Contender Series 2022: Week 6

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Why do I see people blowing Rusty in the comments every event? When will you degenerates learn, you can't predict mma to the degree you would need to in order to beat the bookies.
Predicting above average on Tap is like being the best reader in the remedial reading class. Just straight up picking favourites will yield a higher % than anyone, even the best cherry picking little girls on Tap aren't beating the odds consistently enough to be worth an ounce of interest.

Either multiple hedge multi/cover bets and eek out meager margins week by week or go big on massive lottery type parlays and get lucky, don't over think it. But good god do not waste a minute of your life doing tape study for mma betting, it's straight up ********.

Oh **** Penaz is really at Allstars now? That’s huge, I thought he was still with jiri 

"you can't predict mma to the degree you would need to in order to beat the bookies."


speak for yourself

Yep you’re right, that’s a really good move for him. Allstars is a legit gym 

She's not the favorite on DraftKings, which are the odds that the UFC uses

Also sometimes I feel like these bookies choose record and # of fights instead of actually choosing skill. Bilder shouldn't be that big of an underdog especially since the Canadian regional circuit is relatively weak b/c all of their best fighters are really green or fight the same dudes or dudes that have an under .500 record

I think it’s because of the IMMAF experience and she has a pretty record with finishes. That’s why I assume so many people picked her until they looked into it a bit more. The same stuff could be said for Silva except for the IMMAF stuff, both women look pretty good to me. Silva just looks more polished

Oh, Tapology can be weird sometimes. Someone can be at an 80% pick rate for no reason, and everyone just gets it wrong. If anything is around 50-50/60-40 on this website, it generally means that it is an amazing matchup and people are just going with the fighter that they like more

A lot of people also pick based on favoritism on this site instead of actually making smart decisions. Jr is a prime example of that

i love betting advice like this...thank u.

When you have a fight that everyone thinks is going to finish inside the distance, and you see a fight does not go line -300 or less, avoid like the plague. This is a trap line 100%


u mean like this weeks tuivasa vs gane in paris? betonline got it at -270 rite now that it doesnt go distance. or u mean more than -300 like when u see -500 type lines 

"Oh **** Penaz is really at Allstars now? That’s huge, I thought he was still with jiri"

Penaz actually was with his kickboxing gym travelling a visiting other (czech) gyms since he started his MMA career. Jetsaam is in Brno as his kickboxing gym, so that is a natural option but he was training in Prague as well and posibly elsewhere. He is caught on video saing he is more or less half week in Brno and half in Prague.

The thing with Procházka was mostly a camp thing before the Reyes bout, where he was the main guy to stand in as Reyes for Procházka due to his stance and being tall enough as well.

Then his girlfriend got a job offer (iirc) requiring her to move to Sweden and he followed her and started to train in the big gym there. I haven't pai close attention who is in his corner these days, I suspect his kickboxing coach (Hron) is still there.

Just making sure, when you say less regarding american odds, what does that mean? Less than -300 means -200 or -400?


As for Silva, her stopping Wozniak is enough for me not bet against her, Wozniak seemed legit. I am lening Silva for sure, just the odds are meh already.

Wozniak is a legit fighter. I was shocked to see Maria silva completely dominate her. I think silva is legit 

Last week it was a disaster 1-4  ( win - loss )

Rabecki vs Lidio 
Matheusz Radecki , TKO , R1
In terms of experience and record, Mateusz Rebecki is easily the best fighter on this episode right now. He has a strong resume and has not lost since 2014. He is a finishing machine who has excellent jiu-jitsu and nasty ground-and-pound. He has developed some strong power striking on the feet as well, as he can put a guy down with one shot. His most recent ten fights or so have been incredibly impressive, so I am looking forward to seeing what he does here and potentially in the UFC.



Silva ( left )   Dudakova ( right ) 
My heart says Vicky , because she is from Russia , i`m from Bulgaria but as i said Silva is too good .!!!

Signing predictions : Rebecki , Silva 

The best prospect on the show, and possibly this season, is Mateusz Rebecki, who will get a contract on this episode
Maria Silva gets her second win on the Contender Series, which is basically an automatic signing by Dana White.

That is . Good bless you . Peace !!!