Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi

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Tapology
Tapology
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03.08.2023 | 10:53 AM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC Fight Night
  • Saturday 06.03.2023 at 06:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: ESPN | Prelims: ESPN+
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: UFC Apex
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Brendan Fitzgerald, Laura Sanko, Michael Bisping
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Michael Bisping
  • MMA Bouts: 13
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Amir Albazi   defeats   Kai Kara-France   via Decision, Split   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Alex Caceres   defeats   Daniel Pineda   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Jim Miller   defeats   Jesse Butler   via KO/TKO, Left Hook and Uppercut   0:23 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Tim Elliott   defeats   Victor Altamirano   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Karine Silva   defeats   Ketlen Souza   via Submission, Kneebar   1:45 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Elizeu Zaleski   defeats   Abubakar Nurmagomedov   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Daniel Santos   defeats   Johnny Munoz Jr.   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Don'Tale Mayes   defeats   Andrei Arlovski   via KO/TKO, Right Hook to Ground Strikes   3:17 Round 2 of 3, 8:17 Total Bout Page
John Castañeda   defeats   Muin Gafurov   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Muhammad Naimov   defeats   Jamie Mullarkey   via KO/TKO, Right Hook to Ground Strikes   2:59 Round 2 of 3, 7:59 Total Bout Page
Elise Reed   defeats   Jinh Yu Frey   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Da'Mon Blackshear   defeats   Luan Lacerda   via KO/TKO, Ground Punches   3:54 Round 2 of 3, 8:54 Total Bout Page
Philipe Lins   defeats   Maxim Grishin   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 21

Crayz
Crayz
  • Location: England
  • Member Since: 2017.05.19
  • Predictions:  2,078  |  60.0%
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05.28.2023 | 5:06 AM ET

Predictions: 3 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 190 Points   |   Tied for 4045th

@IDPC7 there is no perfect system you’re right, but i think the best system is the one that keeps your RQ the sharpest, which is essentially the gambling game itself.. risk management! high RQ plays! 💰

"💰🌆"

baremaras
baremaras
  • Member Since: 2022.09.10
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05.28.2023 | 5:08 AM ET

crayz

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 500 Points   |   Tied for 929th

without the injuries, without the PED suspension, without his age being a factor and purely a skillset vs skillset fight being capped, zaleski should be near the -200 range

but then you factor in his age, his PED suspension, his injuries, the fact that his career best performance last fight was against Saint-Denis who was fighting on short notice up a weight class with the ref allowing Zaleski to fight dirty multiple times then yeah.... -130 doesn't sound off to me with all those things being a factor

my conclusion is this fight imo has way too many unpredictable variables surrounding Zaleski for me to appropriately cap and actually try to extract value from, let alone actually trust Zaleski with my money - it's purely an information fight

* Edited at 05.28.2023, 5:11 AM ET *

baremaras
baremaras
  • Member Since: 2022.09.10
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05.28.2023 | 5:12 AM ET

IDPC7

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 500 Points   |   Tied for 929th

that's exactly the reason I'm here posting so much... because I have the financial freedom to do whatever I want lol

if I didn't have any money, I'd be out there working a 9-5 with no time to post on tapology

do you see how your logic is flawed?

* Edited at 05.28.2023, 5:12 AM ET *

IDPC7
IDPC7
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05.28.2023 | 5:13 AM ET

Nurmagomedov

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 340 Points   |   Tied for 3215th

 @Crayz   @baremaras 

Zaleski not winning this one guys... don't see him getting a finish and I think Abubakar gonna have good enough striking to keep it close on the feet, but dominate on the ground when he wants/ needs

"let people sleep on me, and let the doctor wake 'em up" - Jamahal Hill

IDPC7
IDPC7
  • Location: High as NASA
  • Member Since: 2023.02.25
  • Predictions:  359  |  65.7%
  • Forum Posts:  274
  • Post Score: 143

05.28.2023 | 5:17 AM ET

Baremaras

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 340 Points   |   Tied for 3215th

Lmao sure you have money, you dont have 1000000000x anybody in here lmao. Are you mentally okay, seems like you want to make up **** to make you feel better about yourself. Yall arguing acting like yall think your the best bettors in the world, if your making money you should be happy with that and stick to your strategy, don't have to wine and ***** when someone else bets differently.

"let people sleep on me, and let the doctor wake 'em up" - Jamahal Hill

baremaras
baremaras
  • Member Since: 2022.09.10
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  • Post Score: -24

05.28.2023 | 5:21 AM ET

IDPC7

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 500 Points   |   Tied for 929th

jealousy is getting to your head little guy, relax

I won't be addressing your posts anymore as you're very obviously bitter and trying to argue for no reason
Crayz
Crayz
  • Location: England
  • Member Since: 2017.05.19
  • Predictions:  2,078  |  60.0%
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05.28.2023 | 5:22 AM ET

Predictions: 3 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 190 Points   |   Tied for 4045th

@baremaras - i definitely cannot argue with that assessment. you’re agreeing that -130 is somewhat accurate which is 56.5%, so really anything better than 56.5% would be considered value based on your opinion of the fight, it’s just a matter of extracting enough value to the point you believe the wager is worth the risk. if he went to say +120 that’s 45%, nearly +10% of value at that point… pulling the trigger at the right time or choosing to pass and not pull the trigger at all really is the difference in this game! i haven’t really been impressed with abubakar in all honesty. Zawada was able to lock up a triangle choke, his jab was pretty good against Jared Gooden but Jared’s footwork and overall striking skillset is very basic compared to Zaleski’s Capoeira/Thai striking background. More than likely Abubakar will try to replicate his performance against Omarghadziev here against Zaleski, but setting up the takedowns could be more difficult, assuming the footwork and kicking ability of Zaleski are going to cause potential problems. Recently we saw Jourdain implement a boxing only tactic against Kron, because he didn’t want Kron to catch a kick and work a takedown off that, but I don’t think that’ll be the same tactics Zaleski uses, I expect him to fire some nasty kicks at Nurmagomedov, should be a fun scrap! 

