.5 - $10 to win $100

Imagine Vince Morales flatlines Martinez outta nowhere like he did Smolka. 

Morales would have so much hype out of nowhere lol

He def can. Martinez is pretty chinny; only thing holding him back from top 15 atm

That's what I've been thinking all week, Martinez chin terrifies me a lil.

Same. That fight against perez was a badddd look

I think if you bet on Morales you're betting that Martinez has an off day which happens to him quite a bit, he's inconsistent to a degree. Martinez at his best is a ranked fighter imo.

I'm struggling a bit with this card, had a good feeling last week and it turned out to be the correct sentiment for my results. This weeks/card so far feels like I'm in for a small correction.

Tbh that’s what I’m banking on. Look at the win loss pattern; for the last 7 years he’s been unable to win more than 2 in a row going as far back as outside the ufc 

Chidi Njokuani sounds like every guy in Tapology sounds like in their head

@backburnerjonie

I don't know much... 
but yeah, why not... !? 

I don't bet, but if you really want to, 
just put a few money just for the fun of it... ! 

Prebets this card:

Hughes 1u
Porter 1u
Pereira 1u

@backburnerjonie

www.tapology.com - TAPOLOGY WAGERING LEAGUE

Hooper vs. Colares
Felipe Colares, DEC
Gimme Colares.

@tartara Preciate it brotha ! 

The wagering league looks sick

@backburnerjonie


Nothing at all man, 
just to have some fun, Yeeew !

Holm vs. Vieira
Holm, DEC
Levels. Even coming off the long layoff I don't think Vieira wins enough rounds with take downs and control time to take a decision here. She's obviously going to lose the striking exchange. Holm controls the center of the cage for majority of the fight and takes the decision. This could end up being a split if Vieira can secure some takedowns but Hollys TDD should be good enough to avoid her dominating the fight with grappling. 

Ponzinibbio vs. Pereira
Pereira, DEC
I think Pereira brings it enough to take a dec here. I worry Ponzi starts to back him up at some point but I like the adjustments overall I've see from Pereira on his current streak. He's not as wild as before but he will need to bring it to Ponzi to avoid losing a decision. Ponzi doesn't have the power or speed he use to have but this dude is still savage. Ponzi fights at a nice steady pace with good output so the fight is all about Pereira having sustained bursts of success as the more powerful fighter and not draining himself. 

Njokuani vs. Todorović
Njokuani, KO/TKO
Todorovic would have to clinch and completely drain the arms of Chidi for a majority of this fight to win. Todorovic just doesn't move his head enough to survive the speed and power advantage I think Chidi will have. 


Viana vs. Ricci
Viana, SUB
Dart throw on the larger, more experienced fighter with 8 first round finishes. Can only do so much research on such a low level fight with such little tape for either fighter. Ricci literally has 1 win against a fighter above .500 and only 7 total fights. Her striking is really, really bad. 
 
Anders vs. Park
Anders, DEC
My dog pick of the card no questions asked. I love the Iron Turtle and actually think he's pretty decent but the QOC and experience edge here is wide. Anders is probably fighting for his job and I see him grinding out a very boring win here just holding Park on the ground if need be. Park is actually a really good grappler but I think Anders has a clear size/strength advantage. I will give Park the benefit of the doubt and say he's well rounded enough that he survives the fight but wouldn't at all be surprised if Anders get's a finish here. 

Morales vs. Medic
Medic, SUB
If Medic can't finish Morales he should probably be cut. I think he drops Morales and sinks in a sub on the ground. Difference in this fight will be pacing. Medic is going to bring it where as Morales brings a more steady approach. I don't rate either fighter very high and think "DNGTD" is probably a great bet. Morales isn't a finisher but Medic is going to either take him out or die trying. I don't think Morales is un-finishable just because Giga couldn't do it. If they fought again Giga would kill him.

Martinez vs. Morales
Martinez, DEC
Morales doesn't defend leg kicks well. Outside of Martinez fading big early due to a bad weight cut I don't see a path for Morales here. Martinez looked good on the scale so not too worried. 

Reed vs. Hughes
Hughes, DEC
Coin flip. I almost always go with the dog in this scenario when it comes to WMMA. I think Reed is over all more skilled. However, if Hughes leans on her slight size advantage as well as her experience she could easily win this fight. I wasn't blown away by either fighters last performance. 

Almeida vs. Porter
Almeida, SUB
Murder

Hooper vs. Colares
Colares, DEC
Colares is honestly not very good but he's well rounded enough to beat Hooper. Hooper hasn't shown enough fight to fight improvement for me yet to take him here.

Holm vs. Vieira
I go for Holly Holm at -250. She has a genuine touch of death and a kinky overhead chop. Holm might bake the masterpiece.

Viana vs. Ricci
I adopt Tabatha Ricci at -135. She has a sassy gas tank. Ricci ought to ravage the corner man.

Holmes vs. Amedovski
I fancy Joseph Holmes at -200. He has a groundbreaking armpit slam. Holmes must climb the TV audience.

Porter vs. Almeida
I believe in Jailton Almeida at -500. He has a scintillating crotch-hold. Almeida is about to toss the masterpiece.

Martinez vs. Morales
I adopt Jonathan Martinez at -240. He has an eccentric kouchi gari. Martinez is gonna incorporate the cutman.

Njokuani vs. Todorović
I adopt Chidi Njokuani at -240. He has a underrated mountain bomb. Njokuani will hasten the senses.

Anders vs. Park
I am sticking with Jun Yong Park at -205. He has a valiant spinning back elbow. Park must reject the TV audience.

Ponzinibbio vs. Pereira
I crave Michel Pereira at -135. He has a bonkers bolo punch. Pereira must assist the opposing forces.

Reed vs. Hughes
I want Elise Reed at -160. She has a nutty fallaway moonsault slam and a radioactive mounted elbow drop and also a leaden stamina. Reed isn't about to prove the cutman.

Hooper vs. Colares
I tap Felipe Colares at -180. He has an exhaustive mindset and a nutty spinning back elbow. Colares is gonna vandalize the canvas.

Morales vs. Medic
I believe in Omar Morales at -140. He has a fancy ankle lock. Morales should drop the senses. Bank on it!

It actually is a one week break, 

morales's tko over smolka should be slightly less valued because smolka has been flatlined twice now at 135 coming up from 125. He went through some wars.

* Edited at 05.21.2022, 3:28 PM ET *