Topic: UFC 300
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
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- Saturday 04.13.2024 at 06:00 PM ET
- U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
- Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
- Ownership: Endeavor
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena
- Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
- Enclosure: Octagon
- TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Joe Rogan, Daniel Cormier
- Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
- Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
- Ticket Revenue (live gate): $16,508,823
- Attendance: 20,067
- MMA Bouts: 13
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Promotion Links:
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Event Links:
| Bout | Info | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Pereira defeats Jamahal Hill via KO/TKO, Left Hook to Ground Strikes | 3:14 Round 1 of 5 Bout Page | |
| Weili Zhang defeats Xiaonan Yan via Decision, Unanimous | 5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Max Holloway defeats Justin Gaethje via KO/TKO, Overhand Right | 4:59 Round 5 of 5, 24:59 Total Bout Page | |
| Arman Tsarukyan defeats Charles Oliveira via Decision, Split | 3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Bo Nickal defeats Cody Brundage via Submission, Rear Naked Choke | 3:38 Round 2 of 3, 8:38 Total Bout Page | |
| Jiří Procházka defeats Aleksandar Rakić via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound | 3:17 Round 2 of 3, 8:17 Total Bout Page | |
| Aljamain Sterling defeats Calvin Kattar via Decision, Unanimous | 3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Kayla Harrison defeats Holly Holm via Submission, Rear Naked Choke | 1:47 Round 2 of 3, 6:47 Total Bout Page | |
| Diego Lopes defeats Sodiq Yusuff via KO/TKO, Uppercuts to Ground Strikes | 1:29 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page | |
| Renato Moicano defeats Jalin Turner via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound | 4:11 Round 2 of 3, 9:11 Total Bout Page | |
| Jéssica Andrade defeats Marina Rodriguez via Decision, Split | 3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Bobby Green defeats Jim Miller via Decision, Unanimous | 3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Deiveson Figueiredo defeats Cody Garbrandt via Submission, Rear Naked Choke | 4:02 Round 2 of 3, 9:02 Total Bout Page |
Responses Page 47
04.09.2024 | 4:47 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 430 Points | Tied for 6467th
Have been seeing some really nice props for this card. Weili sub +550, Nickal/Brundage to end by sub -110, Hill ko +200 (Might as well take this instead of ML if you're on Hill, he's not going to wet blanket Alex or out point him), Gaethje decision +240, Gaethje/Holloway o3.5 -175 all playable imo
"."
04.09.2024 | 5:06 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 5 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 290 Points | Tied for 7873rd
Pereira vs. Hill
Jamahal Hill, TKO, R1
Hill 55% confidence
Zhang vs. Yan
Weili Zhang, DEC
Zhang 75% confidence
Gaethje vs. Holloway
Max Holloway, DEC
Holloway 60% confidence
Oliveira vs. Tsarukyan
Arman Tsarukyan, TKO, R2
Tsarukyan 60% confidence
Nickal vs. Brundage
Bo Nickal, SUB, R1
Nickal 75% confidence
Procházka vs. Rakić
Aleksandar Rakić, DEC
Rakic 55% confidence
Jamahal Hill, TKO, R1
Hill 55% confidence
Zhang vs. Yan
Weili Zhang, DEC
Zhang 75% confidence
Gaethje vs. Holloway
Max Holloway, DEC
Holloway 60% confidence
Oliveira vs. Tsarukyan
Arman Tsarukyan, TKO, R2
Tsarukyan 60% confidence
Nickal vs. Brundage
Bo Nickal, SUB, R1
Nickal 75% confidence
Procházka vs. Rakić
Aleksandar Rakić, DEC
Rakic 55% confidence
04.09.2024 | 5:12 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 5 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 290 Points | Tied for 7873rd
Kattar vs. Sterling
Calvin Kattar, DEC
Kattar 55% confidence
Holm vs. Harrison
Kayla Harrison, DEC
Harrison 65% confidence
Yusuff vs. Lopes
Diego Lopes, SUB, R2
Lopes 65% confidence
Turner vs. Moicano
Jalin Turner, TKO, R2
Turner 65% confidence
Andrade vs. Rodriguez
Marina Rodriguez, DEC
rodriguez 60% confidence
Green vs. Miller
Jim Miller, TKO, R2
miller 55% confidence
Figueiredo vs. Garbrandt
Cody Garbrandt, TKO, R2
50/50 fight IMO, going with the value in Garbrandt
Calvin Kattar, DEC
Kattar 55% confidence
Holm vs. Harrison
Kayla Harrison, DEC
Harrison 65% confidence
Yusuff vs. Lopes
Diego Lopes, SUB, R2
Lopes 65% confidence
Turner vs. Moicano
Jalin Turner, TKO, R2
Turner 65% confidence
Andrade vs. Rodriguez
Marina Rodriguez, DEC
rodriguez 60% confidence
Green vs. Miller
Jim Miller, TKO, R2
miller 55% confidence
Figueiredo vs. Garbrandt
Cody Garbrandt, TKO, R2
50/50 fight IMO, going with the value in Garbrandt
04.09.2024 | 6:22 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 415 Points | Tied for 6731st
I dont see in any way charles chances except for a powerful hail mary shot. his bjj would be useless here if he willing to lay his back.
