Contender Series 2023: Week 7

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Odds wise this is one of the most lopsided cards of the season. Smallest favorite is -200

I liked Luciano this match..sad she's facing an elite grappler.

* Edited at 09.17.2023, 10:13 PM ET *

Gaziev vs. Velasco
Shamil Gaziev
key matchup

Jones vs. Allen
JaCobi Jones
key matchup

Kruschewsky vs. Mantello
Kaynan Kruschewsky
key matchup

da Silva vs. Silva
Igor da Silva
key matchup

Allen couldn't finish a 2-4 can. He isn't finishing ****. 

Ai parlays on this Dwcs based on fighters records...
1. 10 - 0 vs 6 - 0
Considering the undefeated records of both fighters, it's difficult to choose a clear winner. The odds might be close for this fight, making it risky to include in the parlay. Therefore, I choose to exclude this matchup.

2. 6 - 1 vs 4 - 0
Although the fighter with a record of 6 - 1 has more experience, the undefeated record of the opponent suggests they might be an equally skilled or even more talented fighter. However, based on the experience factor, I decide to include this matchup in the parlay, giving a slight advantage to the fighter with a record of 6 - 1.

3. 4 - 0 vs 5 - 1
Both fighters have impressive records, but the slight edge goes to the fighter with a record of 5 - 1 due to having more experience against tougher opponents. I include this matchup in the parlay, favoring the fighter with a record of 5 - 1.

4. 14 - 1 vs 7 - 2
The fighter with a record of 14 - 1 clearly has an advantage in terms of both record and experience compared to their opponent with a record of 7 - 2. Without hesitation, I include this matchup in the parlay, favoring the fighter with a record of 14 - 1.

5. 7 - 0 vs 8 - 1
This is a highly competitive matchup, as both fighters have impressive records and minimal losses. Based on the close records, I decide to exclude this fight from the parlay to minimize risk.

After analyzing the matchups, my parlay bet would include the following fights:

✔️ 6 - 1 vs 4 - 0
 4 - 0 vs 5 - 1 ✔️
✔️ 14 - 1 vs 7 - 2

By combining these three fights, I believe there is a good chance of securing a solid parlay win. However, remember that actual betting involves careful consideration of many other factors and should always be done responsibly.

Imma be real, I hate the AI posts we get on every thread now. Wikicapping but worse.

@Thesnake101 

I'll try to pay attention to these and how spammy they are.

Also, based on current sophistication and methodology of large language models, you'd have to be a fool to bet your money on what these tools are outputting. 

AI predictions but there's no AI it's just me picking the fighter with a better record based on vibes. 

Seems like Mantello is actually a decent dog. He fights at a good gym and has some decent competition under him. It seems the favoritism is more bc Kaynan seems like he's almost ranked fighter ready rn

kaynan is horrible i think people are picking off of records and not tape. Guy is not ufc level; got outclassed by damien lapilus & was losing some of his recent fights before finding the finish. Also hes 32, been ktfo badly before, and is a steroid cheat 

Oh then I don't see why Mantello can't win

Odds are way too wide for me in the main event because I really don't like Gaziev's striking defense at HW. Wouldn't be surprised if he gets KO'd.

Same thing with Igor. He got curled by a body shot and was almost choked out, in a 20 second span. 

Feel like Jhonata is worth a shot. Both him and Igor are young and raw, with similar strength schedule. Doesn't seem like a bad idea to be picking Jhonata. Let me know if I'm missing something. As for Mantello, his fight with Kaynan is giving me flashbacks with Kaik Brito and Oban Elliots fight earlier this year. Seemed like Brito should've won that fight  10/10 times but he looked awful. Kinda getting a gut feeling that gonna happen with Kaynan. Again, I'm thinking Mantello is a solid pick, but let me know if I'm missing something.

Mantello has no defense , no head movement , no takedown defense , doesn't check leg kicks , throws looping shots so he's always open to counters , not much power behind his punches , but has a good gas tank .

I am picking Jhonata Silva Dude has good stand up but he can be taken down however seeing how young Igor da Silva is I can see the pressure, nerves and the spotlight being too much for him. This will be a close fight i think. Both guys are good prospects I just like the dog I think hes abit more mature 

@RichOsama 

sounds like what I'd say about Oban Elliot lmao. Kaynan's cardio seems alright he's gone late in fights and found finishes. I'm still conflicted

Also , Igor was curled and nearly choked out by a can. Jhonata went 3 rounds with Stipe, held the same pace and power in all 3 rounds. He has amazing stand up , good 1-2s and body shots. His body kicks are nasty and he has a good chin. He is easily taken down but can get back to his feet pretty good. Jhonata has good IQ , nasty power and he's a power house for 3 rounds. 

It's crazy. Why would anyone even think about using all these untested models and AI tools.

They have me. The most advanced intelligence in MMA (artificial or otherwise) giving out picks for free on your channel. Out of the goodness of my heart. Tried, tested and proven.

It's insane that people are even considering other sources. This world makes no sense. Smh 

Gaziev vs. Velasco
Shamil Gaziev, TKO, R1
I don't usually put out DWCS picks but I am going to this time. To save you all from artificial intelligence. This will be the first step in preventing SkyNet. Looks like I now have to not only give out the most incredible MMA picks but also save the world from bots. You're welcome. The neckbeard wins.

Jones vs. Allen
JaCobi Jones, TKO, R2
Big Toe? 😂🤣😂🤣😅🤣😂 He gets the win but cmon 😅🤣😂🤣😅🤣😂

Alencar vs. Luciano
Talita Alencar, SUB, R2
I don't usually pick BJJ girls but this one is high level. Also fading the nick name "Rondinha"

Kruschewsky vs. Mantello
Kaynan Kruschewsky, DEC
Don't be fooled by the Serra Longo connection. Mantello is a punching bag

da Silva vs. Silva
Igor da Silva, DEC
Igor is good. You're welcome 🙏