Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2

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Tapology
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06.01.2023 | 10:13 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC Fight Night
  • Saturday 09.16.2023 at 07:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: ESPN+
  • Name: UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
  • Also Known As: Noche UFC
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: T-Mobile Arena
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Dominick Cruz, Daniel Cormier, Brandon Moreno
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Daniel Cormier
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $2,265,537
  • Attendance: 18,766
  • MMA Bouts: 11
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Alexa Grasso   vs.   Valentina Shevchenko   Ends in a Draw, Split   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Jack Della Maddalena   defeats   Kevin Holland   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Raul Rosas Jr.   defeats   Terrence Mitchell   via KO/TKO, Punches From Mount   0:54 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Daniel Zellhuber   defeats   Christos Giagos   via Submission, Anaconda Choke   3:26 Round 2 of 3, 8:26 Total Bout Page
Kyle Nelson   defeats   Fernando Padilla   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Lupita Godinez   defeats   Elise Reed   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   3:38 Round 2 of 3, 8:38 Total Bout Page
Roman Kopylov   defeats   Josh Fremd   via KO/TKO, Liver Punch   4:44 Round 2 of 3, 9:44 Total Bout Page
Edgar Cháirez   vs.   Daniel Lacerda   Ends in a No Contest, Premature Stoppage   3:47 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Tracy Cortez   defeats   Jasmine Jasudavicius   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Charlie Campbell   defeats   Alex Reyes   via KO/TKO, Left Hook and Right Straight   3:38 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Josefine Knutsson   defeats   Marnic Mann   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 20

unoshowtenuno
unoshowtenuno
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09.16.2023 | 5:34 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 4 Perfect, 555 Points   |   Tied for 372nd

@gliese58i 
I've got Chairez winning, but I could see putting a little money on Lacerda in Round 1.

"We are all one"

IDPC7
IDPC7
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09.16.2023 | 5:34 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 520 Points   |   Tied for 927th

I have been very tempted the whole time to sprinkle lacerda ko, idk what line is right now but i saw it at +350, closest i been to placing a bet without doing it.

"let people sleep on me, and let the doctor wake 'em up" - Jamahal Hill

BatmanBeyond94
BatmanBeyond94
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09.16.2023 | 5:45 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 2019th

Kopylov vs. Fremd
Roman Kopylov, TKO, R1
Cut fremd after he gets koed?

ace4three
ace4three
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09.16.2023 | 6:24 AM ET

Predictions: 5 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 290 Points   |   Tied for 4472nd

fun card
GAROVAL23
GAROVAL23
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09.16.2023 | 6:48 AM ET

Predictions: 5 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 305 Points   |   Tied for 4365th

@BatmanBeyond94 
ehy you cut Fremp? Hes 2 wins streak and 2-2 in UFC, the man in the red line these event is Lacerda with 4 loses streak.

Im with your pred, Kopylov is a killer but i dont think Fremp has been cut
GAROVAL23
GAROVAL23
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09.16.2023 | 7:06 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 5 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 305 Points   |   Tied for 4365th

Grasso vs. Shevchenko II
Valentina Shevchenko, DEC
I dont see Valentina in her beast mode but i sont see she loses again, she make a inteligence fight and take the win.

Holland vs. Maddalena
Kevin Holland, DEC
If Holland make a score fight take the win

Rosas Jr. vs. Mitchell
Raul Rosas Jr., SUB, R1
**** odds man, Rosas probally win but he is more green than UFC want to make us see

Zellhuber vs. Giagos
Daniel Zellhuber, DEC
Zellhuber looks like a Padillas twin, similar fight, reach is the key

Padilla vs. Nelson
Fernando Padilla, DEC
Padilla reach can be the key in these fight, Erosa make he looks so good but i dont think he can beat Nelson easy

Godinez vs. Reed
Lupita Godinez, DEC
Godinez by close decision, **** odds, dont put money here

Kopylov vs. Fremd
Roman Kopylov, TKO, R1
Kopylov is a beast, he destroid Fremp, KOPYLOV WINS AND FIGHT -2.5 ROUNDS IS THE BET TO MAKE THIS NIGHT

Cháirez vs. Lacerda
Edgar Cháirez, SUB, R1
I dont like odds, the fight is more close than people think, for Lacerda is his lst chance to stay in the UFC

Cortez vs. Jasudavicius
Jasmine Jasudavicius, DEC
My confidence in Cortez is out, she now is more model than a fighter he make a lot of tv shows, enterviews, branding, Jasudavicius score 2 rounds and win the fight.

Campbell vs. Reyes
Alex Reyes, SUB, R1
Campbell dont beat anyone that make me feel hes a top prospect. Im with the big dog here, reyes can take the win after 6 years waiting a fight.

Knutsson vs. Mann
Josefine Knutsson, DEC
People that bet Knutsson at their odds have a value concept problem

JReynolds47
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09.16.2023 | 7:44 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 1465th



"Jarno Errens, Damir Hadzovic"

Biba
Biba
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09.16.2023 | 8:06 AM ET

Fight Forecast Machine Learning Picks.

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 4 Perfect, 515 Points   |   Tied for 1000th




These are the picks my model made for the upcoming card (the method & round predictions are my own); the current accuracy of the model is around 77% on the test and train set. Overall happy with the picks it made this week. I tried to have it take into account age regression of fighters which is I think reflected in the Grasso pick.