If it goes longer he knows his cardio. his chin is fragile though he always get back to his feet. This gonna be a suffering for charles
If it goes longer he knows his cardio. his chin is fragile though he always get back to his feet. This gonna be a suffering for charles
* Edited at 04.09.2024, 6:24 PM ET *
04.09.2024 | 6:52 PM ET
Predictions: 12 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 745 Points | Tied for 103rd
"My balls was hot"
04.09.2024 | 7:22 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 530 Points | Tied for 4024th
Procházka vs. Rakić
Aleksandar Rakić, TKO, R1
A Rakić head kick early in the first round catches Procházka off-guard, and results in a quick KO win for Rakić.
Kattar vs. Sterling
Aljamain Sterling, DEC
29-28 SD. A very close fight in which Kattar outlands Sterling on the feet, but Aljo gets the nod through working the body/legs with kicks, and establishing some solid control time on the ground.
Aleksandar Rakić, TKO, R1
A Rakić head kick early in the first round catches Procházka off-guard, and results in a quick KO win for Rakić.
Kattar vs. Sterling
Aljamain Sterling, DEC
29-28 SD. A very close fight in which Kattar outlands Sterling on the feet, but Aljo gets the nod through working the body/legs with kicks, and establishing some solid control time on the ground.
04.09.2024 | 7:52 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 520 Points | Tied for 4263rd
Figueiredo vs. Garbrandt
Cody Garbrandt, TKO, R1
MMA Guru - Garbrandt RD 1 KO
Cody Garbrandt, TKO, R1
MMA Guru - Garbrandt RD 1 KO
04.09.2024 | 8:45 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 480 Points | Tied for 5297th
Nickal vs. Brundage
Bo Nickal, TKO, R1
The difficulty here is to predict whether it will be a ko or a sub
Bo Nickal, TKO, R1
The difficulty here is to predict whether it will be a ko or a sub
"The greatest are the ones who endured until they were"
04.09.2024 | 8:46 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 480 Points | Tied for 5297th
Pereira vs. Hill
Jamahal Hill, TKO, R2
I feel like people are overlooking Hill here, i feel like his chin outlasts Pereira's and he has the stopping power to put him out, he is a good underdog, if he deals with Alex's leg kicks well he can take it
Jamahal Hill, TKO, R2
I feel like people are overlooking Hill here, i feel like his chin outlasts Pereira's and he has the stopping power to put him out, he is a good underdog, if he deals with Alex's leg kicks well he can take it
"The greatest are the ones who endured until they were"
04.09.2024 | 8:53 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 480 Points | Tied for 5297th
Zhang vs. Yan
Weili Zhang, TKO, R2
Zhang by murder
Gaethje vs. Holloway
Justin Gaethje, TKO, R3
With Max struggling in the past against Poirier with the power difference, i feel a new and improved Gaethje will be too much and possibly might tko Holloway against the fence, Tony fight esque, although it could definitely last to a decision
Oliveira vs. Tsarukyan
Arman Tsarukyan, DEC
Gut feeling, aswell as Arman's statements that he is majorly improving his submission defense gives me the vibe that he can coast top position to a decision, although if it stays standing i can see Oliveira catching him. Going with my gut feeling here aswell as being able to cope better if Olives' does lose
Procházka vs. Rakić
Jiří Procházka, TKO, R1
Jiri by chad
Kattar vs. Sterling
Aljamain Sterling, DEC
Expecting Sterling's grappling to be too much
Holm vs. Harrison
Kayla Harrison, DEC
Retire already jesus
Yusuff vs. Lopes
Diego Lopes, SUB, R1
Lopes is insanely dangerous, Yusuff is good but with diego being on fire i see this going his way after a brutal first round
Turner vs. Moicano
Jalin Turner, TKO, R2
Rooting for Money Moicano, but i feel like Turner will put his lights out
Andrade vs. Rodriguez
Marina Rodriguez, TKO, R3
Outstriked by Blanchfield huh
Green vs. Miller
Jim Miller, DEC
Let the stars align
Figueiredo vs. Garbrandt
Deiveson Figueiredo, DEC
Figgy looking on fire, and i feel like he can deal with Cody's power after the
Weili Zhang, TKO, R2
Zhang by murder
Gaethje vs. Holloway
Justin Gaethje, TKO, R3
With Max struggling in the past against Poirier with the power difference, i feel a new and improved Gaethje will be too much and possibly might tko Holloway against the fence, Tony fight esque, although it could definitely last to a decision
Oliveira vs. Tsarukyan
