Cage Warriors 154: Rome

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Hazan vs. Loughran
Dylan Hazan
3 ko in last 5 fights - higher ranked respectively - bigger fighter - solid wins [2.5 units]

Aliu vs. Stewart
Leon Aliu
ko power - kod in last fight - solid wins/solid record [1 unit]

Pedersoli vs. Bachar
Giannis Bachar
higher ranked - on winning streak - ko in 4 of last 5 fights - taller fighter - opp exUFC - opp more experienced [1.5 units]

Pagliariccio vs. Fanny
Gerardo Fanny
higher ranked - ko in 3 of last 5 - more experienced fighter - finishing instinct [2.5 units]

Patrizi vs. Xhaferi
Simone Patrizi
more experienced fighter - on win streak - finished 3 of last 5- smaller fighter - no film - questionable opps [1 unit]

Dia vs. Cabral
Milton Afonso Cabral
3 kos in last 5 - opp higher ranked - more experienced fighter [1 unit]

Giordano vs. Di Gangi
Alessandro Giordano
finished 3 of last 5 fights - bigger fighter - opp more experienced - questionable past opps - opp higher ranked [pass]

Lupoli vs. Creasey
Michelangelo Lupoli
higher ranked respectively - older/smaller fighter - kod twice in last 5 fights [.5 units/PASS]

Bellandi vs. Karlsson
Dario Bellandi
too early in career [pass]

Favero vs. Walczak
Jasmine Favero
unproven fighter [pass]

Aritonang vs. Ancora
Cornellius RJ Aritonang
PASSSSSSSSSS

Why are so many people picking Caiazza over Marko? Have you seen that guys IMAAF record?

* Edited at 05.05.2023, 3:36 PM ET *

Patrizi vs. Xhaferi
Simone Patrizi, TKO
IGNORE PROPS. Not much film on both fighters. Purely paper analysis. Both guys seem to be boxer/wrestlers. Although Patrizi lost to Girlean (decent prospect), both guys are still green have faced similar caliber guys and have similar styles. Patrizi's win against Pochaev (boxer/wrestler) looks promising and see value at 2.1 with his wrestling. Going with Aurora Top team product at 2.1.

Love me a cage warriors card 

Again thanks for the Wiki capping. Saves me from having to go through everyones records seeing that you have done that and directly translated it to a pick. Great job. Amazing. You are incredible.  👏 👏 👏 
 

* Edited at 05.06.2023, 5:05 AM ET *

That fight was horrible

Favero was literally covered in Walczak's blood.

Marko made that quick. WHoever chose him, props to you. I had a hard time betting on this card because I stray away from betting on Italians. Thats coming from an Italian lol

Creasy is horrible. Like horrible. Imagine being content fighting for CW your whole life. Bum.

ouch. :(

FlamingYon is the new mezzor 

SOMEBODY just lost a lot of money. 

I just put 10 units on patrizi 5 mins before they started after round one I felt doomed haha 💵 

About the Caiazza loss, having seen how hard he trains and his grit, I dont think its over for him that loss was very reminiscent of McGregor's early sub loss to Joe Duffy. Its a major blow to his stock, but he may come back stronger and (even) angrier. He made some novice errors in the grappling gave up his back, rolled when he should have shrimped, and didnt hand fight against the choke too good, though Finns can be very crafty... Though his sprawl wasnt too great either and I am not sure if the Finn is even a real wrestler, he more looks like a crafty MMA/jiu jitsu grappler. Physically Caiazza looked far superior to the Finn, but yeah maybe some big show nerves, I noticed that with a few of the Italians, especially the one who fought Creasey he was a hyper mess, couldnt settle down... So yeah arguably the top Italian prospect is bust, but I havent given up on him, he'll be back

Also Caiazza is or was, a sparring junkie, he had brain surgery a year or 2 ago, he had a blood clot in his brain or something from so much boxing sparring and the likes. Thats how unforgiving MMA is, you spar to the point you need brain surgery, you are a true warrior, and with just a few novice mistakes, your bust as a prospect, 0 gone... Or almost bust... Training hard is pointless if you dont also train smart and develop your fighting IQ in every area possible, diligently and without cutting corners

* Edited at 05.06.2023, 3:54 PM ET *

@Tapleaf That somebody would be me :p

He was clearly up by 1 what a ******* bum

... that I just lost $105 on Tanio Pagliariccio in that way. Just incredibly lame.

Fanny was truly the alpha there and utterly imposed his dominance onto Pagliariccio's fragile constitution.

@Tapleaf  

There is only a few guaranteed wins a year when I used to bet I would go heavy on sure wins for big pay days. My proudest jackpots are Silva vs Weidman 1 and 2, I won big time on those. I would always avoid regional shows. If you want to gamble safely buy a hardware wallet and buy Bitcoin weekly, some consider it a gamble ha... Better to buy at price drops but if you dollar cost average thats fine aswell

* Edited at 05.06.2023, 4:04 PM ET *

I'm still up +$470... but +$670 would have been nicer. Just imagine quitting in between rounds like that when you're up two points and the fight would have been a draw AT WORSE if you lost the third round.