For all upcoming events, bets, a more detailed table of the predictions and past predictions, visit: https://www.fightforecast.net/




* Edited at 09.16.2023, 8:15 AM ET *

DRstoppage
DRstoppage
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09.16.2023 | 8:30 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 355 Points   |   Tied for 3905th

The only lock on this card is me making nachos and margaritas 🇲🇽 

* Edited at 09.16.2023, 8:33 AM ET *

OddSmokerSteve
OddSmokerSteve
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09.16.2023 | 8:31 AM ET

Noche UFC: Picks, Predictions & Full Betting Card

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 4 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 1977th

What's everyone's favorite bet for this card? I'm really liking Holland ML and Holland by Points

Full Picks, Predictions & Betting Card for those interested: https://oddsmokermma.com/2023/09/16/noche-ufc-grasso-vs-shevchenko-2-picks-predictions-betting-card/

"Check us out for free MMA Picks, Predictions, Analysis, Bets & More"

Mersh
Mersh
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09.16.2023 | 8:44 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 3541st

foppa420
foppa420
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09.16.2023 | 9:06 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 5 Perfect, 590 Points   |   Tied for 167th

Definitely not a ton of upset potential on this card, but if I had to guess I would say Lacerda and Nelson could bust some parlays. 

Lacerda is live for about 5 minutes, but tough sell picking him because Chairez is pretty durable. Not gonna be easy to put him away quickly but Lacerda has to know this is his last chance and that he's fighting for his job. 

Padilla probably beats Nelson 9/10 times but I'm always a little weary when the fighter on paper who should win is fighting someone who's been much more active recently. Padilla has been in the octagon for barely 90 seconds in the last 28 months. Nelson has 45 minutes in the octagon across that same span of time against some solid if unspectacular competition. 

I would be surprised but not absolutely shocked if either fighter was able to pull off a win. They're the only decent dogs I think have somewhat of a shot (and I'm picking neither).
FcBayern
FcBayern
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09.16.2023 | 9:32 AM ET

Lacerda

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 365 Points   |   Tied for 3828th

0-5 or 1-4 after this fight he still gets cut ,the guy just has 1 more fight left in his contract,he puts a show in his fights  that's why is still there if he approves in the next promotions wherever he goes after this fight Dana will call him back maybe
Vinicius M
Vinicius M
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09.16.2023 | 9:40 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 2592nd

Godinez vs. Reed
Lupita Godinez, DEC
Nesta luta, vejo forte favoritismo para a Lupita. Acredito que se ela vier com a estratégia de encurtar a distância e colocar a luta para baixo, terá uma alta chance de vencer o combate. Isso, tendo em vista que o seu jogo na luta agarrada é bem ajustado. Ademais, acredito que esta casamento é muito bom para a mexicana, consoante o jogo da Elise Reed ser consistido, de forma majoritária, na luta em pé. Apresentando, assim, dificuldades quando é colocada para baixo.

"Sem disciplina, o talento não serve pra nada."

Vinicius M
Vinicius M
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09.16.2023 | 9:57 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 2592nd

Cháirez vs. Lacerda
Edgar Cháirez, TKO, R2
Uau, aqui tem tudo para ser uma verdadeira guerra! Eu gosto muito do Daniel Lacerda, pois o mesmo entrega muito em todos os seus combates. Neles, ele sempre os faz de modo feroz e brutal. Entretanto, ao ir para o tudo ou nada, ele abre alguns espaços a serem capitalizados por seus adversários. E, em virtude disso, vejo que Chairez também virá com tudo para mais um excelente combate, chegando, assim, como leve favorito para esta luta. Ao meu ver, candidata à luta da noite!

"Sem disciplina, o talento não serve pra nada."

notmisery
notmisery
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09.16.2023 | 9:59 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 375 Points   |   Tied for 3745th

feeling some upsets today

"Some of you need to relax its just tapology at the end of the day"

StyleBenderPicks
StyleBenderPicks
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09.16.2023 | 10:08 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 4 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 275 Points   |   Tied for 4543rd

Grasso vs. Shevchenko II
Valentina Shevchenko, DEC
grasso got lucky i cant see it happening again

Godinez vs. Reed
Elise Reed, DEC
reed loses the fights she should win and wins the fights she should lose.

Kopylov vs. Fremd
Roman Kopylov, TKO, R2
kopylov turned his career around so well

Cháirez vs. Lacerda
Edgar Cháirez, TKO, R2
lacerda gotta have the biggest let down of a career in a while

Campbell vs. Reyes
Alex Reyes, TKO, R3
Reyes old as can be but just y’all wait gonna be another huge upset

Knutsson vs. Mann
Josefine Knutsson, DEC
i don’t understand the odds with this card it’s a problem

" “My hands don’t discriminate.” -Israel Adesanya"

notmisery
notmisery
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09.16.2023 | 10:14 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 375 Points   |   Tied for 3745th

how these ufc tiers work? did have a bit of a stinker last week pick wise.

"Some of you need to relax its just tapology at the end of the day"

CrimsonChinGuru
CrimsonChinGuru
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09.16.2023 | 10:21 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 415 Points   |   Tied for 3125th

@notmisery 


Adds up your correct picks out of the last 8 UFC events

* Edited at 09.16.2023, 10:22 AM ET *

"They killed Jesus for speaking the truth..."

notmisery
notmisery
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09.16.2023 | 10:28 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 375 Points   |   Tied for 3745th

@CrimsonChinGuru 
fair enough probably should be 1 tier up last week for sure through it off lol

"Some of you need to relax its just tapology at the end of the day"

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