Topic: UFC 296

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington

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Tapology
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06.01.2023 | 10:16 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 296
  • Saturday 12.16.2023 at 06:30 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: T-Mobile Arena
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Joe Rogan, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $9,300,000
  • Attendance: 19,039
  • MMA Bouts: 12
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Leon Edwards   defeats   Colby Covington   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Alexandre Pantoja   defeats   Brandon Royval   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Shavkat Rakhmonov   defeats   Stephen Thompson   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   4:56 Round 2 of 3, 9:56 Total Bout Page
Paddy Pimblett   defeats   Tony Ferguson   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Josh Emmett   defeats   Bryce Mitchell   via KO/TKO, Overhand Right   1:57 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Alonzo Menifield   defeats   Dustin Jacoby   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Irene Aldana   defeats   Karol Rosa   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Cody Garbrandt   defeats   Brian Kelleher   via KO/TKO, Counter Right   3:42 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Ariane Lipski   defeats   Casey O'Neill   via Submission, Armbar   1:18 Round 2 of 3, 6:18 Total Bout Page
Tagir Ulanbekov   defeats   Cody Durden   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   4:25 Round 2 of 3, 9:25 Total Bout Page
Andre Fili   defeats   Lucas Almeida   via KO/TKO, Right Hook to Ground Strikes   3:32 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Shamil Gaziev   defeats   Martin Buday   via KO/TKO, Elbows and Punches (standing TKO)   0:56 Round 2 of 3, 5:56 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 32

AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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12.15.2023 | 1:06 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 495 Points   |   Tied for 2636th

Irene Aldana the only one left. I’m gonna assume she misses weight or just barely makes it 

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

gliese58i
gliese58i
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12.15.2023 | 1:49 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 3971st

She made it with the curtains, everyone made weight.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

Noxx
Noxx
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12.15.2023 | 1:52 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 3027th

Great to see that there are no weight misses this time around

"Learning is a gift, even when pain is your teacher"

Joshjeffords
Joshjeffords
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12.15.2023 | 1:57 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 3727th

Just sadly 4 fighters 2 of which were ready but their dance partner pulled out.

"“I took no damage,” Hill said. “Most of the fall was me falling down"

2023.12.15 1:59 PM ET

weigh-in result

Shamil Gaziev: 259.5 lbs (117.7 kgs)
2023.12.15 1:59 PM ET

weigh-in result

Martin Buday: 264.5 lbs (120.0 kgs)
2023.12.15 1:59 PM ET

weigh-in result

Andre Fili: 145.5 lbs (66.0 kgs)
2023.12.15 1:59 PM ET

weigh-in result

Lucas Almeida: 146.0 lbs (66.2 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:00 PM ET

weigh-in result

Tagir Ulanbekov: 126.0 lbs (57.2 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:00 PM ET

weigh-in result

Cody Durden: 126.0 lbs (57.2 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:00 PM ET

weigh-in result

Casey O'Neill: 125.0 lbs (56.7 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:00 PM ET

weigh-in result

Ariane Lipski: 126.0 lbs (57.2 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:00 PM ET

weigh-in result

Cody Garbrandt: 136.0 lbs (61.7 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:00 PM ET

weigh-in result

Brian Kelleher: 136.0 lbs (61.7 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:01 PM ET

weigh-in result

Irene Aldana: 136.0 lbs (61.7 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:01 PM ET

weigh-in result

Karol Rosa: 135.5 lbs (61.5 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:01 PM ET

weigh-in result

Alonzo Menifield: 204.5 lbs (92.8 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:01 PM ET

weigh-in result

Dustin Jacoby: 204.5 lbs (92.8 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:01 PM ET

weigh-in result

Josh Emmett: 146.0 lbs (66.2 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:01 PM ET

weigh-in result

Bryce Mitchell: 145.5 lbs (66.0 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:01 PM ET

weigh-in result

Tony Ferguson: 155.5 lbs (70.5 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:01 PM ET

weigh-in result

Paddy Pimblett: 155.5 lbs (70.5 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:02 PM ET

weigh-in result

Shavkat Rakhmonov: 171.0 lbs (77.6 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:02 PM ET

weigh-in result

Stephen Thompson: 171.0 lbs (77.6 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:02 PM ET

weigh-in result

Alexandre Pantoja: 125.0 lbs (56.7 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:02 PM ET

weigh-in result

Brandon Royval: 124.5 lbs (56.5 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:02 PM ET

weigh-in result

Leon Edwards: 170.0 lbs (77.1 kgs)
2023.12.15 2:02 PM ET

weigh-in result

Colby Covington: 169.5 lbs (76.9 kgs)
DamienHandel420
DamienHandel420
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12.15.2023 | 2:31 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 4379th