Arman Tsarukyan, DEC
Gut feeling, aswell as Arman's statements that he is majorly improving his submission defense gives me the vibe that he can coast top position to a decision, although if it stays standing i can see Oliveira catching him. Going with my gut feeling here aswell as being able to cope better if Olives' does lose
Procházka vs. Rakić
Jiří Procházka, TKO, R1
Jiri by chad
Kattar vs. Sterling
Aljamain Sterling, DEC
Expecting Sterling's grappling to be too much
Holm vs. Harrison
Kayla Harrison, DEC
Retire already jesus
Yusuff vs. Lopes
Diego Lopes, SUB, R1
Lopes is insanely dangerous, Yusuff is good but with diego being on fire i see this going his way after a brutal first round
Turner vs. Moicano
Jalin Turner, TKO, R2
Rooting for Money Moicano, but i feel like Turner will put his lights out
Andrade vs. Rodriguez
Marina Rodriguez, TKO, R3
Outstriked by Blanchfield huh
Green vs. Miller
Jim Miller, DEC
Let the stars align
Figueiredo vs. Garbrandt
Deiveson Figueiredo, DEC
Figgy looking on fire, and i feel like he can deal with Cody's power after the
"The greatest are the ones who endured until they were"
04.09.2024 | 8:58 PM ET
Devin
Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 380 Points | Tied for 7247th
Charles pulled guard against Darush,
this might be an unpopular opinion but I think he could of KO Darush a lot quicker if he didn’t pull guard, Darush couldn’t take any of Charles stikes
this might be an unpopular opinion but I think he could of KO Darush a lot quicker if he didn’t pull guard, Darush couldn’t take any of Charles stikes
* Edited at 04.09.2024, 9:02 PM ET *
"Quack quack quack"
04.09.2024 | 9:31 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 415 Points | Tied for 6731st
Charles Oliviera is hell scared to fight Islam again, Never again. so he has almost zero chance in here.
04.09.2024 | 9:35 PM ET
Predictions: 7 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 415 Points | Tied for 6731st
04.09.2024 | 10:40 PM ET
Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 645 Points | Tied for 1068th
I might be remembering this wrong but In the Dariush fight was it not Dariush who pushed against the cage with his feet while charles had him in a bodylock/clinch and that's why they went to the ground ?
I remember that the commentators said in the moment that charles was pulling guard but I think in the review it shows Dariush did it. Could be wrong about it.
I remember that the commentators said in the moment that charles was pulling guard but I think in the review it shows Dariush did it. Could be wrong about it.
"This is a rat race...but I’m not a rat. I’m a f*ckin’ turtle, ninja turtle. So which one is your favorite? I like Michelangelo....next question - Tony Ferguson"
04.09.2024 | 11:58 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 325 Points | Tied for 7717th
Pereira vs. Hill
Jamahal Hill, TKO, R2
Toss up, both can crack, but I believe Hill's chin will hold up longer than Pereira's will. If the question of calf kicks is raised I'm assuming here that Hill will defend them better than Jiri did, and that the fight won't last long enough anyway for them to take effect. Banger first round, both guys get hurt, Hill sleeps him with a check hook in the second.
Zhang vs. Yan
Weili Zhang, SUB, R2
I know the Carla fight was nearly three years ago for Yan, but unless her grappling has gone from pathetic to great, I don't see her being able to keep Weili off of her for more than a round. Weili finally gets a dominant position in the second and secures an rnc
Gaethje vs. Holloway
Justin Gaethje, DEC
I think this could end up being very similar to the Poirier fight for Max. Him winning many exchanges and even out landing Gaethje, but the power differential just being too much to handle. I could see a finish late for Gaethje but I'm not betting against Max's all time durability. Calf kicks will make this brutal and hard to watch :(
Oliveira vs. Tsarukyan
Arman Tsarukyan, DEC
Boring top control w for Arman. Thanks to drug free sport his top control will be even more suffocating. I don't see Charles being able to mount much offense from the bottom here, nor do I foresee Arman being able to finish him.
Nickal vs. Brundage
Bo Nickal, TKO, R1
I've had dreams of Brundage knocking Bo out with some slop bs but I gave up on following my dreams a long time ago. Bo will win, the question is just by sub or ko.
