UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

No worries man, just my simple opinion !

I'll raise the ante. I wonder how long it is since a fighter on a 3 fight skid vs a fighter on a 5 fight skid was on the main card?

JJ aldrich is going to win. I don't know why the odds are this bad. Im parlaying Dan ige, Argueta and JJ aldrich together using my rent money.

I have strong doubts that Alrdrich is going to be submitted.  Erin Blanchfield is the smaller fighter and is only 23 years old and far less experienced than JJ who is tough as a leather boot.  But more so than any of that... This is Blanchfield's career so far: 


She beat a really bad fighter who just got killed in a Bellator match in Whittany Pyles.  That is fair to get a knock out there.  The Brittney Cloudy split decision is not pretty.  Cloudy is a former track star/sprinter with terrible cardio (sprinter cardio) and is super raw.  Kay Hansen spends more time on OnlyFans than fighting, which is why the UFC just cut her recently, as she is not that good yet.  Tracy Cortez is a rising UFC start and possible future contender.  No shame in that loss.  Gabby Gulfin sub lol... She was there for a paycheck.  Victoria Leonardo.  Okay, she is a contender series winner who is now 0-2 in the UFC after getting a contract.  Anytime she has faced UFC level opponents, she has lost (although Miranda Maverick, Erin Blanchfield, Manon Fiorot, and Melissa Gatto are four tough opponents).  So, she is a middling gatekeeper at best.  Brogan Walker-Sanchez.  BWS is another middling gatekeeper but does have a nice win over Miranda Maverick, as does Blanchfield her last time out and Miranda Maverick before that.


There is nothing on Erin Blanchfield's record that says she is finishing JJ Aldrich.  My prediction is Blachfield by decision (-193) but man, if you hedged that with Alrdrich +600 by decision, there would be no shame.

Sorry I took a while to respond - I don't think Aori is good. He's entertaining and tough, but not particularly skilled. Beating Else doesn't mean much, and losing to Durden gives you a good way to gauge his skill, as competetitive as that fight might have been.

Molina could win since he'll force the issue on Zhalgas, but of the two, Zhalgas is the one with actual high level experience in terms of competition. Each of the guys who've beaten him (Zhumagulov) in the UFC would massacre Molina's competition. Maybe I'm being too critical, but I think the line is backwards.

On another note, Mozharov's record was revised and now he stands at a whopping 21-11. I expect his undeserved status of just a slight dog against Alonzo will get downgraded to massive underdog, if not, I'll unload on Menifield Rd 1. Askar has no business against anyone capable.

I hadn't realized JJ Alrich called Blanchfield out. I wonder if she saw something in Blanchfield's arsenal she can exploit.

I think Benoit Saint-Denis will win this fight... This has violence written all over it either way.  But people that think BSD is being handed Stolze just to get a win or for whatever reason isn't watching tape or don't know what they are seeing.  The man lost by unanimous decision to Emeev and rightfully so... but go back and watch the end of the 1st round and ask yourself, "What happens if there was 10 or 20 more seconds left on the clock?"

That is not a set up fight.

* Edited at 06.01.2022, 8:07 AM ET *

https://www.delinquentmma.com/post/ufc-fight-night-volkov-vs-rozenstruik-betting-guide

Good stuff.  I think Evloev is going to win but not without a fight.  I don't have a problem with the dog shot.  I won't be taking it but that line is disgusting and Ige has paths (plural) to victory.  This should be a -150 to -180 line for Evloev.  I mean... lmfao... -400?  Not a chance I would take that line for serious money outside of a parlay hail mary.

* Edited at 06.01.2022, 8:06 AM ET *

-400 is Russian tax. Same reason askarov was -350 against kkf lol

I’m calling out Kamaru Usman. I see holes in his game I can exploit. Bet your life savings on me 

@thesnake that’s a fair assessment, but I wouldn’t say he’s a can. Maybe he’s not that great, but he’s far from terrible imo. I’m also kind biased because I thought he just barely won the durden fight. Plus, u gotta factor in he’s at 135 rn, so his gas tank won’t fade. I think the competitive fight with molina shows that he’s got some skill. If he didn’t get knocked down from throwing the leg kick, he’s winning that fight 29-28. Anyways, he’s not fighting so it’s kind of irrelevant but just my two cents 

And to zhalgas’s competition, all those “wins” on his winstreak outside the ufc where horrendously fixed decisions. Fight nights global has a loooooooong history of shady judging and rigged fights. He did not come close to beating bagautinov, nam, or ulanbekov. I watched his fight against Artur bagautinov too and he was getting the **** kicked out of him, nearly finished in round 1, getting taken down at will, then he landed a spinning backfist out of nowhere and ko’ed him. And sure, we can say he should have won the paiva fight but in reality, is it really THAT impressive? If we’re going off who should have won on paiva’s record, then paiva is 2-3-1 in the ufc, that’s not very impressive. I saw the albazi fight and I don’t think it’s as close as everyone thinks, he lost that fight clear as day and even the media (and judges) had it consensus win for amir; not a single scorecard for zhalgas. And finally, sure he had success against kape, but kape is a slow starter, watxh any of his ufc fights, he takes at least 3 minutes to find his rythym

* Edited at 06.01.2022, 8:51 AM ET *

Almeida's fight from week 5 of last year's Contender's series was awesome. The first round was clearly won by Almeida and was action packed. Dana White gave the fight a standing ovation and the commentators were asking if both fighter's should be signed.

Almeida has shown power at lightweight and I'm interested in what it will look like at featherweight.

Oh man I totally forgot this was at 145. His gas tank is gonna fade bad. He’s a career lightweight too

* Edited at 06.01.2022, 9:15 AM ET *

That's funny but no one has found Usman's holes LOL

@ayy true about lightweight even fought at welterweight. Trizano seems to always be in excellent shape.

* Edited at 06.01.2022, 9:32 AM ET *

That boggles my mind that he’s finally getting the ufc opportunity (idk how they straight up resigned him, his last fight he got clinched up against the cage for 3 minutes until he found the guillotine; not impressive for a ufc contract) and he’s fighting a solid vet… at a weight class he’s never once been to. Makes no sense lol

After re-watching his DWCS fight and seeing Dana White's standing ovation, I bet he was on a short list to get the call up. The weight cut is going to be interesting but who knows maybe he makes it easy. 

He’s exciting and a welcome addition to the ufc but he’s not very good imo. I find trizano fights to be absolute snoozefests tho so if he finishes him and gets him cut from the ufc (trizano should be on a three fight L streak) that would be nice

* Edited at 06.01.2022, 10:32 AM ET *