Brian Kelliher has only been knockout once, and only by John lineker who also dropped him a few times, but beside that he’s chin is good, he’s chin is quite underrated, Unless you think Cody going to wrestle, I think Brian going to give him problem on the feet, and could sleep him

Kelliher not quite Chito or Munhoz durability, but it’s close

* Edited at 12.15.2023, 2:33 PM ET *

"Quack quack quack"

flying_frontkick
flying_frontkick
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12.15.2023 | 2:48 PM ET

Predictions: 0 of 1 Winners, 0 Perfect, 0 Points   |   Tied for 6180th

It depends, I don't think he can fix his game I mean he could he's had a long lay off but that damage is done and his chin is always going to be a problem, even though I think it's his defence and lack of. He's never been slept in the Octagon, it's more his fight IQ goes out the window.

Still love the guy, win or lose. I ******* went wild when Pedro and him went to war, his performance against Cruz is legendary, clowning one of the best defensive strikers ever. Such a fall from grace, I hope he improves his mental game, he has a good overall game. 

"For no particular reason beat up everyone"

DamienHandel420
DamienHandel420
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12.15.2023 | 3:09 PM ET

Flying front kick

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 4379th

Also, If Cody chin get any worse, he’s career is over, don’t matter if he fighting smarter, if you can’t take a punch, your a bum in this game because your bound to get hit, If Cody chin was the same as it was a few years back, he could fight a smart gameplan and avoid getting hit 

I’m kinda sus he’s chin could be at that level now, Trevin did **** all his last fight to test it, but he getting slept too many time now

* Edited at 12.15.2023, 3:11 PM ET *

"Quack quack quack"

Joshjeffords
Joshjeffords
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12.15.2023 | 3:20 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 3727th

135 guys seem to have  a short shelf life even ninja Dom cruse been kod a few times bad and gets hit way too much.

"“I took no damage,” Hill said. “Most of the fall was me falling down"

Parlay Boss
Parlay Boss
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12.15.2023 | 3:25 PM ET

Luque vs Holland needs to happen

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 570 Points   |   Tied for 1191st

12 fights isn't enough 😤

"You are an infection. You are the definition of weakness. Everything that is wrong with the world is because of ******* you." - Strickland

AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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12.15.2023 | 3:27 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 495 Points   |   Tied for 2636th

@duck for what it’s worth, kelleher is coming off of a near career ending surgery, at 37 years old. He doesn’t necessarily have a bad chin but you could see his decline in striking against guys like kevin croom and Cody stamann. The surgery is concerning to me because he was having issues with his neck; kelleher said he had some herniated discs and nerve compression. 

Cody is a glass cannon though. I think he’s better everywhere compared to kelleher but all it takes is one mistake and he gets slept again. He looked BAD against trevin jones. Did nothing the whole fight and still almost got ko’ed. Cody also said he got a stinger in his neck during the fight (stemming from neck issues he also has) so not only is his chin gone but his body isn’t even agreeing with him any more

But idk I feel like the speed and footwork of Cody is what makes the difference here. Kelleher is not nearly as fast, dynamic, or athletic so that does play a role here; I also imagine whatever was left of kellehers athletic prime is gone after this surgery too. Cody should be able to avoid the hooks of kelleher (also one of the only times Cody is fighting someone with a similar reach to him) and control where the fight is, it’s just all dependent on that chin

* Edited at 12.15.2023, 3:30 PM ET *

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

BigMMAHW
BigMMAHW
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12.15.2023 | 3:40 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 455 Points   |   Tied for 3423rd

Ulanbekov vs. Durden
Cody Durden, DEC
Hard to go against Durden and his relentlessness. Ulanbekov lost to Tim Elliott and I see him losing a close decision to Durden.

Fili vs. Almeida
Andre Fili, DEC
Lucas is a fun fighter to watch but Fili is always a tough out.