Procházka vs. Rakić
Aleksandar Rakić, TKO, R3
Jiri is my favorite fighter, and with that I've come to realize his faults. God awful defense saved by a tough chin and good recovery. I feel Rakic's style of extremely measured, low risk striking style and use of reactionary takedowns will be a nightmare match for Jiri. Rakic will finish possibly from mount in the third after landing pot shots for a few rounds, with Jiri unable to land much without any proper ways of engaging (man doesn't know what a double jab is)
Kattar vs. Sterling
Aljamain Sterling, SUB, R2
Kattar is old and washed by this point, 36 and out for half a year at a lower weight spells disaster. A reinvigorated and undrained Aljo I can see putting on a high kick heavy pace before securing his signature back control and finishing with a classic rnc.
Holm vs. Harrison
Kayla Harrison, DEC
Holm old Kayla not. And it'll be interesting to see Kayla be able to use elbows again after being in the PFL for so long.
Yusuff vs. Lopes
Sodiq Yusuff, DEC
Lopes is a monster, high pace with dangerous grappling and striking. Yusuff is too much of a jump though at this point, he won't falter under Lopes's pressure, and should be able to defend most of his grappling attack. A measured and powerful striker is something new to Diego. Clear 3 round w for Yusuff here, and a good learning experience for Lopes.
Turner vs. Moicano
Jalin Turner, TKO, R2
Moicano looked very unimpressive and slow vs Dober, I see Jalin's size, speed, and power being too much for him to handle. His chin will fail him in the second.
Andrade vs. Rodriguez
Marina Rodriguez, DEC
Andrade got outstruck by Blanchfield...
Green vs. Miller
Jim Miller, TKO, R2
I don't like Bobby fighting only 4 months after getting knocked out twice in the span of 30 seconds or so. And we all know the power Miller possesses. (I also want him to have w's on 100 200 and 300, so cool)
Figueiredo vs. Garbrandt
Deiveson Figueiredo, TKO, R2
This will be more ugly than the Figgy vs Benavidez fight(s), Cody what is you doing you don't have no chin :(
Jamahal Hill, TKO, R2
Toss up, both can crack, but I believe Hill's chin will hold up longer than Pereira's will. If the question of calf kicks is raised I'm assuming here that Hill will defend them better than Jiri did, and that the fight won't last long enough anyway for them to take effect. Banger first round, both guys get hurt, Hill sleeps him with a check hook in the second.
Zhang vs. Yan
Weili Zhang, SUB, R2
I know the Carla fight was nearly three years ago for Yan, but unless her grappling has gone from pathetic to great, I don't see her being able to keep Weili off of her for more than a round. Weili finally gets a dominant position in the second and secures an rnc
Gaethje vs. Holloway
Justin Gaethje, DEC
I think this could end up being very similar to the Poirier fight for Max. Him winning many exchanges and even out landing Gaethje, but the power differential just being too much to handle. I could see a finish late for Gaethje but I'm not betting against Max's all time durability. Calf kicks will make this brutal and hard to watch :(
Oliveira vs. Tsarukyan
Arman Tsarukyan, DEC
Boring top control w for Arman. Thanks to drug free sport his top control will be even more suffocating. I don't see Charles being able to mount much offense from the bottom here, nor do I foresee Arman being able to finish him.
Nickal vs. Brundage
Bo Nickal, TKO, R1
I've had dreams of Brundage knocking Bo out with some slop bs but I gave up on following my dreams a long time ago. Bo will win, the question is just by sub or ko.
Procházka vs. Rakić
Aleksandar Rakić, TKO, R3
Jiri is my favorite fighter, and with that I've come to realize his faults. God awful defense saved by a tough chin and good recovery. I feel Rakic's style of extremely measured, low risk striking style and use of reactionary takedowns will be a nightmare match for Jiri. Rakic will finish possibly from mount in the third after landing pot shots for a few rounds, with Jiri unable to land much without any proper ways of engaging (man doesn't know what a double jab is)
Kattar vs. Sterling
Aljamain Sterling, SUB, R2
Kattar is old and washed by this point, 36 and out for half a year at a lower weight spells disaster. A reinvigorated and undrained Aljo I can see putting on a high kick heavy pace before securing his signature back control and finishing with a classic rnc.
Holm vs. Harrison
Kayla Harrison, DEC
Holm old Kayla not. And it'll be interesting to see Kayla be able to use elbows again after being in the PFL for so long.
Yusuff vs. Lopes
Sodiq Yusuff, DEC
Lopes is a monster, high pace with dangerous grappling and striking. Yusuff is too much of a jump though at this point, he won't falter under Lopes's pressure, and should be able to defend most of his grappling attack. A measured and powerful striker is something new to Diego. Clear 3 round w for Yusuff here, and a good learning experience for Lopes.
Turner vs. Moicano
Jalin Turner, TKO, R2
Moicano looked very unimpressive and slow vs Dober, I see Jalin's size, speed, and power being too much for him to handle. His chin will fail him in the second.