* Edited at 05.28.2023, 5:23 AM ET *

"💰🌆"

Rah123
Rah123
  • Member Since: 2022.06.18
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05.28.2023 | 5:24 AM ET

Crazy

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 484th

I'd have to be CrayZ to get any kind of betting advice from a broke bum like you.

I guarantee that I make more betting in a day than you make in a year.

Unlike you I don't need to sell picks or betting advice to feed myself

"Positivity is a positive"

Rah123
Rah123
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05.28.2023 | 5:25 AM ET

Bananas

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 484th

Don't worry explaining this to that buffoon. He wouldn't understand the first thing about fighting or what actually makes a fighter likely to win a fight.

"Positivity is a positive"

IDPC7
IDPC7
  • Location: High as NASA
  • Member Since: 2023.02.25
  • Predictions:  359  |  65.7%
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05.28.2023 | 5:26 AM ET

Baremaras

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 340 Points   |   Tied for 3215th

 Lmao jealous of what?
I aint bitter i just was addressing the fact that you seemed upset@Crayz  had a good strategy. more than one person can win money you will be alright. don't gotta be jealous he charges people for picks and prolly makes more than you.

"let people sleep on me, and let the doctor wake 'em up" - Jamahal Hill

Crayz
Crayz
  • Location: England
  • Member Since: 2017.05.19
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05.28.2023 | 5:28 AM ET

Predictions: 3 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 190 Points   |   Tied for 4045th

@Rah123 - it’s just advice, do whatever you wanna do son.

"💰🌆"

Rah123
Rah123
  • Member Since: 2022.06.18
  • Predictions:  1,317  |  66.4%
  • Forum Posts:  6,878
  • Post Score: -53

05.28.2023 | 5:29 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 484th

Btw do you guys all notice, the moment I talk about my method of betting which is very different and very profitable compared to how most people bet, all these shill characters who are touting picks or their websites or accounts appear out of nowhere shouting about how I don't know anything. 

I will leave you all to decide if that's a coincidence. It's an interesting one. Almost like they are worried people might listen to me 😆 

"Positivity is a positive"

Crayz
Crayz
  • Location: England
  • Member Since: 2017.05.19
  • Predictions:  2,078  |  60.0%
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05.28.2023 | 5:30 AM ET

Predictions: 3 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 190 Points   |   Tied for 4045th

@Rah123 - i bet my whole bankroll that you are not a profitable mma bettor

"💰🌆"

Rah123
Rah123
  • Member Since: 2022.06.18
  • Predictions:  1,317  |  66.4%
  • Forum Posts:  6,878
  • Post Score: -53

05.28.2023 | 5:30 AM ET

IDPC

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 484th

If you think you or Crayz make more money betting than Bananas you are Crayz

"Positivity is a positive"

Rah123
Rah123
  • Member Since: 2022.06.18
  • Predictions:  1,317  |  66.4%
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05.28.2023 | 5:31 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 484th

Crazy... cmon man. Don't bet your last 5 bucks on that. It's ok. There are still some soup kitchens and homeless shelters around where you live

"Positivity is a positive"

Crayz
Crayz
  • Location: England
  • Member Since: 2017.05.19
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05.28.2023 | 5:32 AM ET

Predictions: 3 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 190 Points   |   Tied for 4045th

@Rah123 you make nothing lol you’re in the minus 😭

"💰🌆"

IDPC7
IDPC7
  • Location: High as NASA
  • Member Since: 2023.02.25
  • Predictions:  359  |  65.7%
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05.28.2023 | 5:34 AM ET

@rah123

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 340 Points   |   Tied for 3215th

Makes more than you do, under 50% in last 3 ufc cards... .yikes



"let people sleep on me, and let the doctor wake 'em up" - Jamahal Hill

Crayz
Crayz
  • Location: England
  • Member Since: 2017.05.19
  • Predictions:  2,078  |  60.0%
  • Forum Posts:  54
  • Post Score: 320

05.28.2023 | 5:36 AM ET

Predictions: 3 of 9 Winners, 1 Perfect, 190 Points   |   Tied for 4045th

@Rah123 if my bankroll was $5 that would still be $5 more than you’ve made gambling on ufc

"💰🌆"

IDPC7
IDPC7
  • Location: High as NASA
  • Member Since: 2023.02.25
  • Predictions:  359  |  65.7%
  • Forum Posts:  274
  • Post Score: 143

05.28.2023 | 5:39 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 340 Points   |   Tied for 3215th

@crayz  5$ wouldn't help him outta his debt :/

* Edited at 05.28.2023, 5:39 AM ET *

"let people sleep on me, and let the doctor wake 'em up" - Jamahal Hill

JReynolds47
JReynolds47
  • Location: Plano, Texas
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05.28.2023 | 5:39 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 1265th

tell me how much you bet

"Jarno Errens, Damir Hadzovic"

Page 21


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