Gaziev vs. Buday
Shamil Gaziev, TKO, R1
Gaziev might gas here but he looked good on the scales. I could see Buday getting a decision win but it's hard to not go with Gaziev.

Dmark25
Dmark25
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12.15.2023 | 3:45 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 630 Points   |   Tied for 403rd

@Parlay Boss 
I think they're just going to rebook it for the Strickland/DDP card. Outside of Luque I'm not sure who the UFC would want/can book for Garry in a short time frame besides maybe Neal.

"If it ain't fix, don't broke it - Stipe Miocic "

BigMMAHW
BigMMAHW
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12.15.2023 | 3:47 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 455 Points   |   Tied for 3423rd

Menifield vs. Jacoby
Dustin Jacoby, DEC
As long as Jacoby doesn't brawl and moves, Alonzo should slow down by the round.

Aldana vs. Rosa
Irene Aldana, DEC
Mexican Boxing.

Garbrandt vs. Kelleher
Cody Garbrandt, TKO, R2
Cody seems to have found the balance between brawling and fighting technical. Hopefully Kelleher doesn't slightly graze his chin

O'Neill vs. Lipski
Casey O'Neill, DEC
O'Neill better.

Dstone
Dstone
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12.15.2023 | 3:50 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 4379th

Ferguson vs. Pimblett
Tony Ferguson, TKO, R1
🕶️The Blades are coming out you best believe it 🕶️

"ZAZAAAAA"

BigMMAHW
BigMMAHW
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12.15.2023 | 4:02 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 455 Points   |   Tied for 3423rd

Edwards vs. Covington
Colby Covington, DEC
I really don't want him to win but Usman average 1.5x less takedowns per round than Colby. MMA math doesn't work and Usman vs Colby isn't a good way to predict this fight. I hope Edwards knocks him out cold.

Pantoja vs. Royval II
Alexandre Pantoja, SUB, R4
I always thought Royval would be champion. Here we are and I am picking against him. I thought Moreno would beat Pantoja so it wouldn't be very smart to pick against him here, especially after holding a win over him already... by SUB

Rakhmonov vs. Thompson
Shavkat Rakhmonov, SUB, R2
Future Champ.

Ferguson vs. Pimblett
Paddy Pimblett, SUB, R3
Paddy is very very beatable and will lose soon. I wish David Goggins could make a difference and if Tony wins I might cry of joy. Sadly I have to go with Paddy as I like my percentage.

Emmett vs. Mitchell
Bryce Mitchell, DEC
I believe Mitchell is the stronger fighter and will be able to get takedowns and tire Emmett maybe get a late SUB.

Thehitman007
Thehitman007
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12.15.2023 | 5:20 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 2348th

@Tapology 
aand New 
And still 
****rat. rockman
CteTony
That's my prediction 

"I am a curse from God if u would not have done great evil in ur life god would not have sent a curse like me apon you. " Genghis khan

Byakuya Kuchiki
Byakuya Kuchiki
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12.15.2023 | 5:21 PM ET

Predictions: 5 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 340 Points   |   Tied for 5139th

Emigrating to Vietnam in a few weeks this shall be my last card I can watch for awhile. 
Enjoyed watching this year and the forum banter/support for the fights. 
Unsure if life is greener on the other side but the UFC has really gotten me through this difficult year. 

Hoping for another amazing card to end the year off and I hope everyone have a great holiday. 

Ps Santa if you are real please give me a Tony win. 

"Confident to go in and not necessarily prove people wrong but to prove my support correct"

Thehitman007
Thehitman007
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12.15.2023 | 5:23 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 2348th

And New
And still
****rat Rickman
Tony cte
That's my prediction 

"I am a curse from God if u would not have done great evil in ur life god would not have sent a curse like me apon you. " Genghis khan

Hesoyam
Hesoyam
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12.15.2023 | 5:50 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 3671st

My parlay:

Edwards ML
Pantoja ML
Tony/Paddy u2.5
Garbrandt/Kelleher u2.5
Aldana
Jacoby
ModestMan
ModestMan
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12.15.2023 | 6:01 PM ET

My call me crazy pick this week is Rosa. The confidence everyone has in her to win this fight caught me by surprise, I can see Rosa winning this, especially if it goes the distance

* Edited at 12.15.2023, 6:01 PM ET *

"WMMA = 50/50 no matter the odds"

Page 32


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