Andrade vs. Rodriguez
Marina Rodriguez, DEC
Andrade got outstruck by Blanchfield...
Green vs. Miller
Jim Miller, TKO, R2
I don't like Bobby fighting only 4 months after getting knocked out twice in the span of 30 seconds or so. And we all know the power Miller possesses. (I also want him to have w's on 100 200 and 300, so cool)
Figueiredo vs. Garbrandt
Deiveson Figueiredo, TKO, R2
This will be more ugly than the Figgy vs Benavidez fight(s), Cody what is you doing you don't have no chin :(
"WANNANOW "
04.10.2024 | 5:22 AM ET
This is why I love Charles Oliveria
Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 380 Points | Tied for 7247th
"Quack quack quack"
04.10.2024 | 5:41 AM ET
Most stacked card ever
Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 380 Points | Tied for 7247th
"Quack quack quack"
04.10.2024 | 5:54 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 600 Points | Tied for 2107th
Gaethje vs. Holloway
Max Holloway, TKO, R4
such a crazy fight. I think holloways gonna remind us about his granite chin in this fight and he will probably get rocked but will recover. Gaethje will most likely be chopping at max's legs and i can see gaethje having a lingering effect with the low kicks but i dont think max will be too bothered and continue to outstrike gaethje. I just dont think gaethje can handle the speed, combos and distance management from max and i feel like for every 2 punches gaethje lands holloway will answer back with a fast combination and can just tire gaethje out and clip him a ton. I also think holloway has an advantage here because he's had a lot of time to bulk up to 155 and he is looking great. This might not play a role in this fight but both gaethje and holloway have been out for almost 9 months and it will be interesting to see how they both approach this fight. Gaethje could crack max's chin but i just dont see it. Poirier couldn't crack it and that was a fat max. Also this ain't max coming in to this fight.....ITS JEROME.
Oliveira vs. Tsarukyan
Charles Oliveira, TKO, R2
The Champion Has A NAME! Charles striking is so much more high level than arman's and i just dont see arman finding a clean combo on do bronx without getting countered and dropped bad. I think if arman shoots he is done for because one of oliveira's best submissions is the guillotine and he is so fast with it. He's probably gonna get ground and pounded toward the end of round 1 and in round 2 i see this going one of two ways. Either charles gets rocked and there up against the fence and charles pushes him off and lands a head kick and sends arman flying and he gets finished or arman gets rocked and he shoots and it either get stuffed and he gets ko'ed or charles jumps on a sub immediately. I just do not see charles losing this becuase he is better than arman everywhere except the wrestling. And considering charles is having a son and last time he had a kid he went in an 11 fight win streak and won the lightweight title and got 2 defences im pretty confident hes running through tsarucan.
Nickal vs. Brundage
Bo Nickal, SUB, R1
lamb to the slaughter
Holm vs. Harrison
Kayla Harrison, DEC
just get my pick right and make weight please.
Andrade vs. Rodriguez
Marina Rodriguez, DEC
gimme my money
Max Holloway, TKO, R4
such a crazy fight. I think holloways gonna remind us about his granite chin in this fight and he will probably get rocked but will recover. Gaethje will most likely be chopping at max's legs and i can see gaethje having a lingering effect with the low kicks but i dont think max will be too bothered and continue to outstrike gaethje. I just dont think gaethje can handle the speed, combos and distance management from max and i feel like for every 2 punches gaethje lands holloway will answer back with a fast combination and can just tire gaethje out and clip him a ton. I also think holloway has an advantage here because he's had a lot of time to bulk up to 155 and he is looking great. This might not play a role in this fight but both gaethje and holloway have been out for almost 9 months and it will be interesting to see how they both approach this fight. Gaethje could crack max's chin but i just dont see it. Poirier couldn't crack it and that was a fat max. Also this ain't max coming in to this fight.....ITS JEROME.
Oliveira vs. Tsarukyan
Charles Oliveira, TKO, R2
The Champion Has A NAME! Charles striking is so much more high level than arman's and i just dont see arman finding a clean combo on do bronx without getting countered and dropped bad. I think if arman shoots he is done for because one of oliveira's best submissions is the guillotine and he is so fast with it. He's probably gonna get ground and pounded toward the end of round 1 and in round 2 i see this going one of two ways. Either charles gets rocked and there up against the fence and charles pushes him off and lands a head kick and sends arman flying and he gets finished or arman gets rocked and he shoots and it either get stuffed and he gets ko'ed or charles jumps on a sub immediately. I just do not see charles losing this becuase he is better than arman everywhere except the wrestling. And considering charles is having a son and last time he had a kid he went in an 11 fight win streak and won the lightweight title and got 2 defences im pretty confident hes running through tsarucan.
Nickal vs. Brundage
Bo Nickal, SUB, R1
lamb to the slaughter
Holm vs. Harrison
Kayla Harrison, DEC
just get my pick right and make weight please.
Andrade vs. Rodriguez
Marina Rodriguez, DEC
gimme my money
"sakanigadik"
04.10.2024 | 6:58 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 585 Points | Tied for 2478th
Oliveira vs. Tsarukyan
Charles Oliveira, TKO, R1
These bums can never compete with the top 5
Charles Oliveira, TKO, R1
These bums can never compete with the top 5
04.10.2024 | 7:39 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 580 Points | Tied for 2583rd
Pereira vs. Hill
Alex Pereira, TKO, R2
I could actually see Pereira getting sparked by Hill; despite being one of the most dangerous offensive strikers in MMA and kickboxing history, he's never had particularly good defense and typically relies on being bigger and leaning away. Most of his worst performances in his kickboxing career came against guys that could match his height and reach, and Hill does fit that description. Having said that, Hill still looks very raw in a lot of areas of the game, and I don't think he has the discipline or fight IQ to really challenge Pereira in his weak areas. I'm picking Pereira by TKO R2.
Zhang vs. Yan
Weili Zhang, TKO, R3
Zhang is LIKELY the best female fighter right now in terms of skill (and probably excitement). Yan is very uninteresting to me, she's a decent kickboxer and that's basically it. I think Zhang just runs her over here, she'll probably take her down and pound her out. Zhang by TKO R3.
Gaethje vs. Holloway
Justin Gaethje, DEC
My gut instinct was that Gaethje would win this easily, but as time has gone on I've become a lot less confident. Gaethje obviously has the power edge and is likely stronger, but he does have some defensive tendencies like dipping his head to escape clinches and overthrowing in pocket exchanges that I think Max can punish. Top that with Max's bodywork and this suddenly feels like a dangerous fight for Gaethje. On the other hand, Max still backs off in a straight line, and Gaethje's improved kicking game and boxing angles can definitely punish him for that. I think both guys will get badly hurt several times in this fight, but ultimately I think Gaethje's power and improved discipline will win him rounds even if Max may pick up steam later on. This is the best fight on the card in my opinion, cannot wait. I'll take Gaethje by DEC.
Oliveira vs. Tsarukyan
Charles Oliveira, TKO, R2
Here's the thing: if I had to pick the single most likely outcome for this fight to end, it's that Tsarukyan just consistently takes Oliveira down and wears him out. However, Oliveira has a lot more ways to win here because he's much more offensively potent in basically every area. Tsarukyan hasn't really faced a commited pressure fighter besides Dariush, and even there he showed some tendencies in his footwork that I think Oliveira might be able to punish him for. On top of that, he's kind of inert in the clinch, the area where Oliveira is an absolute monster. Conversely, we've seen Oliveira get crushed from guard, but it's been a while since we've seen him actually give up from that position. This is the second best fight on the card and one of the hardest to pick, but I think I trust Oliveira to make use of his greater offensive variety and that he catches Tsarukyan with a knee and finishes him. Oliveira by TKO R2.
Nickal vs. Brundage
Bo Nickal, SUB, R1
Yeah this really shouldn't be on the PPV. Should have made this the featured prelim, would have still gotten eyeballs without making people pay 80 dollars for Cody Brundage. Brundage got embarassed by Jacob Malkoun, he's not gonna have anything for Nickal except for a hail-mary knockout. If Nickal loses this, people will say it was too early in his career. If he wins, people say he only beat Cody Brundage. Very little to gain, but obviously he'll win. Nickal by SUB R1.
Procházka vs. Rakić
Jiří Procházka, TKO, R2
Rakic hasn't fought in two years and frankly I didn't think he looked that great against Jan before blowing out his knee. He's a big guy who has become an okay range striker, but if Jiri has any confidence left, then he will not let Rakic get comfortable in any way and I don't think Rakic can hold up against that kind of pace. I think Jiri will be back in a big way. Jiri by TKO R2.
Kattar vs. Sterling
Aljamain Sterling, DEC
This fight is pretty intriguing. Aljo is gonna be at a pretty big size disadvantage so I think he'll struggle to get this fight to the mat, but he does have some funky striking that has made very good strikers look pretty bad. Kattar hasn't had a great run lately, and he does tend to lack urgency even when a fight isn't going his way. Not that confident in this pick, but I'll take Sterling by DEC.
Holm vs. Harrison
Kayla Harrison, DEC
This being at 135 lbs is the big question mark, but current Holm might be my least favorite fighter to watch. All she does is clinch and hold people against the fence, and even against Mayra Silva, who we now know cannot cut the cage to save her life, she still ended up doing it and got caught in the ninja choke. Harrison is flawed in her own ways, but I am confident she's not gonna get outmuscled by a 42-year old Holm. Harrison by DEC.
Yusuff vs. Lopes
Sodiq Yusuff, DEC
Yusuff is very frustrating to watch, because he probably should be better than he is. Lopes is a lot of fun to watch, but I keep getting the feeling that he'd look very mediocre against a competent striker who won't engage him in the grappling department. Yusuff is kind of unreliable but I have a feeling he can find some good counters and deny Lopes the transitions he wants. Yusuff by DEC.
Turner vs. Moicano
Jalin Turner, TKO, R1
I like Moicano a lot, but he always seems like he's only a few punches away from getting finished even when he's winning (even though he hasn't actually been finished that much). Against a larger, longer figher in Turner, who has the power edge and actually makes good use of his range, I don't think he'll be able to enforce his wrestling before getting sparked. If Moicano had gotten past Dober with less damage taken I might pick him, but he took a massive amount of damage and Turner is just as if not more offensively potent while also being much bigger. Trusting the bigger man to get the finish early. Turner by KO R1.
Andrade vs. Rodriguez
Jéssica Andrade, TKO, R2
I've kind of flip-flopped on this one, but ultimately, I'm going with Andrade to just hulk out and crush Rodriguez. Rodriguez really isn't that bad, but her footwork has never been great and she's shown against superior athletes like Lemos that it's possible to just rattle her and physically overpower her. Though Andrade's recent record ain't great I don't think she's actually declined physically. I'm going with Andrade TKO R2.
Green vs. Miller
Bobby Green, DEC
Would really like Miller to win this one, but Green seems like a tough matchup for him. He's a good defensive wrestler with a solid gas tank who hits the body often. Against 40-year old Miller, who typically needs to decide the momentum of the fight to win it, that seems like enough to outlast him. Hope I'm wrong, but I'm going Green by decision.
Figueiredo vs. Garbrandt
Deiveson Figueiredo, TKO, R1
Figueiredo is probably on the downslope, given he's turning 37 this year, his strength of schedule these past few years has been much stronger than Cody's. Cody looked really bad against Trevin Jones, and he honestly didn't look great against Kelleher before hurting him badly. He just seems to have lost his confidence and I don't think he's gonna get it back. He might have the edge in technique against Figueiredo, but against Rob Font, Figueiredo was able to simply shrug off Font's jabs and punish him whenever he opened up; Cody hardly ever uses his jab, and I don't trust him to outslick Deiveson without getting badly hurt. Considering neither guy likes to lead, there's actually a good chance this fight will turn out boring, but I'm trusting Figueiredo to find the kill-shot early. Figueiredo by TKO R1.
Alex Pereira, TKO, R2
I could actually see Pereira getting sparked by Hill; despite being one of the most dangerous offensive strikers in MMA and kickboxing history, he's never had particularly good defense and typically relies on being bigger and leaning away. Most of his worst performances in his kickboxing career came against guys that could match his height and reach, and Hill does fit that description. Having said that, Hill still looks very raw in a lot of areas of the game, and I don't think he has the discipline or fight IQ to really challenge Pereira in his weak areas. I'm picking Pereira by TKO R2.
Zhang vs. Yan
Weili Zhang, TKO, R3
Zhang is LIKELY the best female fighter right now in terms of skill (and probably excitement). Yan is very uninteresting to me, she's a decent kickboxer and that's basically it. I think Zhang just runs her over here, she'll probably take her down and pound her out. Zhang by TKO R3.
Gaethje vs. Holloway
Justin Gaethje, DEC
My gut instinct was that Gaethje would win this easily, but as time has gone on I've become a lot less confident. Gaethje obviously has the power edge and is likely stronger, but he does have some defensive tendencies like dipping his head to escape clinches and overthrowing in pocket exchanges that I think Max can punish. Top that with Max's bodywork and this suddenly feels like a dangerous fight for Gaethje. On the other hand, Max still backs off in a straight line, and Gaethje's improved kicking game and boxing angles can definitely punish him for that. I think both guys will get badly hurt several times in this fight, but ultimately I think Gaethje's power and improved discipline will win him rounds even if Max may pick up steam later on. This is the best fight on the card in my opinion, cannot wait. I'll take Gaethje by DEC.
Oliveira vs. Tsarukyan
Charles Oliveira, TKO, R2
Here's the thing: if I had to pick the single most likely outcome for this fight to end, it's that Tsarukyan just consistently takes Oliveira down and wears him out. However, Oliveira has a lot more ways to win here because he's much more offensively potent in basically every area. Tsarukyan hasn't really faced a commited pressure fighter besides Dariush, and even there he showed some tendencies in his footwork that I think Oliveira might be able to punish him for. On top of that, he's kind of inert in the clinch, the area where Oliveira is an absolute monster. Conversely, we've seen Oliveira get crushed from guard, but it's been a while since we've seen him actually give up from that position. This is the second best fight on the card and one of the hardest to pick, but I think I trust Oliveira to make use of his greater offensive variety and that he catches Tsarukyan with a knee and finishes him. Oliveira by TKO R2.
Nickal vs. Brundage
Bo Nickal, SUB, R1
Yeah this really shouldn't be on the PPV. Should have made this the featured prelim, would have still gotten eyeballs without making people pay 80 dollars for Cody Brundage. Brundage got embarassed by Jacob Malkoun, he's not gonna have anything for Nickal except for a hail-mary knockout. If Nickal loses this, people will say it was too early in his career. If he wins, people say he only beat Cody Brundage. Very little to gain, but obviously he'll win. Nickal by SUB R1.
Procházka vs. Rakić
Jiří Procházka, TKO, R2
Rakic hasn't fought in two years and frankly I didn't think he looked that great against Jan before blowing out his knee. He's a big guy who has become an okay range striker, but if Jiri has any confidence left, then he will not let Rakic get comfortable in any way and I don't think Rakic can hold up against that kind of pace. I think Jiri will be back in a big way. Jiri by TKO R2.
Kattar vs. Sterling
Aljamain Sterling, DEC
This fight is pretty intriguing. Aljo is gonna be at a pretty big size disadvantage so I think he'll struggle to get this fight to the mat, but he does have some funky striking that has made very good strikers look pretty bad. Kattar hasn't had a great run lately, and he does tend to lack urgency even when a fight isn't going his way. Not that confident in this pick, but I'll take Sterling by DEC.
Holm vs. Harrison
Kayla Harrison, DEC
This being at 135 lbs is the big question mark, but current Holm might be my least favorite fighter to watch. All she does is clinch and hold people against the fence, and even against Mayra Silva, who we now know cannot cut the cage to save her life, she still ended up doing it and got caught in the ninja choke. Harrison is flawed in her own ways, but I am confident she's not gonna get outmuscled by a 42-year old Holm. Harrison by DEC.
Yusuff vs. Lopes
Sodiq Yusuff, DEC
Yusuff is very frustrating to watch, because he probably should be better than he is. Lopes is a lot of fun to watch, but I keep getting the feeling that he'd look very mediocre against a competent striker who won't engage him in the grappling department. Yusuff is kind of unreliable but I have a feeling he can find some good counters and deny Lopes the transitions he wants. Yusuff by DEC.
Turner vs. Moicano
Jalin Turner, TKO, R1
I like Moicano a lot, but he always seems like he's only a few punches away from getting finished even when he's winning (even though he hasn't actually been finished that much). Against a larger, longer figher in Turner, who has the power edge and actually makes good use of his range, I don't think he'll be able to enforce his wrestling before getting sparked. If Moicano had gotten past Dober with less damage taken I might pick him, but he took a massive amount of damage and Turner is just as if not more offensively potent while also being much bigger. Trusting the bigger man to get the finish early. Turner by KO R1.
Andrade vs. Rodriguez
Jéssica Andrade, TKO, R2
I've kind of flip-flopped on this one, but ultimately, I'm going with Andrade to just hulk out and crush Rodriguez. Rodriguez really isn't that bad, but her footwork has never been great and she's shown against superior athletes like Lemos that it's possible to just rattle her and physically overpower her. Though Andrade's recent record ain't great I don't think she's actually declined physically. I'm going with Andrade TKO R2.
Green vs. Miller
Bobby Green, DEC
Would really like Miller to win this one, but Green seems like a tough matchup for him. He's a good defensive wrestler with a solid gas tank who hits the body often. Against 40-year old Miller, who typically needs to decide the momentum of the fight to win it, that seems like enough to outlast him. Hope I'm wrong, but I'm going Green by decision.
Figueiredo vs. Garbrandt
Deiveson Figueiredo, TKO, R1
Figueiredo is probably on the downslope, given he's turning 37 this year, his strength of schedule these past few years has been much stronger than Cody's. Cody looked really bad against Trevin Jones, and he honestly didn't look great against Kelleher before hurting him badly. He just seems to have lost his confidence and I don't think he's gonna get it back. He might have the edge in technique against Figueiredo, but against Rob Font, Figueiredo was able to simply shrug off Font's jabs and punish him whenever he opened up; Cody hardly ever uses his jab, and I don't trust him to outslick Deiveson without getting badly hurt. Considering neither guy likes to lead, there's actually a good chance this fight will turn out boring, but I'm trusting Figueiredo to find the kill-shot early. Figueiredo by TKO R1.